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AppFolio (APPF)
NASDAQ:APPF
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AppFolio (APPF) AI Stock Analysis

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APPF

AppFolio

(NASDAQ:APPF)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$364.00
▲(35.46% Upside)
AppFolio's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. While technical analysis suggests caution due to potential overbought conditions, and valuation indicates a high P/E ratio, the company's growth trajectory and strategic initiatives support a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
AppFolio reported second-quarter results that were ahead of analyst estimates on both revenue and profit.
Leadership Stability
The definitive appointment of CFO Tim Eaton removes a layer of uncertainty for the business.
Product Innovation
Management continues to reinvest toward strategic initiatives such as R&D, AI solutions, and resident services.
Negative Factors
Customer Acquisition
AppFolio’s implied new customer size stepped down this quarter, which management attributes to the adverse macro environment impacting unit expansion.
Market Performance
Downside catalysts are lacking following negative consensus revisions and ~10% YTD underperformance vs. software peers.

AppFolio (APPF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AppFolio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAppFolio, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud business management solutions for the real estate industry. The company offers AppFolio Property Manager, a platform to leverage process automation, easy to use interface, and the optimization of common workflows for property management companies, as well as completes and records critical transactions in the system and give its customers access to the data they need to run their business; AppFolio Property Manager Plus, which offers customizable workflows that allow customers to digitize their existing processes, performance insights, intelligent revenue management, and integrations through selected partners and dedicated strategic account managers; and AppFolio Investment Management, a solution that is designed to enable real estate investment management organizations to manage investor relationships through enhancing transparency and streamlining certain business processes. It also provides value added services that are designed to enhance, automate, and streamline processes and workflows for property management businesses, such as electronic payment, tenant screening, and insurance services. AppFolio, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Santa Barbara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAppFolio generates revenue primarily through subscription fees for its software services. The company offers its platform on a Software as a Service (SaaS) model, charging clients a monthly subscription based on the number of units managed or the number of users accessing the platform. Key revenue streams include property management software, which is targeted at residential and commercial property managers, and legal practice management software, catering to law firms. Additionally, AppFolio earns revenue through transactional fees related to payment processing and other ancillary services, such as tenant screening and marketing. The company has established significant partnerships with various service providers to enhance its offerings and drive customer engagement, contributing to its overall earnings.

AppFolio Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, successful AI adoption, and positive customer and employee feedback. However, challenges include flat cost of revenue and increased headcount, which may affect efficiency. The positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights, showcasing a thriving business environment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue reached $236 million, marking a 19% year-over-year increase.
AI Adoption and Innovation
96% of customers have utilized AI-powered solutions, with new AI tools like Realm-X improving workflows and productivity.
Expansion of AppFolio Stack Marketplace
AppFolio Stack now has 80 partners, with 77% of Plus and Max customers adopting it, demonstrating increased integration and flexibility.
Employee Engagement and Leadership
High employee engagement scores in the 95th percentile of the tech industry, and Tim Eaton's appointment as CFO.
Positive Customer Feedback
Customer testimonials highlight the ease and impact of AppFolio's solutions, such as the seamless integration of AppFolio Stack partners.
Stock Repurchase Program
A new stock repurchase program of $300 million was approved, with 689,000 shares repurchased year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Flat Cost of Revenue
Cost of revenue exclusive of depreciation and amortization remained flat year-over-year at 35% of revenue.
Increased Headcount
Headcount increased by 11% from the previous year, reflecting growth but potentially impacting operational efficiency.
Company Guidance
During AppFolio's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported revenue of $236 million, representing a 19% year-over-year growth. The non-GAAP operating margin was 26.2%. Core solutions revenue reached $52.5 million, and value-added services revenue was $180 million, each increasing by 19% compared to the previous year. The company managed approximately 8.9 million units from 21,403 customers, marking a 6% increase in both metrics from a year earlier. AppFolio also increased its 2025 annual revenue guidance to $935 million to $945 million, with a projected non-GAAP operating margin between 24.5% and 26.5%. The company exited the quarter with 1,685 employees, up 11% from the prior year, and ended with $128 million in cash and investment securities. Additionally, they repurchased 689,000 shares year-to-date under a new $300 million stock repurchase program.

