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Workday (WDAY)
NASDAQ:WDAY
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Workday (WDAY) AI Stock Analysis

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WDAY

Workday

(NASDAQ:WDAY)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$157.00
▲(26.79% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/22/26
WDAY scores solidly on strengthening financial performance (profitability recovery and standout free-cash-flow generation) and a constructive earnings outlook (raised margin guidance, strong backlog/retention, and AI-driven expansion indicators). These positives are tempered by weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a premium valuation (P/E ~35) that leaves less room for execution missteps, especially as revenue growth has decelerated.
Positive Factors
High-quality subscription backlog & retention
Large, recurring subscription backlog (CRPO $8.81B) and 97% gross retention provide multi-year revenue visibility and durable renewal economics. High retention reduces churn risk, supports predictable cash flows, and underpins a steady upsell runway that bolsters long-term revenue stability.
Negative Factors
Decelerating revenue growth & expansion reliance
Growth slowed to ~13% and management notes heavy dependence on expansions (~60% of subscription growth). Long-term top-line momentum therefore hinges on sustained penetration within customers and continued upsell efficacy; any weakening in expansion dynamics or new-logo acquisition could materially slow revenue growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High-quality subscription backlog & retention
Large, recurring subscription backlog (CRPO $8.81B) and 97% gross retention provide multi-year revenue visibility and durable renewal economics. High retention reduces churn risk, supports predictable cash flows, and underpins a steady upsell runway that bolsters long-term revenue stability.
Read all positive factors

Workday Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue from various business segments, revealing which areas drive growth and where the company might focus future expansion efforts.
Chart InsightsSubscription is clearly the growth engine—recurring revenue and backlog are accelerating while Professional services grows modestly and seasonally, not scaling with subscription ARR. Management’s comments that AI and recent acquisitions contributed meaningfully to ARR reinforce subscription momentum and improve revenue visibility, but margin upside depends on shifting mix toward subscription and efficient integration of buys. Watch Fed/SLED and higher-education pockets as localized headwinds that could blunt near-term net-new subscription growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Workday (WDAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Workday Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Workday, Inc. delivers comprehensive, cloud-hosted enterprise software solutions to clients worldwide. These platforms empower organizations to strategize, operate, examine performance, integrate with existing systems, and oversee their overall bu...
How the Company Makes Money
Workday makes money primarily through recurring subscription revenue from customers that license access to its cloud applications. Customers typically pay subscription fees (often structured as multi-year agreements) based on factors such as the n...

Workday Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2026
(Q1-2027)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong financial results (double-digit subscription and total revenue growth), healthy backlog and retention, substantial operating and cash flow improvement, and pronounced AI momentum (big YoY growth in agentic ACV, usage metrics, and product rollouts). Key positives include raised margin guidance, active share repurchases, significant platform and international progress, and early signs that AI drives larger expansion deals. Lowlights were largely execution- and timing-related: AI monetization remains early, RPO mix/timing effects, a meaningful GAAP/non-GAAP margin gap, and the operational challenge of scaling provisioning and delivery to meet rising AI demand. Overall, the positives materially outweigh the caveats, but continued execution on AI adoption and monetization is required.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Revenue Growth
Subscription revenue of $2.354B, up 14% year-over-year; total revenue $2.542B, up 13%.
Negative Updates
AI Monetization Still Early
Company repeatedly emphasized AI adoption is early stage and monetization via flex credits and agent consumption is just ramping — continued execution and adoption required to convert momentum into substantial recurring revenue.
Read all updates
Q1-2027 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Revenue Growth
Subscription revenue of $2.354B, up 14% year-over-year; total revenue $2.542B, up 13%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Workday reiterated fiscal 2027 guidance, forecasting subscription revenue of $9.925–$9.95 billion (growth of ~12–13%) and Q2 FY27 subscription revenue of about $2.455 billion (≈13% growth), with CRPO expected to rise 13.5–14.5% in Q2 and Q2 professional services revenue of ~$180 million; they raised FY27 non‑GAAP operating margin guidance to 30.5% (Q2 ~30%), said Q2 GAAP operating margin is ~19 percentage points lower than non‑GAAP and full‑year GAAP ~18–19 points lower, set a FY27 non‑GAAP tax rate of 19%, maintained operating cash flow guidance of $3.45 billion, forecast capital expenditures of ~$270 million, and expect free cash flow of ~$3.18 billion (≈15% growth).

Workday Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Improving fundamentals driven by a clear profitability turn and strong operating leverage (EBIT ~10% in 2026 annual; ~9.8% TTM) alongside consistently high and improving gross margins (~78% TTM). Free cash flow is a standout strength ($2.97B TTM) with solid quality versus earnings, but the latest period shows decelerating revenue growth (~13%) and some historical earnings volatility, with leverage improving but still present.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.85B9.55B8.45B7.26B6.22B5.14B
Gross Profit7.47B7.23B6.38B5.49B4.51B3.71B
EBITDA1.67B1.36B1.08B752.00M206.00M377.00M
Net Income847.00M693.00M526.00M1.38B-367.00M29.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.09B18.07B17.98B16.45B13.49B10.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.35B5.44B8.02B7.81B6.12B3.64B
Total Debt3.81B3.82B3.36B3.30B3.25B2.10B
Total Liabilities9.41B10.27B8.94B8.37B7.90B5.96B
Stockholders Equity6.68B7.80B9.03B8.08B5.59B4.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.97B2.78B2.19B1.91B1.30B1.38B
Operating Cash Flow3.18B2.94B2.46B2.15B1.66B1.65B
Investing Cash Flow953.00M333.00M-1.78B-1.75B-2.51B-1.61B
Financing Cash Flow-4.55B-3.32B-1.15B-268.00M1.20B110.25M

Workday Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price123.83
Price Trends
50DMA
127.99
Positive
100DMA
137.94
Negative
200DMA
181.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.77
Positive
RSI
46.66
Neutral
STOCH
13.74
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WDAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 123.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 135.63, below the 50-day MA of 127.99, and below the 200-day MA of 181.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WDAY.

Workday Risk Analysis

Workday disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Workday reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Workday Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$83.38B598.623.78%29.54%-21.11%
74
Outperform
$6.30B14.6331.03%0.94%9.37%23.47%
67
Neutral
$32.24B39.2110.41%13.70%76.27%
62
Neutral
$22.64B-106.55-16.70%24.74%49.81%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$83.32B-67.16-57.21%31.07%16.46%
60
Neutral
$1.64B64.237.70%8.12%-82.54%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WDAY
Workday
130.80
-114.85
-46.75%
PAYC
Paycom
134.52
-110.26
-45.04%
TEAM
Atlassian
88.52
-111.80
-55.81%
BL
BlackLine
28.73
-26.60
-48.08%
DDOG
Datadog
229.90
107.97
88.55%
SNOW
Snowflake
232.78
23.66
11.31%

Workday Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Workday Updates Executive Severance and Bonus Protection Policy
Neutral
Apr 24, 2026
On April 20, 2026, Workday, Inc. amended and restated its Executive Severance and Change in Control Policy to enhance benefits for executives experiencing a qualifying termination outside a change in control context. The company shortened the excl...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2026