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National Bank Holdings (NBHC)
NYSE:NBHC
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National Bank Holdings (NBHC) AI Stock Analysis

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NBHC

National Bank Holdings

(NYSE:NBHC)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$45.00
▲(14.77% Upside)
National Bank Holdings scores well due to its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, including partnerships and dividend declarations. Technical indicators suggest short-term bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The company's attractive valuation and positive earnings call further support the stock's favorable outlook.

National Bank Holdings (NBHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

National Bank Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNational Bank Holdings Corporation operates as the bank holding company for NBH Bank that provides various banking products and financial services to commercial, business, and consumer clients in the United States. It offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, and other deposit accounts, including fixed-rate and fixed maturity time deposits. The company also provides commercial and industrial loans and leases, such as working capital loans, equipment loans, lender finance loans, food and agriculture loans, government and non-profit loans, owner occupied commercial real estate loans, and other commercial loans and leases; non-owner occupied commercial real estate loans consisting of loans on commercial properties, such as office buildings, warehouse/distribution buildings, multi-family, hospitality, and retail buildings; small business administration loans to support manufacturers, distributors, and service providers; term loans, line of credits, and real estate secured loans; residential real estate loans; and consumer loans. In addition, it offers treasury management solutions comprising online and mobile banking, commercial credit card, wire transfer, automated clearing house, electronic bill payment, lock box, remote deposit capture, merchant processing, cash vault, controlled disbursements, and fraud prevention services, as well as other auxiliary services, including account reconciliation, collections, repurchase accounts, zero balance accounts, and sweep accounts. As of January 20, 2022, the company operated through a network of 81 banking centers located in Colorado, the greater Kansas City region, New Mexico, Utah, and Texas. It also operates 121 ATMs. The company was formerly known as NBH Holdings Corp. and changed its name to National Bank Holdings Corporation in March 2012. National Bank Holdings Corporation was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyNBHC generates revenue through various channels, primarily by earning interest from loans made to customers, including personal, business, and mortgage loans. The interest income from these loans is a significant revenue stream. Additionally, the bank earns non-interest income from fees associated with services such as account maintenance, transaction fees, and investment services. Mortgage origination and servicing fees also contribute to revenue, particularly during favorable housing market conditions. Furthermore, NBHC's partnerships with local businesses and community organizations help to enhance its customer base and drive deposit growth, which is crucial for funding its lending activities. Overall, the company focuses on maintaining a diversified revenue model to mitigate risks associated with fluctuations in interest rates and economic conditions.

National Bank Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced outlook with significant achievements in earnings, loan production, and cost management. However, there were challenges with declining loan balances and deposits. The successful launch of 2 Unifi and strong noninterest income growth provide positive momentum for the future.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings and Return Metrics
The company delivered earnings of $0.88 per share, with a 14.2% return on tangible equity and a 1.5% return on assets.
Successful Loan Production and Pricing
Loan fundings reached $323 million, a 26% increase over the first quarter. New loan originations had a weighted average yield of 7.4%.
Effective Cost Management
The company reduced its annualized personnel expense run rate by 10% and implemented an efficient expense reduction plan.
Strong Net Interest Margin
Maintained a strong net interest margin of 3.95%, with a 2 basis point expansion during the quarter.
Positive Noninterest Income Growth
Noninterest income increased by 11% from the first quarter and 22% from the previous year.
Successful Launch of 2 Unifi
Successfully launched Release 1 of 2 Unifi in the Apple app store, with positive user feedback and strong security measures.
Negative Updates
Decline in Loan Balances
Loan balances declined due to elevated loan paydowns and strategic portfolio reductions within targeted industries.
Deposit Decline
Average deposit balances declined by $58.8 million during the quarter due to seasonal tax outflows and relationship banking.
Lower Loan Portfolio in Higher-Risk Sectors
Reduced exposure in trucking, agricultural, and commercial real estate sectors, impacting overall loan portfolio size.
Company Guidance
During National Bank Holdings Corporation's 2025 Second Quarter Earnings Call, the company reported earnings of $0.88 per share, a return on tangible equity of 14.2%, and a return on assets of 1.5%. The bank achieved a net interest margin of 3.95%, fueled by disciplined loan and deposit pricing. Loan fundings for the quarter totaled $323 million, while loan exposure in higher-risk industries, such as trucking and commercial real estate, was reduced. Despite a decrease in average deposit balances by $58.8 million due to seasonal tax outflows, the cost of deposits was maintained at 2.05%. Nonperforming loans decreased to $33.3 million, with a nonperforming loan ratio of 0.45%. The bank's allowance to total loans ratio remained steady at 1.2%. Noninterest income rose to $17.1 million, and noninterest expenses were $62.9 million, reflecting a strategic reduction in personnel expenses by approximately 10%. The bank also successfully launched its new platform, 2 Unifi, in the Apple app store, with an Android launch expected on July 30. For the second half of 2025, the bank projects mid-single-digit loan growth, a net interest margin in the mid-3.9% range, noninterest income between $34 million and $36 million, and noninterest expenses between $126 million and $128 million.

