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Hope Bancorp (HOPE)
NASDAQ:HOPE

Hope Bancorp (HOPE) AI Stock Analysis

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HOPE

Hope Bancorp

(NASDAQ:HOPE)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(15.45% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial footing (stronger balance sheet and supportive cash flow) and a notably positive 2026 outlook from the earnings call. These positives are tempered by weakened profitability trends into 2025, a mixed near-term technical setup, and a less attractive valuation backdrop due to a relatively high P/E despite a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Hope’s low recent leverage and rising equity provide durable capital resilience. A stronger capital base and conservative debt-to-equity give the bank room to absorb credit stress, maintain dividends and buybacks, and support lending growth without immediate capital raises over the medium term.
Solid Cash Generation
Steady free cash flow that tracks net income supports shareholder returns and operational flexibility. Consistent FCF reduces refinancing risk, funds strategic investments or buybacks, and underpins dividend sustainability even amid earnings volatility over the next several quarters.
Explicit Growth & NIM Tailwinds
Management’s medium-term targets and identified NIM tailwinds reflect a structural plan to rebuild revenue and margins. Clear loan growth targets, deposit repricing opportunities and planned NIM expansion give a durable path to higher net interest income and improved operating cash flow over 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Weakening Profitability
Margins and returns have deteriorated sharply over the last two years, indicating lower earnings power despite balance-sheet strength. Sustained margin compression and falling ROE constrain the bank’s ability to convert asset growth into shareholder returns without material efficiency or revenue improvements.
High Operating Cost Base
Elevated noninterest expense and a 68% efficiency ratio show persistent operating leverage issues. Until OpEx is reduced or revenue meaningfully outpaces expense growth, profitability recovery will be limited and medium-term ROE and margin targets remain challenging to achieve.
Rate & M&A Sensitivities
Growth and margin plans rely on specific rate moves and deposit repricing plus contribution from an acquisition. That creates structural sensitivity: if rates or repricing differ or M&A benefits underdeliver, revenue and margin projections could miss, stressing medium-term targets.

Hope Bancorp (HOPE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hope Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHope Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Bank of Hope that provides banking services for small and medium-sized businesses, and individuals in the United States. The company accepts personal and business checking, money market, savings, time deposit, and individual retirement accounts. Its loan products include commercial loans to businesses for various purposes, such as working capital, purchasing inventory, debt refinancing, business acquisitions, and other business related financing needs; real estate loans; small business administration loans; and consumer loans, such as single-family mortgage, home equity, auto, credit card, and personal loans. The company also offers trade finance services, including the issuance and negotiation of letters of credit, as well as handles documentary collections; warehouse lines of credit to mortgage loan originators; and commercial equipment lease financing. In addition, it provides cash management services, such as remote deposit capture, lock box, and ACH origination services; investment and wealth management services; mobile banking services; debit card services; foreign exchanges services, safe deposit boxes, and other customary bank services; internet banking services; and automated teller machine services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 47 full-service branches in California, Washington, Texas, Illinois, New York, New Jersey, Virginia, and Alabama; SBA loan production offices in Atlanta, Houston, Dallas, Denver, Portland, Seattle, Fremont, and Southern California; and a representative office in Seoul, Korea. Hope Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyHope Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investment securities. The company offers various loan products such as commercial real estate loans, construction loans, and residential mortgages, which yield interest payments over time. Additionally, it earns fee income from services such as account maintenance, ATM transactions, and other banking services. The bank's diversification into wealth management and investment services also contributes to its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its market presence and customer base, further driving earnings.