AppFolio Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AppFolio demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow management is efficient, supporting future growth despite minor operational efficiency improvements needed.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
AppFolio has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 38.00% increase from 2023 to 2024 and 9.00% from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin remains high at 63.32% TTM. The net profit margin improved significantly from negative in previous years to 23.54% TTM, indicating enhanced profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins show slight fluctuation, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 TTM, indicating low leverage. ROE has improved substantially to 44.58% TTM, driven by increased net income. The equity ratio remains strong at 80.31% TTM. While the balance sheet shows solid stability, the decrease in stockholders' equity from 2024 to TTM warrants attention.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
AppFolio's free cash flow grew by 257.04% from 2022 to 2023, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.91 TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.90 TTM, demonstrating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Despite strong cash flow metrics, fluctuations in capital expenditures need monitoring.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue862.67M794.20M620.45M471.88M359.37M310.06M
Gross Profit546.19M492.59M382.37M280.06M215.43M191.03M
EBITDA166.87M169.87M29.95M-38.36M20.35M17.39M
Net Income203.10M204.07M2.70M-68.12M1.03M158.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets567.40M626.68M408.89M381.22M408.02M389.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments127.57M278.25M211.71M160.07M122.45M168.52M
Total Debt39.65M41.75M44.74M50.24M55.73M40.15M
Total Liabilities111.76M107.39M111.58M115.67M110.64M103.56M
Stockholders Equity455.65M519.29M297.31M265.55M297.38M285.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow182.80M186.14M51.24M4.14M2.67M3.22M
Operating Cash Flow185.44M188.16M60.28M25.36M35.39M48.30M
Investing Cash Flow13.87M-151.76M-55.58M-6.47M-110.46M146.51M
Financing Cash Flow-185.47M-43.40M-25.96M-6.16M-7.35M-70.36M

AppFolio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price268.72
Price Trends
50DMA
248.60
Positive
100DMA
232.32
Positive
200DMA
233.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.12
Positive
RSI
49.30
Neutral
STOCH
19.61
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APPF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 268.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 276.00, above the 50-day MA of 248.60, and above the 200-day MA of 233.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 11.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.61 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APPF.

AppFolio Risk Analysis

AppFolio disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AppFolio reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AppFolio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.72B44.0841.55%0.14%12.47%65.19%
78
Outperform
$9.77B49.1749.11%19.47%61.10%
76
Outperform
$9.42B42.5020.04%13.74%10.99%
75
Outperform
$8.56B107.3725.08%21.62%-53.99%
70
Neutral
$8.23B169.831.89%13.46%2.06%
68
Neutral
$7.72B192.75-12.98%17.04%-273.13%
61
Neutral
$36.32B7.12-7.26%1.97%7.79%-9.36%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APPF
AppFolio
268.72
47.50
21.47%
CVLT
CommVault Systems
191.44
43.31
29.24%
PEGA
Pegasystems
52.89
18.35
53.13%
PCTY
Paylocity
173.73
17.78
11.40%
DAY
Dayforce Inc
53.43
-2.07
-3.73%
ESTC
Elastic
76.38
-32.41
-29.79%

AppFolio Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
AppFolio Board Members Resign to Avoid Conflicts
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, three directors, Timothy Bliss, Alex Wolf, and Robert Donald Casey III, resigned from AppFolio‘s Board of Directors to avoid potential conflicts of interest with a new professional opportunity. Their departure was not due to any disagreements with AppFolio’s operations or policies, but rather to maintain transparency as they become significant shareholders in a company that is a customer of AppFolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (APPF) stock is a Buy with a $295.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AppFolio stock, see the APPF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
AppFolio Appoints Tim Eaton as New CFO
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, AppFolio announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a 19% year-over-year revenue growth to $236 million, driven by the adoption of its AI-native platform. The company also appointed Tim Eaton as its Chief Financial Officer, effective July 30, 2025, signaling a strategic move to strengthen its financial leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (APPF) stock is a Buy with a $295.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AppFolio stock, see the APPF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
AppFolio Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

AppFolio, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 13, 2025, where several key proposals were voted upon. The meeting saw the election of three Class I directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm, approval of executive compensation, and a decision to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (APPF) stock is a Buy with a $295.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AppFolio stock, see the APPF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 03, 2025