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Sportradar Group AG (SRAD)
NASDAQ:SRAD

Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) AI Stock Analysis

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SRAD

Sportradar Group AG

(NASDAQ:SRAD)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(9.89% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/05/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growth, cash generation, and a strengthened balance sheet) and a positive earnings outlook with margin expansion guidance and buybacks. These are offset by a high valuation and a mixed technical setup with weaker intermediate-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Sustained revenue growth
Consistent, accelerating top-line growth across betting technology, media and U.S. markets indicates durable demand and scalable distribution. Guidance for 2026 implies multi-period expansion driven by recurring contracts, IMG contributions and stronger U.S. exposure, supporting long-term revenue momentum.
Negative Factors
Gross-margin compression and higher rights costs
Rising rights and content costs (including IMG premium rights) increase cost intensity, putting pressure on core gross margins and making operating leverage less predictable. Persistent higher rights spending can compress long-term margins unless offset by pricing power or scale efficiencies.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained revenue growth
Consistent, accelerating top-line growth across betting technology, media and U.S. markets indicates durable demand and scalable distribution. Guidance for 2026 implies multi-period expansion driven by recurring contracts, IMG contributions and stronger U.S. exposure, supporting long-term revenue momentum.
Read all positive factors

Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sportradar Group AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in the United Kingdom, the United States, Malta, Switzerland, and internationally. Its sports data services to the bookm...
How the Company Makes Money
Sportradar primarily makes money by selling subscriptions and services built on its sports data collection and distribution platform, and by monetizing sports audiences through marketing and advertising products. Key revenue streams typically inc...

Sportradar Group AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum: record full-year revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, robust free cash flow, rapid IMG integration with early revenue and cost synergies, growth in streaming and Managed Trading Services, and an ambitious buyback program. Headwinds and risks were acknowledged — primarily foreign exchange impacts, timing-lumpy revenue in certain segments, elevated rights and operating costs related to IMG, and regulatory/league uncertainty around prediction markets. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance with planned margin expansion, but noted FX and timing will affect near-term cadence. Overall, positives (scale, margin expansion, cash generation, successful deal integration and clear growth guidance) materially outweigh the identified risks, which are being actively managed.
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Revenue and Strong Top-Line Growth
Full-year 2025 revenue of $1.3 billion, up $183 million or 17% year-over-year, driven by uptake from existing partners, U.S. market growth (U.S. revenue +23% year-over-year; U.S. now 25% of total revenue) and contributions from IMG.
Negative Updates
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
Weakened U.S. dollar relative to the euro acted as a headwind: Q4 reported revenue would have been ~22% growth on a constant currency basis (reported +20%). Management flagged FX as a significant headwind at current rates, particularly affecting Q1 and to a lesser extent Q2 2026.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Full-Year Revenue and Strong Top-Line Growth
Full-year 2025 revenue of $1.3 billion, up $183 million or 17% year-over-year, driven by uptake from existing partners, U.S. market growth (U.S. revenue +23% year-over-year; U.S. now 25% of total revenue) and contributions from IMG.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 revenue to grow 23–25% on a constant‑currency basis (implying $1.56–$1.58 billion at current FX) and Adjusted EBITDA to grow 34–37% on a constant‑currency basis (implying $390–$400 million), driving roughly 200–225 basis points of margin expansion versus 2025, while free‑cash‑flow conversion is expected to rise above the 56% achieved in 2025. They said growth should be strongest in Q2–Q3 (FX headwinds greatest in Q1–Q2), plan to scale IMG to realize ~25% revenue synergies (previously cited ≈$140 million), will continue opportunistic buybacks after raising repurchase authorization to $1 billion (≈$170 million repurchased to date, ≈$830 million remaining), and reiterated operational targets such as streaming >700,000 matches in 2026 and a significant World Cup turnover opportunity (expected to exceed the prior World Cup’s ≈$35 billion).

Sportradar Group AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by accelerating revenue growth, improving net margin in 2025, rising operating cash flow and sharply higher free cash flow, and a conservatively positioned balance sheet with low leverage. Key risks are the 2025 gross-margin compression and historically lumpy free cash flow.
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
79
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.11B877.62M730.19M561.20M
Gross Profit261.55M628.55M540.03M431.72M453.57M
EBITDA176.58M384.75M285.01M242.64M185.52M
Net Income96.36M34.15M34.66M10.89M12.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.87B2.29B2.25B1.39B1.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments365.14M348.36M277.17M243.76M742.77M
Total Debt62.83M46.72M50.15M22.84M435.35M
Total Liabilities1.89B1.36B1.37B631.63M1.04B
Stockholders Equity977.92M925.15M867.79M751.59M738.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow382.40M125.36M58.37M5.52M1.47M
Operating Cash Flow387.11M353.01M258.64M168.08M132.22M
Investing Cash Flow-237.36M-254.88M-202.09M-246.57M-333.77M
Financing Cash Flow-108.32M-36.75M-17.63M-459.85M539.77M

Sportradar Group AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.47
Price Trends
50DMA
17.79
Negative
100DMA
19.72
Negative
200DMA
23.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.69
Positive
RSI
32.65
Neutral
STOCH
15.77
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRAD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.65, below the 50-day MA of 17.79, and below the 200-day MA of 23.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SRAD.

Sportradar Group AG Risk Analysis

Sportradar Group AG disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sportradar Group AG reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
The requirements of being a public company may strain our resources and divert management's attention, and additional legal, accounting and compliance expenses may be greater than we anticipate. Q4, 2023

Sportradar Group AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.16B27.2177.38%2.11%17.83%118.70%
73
Outperform
$2.15B19.4118.70%18.18%70.94%
70
Outperform
$4.82B63.0910.31%18.99%66.43%
62
Neutral
$5.17B-101.06-8.52%22.69%-32.47%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$750.21M-17.26-32.90%12.78%-20.47%
60
Neutral
$4.59B-21.74-13.37%24.26%55.58%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG
15.47
-7.49
-32.62%
KC
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings
15.11
1.07
7.62%
FROG
JFrog
43.22
11.96
38.26%
YOU
Clear Secure
46.17
19.37
72.30%
FRSH
Freshworks
7.55
-5.13
-40.46%
AMPL
Amplitude
5.61
-2.97
-34.62%

Sportradar Group AG Corporate Events

Sportradar Posts Record 2025 Results and Lifts Share Buyback Authorization to $1 Billion
Mar 3, 2026
On March 3, 2026, Sportradar reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting record annual revenue of €1.29 billion, up 17%, and profit of €100 million, equal to 7.8% of revenue. Adjusted EBITDA rose 33% to €...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 05, 2026