Hope Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong underlying financial momentum with material year-over-year net income and net interest income growth, meaningful NIM expansion, improving asset quality, and clear 2026 targets for loan and revenue growth. Capital remains strong with a dividend and buyback authorization. Headwinds include elevated noninterest expense related to strategic hiring, a high efficiency ratio (68%) that management aims to improve over time, some seasonal deposit volatility and dependence on an acquisition for part of YoY growth, and margin sensitivity to future Fed rate moves. On balance, the positives in revenue, asset quality, and outlook materially outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income Growth
Net income of $34.0M in 4Q25, up 42% year-over-year (from $24.0M) and up 12% quarter-over-quarter (from $31.0M), driven by higher net interest income, stronger fee income, lower provision for credit losses, and lower tax expense.
Net Interest Income and Margin Expansion
Net interest income of $127M in 4Q25, up 25% year-over-year and 1% sequentially; net interest margin (NIM) of 2.90%, up 40 basis points year-over-year and +1 bp quarter-over-quarter, benefiting from lower funding costs and higher investment securities yields.
Loan and Deposit Growth
Gross loans of $14.8B at 12/31/25, up 8% year-over-year and 1% quarter-over-quarter; deposits of $15.6B, up 9% year-over-year (Territorial acquisition contribution), with loan production volumes in 4Q25 up 39% versus year-ago quarter.
Improved Funding Mix and Lower Deposit Costs
Reduced reliance on broker deposits (down 15% year-over-year); spot rate on total deposits 2.68% as of 12/31/25; CD repricing opportunity of $6.3B in 2026 (including $2.5B repricing in 1Q26 with a pre-rolloff weighted average rate of ~3.99%), with new roll-ons in the ~3.70%–3.80% range aiding future deposit cost reduction.
Fee Income Momentum
Customer-level swap fees of $6M for full year 2025, up ~270% from $1.6M in 2024; diversified fee income lines and continued fee income execution initiatives.
Asset Quality Improvement
Criticized loans down to $351M at 12/31/25, down 22% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter; criticized loan ratio improved to 2.39% (from 3.30% YoY); C&I special mention loans declined 48% linked quarter; net charge-offs $3.6M in 4Q25 (annualized 10 bps) versus $5.1M (14 bps) in 3Q25; provision for credit losses down to $7.2M from $8.7M.
Capital Strength and Shareholder Returns
All capital ratios increased quarter-over-quarter and remain well above well-capitalized requirements; board declared quarterly common dividend of $0.14/sh and reinstated share repurchase authorization with $35M available.
Positive 2026 Outlook and Medium-Term Targets
Management outlook: 2026 loan growth in high single digits, revenue growth of 15%–20%, pre-provision net revenue growth of 25%–30%, and continued NIM expansion tailwinds; medium-term ROAA target ~1.2% and efficiency ratio target in mid-50s.
Negative Updates
Elevated Noninterest Expense and Hiring-Driven Costs
Noninterest expense of $99M in 4Q25, up from $97M in 3Q25 and $78M in 4Q24, reflecting compensation and hiring to support revenue initiatives; management views 4Q25 noninterest expense as a reasonable starting run rate for 2026, with OpEx growth guidance in low single digits (sub-5%).
Efficiency Ratio Still Elevated
Efficiency ratio essentially stable sequentially at 68% in 4Q25 — well above the bank's mid-50s medium-term target — indicating ongoing operating leverage is needed to reach target levels.
Seasonal and Near-Term Deposit Movements
Deposits were down 1% quarter-over-quarter (attributed to typical fourth quarter commercial client fund movements that normally return in Q1), and part of YoY deposit growth was driven by the Territorial acquisition, highlighting some dependence on M&A for balance sheet growth.
Margin Sensitivity and Rate Uncertainty
NIM outlook depends on Fed cuts (management assumes two 25 bp cuts in Jun and Sep 2026) and the pace of CD and time deposit repricing; management cautioned that rate path uncertainty could affect margin outcomes, and sensitivity should be extrapolated from recent quarter trends.
Limited Disclosure on Certain Items
Management declined to disclose a separate PAA accretion number and did not provide a continuous spot rate for deposit costs beyond the 12/31/25 snapshot, limiting granularity for some analysts.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 to high‑single‑digit loan growth and 15–20% revenue growth, with pre‑provision net revenue (excluding notable items) expected to grow 25–30% year‑over‑year; the plan assumes two Fed funds cuts of 25 bps each (June and September 2026) and NIM tailwinds from downward repricing of time deposits and upward repricing of maturing 5‑year CRE loans. They said Q4‑2025 noninterest expense of $99 million (efficiency ratio ~68%) is a reasonable starting quarterly run rate for 2026, expect OpEx growth in the low single digits (sub‑5%), an effective tax rate of 20–25%, and continued deposit cost improvement (spot deposit cost 2.68% as of 12/31/25) as $6.3 billion of CDs reprice in 2026 (about $2.5 billion in Q1 repricing from a 3.99% weighted‑average rate, with new roll‑ons roughly 3.70–3.80%). Over the medium term they target ~1.2% return on average assets, normalized revenue growth >10%, and an efficiency ratio in the mid‑50s.

