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Paylocity (PCTY)
NASDAQ:PCTY
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Paylocity (PCTY) AI Stock Analysis

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PCTY

Paylocity

(NASDAQ:PCTY)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$208.00
▲(19.73% Upside)
Paylocity's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors contributing to its score. The company's strategic initiatives, including share buybacks and product innovation, further bolster its outlook. However, the high valuation and neutral technical indicators present some risks, moderating the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Paylocity reported better-than-expected 4Q results, with revenues of $370mn (+12% YoY) above Street expectations of 8.6%, driven by recurring revenue growth stemming from expanded platform adoption.
Product Demand
The release of Paylocity for Finance is seeing nice early demand signals from customers.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Factors
Macro driven declines to client employment levels remain the key overhang for shares.
Market Conditions
The expected deterioration in labor market indicators may negatively affect demand and limit upside potential for Paylocity.

Paylocity (PCTY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Paylocity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPaylocity Holding Corporation provides cloud-based human capital management and payroll software solutions for workforce in the United States. The company offers Payroll and Tax Services solution to simplifies payroll, automates processes, and manages compliance requirements within one system; and expense management, on demand payment, and garnishment solutions. It also provides human capital management and employee self-service solutions, document library, compliance dashboard, and HR edge; time and attendance solution; schedule tracking services; and time collection devices, including kiosks, time clocks, and mobile and web applications. In addition, the company offers talent management solutions comprising recruiting and onboarding, as well as learning, performance, and compensation management; employee benefits management and third-party administrative solutions; employee experiences solutions, including community, premium video, survey, and peer recognition; and insights and recommendations solutions, such as modern workforce index, data insights, and reporting. Further, it provides implementation and training, client, and tax and regulatory services. The company serves for-profit and non-profit organizations across industries, including business services, financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, restaurants, retail, technology, and others. It sells its products through sales representatives. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Schaumburg, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyPaylocity generates revenue primarily through subscription fees for its software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings. The company has a diverse range of revenue streams, including payroll processing fees, HCM software subscriptions, and additional services such as employee benefits management and time and attendance tracking. Paylocity's pricing model typically involves a recurring subscription charged on a per-employee basis, which provides a steady stream of income as businesses scale. Additionally, the company may earn revenue from upselling premium features and services to existing clients. Strategic partnerships with various organizations in the HR technology ecosystem also contribute to its revenue, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach.

Paylocity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and growth, driven by product innovation and effective sales execution. Despite some challenges with interest rate impacts and the early stages of product integration, the company's strategic initiatives and market recognition contribute to a positive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Expansion
Paylocity reported a recurring revenue growth of 14% in Q4 and 15% for fiscal year 2025, with total revenue reaching $1.6 billion, marking a 14% increase from fiscal 2024.
Product Innovation and Launches
The company launched 'Paylocity for Finance,' an integrated system for HR and finance, combining tools like Airbase, improving spend management and strategic workforce planning.
Strong Sales Execution
The sales force expanded by 8% to 952 reps, and the company achieved channel performance with benefit brokers representing over 25% of new business in fiscal 2025.
Financial Performance and Guidance
Adjusted EBITDA was $583 million with a margin of 36.5% for fiscal 2025, showing a 15% increase from fiscal 2024. The company expects fiscal 2026 recurring revenue growth of approximately 9%.
Free Cash Flow and Stock Repurchase
Free cash flow margin increased to 21.5% in fiscal 2025. The company repurchased $150 million of shares in fiscal 2025 and increased share repurchase authorization by $500 million.
Industry Recognition
Paylocity received several awards, including America's Greatest Workplaces for Gen Z by Newsweek and America's Best Midsized Companies by Time.
Negative Updates
Potential Impacts of Interest Rate Changes
Guidance includes assumptions of 100 basis points of interest rate cuts during fiscal 2026, potentially affecting client-held funds interest income.
Integration and Adoption Challenges
While the integration of Airbase into Paylocity for Finance is progressing, it is early in adoption with expectations that sales and penetration will take time to scale.
Company Guidance
During Paylocity's fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance with several notable metrics and insights. Paylocity reported a recurring revenue growth of 14% for the fourth quarter and 15% for the entire fiscal year, culminating in $1.6 billion in total revenue. The average revenue per client increased by approximately 8%, from $32,800 in fiscal 2024 to $35,300 in fiscal 2025. The client base grew by 7% to 41,650 clients. The company also highlighted a strong sales execution, with an 8% expansion of their sales force, bringing the total to 952 sales representatives, which they plan to leverage for fiscal 2026. Additionally, the company saw continued success with their broker channel, which contributed over 25% of new business. Revenue retention remained above 92% for the fiscal year. Paylocity anticipates recurring and other revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 to be between $370 million and $375 million, with total revenue expected to grow by approximately 8% to 10% for the same period. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $131 million and $135 million, with a full fiscal year 2026 guidance for recurring and other revenue ranging from $1.597 billion to $1.612 billion.

