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Dayforce, Inc. (DAY)
NYSE:DAY

Dayforce Inc (DAY) AI Stock Analysis

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DAY

Dayforce Inc

(NYSE:DAY)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$75.00
▲(8.48% Upside)
Dayforce Inc's stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive corporate events, particularly the acquisition by Thoma Bravo. However, financial performance and valuation concerns, including negative profitability and a high P/E ratio, weigh down the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
Market Position
The acquisition by a major investor can enhance Dayforce's competitive edge, providing resources for innovation and market expansion.
Balance Sheet Health
A moderate debt-to-equity ratio suggests a solid capital structure, providing financial stability and flexibility for future growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Negative profitability metrics highlight operational inefficiencies, which could hinder long-term financial performance and growth.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow indicates potential cash management issues, affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Pension Settlement Charge
The significant pension settlement charge impacts financial results, potentially affecting cash reserves and future financial planning.

Dayforce Inc (DAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dayforce Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDayforce Inc. (DAY) is a leading provider of human capital management (HCM) solutions, specializing in cloud-based software that integrates various HR functions. The company operates primarily in the technology sector, offering comprehensive services that include workforce management, talent management, payroll, and benefits administration. Dayforce focuses on delivering a unified platform that enhances employee engagement and streamlines HR processes for organizations of all sizes.
How the Company Makes MoneyDayforce generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering its HCM software to businesses on a recurring basis. This includes annual or monthly fees for access to its cloud-based platform, which covers various HR functions. Key revenue streams include fees from payroll processing, workforce management solutions, and additional services such as analytics and compliance management. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with other technology firms, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach, which contributes to its overall earnings.

Dayforce Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth, bookings, and free cash flow expansion. The company has made significant strides in AI integration and has secured key customer wins, including a contract with the Government of Canada. While there are concerns about the macro environment and certain financial charges related to pension plans, the positive aspects of the call significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue was $465 million, up 10%. Excluding float, total revenue increased 12%. Dayforce recurring revenue excluding float was $315.5 million, up 14%.
Bookings Growth
Year-to-date bookings have grown over 40%, a trend that has continued for three consecutive quarters.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Increase
Adjusted EBITDA margin was up 420 basis points to 31.7%.
Free Cash Flow Expansion
Free cash flow in the quarter was $87.1 million or 18.7% of revenue. Year-to-date free cash flow was up 500 basis points to $106.6 million.
Successful Customer Wins
Several new large customers were added, including a global leader in apparel and a leading U.S.-based provider of essential infrastructure services.
AI Integration
Over half of new business wins also purchased Dayforce AI Assistant. Almost 100% of new business wins included the AI people platform.
Government of Canada Contract
The government of Canada selected Dayforce for HR and pay transformation for its employees.
Negative Updates
Macro Environment Concerns
The macro environment shows moderate growth in employment levels, estimated at just under 1% growth.
Pension Plan Charges
A cash charge in the range of approximately $30 million to fully fund and terminate the defined benefit pension plan.
Company Guidance
In the Dayforce Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, CEO David Ossip provided optimistic guidance, highlighting that Dayforce exceeded the high end of their guidance across all metrics. Key metrics included a 14% growth in recurring revenue excluding floating on a constant currency basis, a 420 basis point increase in adjusted EBITDA margin to 31.7%, and a free cash flow of $87.1 million, representing 18.7% of revenue. Year-to-date, free cash flow rose by 500 basis points to $106.6 million. Ossip emphasized a target to grow Dayforce recurring revenue above 15% and projected an increase in free cash flow margins from 12% to between 13.5% and 14%, aiming for $1 billion in free cash flow by 2031. The company also reported bookings growth of over 40% year-to-date, with new client bookings and system integrator-led sales showing significant momentum.

