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Atlassian (TEAM)
NASDAQ:TEAM

Atlassian (TEAM) AI Stock Analysis

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TEAM

Atlassian

(NASDAQ:TEAM)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$173.00
▲(7.41% Upside)
Atlassian's overall stock score reflects strong earnings call performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in AI and cloud services. However, challenges in profitability and valuation metrics, along with technical indicators suggesting potential overbought conditions, moderate the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Atlassian's products, supporting long-term business expansion and market position.
AI Integration
Increased AI integration enhances product offerings, driving customer engagement and positioning Atlassian as a leader in tech innovation.
Cloud Transition
The shift to cloud solutions supports scalability and recurring revenue, aligning with industry trends and future-proofing the business model.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues may hinder financial flexibility and investment capacity, impacting long-term growth prospects.
Revenue Recognition Timing
Changes in revenue recognition from cloud services can lead to short-term financial volatility, complicating financial planning and analysis.
Leadership Transition
Leadership changes can introduce strategic uncertainty, potentially affecting execution of long-term initiatives and stakeholder confidence.

Atlassian (TEAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atlassian Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtlassian Corporation Plc is a leading software company that specializes in collaboration and productivity tools aimed primarily at software development teams, project managers, and businesses. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Sydney, Australia, Atlassian provides a suite of products including Jira for project management and issue tracking, Confluence for team collaboration, Bitbucket for code repository management, and Trello for task organization. The company serves a diverse range of sectors, including technology, finance, healthcare, and education, and is known for its commitment to enhancing team collaboration and efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtlassian generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering both cloud-based and on-premise deployment options for its software products. The company has multiple revenue streams, including direct sales of its software licenses, cloud subscriptions, and maintenance fees for on-premise customers. Additionally, Atlassian earns revenue from its marketplace, where third-party developers can sell add-ons and integrations that enhance its core products. Key partnerships with cloud service providers like Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure further contribute to its earnings by facilitating expanded distribution and integration of its products. The company's focus on expanding its customer base and increasing the average revenue per user (ARPU) through tiered pricing and additional product offerings also plays a critical role in its financial performance.

Atlassian Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Categorizes income streams such as subscription and service revenue, highlighting the company's business model and areas of financial strength or dependency.
Chart InsightsAtlassian's subscription revenue continues to show strong growth, reflecting the company's strategic pivot towards cloud services. The discontinuation of maintenance and perpetual license revenues aligns with this shift. The latest earnings call highlights robust performance, with significant enterprise deals and a 120% cloud net revenue retention rate, underscoring the success of this strategy. However, challenges such as a decline in free cash flow and leadership changes could pose risks. The partnership with Google Cloud is expected to enhance AI capabilities, supporting future growth ambitions.
Data provided by:The Fly

Atlassian Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in revenue and strategic advancements, particularly in AI and cloud migration, which are driving customer engagement and expanding strategic partnerships. However, there are challenges in revenue recognition timing due to the shift from data center to cloud, impacting the marketplace revenue. Despite this, the overall sentiment remains positive due to impressive growth metrics and strong strategic execution.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue in Q1 grew 21% year-over-year to $1.4 billion, with cloud revenue growing 26% year-over-year to $998 million.
RPO Acceleration
Growth in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) accelerated to 42% year-over-year, reaching $3.3 billion.
AI-Driven Customer Engagement
Over 300,000 customers, including major companies like Databricks, Expedia, Ford, and Wells Fargo, rely on Atlassian's AI-enabled cloud platform. Monthly active users of AI capabilities increased by over 50% since last quarter.
Successful Cloud Migrations
Significantly stronger-than-expected cloud migrations from data centers were reported, driving a double-digit percentage increase in users and upgrades to higher value editions.
Expansion in Strategic Partnerships
Several strategic partnerships were signed to integrate Atlassian's platform with other offerings, enhancing customer workflows.
Negative Updates
Impact of Cloud Revenue Recognition
Cloud revenue is recognized ratably, affecting timing, while data center revenue had upfront recognition. This shift impacts marketplace revenue due to a lower take rate on cloud app sales.
Guidance on Organic Revenue Growth
The decline in organic revenue growth outlook by 50 basis points, despite strong cloud migration performance, due to timing differences in revenue recognition between cloud and data center.
Company Guidance
During the Atlassian Earnings Conference Call for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company reported significant financial growth and strategic advancements. The total revenue for Q1 increased by 21% year-over-year to $1.4 billion, driven by a 26% year-over-year rise in cloud revenue to $998 million. Atlassian also reported an impressive 42% year-over-year growth in remaining performance obligations (RPO) to $3.3 billion. The call highlighted the company's successful execution of its strategic priorities in enterprise development, AI integration, and enhancing work systems. Atlassian's AI capabilities now boast over 3.5 million monthly active users, reflecting a 50% increase from the previous quarter. The company's cloud transition strategy is further supported by the end-of-life announcement for data center products, expected to accelerate cloud migrations, which Joe Binz, the CFO, noted will impact revenue recognition timing. Overall, Atlassian maintains a bullish outlook on its long-term growth, reaffirming its commitment to a 20% CAGR and anticipating continued momentum in cloud migrations and enterprise partnerships.