Hope Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet is a clear strength (low recent leverage and rising equity), and cash flow is generally supportive of earnings with a strong 2025 rebound. Offsetting this, profitability trends have weakened materially into 2025 (lower margins and declining ROE), indicating reduced earnings power versus prior levels.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Revenue has been choppy (down in 2024 after strong 2023 growth, followed by a modest rebound in 2025). Profitability has weakened meaningfully: net margin fell from 12.2% (2023) to 10.0% (2024) and then to 6.0% (2025), with a similar step-down in operating profitability. The company remains profitable, but the trajectory shows clear earnings pressure versus the prior cycle highs.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Leverage appears conservative recently, with debt-to-equity at ~0.17 in 2025 (improved from ~0.18 in 2024 and far lower than 2023’s elevated level). Equity has grown from ~$2.12B (2023) to ~$2.28B (2025), supporting balance-sheet resilience. The main weakness is lower shareholder returns, with return on equity declining from 6.3% (2023) to 4.7% (2024) and 2.6% (2025), indicating reduced profitability on a stronger capital base.
Cash Flow
64
Positive
Cash generation is solid relative to earnings: free cash flow has closely tracked net income (about 0.92–1.00x from 2024–2025), and 2025 free cash flow rose strongly versus the prior year. However, cash-flow volatility is notable (large operating cash flow in 2023, weaker in 2024, then a rebound in 2025), and the provided operating cash flow coverage metric remains low across periods, suggesting limited cushion versus the referenced obligation despite positive cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue967.79M1.00B1.09B767.51M610.13M
Gross Profit470.36M456.64M539.85M619.97M568.56M
EBITDA83.67M132.96M177.89M296.05M275.27M
Net Income58.52M99.63M133.67M218.28M204.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.53B17.05B19.13B19.16B17.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.63B458.20M4.07B2.48B3.00B
Total Debt395.88M392.64M1.96B1.25B678.87M
Total Liabilities16.25B14.92B17.01B17.15B15.80B
Stockholders Equity2.28B2.13B2.12B2.02B2.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow151.46M106.91M460.65M476.42M316.99M
Operating Cash Flow164.55M116.72M473.78M485.54M324.21M
Investing Cash Flow525.31M466.52M1.29B-1.47B-993.04M
Financing Cash Flow-588.00M-2.05B-341.47M1.18B634.52M

Hope Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.26
Price Trends
50DMA
11.64
Negative
100DMA
11.06
Positive
200DMA
10.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
38.43
Neutral
STOCH
30.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HOPE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.05, below the 50-day MA of 11.64, and above the 200-day MA of 10.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HOPE.

Hope Bancorp Risk Analysis

Hope Bancorp disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hope Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hope Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.55B12.919.20%2.83%0.93%5.65%
70
Outperform
$1.42B13.714.23%3.14%-1.79%-23.87%
68
Neutral
$1.80B14.019.06%3.07%-2.46%-1.98%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$1.44B23.182.65%4.97%-7.96%-52.79%
65
Neutral
$1.44B11.5411.80%0.28%-2.42%3.83%
50
Neutral
$1.33B60.401.11%2.04%-64.17%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HOPE
Hope Bancorp
11.26
1.01
9.81%
DCOM
Dime Community Bancshares
32.35
3.08
10.51%
QCRH
QCR Holdings
86.50
11.70
15.64%
TCBK
Trico Bancshares
47.78
5.80
13.82%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
55.86
-10.70
-16.08%
NBHC
National Bank Holdings
39.99
-0.11
-0.27%

Hope Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Hope Bancorp Reports Strong Q4 Earnings and Dividend
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 27, 2026, Hope Bancorp reported unaudited results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, and announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.14 per common share payable in February 2026 to stockholders of record as of early February. Fourth-quarter 2025 net income rose to $34.5 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, up 12% from the prior quarter and 42% from a year earlier, driven by higher net interest income, stronger fee-based revenues, and lower credit loss provisions, while full-year 2025 net income reached $61.6 million, or $0.49 per diluted share, and $113.3 million, or $0.89 per diluted share, excluding notable items, representing a 10% year-over-year increase on that adjusted basis. The bank modestly expanded its balance sheet to $18.53 billion in assets and $14.79 billion in gross loans by year-end 2025, supported by organic residential mortgage growth and the Territorial Bancorp acquisition, while improving net interest margin to 2.90%, lowering its cost of deposits, reducing reliance on brokered funds, and benefiting from tax credits that reduced its effective tax rate, collectively strengthening profitability metrics and underscoring management’s view that the franchise is better positioned for continued earnings growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (HOPE) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hope Bancorp stock, see the HOPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Hope Bancorp updates governance amid director retirement
Neutral
Jan 16, 2026

On January 13, 2026, long-serving director Scott Yoon-Suk Whang notified Hope Bancorp’s board that he will retire and not stand for re-election at the company’s 2026 annual meeting, ending a board tenure that began in 2007 and included stints as board chairman and lead independent director as he helped guide the bank’s evolution from a community institution into a regional franchise. In conjunction with his planned departure and a broader periodic governance review, the board moved on January 15, 2026, to amend and restate its bylaws and corporate governance guidelines, adopting a majority-vote standard in uncontested director elections, tightening procedures for shareholder nominations and proposals, reinforcing the board’s control over filling vacancies and bylaw changes, enhancing indemnification provisions, expanding the responsibilities of the lead independent director and formalizing CEO succession planning, with the board to be reduced to nine members after Whang’s retirement, signaling an effort to modernize and strengthen oversight and shareholder governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (HOPE) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hope Bancorp stock, see the HOPE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026