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HubSpot (HUBS)
NYSE:HUBS

HubSpot (HUBS) AI Stock Analysis

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HUBS

HubSpot

(NYSE:HUBS)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$256.00
▲(4.95% Upside)
The score is held up primarily by solid underlying financial quality (high gross margins, strong cash flow generation, and low leverage) and a constructive earnings outlook with improving non-GAAP profitability guidance. However, technical conditions are a major drag due to a pronounced downtrend and bearish momentum, while valuation provides limited support given the non-meaningful negative P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Very high gross margin
An 84.55% TTM gross margin reflects persistent SaaS economics and strong pricing power. High gross margins provide durable operating leverage as revenue scales, enabling reinvestment in product, sales and R&D while supporting margin expansion over the next 2–6 months.
Robust cash generation and FCF conversion
Near-1.0 FCF-to-net-income and strong operating cash conversion indicate the business reliably converts bookings into cash. This durable cash generation supports reinvestment, M&A optionality and reduces refinancing risk given the company's low leverage profile.
Recurring subscription model, customer growth, AI & international expansion
Strong customer additions, meaningful upmarket traction and 20% international growth reflect scalable, diversified revenue drivers. Coupled with 200+ AI product updates, the company is structurally positioned to boost retention, upsells and long-term ARPU across geographies and segments.
Negative Factors
Negative net margin and ROE
Despite revenue growth and high gross margins, negative net margin and ROE indicate the company hasn't consistently translated top-line scale into GAAP profitability. This structural profitability gap can constrain returns to shareholders until sustained operating leverage or cost discipline improves.
Flat net revenue retention (NRR)
A 103% NRR that is flat signals limited expansion revenue per customer. Over the medium term, muted NRR growth reduces organic revenue upside from existing customers and increases reliance on new customer acquisition to sustain revenue growth.
Slight FCF growth decline and softer billings/additions guidance
Negative FCF growth (-2.16% TTM) alongside guidance for modestly lower net additions and slightly softer billings point to near-term pressure on cash growth. If persistent, this can limit reinvestment capacity and slow margin improvement despite strong baseline cash conversion.

HubSpot (HUBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HubSpot Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHubSpot, Inc. provides a cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM) platform for businesses in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company's CRM platform includes marketing, sales, service, and content management systems, as well as integrated applications, such as search engine optimization, blogging, website content management, messaging, chatbots, social media, marketing automation, email, predictive lead scoring, sales productivity, knowledge base, commerce, conversation routing, video hosting, ticketing and helpdesk tools, customer NPS surveys, analytics, and reporting. It also offers professional services to educate and train customers on how to leverage its CRM platform, as well as phone and/or email and chat-based support services. The company serves mid-market business-to-business companies. HubSpot, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyHubSpot generates revenue primarily through subscription-based pricing models for its software products. The company's offerings are divided into several tiers, including Starter, Professional, and Enterprise packages, which cater to businesses of varying sizes and needs. Revenue is derived from monthly or annual subscriptions for these services. Additionally, HubSpot earns income from its professional services, which include training, consulting, and implementation support. The company has established significant partnerships with various technology providers, agencies, and resellers, which contribute to its sales and customer acquisition efforts. HubSpot also benefits from a freemium model, allowing users to access basic features at no cost, with the potential to upgrade as their needs grow, thereby expanding its customer base and driving future revenue growth.

HubSpot Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsHubSpot's revenue growth across all regions is robust, with the Americas leading the charge. The latest earnings call highlights strong momentum, driven by AI integration and strategic diversification into new demand channels like YouTube and newsletters. Despite challenges from declining organic search traffic and a tough macro environment, HubSpot's focus on AI and platform expansion positions it well for sustained growth. The company expects continued revenue increases, supported by pricing changes and enhanced customer engagement through its innovative offerings.
Data provided by:The Fly