Atlassian Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atlassian demonstrates strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, which are positive indicators for future performance. However, the company faces challenges with profitability, as seen in the negative net income and return on equity. Improvements in leverage and cost management are evident, but sustained efforts are needed to achieve profitability. Overall, the financial health is stable with promising growth prospects, but profitability remains a key area for improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Atlassian's revenue has shown consistent growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 4.69%. However, the company is currently operating at a net loss, reflected by a negative net profit margin of -3.38% in the TTM. The gross profit margin remains strong at 82.87%, indicating efficient cost management. Despite the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, the company has improved from previous periods, suggesting potential for future profitability.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.89 in the TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative at -13.91%, reflecting ongoing challenges in generating profits from equity. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Atlassian's cash flow position is strong, with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 2.87% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.96, highlighting the company's ability to generate cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.46B5.22B4.36B3.53B2.80B2.09B
Gross Profit4.52B4.32B3.56B2.90B2.35B1.76B
EBITDA694.00K24.03M27.41M-220.07M-377.73M-365.88M
Net Income-184.79M-256.69M-300.52M-486.76M-519.51M-578.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.72B6.04B5.21B4.11B3.33B2.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.78B2.94B2.34B2.11B1.46B1.23B
Total Debt1.23B1.24B1.25B1.28B1.31B605.35M
Total Liabilities4.34B4.70B4.18B3.45B3.00B2.65B
Stockholders Equity1.38B1.35B1.03B654.67M327.37M294.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.44B1.42B1.42B842.30M750.46M803.31M
Operating Cash Flow1.49B1.46B1.45B868.11M821.04M834.83M
Investing Cash Flow-381.98M-342.32M-963.75M-1.26M36.52M256.64M
Financing Cash Flow-844.30M-782.58M-408.22M-148.42M-399.28M-1.65B

Atlassian Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price161.07
Price Trends
50DMA
157.08
Positive
100DMA
162.58
Negative
200DMA
186.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.98
Negative
RSI
55.03
Neutral
STOCH
61.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEAM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 161.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 156.67, above the 50-day MA of 157.08, and below the 200-day MA of 186.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TEAM.

Atlassian Risk Analysis

Atlassian disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atlassian reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atlassian Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$63.62B58.2540.33%15.62%2.59%
73
Outperform
$57.50B91.807.34%13.35%-60.76%
69
Neutral
$49.23B475.583.52%26.63%-46.13%
66
Neutral
$42.54B-228.79-15.35%19.51%53.35%
65
Neutral
$20.40B-5,603.74-0.20%19.21%75.32%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$76.13B-55.13-53.32%28.48%-19.12%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEAM
Atlassian
161.07
-90.33
-35.93%
ADSK
Autodesk
300.08
2.59
0.87%
WDAY
Workday
218.63
-46.76
-17.62%
HUBS
HubSpot
389.46
-325.50
-45.53%
DDOG
Datadog
140.39
-7.07
-4.79%
SNOW
Snowflake
222.46
61.02
37.80%

Atlassian Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Atlassian Concludes 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

Atlassian Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on December 2, 2025, where several proposals were considered. Key outcomes included the election of directors, ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor, and approval of amendments to the company’s share incentive and employee share purchase plans. These decisions reflect Atlassian’s ongoing commitment to governance and operational excellence, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder engagement.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Atlassian Announces $2.5 Billion Share Buyback
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Atlassian announced the retirement of CFO Joe Binz effective June 30, 2026, and a new $2.5 billion share repurchase program. The company reported strong financial results for Q1 FY26, with a 21% increase in revenue year-over-year, driven by AI innovations and enterprise sales. Atlassian also highlighted several strategic initiatives, including the acquisition of The Browser Company of New York and DX, the launch of new AI-powered products, and recognition as a leader in the 2025 Gartner Magic Quadrant for DevOps Platforms.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Atlassian Appoints Jason Warner as New Director
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

Atlassian Corporation announced that Heather M. Fernandez will retire as a director effective September 30, 2025, after nearly a decade of service. The company expressed gratitude for her contributions and confirmed her departure was not due to any disagreements. On September 16, 2025, Atlassian’s Board appointed Jason Warner as a new director, effective October 1, 2025. Warner, who has a background in AI and technology leadership, will join the Compensation and Leadership Development Committee. His appointment is expected to bring valuable expertise to Atlassian’s strategic initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025