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National Bank Holdings (NBHC)
NYSE:NBHC
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National Bank Holdings
(NYSE:NBHC)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:―
National Bank Holdings (NBHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.40B
Dividend Yield3.16%
Average Volume (3M)233.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.7
Beta (1Y)0.83
Revenue Growth1.63%
EPS Growth-16.82%
CountryUS
Employees1,259
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength81
IndustryBanks - Regional
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.63
Shares Outstanding38,094,320
10 Day Avg. Volume178,890
30 Day Avg. Volume233,058
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.01
Price to Book (P/B)1.04
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio8.68
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$39.67Price Target Upside9.19% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
National Bank Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionNational Bank Holdings Corporation operates as the bank holding company for NBH Bank that provides various banking products and financial services to commercial, business, and consumer clients in the United States. It offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, and other deposit accounts, including fixed-rate and fixed maturity time deposits. The company also provides commercial and industrial loans and leases, such as working capital loans, equipment loans, lender finance loans, food and agriculture loans, government and non-profit loans, owner occupied commercial real estate loans, and other commercial loans and leases; non-owner occupied commercial real estate loans consisting of loans on commercial properties, such as office buildings, warehouse/distribution buildings, multi-family, hospitality, and retail buildings; small business administration loans to support manufacturers, distributors, and service providers; term loans, line of credits, and real estate secured loans; residential real estate loans; and consumer loans. In addition, it offers treasury management solutions comprising online and mobile banking, commercial credit card, wire transfer, automated clearing house, electronic bill payment, lock box, remote deposit capture, merchant processing, cash vault, controlled disbursements, and fraud prevention services, as well as other auxiliary services, including account reconciliation, collections, repurchase accounts, zero balance accounts, and sweep accounts. As of January 20, 2022, the company operated through a network of 81 banking centers located in Colorado, the greater Kansas City region, New Mexico, Utah, and Texas. It also operates 121 ATMs. The company was formerly known as NBH Holdings Corp. and changed its name to National Bank Holdings Corporation in March 2012. National Bank Holdings Corporation was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyNational Bank Holdings Corporation generates revenue through various financial services, primarily focusing on interest income from loans and leases. The company earns interest by lending money to individuals and businesses, including commercial loans, real estate loans, and consumer loans, and charging interest on these loans. Additionally, NBHC generates non-interest income through fees and service charges related to deposit accounts, wealth management services, and transaction processing. The company also benefits from its mortgage banking activities, earning income from the origination and sale of mortgage loans. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and service providers may enhance NBHC's product offerings and revenue opportunities, although specific partnerships are not detailed here.
National Bank Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q4-2024)
| % Change Since: 0.03%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment, with strong net interest income growth, increased tangible book value, and effective deposit management. However, these positives were offset by challenges including a significant loss from the investment security sale and concerns in the transportation sector. The ongoing investment in 2UniFi also represents a substantial expense.Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Interest Income Growth
The company delivered 11.3% annualized net interest income growth during the quarter with a strong net interest margin of 3.99%.
Tangible Book Value Increase
Tangible book value grew 11% during 2024.
Capital Ratios
Exited the year with a common equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 13.2% and a TCE ratio of 10.2%.
Positive Loan Funding
Loan fundings during the quarter totaled $480 million, among the highest loan production quarters in the company's history.
Deposit Strategy Success
A 22 basis point reduction in the cost of deposits contributed to net margin expansion.
Negative Updates
Investment Security Sale Loss
A strategic sale of investment securities resulted in an after-tax loss of $5 million.
Transportation Sector Concerns
Weakness was noted in the transportation space, a minor segment of the portfolio, leading to some non-performing assets.
Noninterest Income Decline
Total noninterest income for the fourth quarter was impacted by $6.6 million of pretax losses on investment security sales.
2UniFi Expenses
2025 projected noninterest expenses include significant investment in 2UniFi, amounting to $27 million to $29 million.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter earnings call for National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC), the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming year. For Q4 2024, NBHC reported net income of $28.2 million, equating to $0.73 per diluted share. Adjusting for a one-time securities sale loss, net income was $33.2 million or $0.86 per diluted share, with an adjusted return on average tangible common equity of 14.4%. The net interest margin expanded to 3.99%, and the company achieved a 13.5% annualized growth in pre-provision net revenue. Looking ahead to 2025, NBHC projects mid-single-digit loan growth and aims to maintain the net interest margin in the high 3.9% range. Total noninterest income is expected to be between $72 million and $77 million, while noninterest expenses are projected to range from $272 million to $278 million, including significant investment in their 2UniFi initiative. Additionally, the effective tax rate is anticipated to be around 19%, and the bank plans to grow beyond $10 billion in total assets, driven by both loan and investment portfolio increases.National Bank Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
National Bank Holdings presents a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and robust profit margins. The company benefits from a solid balance sheet with no debt and a healthy cash flow position. While the reduction in net profit margin and ROE in 2024 signals potential areas for improvement, the overall financial health remains positive, supporting future growth opportunities.Income Statement
