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HubSpot (HUBS)
NYSE:HUBS
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HubSpot (HUBS) AI Stock Analysis

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HUBS

HubSpot

(NYSE:HUBS)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$464.00
▲(5.61% Upside)
HubSpot's overall stock score reflects strong earnings call insights and effective financial management, offset by bearish technical indicators and a challenging valuation. The company's strategic focus on AI and customer growth are positive, but profitability and market momentum remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Guidance
HubSpot's 2025 revenue guidance was raised, providing a positive outlook for the company's financial performance.
Growth Drivers
HubSpot continues to demonstrate consistency in its growth drivers, such as strong customer additions, up-market share gains, and improving expansion within existing customers.
Negative Factors
AI Tools Risk
The main risk identified is the potential for AI tools to pressure seat counts, which might not be fully offset by consumption pricing.
SEO and AI Concerns
There is uncertainty due to declining organic search traffic shifting to AI-powered information retrieval, impacting traditional SEO strategies.

HubSpot (HUBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HubSpot Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHubSpot, Inc. provides a cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM) platform for businesses in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company's CRM platform includes marketing, sales, service, and content management systems, as well as integrated applications, such as search engine optimization, blogging, website content management, messaging, chatbots, social media, marketing automation, email, predictive lead scoring, sales productivity, knowledge base, commerce, conversation routing, video hosting, ticketing and helpdesk tools, customer NPS surveys, analytics, and reporting. It also offers professional services to educate and train customers on how to leverage its CRM platform, as well as phone and/or email and chat-based support services. The company serves mid-market business-to-business companies. HubSpot, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyHubSpot generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering tiered pricing plans for its software products. The main revenue streams include subscriptions to its Marketing Hub, Sales Hub, Service Hub, and CMS Hub, each of which provides a suite of features and tools tailored to specific business needs. Additionally, HubSpot offers add-ons and premium services that enhance its core offerings, contributing to its overall earnings. The company also benefits from a growing ecosystem of partners, including agencies and technology providers, which help expand its market reach and create additional revenue opportunities through integrations and collaborative services.

HubSpot Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Customers
Total Customers
Shows the total number of customers using HubSpot's services, indicating market penetration, customer acquisition success, and overall business growth.
Chart InsightsHubSpot's total customer base has been on a robust upward trajectory, with a notable 19% increase year-over-year, reaching over 258,000 customers. This growth is driven by strong net additions and significant AI adoption, as highlighted in the latest earnings call. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and a slight dip in average subscription revenue per customer, HubSpot's strategic focus on AI and a $500 million share repurchase program underscore confidence in sustained growth and innovation.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

HubSpot Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.81%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
HubSpot's earnings call highlights strong revenue growth, significant customer and platform expansion, and impressive adoption of AI features, particularly in Sales and Service Hubs. However, challenges remain due to declining organic search traffic and an uncertain macro environment. The company's strategic diversification into new channels and focus on AI innovation position it well for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Q2 2025 revenue grew 18% year-over-year in constant currency, accelerating nearly 1 point from Q1. Subscription revenue grew 19% year-over-year, while services and other revenue increased 21% on an as-reported basis.
Customer and Platform Growth
Total customers grew to 268,000 globally with over 9,700 net customer additions in the quarter. 42% of the installed base by ARR now use all 3 core hubs, an increase of 4 points.
AI and Product Innovation
AI features adoption surged with Sales Hub seat upgrades up 71% year-over-year and Service Hub seat upgrades up 110% year-over-year. HubSpot became the first CRM to launch connectors with ChatGPT and Claude.
Upmarket Momentum
Large deals are up, with co-selling with sales teams up 29% year-over-year. Brand awareness is at an all-time high, supporting growth.
Diversification of Demand Channels
Only 10% of leads come from blog traffic, with significant growth in YouTube leads (up 96% year-over-year), newsletters (leads grew 50%), and social media followers.
Negative Updates
Organic Search Traffic Decline
Organic search traffic is declining globally as AI overviews provide answers, causing fewer people to click through to websites.
Challenging Macro Environment
The macro environment remains uncertain with expected volatile conditions for the remainder of the year.
Company Guidance
During HubSpot's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided financial guidance indicating robust growth despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. For the third quarter, HubSpot expects as-reported revenue to range between $785 million and $787 million, reflecting a 16% year-over-year increase in constant currency and 17% on an as-reported basis. Non-GAAP operating profit is projected to be between $156 million and $157 million, with a 20% operating profit margin, while non-GAAP diluted net income per share is anticipated to be between $2.56 and $2.58. For the full year 2025, HubSpot forecasts total as-reported revenue between $3.08 billion and $3.088 billion, representing a 17% year-over-year growth. The company also expects a non-GAAP operating profit of $568 million to $572 million, translating to an 18% operating profit margin, and non-GAAP diluted net income per share between $9.47 and $9.53. Additionally, HubSpot highlighted the impact of pricing changes from 2024 and the integration of AI across its platform as key drivers of future growth, with plans to further capitalize on these initiatives throughout the year.

