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HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS)
:HUBS

HubSpot (HUBS) AI Stock Analysis

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HUBS

HubSpot

(NYSE:HUBS)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$408.00
▲(4.76% Upside)
HubSpot's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, highlighting growth in revenue and customer base. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics are weak due to negative earnings. Corporate events provide a slight positive boost.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for HubSpot's products and effective market penetration, supporting long-term business expansion.
Customer Base Expansion
A growing customer base enhances recurring revenue potential and strengthens HubSpot's market position, driving sustainable growth.
AI Innovations
Continuous innovation in AI enhances product offerings, increases customer engagement, and provides a competitive edge in the CRM market.
Negative Factors
Net Profitability Challenges
Negative net profitability indicates ongoing challenges in cost management and profitability, which could impact long-term financial health.
Flat Net Revenue Retention
Flat net revenue retention suggests challenges in upselling and customer retention, potentially limiting future revenue growth.
Slight Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A decline in free cash flow growth can constrain investment in growth initiatives and affect the company's ability to manage financial obligations.

HubSpot (HUBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HubSpot Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHubSpot, Inc. provides a cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM) platform for businesses in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company's CRM platform includes marketing, sales, service, and content management systems, as well as integrated applications, such as search engine optimization, blogging, website content management, messaging, chatbots, social media, marketing automation, email, predictive lead scoring, sales productivity, knowledge base, commerce, conversation routing, video hosting, ticketing and helpdesk tools, customer NPS surveys, analytics, and reporting. It also offers professional services to educate and train customers on how to leverage its CRM platform, as well as phone and/or email and chat-based support services. The company serves mid-market business-to-business companies. HubSpot, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyHubSpot generates revenue primarily through subscription-based pricing models for its software products. The company's offerings are divided into several tiers, including Starter, Professional, and Enterprise packages, which cater to businesses of varying sizes and needs. Revenue is derived from monthly or annual subscriptions for these services. Additionally, HubSpot earns income from its professional services, which include training, consulting, and implementation support. The company has established significant partnerships with various technology providers, agencies, and resellers, which contribute to its sales and customer acquisition efforts. HubSpot also benefits from a freemium model, allowing users to access basic features at no cost, with the potential to upgrade as their needs grow, thereby expanding its customer base and driving future revenue growth.

HubSpot Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Customers
Total Customers
Shows the total number of customers using HubSpot's services, indicating market penetration, customer acquisition success, and overall business growth.
Chart InsightsHubSpot's total customer base has been on a robust upward trajectory, with a notable 19% increase year-over-year, reaching over 258,000 customers. This growth is driven by strong net additions and significant AI adoption, as highlighted in the latest earnings call. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and a slight dip in average subscription revenue per customer, HubSpot's strategic focus on AI and a $500 million share repurchase program underscore confidence in sustained growth and innovation.
Data provided by:The Fly

HubSpot Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated strong performance metrics and growth drivers, particularly in revenue growth, customer base expansion, and AI innovations. However, some areas such as flat net revenue retention and slightly lower billing growth indicated challenges. Overall, the positive aspects and growth outlooks slightly outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
HubSpot's Q3 2025 revenue grew 18.4% year-over-year in constant currency, reaching $810 million. Subscription revenue grew 21% year-over-year.
Operating Margin
Achieved a solid operating margin of 20%, reflecting the balance between growth and profitability.
Customer Base Expansion
Increased total customers by 10,900 in the quarter, bringing the global customer base to nearly 279,000, growing 17% year-over-year.
Upmarket Momentum
Deals over $5,000 monthly recurring revenue grew 35% year-over-year, reflecting strong upmarket traction.
AI Innovations
Launched more than 200 new updates and products at the INBOUND conference, showcasing strong AI strategy and adoption.
International Growth
International revenue growth was 20% in constant currency and 25% as reported, representing 49% of total revenue.
AI Features Impact
Customers using embedded AI features in Marketing Hub experienced over 50% higher lead conversion, and Sales Hub users won almost 10% more deals.
Negative Updates
Net Revenue Retention
Net revenue retention was flat sequentially at 103%, with expectations for improvement in Q4.
Q4 Customer Additions Guidance
Net additions expected to be in the range of 9,000 to 10,000, slightly lower than Q3 additions.
Billing Growth
Calculated billings growth in Q3 was 19% year-over-year in constant currency, slightly lower than the previous quarter.
Company Guidance
During HubSpot's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the fourth fiscal quarter and full year 2025. For Q4, HubSpot expects total as-reported revenue to be between $828 million and $830 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 16% in constant currency and 18% as reported. The non-GAAP operating profit is anticipated to be between $183 million and $184 million, translating to a 22% operating profit margin. The non-GAAP diluted net income per share is projected to range from $2.97 to $2.99, based on 52.7 million fully diluted shares outstanding. For the full year 2025, HubSpot's revenue is expected to range between $3.113 billion and $3.115 billion, reflecting an 18% growth in constant currency and 19% as reported. The non-GAAP operating profit for the year is forecasted to be between $574 million and $575 million, with an operating profit margin of 18%. Additionally, the non-GAAP diluted net income per share is expected to be between $9.60 and $9.62, based on 53.2 million fully diluted shares outstanding.