National Bank Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
National Bank Holdings exhibits strong financial health with solid profitability, a strong balance sheet, and robust cash flow generation. The company's low leverage and efficient operations position it well within the industry, although attention should be paid to monitoring revenue trends moving forward.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
National Bank Holdings shows strong profitability with a steady gross profit margin and net profit margin. The company experienced revenue growth from 2022 to 2024 but faced a small revenue decline in TTM versus 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting low leverage. Return on equity is strong, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow remains positive and has grown over time, supporting strong free cash flow generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests efficient conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue594.31M553.56M346.52M306.15M353.91M
Gross Profit394.68M411.80M291.94M301.62M311.22M
EBITDA169.44M199.46M102.63M128.56M123.85M
Net Income118.81M142.05M71.27M93.61M88.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.81B9.95B9.57B7.21B6.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments655.39M819.65M901.79M1.54B1.27B
Total Debt123.41M413.83M459.10M62.25M22.90M
Total Liabilities8.50B8.74B8.48B6.37B5.84B
Stockholders Equity1.31B1.21B1.09B840.11M820.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.68M130.10M202.20M179.50M-10.56M
Operating Cash Flow155.27M166.94M214.63M179.50M-6.21M
Investing Cash Flow64.66M-404.03M-752.14M-473.84M-152.59M
Financing Cash Flow-284.41M230.90M-114.20M528.99M654.18M

National Bank Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.21
Price Trends
50DMA
38.35
Positive
100DMA
37.22
Positive
200DMA
39.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
57.92
Neutral
STOCH
85.59
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NBHC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.76, above the 50-day MA of 38.35, and below the 200-day MA of 39.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NBHC.

National Bank Holdings Risk Analysis

National Bank Holdings disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Bank Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

National Bank Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.50B12.739.15%3.01%0.60%-6.31%
79
Outperform
$2.22B17.588.17%-7.45%-45.67%
78
Outperform
$1.57B15.949.80%2.72%22.42%-5.59%
77
Outperform
$1.51B11.619.47%3.41%-0.57%-3.92%
77
Outperform
$1.59B14.587.12%1.76%-2.85%-0.33%
75
Outperform
$1.58B11.1112.49%2.29%6.43%11.69%
68
Neutral
$17.89B12.0310.28%3.73%9.80%1.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NBHC
National Bank Holdings
39.21
-3.68
-8.58%
SRCE
1St Source
64.69
4.73
7.89%
GABC
German American Bancorp
41.96
2.97
7.62%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
39.70
-1.82
-4.38%
CUBI
Customers Bancorp
71.17
19.35
37.34%
STEL
Stellar Bancorp
31.05
4.32
16.16%

National Bank Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
National Bank Holdings Highlights Strategic Focus in Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

National Bank Holdings Corporation has announced its intention to use and make available certain materials for meetings with investors and analysts, highlighting their strategic focus and financial performance. The announcement underscores the company’s strong market positioning, with a robust balance sheet as of the second quarter of 2025, including total assets of $10 billion and total deposits of $8.3 billion. The company’s operations are supported by its presence in attractive markets, which are ranked highly for economic performance and business opportunities, potentially benefiting stakeholders through sustained growth and stability.

Dividends
National Bank Holdings Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, National Bank Holdings Corporation’s Board of Directors approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share, payable on September 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 29, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to delivering value to its shareholders and may impact its financial performance and investor relations positively.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
National Bank Holdings Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

On July 22, 2025, National Bank Holdings Corporation announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a significant increase in net income and earnings per share compared to the previous quarter. The company highlighted a strong net interest margin and a disciplined approach to credit, resulting in minimal net charge-offs. The launch of 2UniFi, a new financial ecosystem, is expected to enhance business owners’ access to banking services. The company’s capital ratios remain robust, providing flexibility for growth opportunities, while asset quality shows stability with no provision expense for credit losses recorded in the quarter.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
National Bank Holdings Partners with Nav Technologies
Positive
Jul 21, 2025

On July 21, 2025, National Bank Holdings Corporation announced a strategic partnership with Nav Technologies, Inc. to enhance services for small and medium-sized businesses through the 2UniFi financial ecosystem. This collaboration will integrate 2UniFi into Nav’s marketplace, providing small business owners with improved access to deposit and lending solutions. Additionally, NBHC made a $5 million investment in Nav, with CEO Tim Laney joining Nav’s board as an observer. The partnership aims to empower small businesses with essential financial tools and insights, potentially strengthening NBHC’s market position and expanding its reach within the U.S. banking system.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025