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HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS)
:HUBS

HubSpot (HUBS) AI Stock Analysis

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HU

HubSpot

(NYSE:HUBS)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$682.00
▲(18.90%Upside)
HubSpot's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key strengths, supported by revenue and customer growth, and strategic initiatives like AI adoption and share buybacks. However, ongoing net losses and a high P/E ratio highlight valuation concerns, along with mixed technical indicators, create potential headwinds.
Positive Factors
Demand Recovery
Demand has recovered from the slowdown reported earlier, with no lost deals and customer fears not manifesting.
Financial Performance
HubSpot delivered strong first-quarter results with constant-currency revenue growth of 18%, above its guidance of 15%.
Growth Potential
HubSpot is in a solid position to compound revenue over time and improve profitability.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
HUBS is facing competitive pressure from CRM, which has ramped up resources in the mid-market.
Guidance Concerns
HUBS stock has decreased due to guidance implying a lower exit growth rate and competitive pressure concerns.
Valuation Concerns
HubSpot trades at 9.9 times revenue estimate, while peers that are growing 15%-20% are trading at 7.1 times revenue, suggesting a premium valuation.

HubSpot (HUBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HubSpot Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) is a leading provider of inbound marketing, sales, and customer service software, helping businesses grow through its comprehensive suite of tools designed to enhance customer engagement and optimize marketing strategies. Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, HubSpot offers a cloud-based platform that integrates various functions such as blogging, search engine optimization, social media monitoring, content management, web analytics, landing pages, and customer relationship management, aimed at small to medium-sized businesses.
How the Company Makes MoneyHubSpot makes money primarily through a subscription-based revenue model, offering its marketing, sales, and service tools as part of a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platform. The company generates revenue through tiered subscription plans, which vary in features and pricing, allowing businesses of different sizes to choose packages that best fit their needs. Key revenue streams include the Marketing Hub, Sales Hub, Service Hub, and the CMS Hub, each providing distinct functionalities to manage and enhance customer interactions. HubSpot also earns revenue from professional services and training, which help clients effectively implement and utilize its software. The company benefits from partnerships with third-party developers and service providers, who contribute to HubSpot's ecosystem through integrations and extensions that enhance the platform's value for users.

HubSpot Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Customers
Total Customers
Shows the total number of customers using HubSpot's services, indicating market penetration, customer acquisition success, and overall business growth.
Chart InsightsHubSpot's total customer base has been on a robust upward trajectory, with a notable 19% increase year-over-year, reaching over 258,000 customers. This growth is driven by strong net additions and significant AI adoption, as highlighted in the latest earnings call. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and a slight dip in average subscription revenue per customer, HubSpot's strategic focus on AI and a $500 million share repurchase program underscore confidence in sustained growth and innovation.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

HubSpot Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -13.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment overall, with strong revenue and customer growth, significant advancements in AI adoption, and a new share repurchase program signaling confidence. However, challenges such as macroeconomic uncertainty and some declines in average subscription revenue per customer were noted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Q1 2025 revenue grew 18% year-over-year in constant currency, demonstrating strong financial performance.
Customer Growth
Total customers grew by 19% to over 258,000 globally, fueled by over 10,000 net customer additions in the quarter.
AI Adoption and Innovation
Copilot adoption has accelerated, with users more than doubling to over 660,000. Customer Agent adoption has doubled in three months, serving over 2,500 customers with high resolution rates.
Share Repurchase Program
HubSpot's Board of Directors authorized a $500 million share repurchase program, indicating confidence in the business outlook.
Upmarket and Downmarket Expansion
Large deal growth was strong, up 23% year-over-year, with partners contributing significantly with co-selling up 41%.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Uncertainty remains a constant, with a heightened focus on value from customers, impacting business trends.
Average Subscription Revenue Per Customer Decline
Average subscription revenue per customer was $11,000 in Q1, down 2% year-over-year in constant currency and 4% on an as-reported basis.
Net Revenue Retention
Net revenue retention was 102% in Q1, down two points sequentially as expected.
Company Guidance
During HubSpot's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for both the second quarter and full fiscal year. For Q2, HubSpot anticipates total as-reported revenue to fall between $738 million and $740 million, representing a 16% year-over-year growth rate in both constant currency and as-reported terms. The non-GAAP operating profit is expected to be within $124 million to $125 million, translating to a 17% operating margin. The diluted net income per share on a non-GAAP basis is projected to range from $2.10 to $2.12, based on 53.2 million diluted shares. For FY 2025, HubSpot forecasts total as-reported revenue between $3.036 billion and $3.044 billion, marking a 16% year-over-year growth rate. The non-GAAP operating profit is expected to reach between $558 million and $562 million, with an 18% operating margin. The non-GAAP diluted net income per share is expected to range from $9.29 to $9.37, assuming 53.3 million diluted shares. HubSpot plans to repurchase up to $500 million of shares over the next year, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth opportunities. Additionally, the company maintains that CapEx will be about 5% of revenue and forecasts free cash flow of approximately $570 million for the year, with stronger cash flow expected in Q4.