HubSpot Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HubSpot demonstrates strong revenue growth and efficient cost management, as evidenced by its high gross profit margin. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with low leverage, although profitability remains a challenge. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting operational needs despite a slight decline in free cash flow growth. Continued focus on improving net profitability and return on equity will be crucial for future financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
HubSpot's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 84.55% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company is still facing challenges in achieving net profitability, with a net profit margin of -0.42% TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 4.91% TTM, but the EBIT margin remains negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 TTM, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.62% TTM, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
HubSpot's cash flow statement shows robust operating cash flow, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.53 TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 0.99 TTM, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has slightly declined by -2.16% TTM.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.99B2.63B2.17B1.73B1.30B883.03M
Gross Profit2.51B2.23B1.83B1.42B1.04B716.07M
EBITDA115.53M129.23M-74.10M-36.54M1.62M-6.71M
Net Income-3.53M4.63M-164.51M-107.35M-77.84M-85.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.50B3.80B3.07B2.54B2.17B1.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.49B2.07B1.39B1.41B1.20B1.25B
Total Debt271.94M745.42M787.81M806.34M712.97M788.62M
Total Liabilities1.65B1.89B1.74B1.55B1.30B1.21B
Stockholders Equity1.86B1.91B1.33B992.22M873.80M762.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow654.99M560.66M250.72M181.40M176.86M30.04M
Operating Cash Flow707.43M598.60M350.97M273.17M238.73M88.91M
Investing Cash Flow375.86M-515.86M-334.77M-319.66M-179.51M-215.57M
Financing Cash Flow-890.48M53.49M37.01M7.43M-51.47M222.46M

HubSpot Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price389.46
Price Trends
50DMA
412.21
Negative
100DMA
445.45
Negative
200DMA
513.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.98
Negative
RSI
50.88
Neutral
STOCH
56.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HUBS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 389.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 374.39, below the 50-day MA of 412.21, and below the 200-day MA of 513.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HUBS.

HubSpot Risk Analysis

HubSpot disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HubSpot reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HubSpot Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.42B52.7821.85%7.36%-40.62%
71
Outperform
$3.14B32.106.51%1.47%1077.70%
67
Neutral
$4.18B-153.92-3.92%35.87%85.20%
65
Neutral
$20.40B-0.20%19.21%75.32%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$653.08M-13.88-26.69%13.09%32.34%
51
Neutral
$3.44B-20.84-15.89%24.26%55.58%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HUBS
HubSpot
389.46
-325.50
-45.53%
BL
BlackLine
57.84
-4.33
-6.96%
SPT
Sprout Social
11.36
-20.70
-64.57%
KC
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings
11.31
2.00
21.48%
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies
10.27
-0.55
-5.08%
ZETA
Zeta Global Holdings Corp
17.99
-0.74
-3.95%

HubSpot Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
HubSpot Expands Board and Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 3, 2025, HubSpot‘s Board of Directors expanded to 11 members with the appointment of Clara Shih as a Class III director. Concurrently, HubSpot reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with a 21% increase in total revenue to $809.5 million and significant growth in operating and net income. The company highlighted its AI strategy’s success and customer expansion, positioning itself for continued growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025