Dayforce Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dayforce Inc demonstrates strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage. However, profitability remains a concern with negative net income and declining free cash flow. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Dayforce Inc has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.25% and a strong historical trend. However, profitability metrics such as net profit margin and EBIT margin are negative, indicating challenges in achieving operational efficiency. Gross profit margin has improved to 52.9% in the TTM, reflecting better cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 in the TTM, indicating a conservative leverage approach. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive, but the free cash flow has declined by 26% in the TTM, indicating potential cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting good cash generation relative to earnings, but the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.89B1.76B1.51B1.25B1.02B842.50M
Gross Profit1.00B812.10M646.50M473.20M382.30M341.30M
EBITDA144.20M288.00M264.60M54.70M23.10M56.90M
Net Income-149.80M18.10M54.80M-73.40M-75.40M-4.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.68B9.12B9.01B8.46B7.17B6.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments627.60M579.70M570.30M431.90M367.50M188.20M
Total Debt1.23B1.23B1.24B1.25B1.18B711.90M
Total Liabilities5.98B6.57B6.61B6.35B4.94B4.60B
Stockholders Equity2.69B2.55B2.40B2.11B2.23B2.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow165.80M171.50M105.10M38.10M-14.90M-90.00M
Operating Cash Flow274.50M281.10M219.50M132.60M48.80M-30.20M
Investing Cash Flow-306.40M-471.90M-202.80M-342.50M-711.10M38.80M
Financing Cash Flow404.50M59.60M242.00M764.60M491.90M565.30M

Dayforce Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price69.14
Price Trends
50DMA
68.82
Positive
100DMA
67.21
Positive
200DMA
62.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
54.95
Neutral
STOCH
49.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.14 is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.14, above the 50-day MA of 68.82, and above the 200-day MA of 62.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DAY.

Dayforce Inc Risk Analysis

Dayforce Inc disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dayforce Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dayforce Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$9.31B19.8428.56%0.94%9.72%-2.69%
71
Outperform
$8.37B38.0620.42%13.30%2.80%
69
Neutral
$10.61B42.4451.96%0.16%17.00%120.21%
67
Neutral
$11.07B-73.51-5.71%11.73%-376.77%
67
Neutral
$7.26B65.289.79%18.99%66.43%
65
Neutral
$8.26B-74.52-12.84%16.98%-265.85%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DAY
Dayforce Inc
69.14
-5.09
-6.86%
PEGA
Pegasystems
62.63
15.19
32.02%
PAYC
Paycom
159.63
-48.63
-23.35%
PCTY
Paylocity
152.04
-49.15
-24.43%
ESTC
Elastic
76.99
-26.63
-25.70%
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG
23.11
6.16
36.34%

Dayforce Inc Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Dayforce Inc Stockholders Approve Acquisition by Thoma Bravo
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Dayforce Inc. held a special meeting where stockholders approved the company’s acquisition by Thoma Bravo, a major software-focused investor. This approval marks a significant milestone, allowing Dayforce to accelerate its business and enhance customer impact. The transaction, expected to close in late 2025 or early 2026, will see Dayforce stockholders receive $70 per share in cash. The acquisition is anticipated to strengthen Dayforce’s market position and drive further innovation in the HCM sector.

M&A TransactionsLegal Proceedings
Dayforce Inc Announces Merger with Dawn Bidco
Negative
Nov 5, 2025

Dayforce, Inc. announced a merger agreement with Dawn Bidco, LLC, where Dayforce will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Dawn Bidco. The company has received demand letters and complaints from stockholders alleging disclosure deficiencies in the merger proxy statement. To avoid delays and costs, Dayforce is voluntarily providing additional disclosures while denying any wrongdoing.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Dayforce Advances in Merger with Dawn Bidco
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

Dayforce, Inc. has announced a significant development in its merger process with Dawn Bidco, LLC, where Dayforce will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Dawn Bidco. As of October 20, 2025, the merger has met key regulatory conditions under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act and the Competition Act in Canada. However, the merger’s completion still awaits further regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions, including shareholder approval.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025