HubSpot Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated strong performance metrics and growth drivers, particularly in revenue growth, customer base expansion, and AI innovations. However, some areas such as flat net revenue retention and slightly lower billing growth indicated challenges. Overall, the positive aspects and growth outlooks slightly outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
HubSpot's Q3 2025 revenue grew 18.4% year-over-year in constant currency, reaching $810 million. Subscription revenue grew 21% year-over-year.
Operating Margin
Achieved a solid operating margin of 20%, reflecting the balance between growth and profitability.
Customer Base Expansion
Increased total customers by 10,900 in the quarter, bringing the global customer base to nearly 279,000, growing 17% year-over-year.
Upmarket Momentum
Deals over $5,000 monthly recurring revenue grew 35% year-over-year, reflecting strong upmarket traction.
AI Innovations
Launched more than 200 new updates and products at the INBOUND conference, showcasing strong AI strategy and adoption.
International Growth
International revenue growth was 20% in constant currency and 25% as reported, representing 49% of total revenue.
AI Features Impact
Customers using embedded AI features in Marketing Hub experienced over 50% higher lead conversion, and Sales Hub users won almost 10% more deals.
Negative Updates
Net Revenue Retention
Net revenue retention was flat sequentially at 103%, with expectations for improvement in Q4.
Q4 Customer Additions Guidance
Net additions expected to be in the range of 9,000 to 10,000, slightly lower than Q3 additions.
Billing Growth
Calculated billings growth in Q3 was 19% year-over-year in constant currency, slightly lower than the previous quarter.
Company Guidance
During HubSpot's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the fourth fiscal quarter and full year 2025. For Q4, HubSpot expects total as-reported revenue to be between $828 million and $830 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 16% in constant currency and 18% as reported. The non-GAAP operating profit is anticipated to be between $183 million and $184 million, translating to a 22% operating profit margin. The non-GAAP diluted net income per share is projected to range from $2.97 to $2.99, based on 52.7 million fully diluted shares outstanding. For the full year 2025, HubSpot's revenue is expected to range between $3.113 billion and $3.115 billion, reflecting an 18% growth in constant currency and 19% as reported. The non-GAAP operating profit for the year is forecasted to be between $574 million and $575 million, with an operating profit margin of 18%. Additionally, the non-GAAP diluted net income per share is expected to be between $9.60 and $9.62, based on 53.2 million fully diluted shares outstanding.

HubSpot Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong gross margin (84.55% TTM) and robust cash generation (free cash flow to net income 0.99 TTM) support operating flexibility, while low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.14 TTM) reduces balance-sheet risk. Offsetting this, profitability metrics remain weak (net margin -0.42% TTM; ROE -0.62% TTM) and free cash flow growth is slightly negative (-2.16% TTM).
Income Statement
72
Positive
HubSpot's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 84.55% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company is still facing challenges in achieving net profitability, with a net profit margin of -0.42% TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 4.91% TTM, but the EBIT margin remains negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 TTM, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.62% TTM, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
HubSpot's cash flow statement shows robust operating cash flow, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.53 TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 0.99 TTM, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has slightly declined by -2.16% TTM.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.99B2.63B2.17B1.73B1.30B883.03M
Gross Profit2.51B2.23B1.83B1.42B1.04B716.07M
EBITDA115.53M129.23M-74.10M-36.54M1.62M-6.71M
Net Income-3.53M4.63M-164.51M-107.35M-77.84M-85.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.50B3.80B3.07B2.54B2.17B1.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.49B2.07B1.39B1.41B1.20B1.25B
Total Debt271.94M745.42M787.81M806.34M712.97M788.62M
Total Liabilities1.65B1.89B1.74B1.55B1.30B1.21B
Stockholders Equity1.86B1.91B1.33B992.22M873.80M762.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow654.99M560.66M250.72M181.40M176.86M30.04M
Operating Cash Flow707.43M598.60M350.97M273.17M238.73M88.91M
Investing Cash Flow375.86M-515.86M-334.77M-319.66M-179.51M-215.57M
Financing Cash Flow-890.48M53.49M37.01M7.43M-51.47M222.46M

HubSpot Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price243.93
Price Trends
50DMA
357.58
Negative
100DMA
406.75
Negative
200DMA
478.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-31.02
Positive
RSI
19.89
Positive
STOCH
9.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HUBS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 243.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 320.04, below the 50-day MA of 357.58, and below the 200-day MA of 478.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -31.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 19.89 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HUBS.

HubSpot Risk Analysis

HubSpot disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HubSpot reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HubSpot Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$4.27B-149.61-3.92%35.87%85.20%
68
Neutral
$2.14B21.696.51%1.47%1077.70%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$2.67B40.9821.85%7.36%-40.62%
61
Neutral
$476.64M-9.95-26.69%13.09%32.34%
60
Neutral
$3.83B-15.88%24.26%55.58%
59
Neutral
$12.78B-3,509.78-0.20%19.21%75.32%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HUBS
HubSpot
243.93
-535.78
-68.72%
BL
BlackLine
44.88
-20.76
-31.63%
SPT
Sprout Social
8.05
-25.32
-75.88%
KC
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings
12.12
-3.49
-22.36%
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies
6.87
-3.59
-34.32%
ZETA
Zeta Global Holdings Corp
17.37
-1.41
-7.51%

HubSpot Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
HubSpot Expands Board and Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 3, 2025, HubSpot‘s Board of Directors expanded to 11 members with the appointment of Clara Shih as a Class III director. Concurrently, HubSpot reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with a 21% increase in total revenue to $809.5 million and significant growth in operating and net income. The company highlighted its AI strategy’s success and customer expansion, positioning itself for continued growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (HUBS) stock is a Buy with a $650.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HubSpot stock, see the HUBS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026