HubSpot Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HubSpot demonstrates significant revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, which are positive indicators for a high-growth software company. However, persistent net losses and negative EBIT highlight challenges in achieving profitability. The balance sheet remains healthy with moderate leverage, and the company exhibits effective cash flow management, positioning it well for future growth if profitability can be improved.
Income Statement
75
Positive
HubSpot's income statement shows strong revenue growth over the years, with a TTM increase of 3.68% from the previous year. Gross profit margins have remained robust, reaching 84.86% in the TTM period. However, the company continues to report negative EBIT and net income, indicating challenges in managing operational costs and achieving profitability. The EBITDA margin of 3.25% in the TTM suggests some improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of HubSpot reflects a healthy equity position, with an equity ratio of 51.45% in the TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.33, indicating moderate leverage and manageable debt levels. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net losses, which highlights the need for improved profitability to generate returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
HubSpot's cash flow statement reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 8.68% in the TTM, supported by strong operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, reflecting efficient cash generation despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also positive, underscoring the company's ability to maintain liquidity and invest in growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.85B2.63B2.17B1.73B1.30B883.03M
Gross Profit2.41B2.23B1.82B1.42B1.04B716.07M
EBITDA143.26M146.00M-81.23M-38.53M-228.00K-4.57M
Net Income-11.92M4.63M-176.29M-112.75M-77.84M-85.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.68B3.80B3.07B2.54B2.17B1.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B2.07B1.39B1.41B1.20B1.25B
Total Debt280.53M745.42M787.81M806.34M712.97M788.62M
Total Liabilities1.62B1.89B1.75B1.55B1.30B1.21B
Stockholders Equity2.07B1.91B1.32B992.22M873.80M762.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow669.46M560.66M250.72M181.40M176.86M30.04M
Operating Cash Flow679.62M598.60M350.97M273.17M238.73M88.91M
Investing Cash Flow-363.72M-515.86M-334.77M-319.66M-179.51M-215.57M
Financing Cash Flow-538.23M53.49M37.01M7.43M-51.47M222.46M

HubSpot Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price439.37
Price Trends
50DMA
533.07
Negative
100DMA
563.74
Negative
200DMA
631.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-32.44
Positive
RSI
30.73
Neutral
STOCH
16.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HUBS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 439.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 499.16, below the 50-day MA of 533.07, and below the 200-day MA of 631.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -32.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HUBS.

HubSpot Risk Analysis

HubSpot disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HubSpot reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HubSpot Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.09B-1.66%15.72%74.59%
66
Neutral
$15.70B66.0923.69%0.50%10.45%-32.43%
66
Neutral
$3.78B-5.23%19.78%47.51%
64
Neutral
$3.12B40.5223.79%7.99%-28.47%
63
Neutral
$810.43M-32.50%14.79%27.52%
62
Neutral
$22.65B7,452.21-0.65%18.96%58.78%
61
Neutral
$36.30B7.26-7.27%1.97%7.74%-7.92%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HUBS
HubSpot
439.37
-58.50
-11.75%
BL
BlackLine
50.37
-1.19
-2.31%
SPT
Sprout Social
14.11
-19.13
-57.55%
BSY
Bentley Systems
53.14
3.42
6.88%
PYCR
Paycor HCM
22.49
8.57
61.57%
FRSH
Freshworks
13.08
1.60
13.94%

HubSpot Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
HubSpot Approves Governance Changes at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 4, 2025, HubSpot held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on six proposals. The election of directors, ratification of the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor, approval of executive compensation, and amendments to the company’s charter were all approved. These amendments included declassifying the board and eliminating supermajority voting provisions. Additionally, a non-binding stockholder proposal for a simple majority vote was also approved, indicating a shift towards more flexible governance structures.

The most recent analyst rating on (HUBS) stock is a Buy with a $769.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HubSpot stock, see the HUBS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025