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Trico Bancshares (TCBK)
:TCBK
US Market

Trico Bancshares (TCBK) AI Stock Analysis

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Trico Bancshares

(NASDAQ:TCBK)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$44.00
▲(3.72%Upside)
Trico Bancshares' strong financial performance and commitment to dividends are key strengths, providing a solid foundation for stability. Technical analysis indicates a stable stock performance, though momentum is weak. Valuation metrics suggest moderate growth potential, while corporate events reinforce shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Performance
The shares deserve a premium valuation based on premium performance.
Valuation
The stock trades at a premium due to superior profitability metrics and clean credit history.
Negative Factors
Growth
Loan and NII growth projections for TCBK are below median projections and significantly lower than high growth peers.
M&A Activity
A return to M&A deals could serve as an overhang, as TCBK stock has historically underperformed following deal announcements.
Market Positioning
TCBK is not a meaningful positive outlier in rate sensitivity or growth profile compared to peers.

Trico Bancshares (TCBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trico Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTriCo Bancshares operates as a bank holding company for Tri Counties Bank that provides commercial banking services to individual and corporate customers. The company accepts demand, savings, and time deposits. It also provides small business loans; real estate mortgage loans, such as residential and commercial loans; consumer loans; commercial loans, including agricultural loans; and real estate construction loans. In addition, the company offers treasury management services; and other customary banking services, including safe deposit boxes; and independent financial and broker-dealer services. It operates 61 traditional branches, 7 in-store branches, and 7 loan production offices in 31 counties throughout California. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Chico, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTriCo Bancshares primarily generates revenue through the interest income it earns from its loan portfolio, which includes consumer loans, commercial loans, and real estate loans. The bank's net interest income, which is the difference between interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits, is a significant revenue stream. Additionally, TriCo Bancshares earns non-interest income from various sources such as fees from deposit services, mortgage banking, and investment services. The bank's earnings are further supported by strategic partnerships and a strong focus on customer service, which helps to maintain and grow its customer base in competitive markets.

Trico Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trico Bancshares exhibits strong revenue growth and solid equity health, reflecting a stable financial foundation. While operational efficiency remains strong, the decline in net income and cash flow ratios suggest areas for improvement. The company's lack of leverage is a key strength, providing financial flexibility. However, liquidity management and cash flow conversion are potential areas of risk.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Trico Bancshares demonstrated a strong revenue growth of 18.42% from 2023 to 2024, reflecting its expanding business. The company maintained a stable gross profit margin at 100%, typical for the banking industry. However, the decline in net income from 2023 to 2024 indicates potential cost pressures or non-operational factors impacting profitability. The EBIT margin of 40.85% in 2023 shows strong operational efficiency before interest and tax considerations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company shows a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 in 2024, indicating no leverage risk. Return on Equity (ROE) was 9.41% for 2024, suggesting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio was 12.62%, underscoring a strong asset base funded by equity. The decrease in cash and short-term investments raises concerns about liquidity management.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Operating cash flow in 2024 was robust at $109.7 million, but showed a decrease from the previous year, suggesting challenges in cash generation. The free cash flow remained stable, but the ratio of operating cash flow to net income was below 1, indicating that net income is not fully translating into cash. The negative investing cash flow highlights ongoing investments in the business, while the negative financing cash flow suggests debt repayment or shareholder distributions.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue522.70M523.97M492.81M412.05M333.72M317.18M
Gross Profit382.59M382.13M387.14M384.05M336.17M264.91M
EBITDA168.25M171.17M179.75M192.29M180.98M104.99M
Net Income113.48M114.87M117.39M125.42M117.66M64.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.82B9.67B9.91B9.93B8.61B7.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.16B152.79M2.25B2.56B2.98B2.08B
Total Debt217.59M216.24M794.52M442.55M184.53M139.44M
Total Liabilities8.56B8.45B8.75B8.88B7.61B6.71B
Stockholders Equity1.26B1.22B1.16B1.05B1.00B925.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow103.92M105.15M134.00M159.27M129.01M111.99M
Operating Cash Flow109.14M109.71M138.89M162.90M132.21M114.80M
Investing Cash Flow259.63M285.00M28.57M-723.22M-883.81M-816.33M
Financing Cash Flow-142.65M-348.45M-175.98M-100.86M850.47M1.09B

Trico Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.42
Price Trends
50DMA
39.69
Positive
100DMA
40.12
Positive
200DMA
41.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
62.07
Neutral
STOCH
79.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.12, above the 50-day MA of 39.69, and above the 200-day MA of 41.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TCBK.

Trico Bancshares Risk Analysis

Trico Bancshares disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trico Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trico Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.50B11.269.84%3.48%1.26%-1.92%
76
Outperform
$1.32B10.0615.54%3.66%-7.38%-15.58%
76
Outperform
$1.46B13.187.07%3.28%1.41%19.00%
70
Outperform
$1.37B12.229.38%3.16%3.01%4.55%
70
Outperform
$1.43B14.254.44%5.02%-11.94%-21.67%
67
Neutral
$16.86B11.649.71%3.83%11.61%-9.60%
65
Neutral
$1.45B171.041.35%2.37%-72.01%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCBK
Trico Bancshares
42.42
5.81
15.87%
HOPE
Hope Bancorp
11.43
1.40
13.96%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
39.35
7.94
25.28%
WABC
Westamerica Bancorporation
50.78
4.80
10.44%
VBTX
Veritex
27.38
7.76
39.55%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
62.84
-18.48
-22.73%

Trico Bancshares Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
TriCo Bancshares Elects New Board Leadership
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 22, 2025, TriCo Bancshares held its annual meeting of shareholders, where 84.56% of the total outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, all 11 nominees were elected to the Board of Directors, executive compensation was approved on a nonbinding basis, and Moss Adams LLP was ratified as the principal independent auditor for 2025. Following the meeting, Richard P. Smith was elected as Chairman of the Board, and Cory W. Giese was elected as Lead Independent Director.

The most recent analyst rating on (TCBK) stock is a Hold with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trico Bancshares stock, see the TCBK Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
TriCo Bancshares Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
May 27, 2025

On May 22, 2025, TriCo Bancshares announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.33 per share, payable on June 20, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 6, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and underscores its financial stability and strategic positioning within the banking industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TCBK) stock is a Hold with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trico Bancshares stock, see the TCBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TriCo Bancshares Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

TriCo Bancshares reported a net income of $26.4 million for the first quarter of 2025, with a diluted EPS of $0.80, reflecting a decrease from the previous quarter. Despite a challenging economic environment, the company saw growth in loan and deposit balances, although net interest margin and income slightly contracted due to fluctuating interest rates. The company’s focus remains on core business activities, and it anticipates further improvements in earning asset yields and funding costs.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025