National Bank Holdings shows a strong revenue growth with a 28.1% increase from 2023 to 2024 and robust gross profit margins consistently at 100% due to its business model. EBIT margin improved significantly to 98.7% in 2024, indicating efficient operations. However, net profit margin decreased from 33.8% in 2023 to 22.1% in 2024, suggesting rising expenses or strategic investments affecting net income.75
Positive
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 13.3% in 2024, reflecting strong financial health and stability. The absence of total debt in 2024 is a positive indicator of low leverage. Return on equity decreased to 9.1% in 2024 from 11.7% in 2023, suggesting room for improved profitability.80
Positive
Cash Flow
Free cash flow increased by 19.3% from 2023 to 2024, demonstrating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.31 in 2024 indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the cash flow from financing activities is negative, which could indicate repayment of liabilities or strategic investments.70
Positive
| Breakdown | |||||
| TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | Total Revenue | ||||
| 542.83M | 538.27M | 420.10M | 340.31M | 297.98M | 333.24M | Gross Profit |
| 453.34M | 401.43M | 417.57M | 340.31M | 297.98M | 333.24M | EBIT |
| 239.38M | 531.21M | 179.95M | 109.55M | 120.13M | 114.50M | EBITDA |
| 227.62M | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.63M | 128.56M | 123.85M | Net Income Common Stockholders |
| 111.57M | 118.81M | 142.05M | 71.27M | 93.61M | 88.59M |
| Balance Sheet | Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | ||||
| 880.67M | 655.39M | 190.83M | 901.79M | 1.54B | 1.27B | Total Assets |
| 10.10B | 9.81B | 9.95B | 9.57B | 7.21B | 6.66B | Total Debt |
| 0.00 | 104.51M | 394.20M | 438.89M | 39.48M | 48.89M | Net Debt |
| -111.71M | -23.34M | 203.37M | 243.38M | -806.22M | -556.68M | Total Liabilities |
| 8.77B | 8.50B | 8.74B | 8.48B | 39.48M | 5.84B | Stockholders Equity |
| 1.33B | 1.31B | 1.21B | 1.09B | 840.11M | 820.69M |
| Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | ||||
| 158.66M | 120.68M | 130.10M | 202.20M | 174.36M | -14.22M | Operating Cash Flow |
| 171.56M | 155.27M | 166.94M | 214.63M | 179.50M | -9.87M | Investing Cash Flow |
| -163.06M | 64.66M | -404.03M | -752.14M | -473.84M | -148.94M | Financing Cash Flow |
| -55.13M | -284.41M | 230.90M | -114.20M | 528.99M | 654.18M |
National Bank Holdings Technical Analysis
Negative
36.33
Price Trends
36.23
Positive
38.72
Negative
41.00
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.07
Positive
47.92
Neutral
45.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NBHC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.89, above the 50-day MA of 36.23, and below the 200-day MA of 41.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NBHC.
National Bank Holdings Risk Analysis
National Bank Holdings disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Bank Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Changes in general business and economic conditions as well as external events such as natural disasters, pandemics, cyberattacks, political instability, international trade policies, tariffs, severe weather or acts of war could materially and adversely affect us. Q4, 2024
National Bank Holdings Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $1.39B | 12.45 | 7.40% | 2.01% | -0.58% | -3.02% | |
74 Outperform | $1.60B | 12.75 | 8.14% | ― | -5.61% | -44.11% | |
74 Outperform | $1.49B | 10.58 | 12.84% | 2.43% | 9.30% | 15.19% | |
71 Outperform | $1.43B | 15.29 | 8.85% | 2.94% | 16.95% | -12.55% | |
70 Outperform | $1.40B | 12.66 | 8.68% | 3.16% | 1.63% | -16.82% | |
70 Outperform | $1.41B | 10.63 | 9.84% | 3.66% | 1.26% | ― | |
64 Neutral | $12.77B | 9.77 | 7.59% | 16985.66% | 12.31% | -7.69% |
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
NBHC
National Bank Holdings
36.33
0.67
1.88%
SRCE
1St Source
59.94
10.42
21.04%
GABC
German American Bancorp
37.58
6.46
20.76%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
36.32
6.19
20.54%
CUBI
Customers Bancorp
50.72
7.26
16.71%
STEL
Stellar Bancorp
26.78
4.86
22.17%
National Bank Holdings Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
National Bank Holdings Announces Investor Meeting Materials
Neutral
May 2, 2025
National Bank Holdings Corporation has announced its intention to use and make available certain materials for investor and analyst meetings, reflecting its ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement. The release includes forward-looking statements, highlighting potential risks and uncertainties in the financial services industry, which could impact NBHC’s operations and market positioning.
Spark’s Take on NBHC Stock
According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, NBHC is a Outperform.
National Bank Holdings demonstrates solid financial health and strategic management, reflected in strong revenue growth, no debt, and effective cash flow management. While technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, the stock’s attractive valuation and positive earnings call sentiment provide a balanced outlook. Corporate events further signal strategic resilience and preparedness for growth, contributing to a moderately positive overall stock score.
To see Spark’s full report on NBHC stock, click here.
Financial Disclosures
National Bank Holdings Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025
On April 22, 2025, National Bank Holdings Corporation announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a net income of $24.2 million and earnings per diluted share of $0.63. The results were affected by a $10.2 million provision expense due to a loan charge-off involving suspected fraud. Despite this, the company maintained a solid net interest margin and improved its non-performing loan ratios. The bank’s strong capital position was recognized by Forbes as one of the best banks in the United States, with a Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 13.6%.
Spark’s Take on NBHC Stock
According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, NBHC is a Outperform.
National Bank Holdings demonstrates solid financial health and strategic management, reflected in strong revenue growth, no debt, and effective cash flow management. While technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, the stock’s attractive valuation and positive earnings call sentiment provide a balanced outlook. Corporate events further signal strategic resilience and preparedness for growth, contributing to a moderately positive overall stock score.
To see Spark’s full report on NBHC stock, click here.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.