Paylocity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Paylocity exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, effective cost management, and a solid balance sheet. The company has successfully reduced its leverage while maintaining robust returns on equity. Cash flow generation is strong, supporting its growth trajectory. Potential risks include fluctuations in EBIT margins and asset management, which should be monitored to sustain long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Paylocity has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $561 million in 2020 to $1.6 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin has remained stable around 68%, indicating strong cost management. The net profit margin has improved from 11.5% in 2020 to 14.2% in 2025, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin showed a decline in 2025, which could indicate increased operational costs or investments.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has decreased significantly from 0.44 in 2020 to 0.17 in 2025, indicating reduced leverage and a stronger equity position. Return on equity has remained robust, averaging around 18% in recent years, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid financial structure, although the total assets have fluctuated, which may require monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Paylocity's operating cash flow has shown a positive trend, increasing from $112 million in 2020 to $418 million in 2025. The free cash flow growth rate has been strong, particularly in recent years, indicating efficient cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 2, suggesting strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has slightly decreased, which could imply increased capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.55B1.60B1.40B1.17B852.65M635.63M
Gross Profit1.07B1.10B960.79M807.56M565.65M416.33M
EBITDA348.62M304.02M336.52M215.89M134.81M101.02M
Net Income227.34M227.13M206.77M140.82M90.78M70.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.17B4.39B4.25B3.70B4.81B2.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments477.79M398.07M401.81M288.77M139.76M206.74M
Total Debt292.78M209.27M54.45M62.47M77.52M67.20M
Total Liabilities3.96B3.16B3.21B2.85B4.20B1.94B
Stockholders Equity1.21B1.23B1.03B842.86M613.46M476.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow381.34M342.75M305.92M215.81M102.47M86.80M
Operating Cash Flow411.52M418.23M384.67M282.72M155.05M124.85M
Investing Cash Flow-354.02M-455.55M-101.89M-220.16M-479.77M48.42M
Financing Cash Flow-242.31M-325.82M141.58M-1.43B2.17B280.48M

Paylocity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price173.73
Price Trends
50DMA
182.78
Negative
100DMA
186.44
Negative
200DMA
193.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.47
Positive
RSI
40.02
Neutral
STOCH
6.38
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCTY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 173.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 183.05, below the 50-day MA of 182.78, and below the 200-day MA of 193.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PCTY.

Paylocity Risk Analysis

Paylocity disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Paylocity reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Paylocity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$9.42B42.5020.04%13.74%10.99%
76
Outperform
$12.46B29.1125.76%0.68%10.21%-10.56%
75
Outperform
$12.86B61.3785.16%6.13%9.17%
74
Outperform
$4.09B-1.66%15.72%74.59%
70
Neutral
$8.23B169.831.89%13.46%2.06%
66
Neutral
$15.90B66.9223.69%0.50%10.45%-32.43%
61
Neutral
$36.32B7.12-7.26%1.97%7.79%-9.36%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCTY
Paylocity
173.73
17.78
11.40%
MANH
Manhattan Associates
220.19
-34.87
-13.67%
PAYC
Paycom
221.49
62.94
39.70%
DAY
Dayforce Inc
53.43
-2.07
-3.73%
BSY
Bentley Systems
52.09
2.45
4.94%
PYCR
Paycor HCM
22.49
8.66
62.62%

Paylocity Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Paylocity Expands Share Buyback Program by $500 Million
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Paylocity announced a $500 million increase to its share repurchase program, adding to the $200 million remaining from previous authorizations. This move, alongside the launch of Paylocity for Finance, aims to enhance its market position by integrating HR and finance functions, driving efficiency and user experience. The company reported strong financial results for fiscal year 2025, with a 14% increase in total revenue and a 15% rise in recurring revenue year-over-year. Paylocity also repurchased 800,000 shares for $150 million during the fiscal year, reflecting its commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCTY) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paylocity stock, see the PCTY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025