HubSpot Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HubSpot demonstrates significant revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, which are positive indicators for a high-growth software company. However, persistent net losses and negative EBIT highlight challenges in achieving profitability. The balance sheet remains healthy with moderate leverage, and the company exhibits effective cash flow management, positioning it well for future growth if profitability can be improved.
Income Statement
75
Positive
HubSpot's income statement shows strong revenue growth over the years, with a TTM increase of 3.68% from the previous year. Gross profit margins have remained robust, reaching 84.86% in the TTM period. However, the company continues to report negative EBIT and net income, indicating challenges in managing operational costs and achieving profitability. The EBITDA margin of 3.25% in the TTM suggests some improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of HubSpot reflects a healthy equity position, with an equity ratio of 51.45% in the TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.33, indicating moderate leverage and manageable debt levels. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net losses, which highlights the need for improved profitability to generate returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
HubSpot's cash flow statement reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 8.68% in the TTM, supported by strong operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, reflecting efficient cash generation despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also positive, underscoring the company's ability to maintain liquidity and invest in growth.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.72B2.63B2.17B1.73B1.30B883.03M
Gross Profit
2.31B2.23B1.82B1.42B1.04B716.07M
EBIT
-70.77M-67.60M-208.06M-109.10M-43.54M-50.83M
EBITDA
88.63M146.00M-81.23M-38.53M-228.00K-4.57M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-23.10M4.63M-176.29M-112.75M-77.84M-85.03M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
961.50M2.07B1.39B1.41B1.20B1.25B
Total Assets
1.57B3.80B3.07B2.54B2.17B1.97B
Total Debt
608.39M745.42M787.81M806.34M712.97M788.62M
Net Debt
338.72M232.75M399.83M475.32M335.95M410.50M
Total Liabilities
919.31M1.89B1.75B1.55B1.30B1.21B
Stockholders Equity
649.96M1.91B1.32B992.22M873.80M762.65M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
609.31M560.66M250.72M181.40M176.86M30.04M
Operating Cash Flow
633.08M598.60M350.97M273.17M238.73M88.91M
Investing Cash Flow
-419.17M-515.86M-334.77M-319.66M-179.51M-215.57M
Financing Cash Flow
-37.99M53.49M37.01M7.43M-51.47M222.46M

HubSpot Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price573.57
Price Trends
50DMA
594.24
Negative
100DMA
647.48
Negative
200DMA
630.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.87
Positive
RSI
38.59
Neutral
STOCH
35.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HUBS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 573.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 615.76, below the 50-day MA of 594.24, and below the 200-day MA of 630.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HUBS.

HubSpot Risk Analysis

HubSpot disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HubSpot reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HubSpot Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BSBSY
81
Outperform
$14.55B60.9725.20%0.58%10.71%-27.64%
BLBL
71
Outperform
$3.49B26.0844.83%8.93%102.77%
71
Outperform
$4.69B-6.85%20.46%39.37%
70
Neutral
$30.70B7,452.21-1.34%19.17%83.20%
SPSPT
66
Neutral
$1.31B-36.95%17.79%16.49%
62
Neutral
$11.93B10.60-7.51%3.00%7.40%-8.09%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HUBS
HubSpot
573.57
6.57
1.16%
BL
BlackLine
56.63
11.21
24.68%
SPT
Sprout Social
21.29
-12.92
-37.77%
BSY
Bentley Systems
48.27
-1.89
-3.77%
FRSH
Freshworks
15.63
3.31
26.87%

HubSpot Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
HubSpot Approves Governance Changes at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 4, 2025, HubSpot held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on six proposals. The election of directors, ratification of the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor, approval of executive compensation, and amendments to the company’s charter were all approved. These amendments included declassifying the board and eliminating supermajority voting provisions. Additionally, a non-binding stockholder proposal for a simple majority vote was also approved, indicating a shift towards more flexible governance structures.

The most recent analyst rating on (HUBS) stock is a Buy with a $769.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HubSpot stock, see the HUBS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
HubSpot Announces Leadership Change and Share Buyback
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Brian Halligan resigned as Executive Chairperson of HubSpot‘s Board of Directors, transitioning to a non-executive director role, while Lorrie Harrington became the new Chairperson. The same day, HubSpot’s Board authorized a $500 million share repurchase program over 12 months. HubSpot reported Q1 2025 financial results with a 16% revenue increase to $714.1 million and a 19% growth in customer base. Despite a GAAP net loss of $21.8 million, non-GAAP net income rose to $95.9 million. The company anticipates continued growth, projecting a 16% revenue increase for Q2 and the full year 2025.

Executive/Board Changes
HubSpot Approves Executive Severance Plan for 2025
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

On April 10, 2025, HubSpot‘s Board of Directors approved an Executive Severance Plan to provide severance payments and benefits to its CEO and other named executive officers in the event of a qualifying termination. This plan, effective until April 10, 2028, outlines specific compensation and benefits during and outside of a change in control period, impacting the company’s executive management structure and potentially influencing stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.