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Merchants Bancorp (MBIN)
NASDAQ:MBIN
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Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) AI Stock Analysis

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MBIN

Merchants Bancorp

(NASDAQ:MBIN)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$58.00
▲(21.62% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/08/26
The score is held back mainly by financial-statement risks—especially persistently negative operating/free cash flow and meaningfully higher leverage—despite solid profitability. Offsetting this, technicals are strong with the stock trading above key moving averages and positive momentum, while valuation is reasonable and recent corporate actions support stability and dividends.
Positive Factors
Profitability / Margins
Merchant’s sustained TTM net margin near 20% and mid‑20s EBIT margin show durable earning power from core banking activities. Healthy margins reflect effective loan pricing and cost control, supporting persistent earnings generation and buffer against cyclical revenue swings over months.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Leverage has increased materially, with debt-to-equity jumping to ~1.79 TTM from ~0.57 in 2023. Higher leverage raises sensitivity to funding costs and reduces flexibility for lending or buffers against credit stress, increasing refinancing and interest expense risk over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability / Margins
Merchant’s sustained TTM net margin near 20% and mid‑20s EBIT margin show durable earning power from core banking activities. Healthy margins reflect effective loan pricing and cost control, supporting persistent earnings generation and buffer against cyclical revenue swings over months.
Read all positive factors

Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Merchants Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Merchants Bancorp operates as a diversified financial services holding company across the United States. Its operations are organized into three primary divisions: Multi-family Mortgage Banking, Mortgage Warehousing, and Banking. The Multi-family ...
How the Company Makes Money
Merchants Bancorp primarily makes money through (1) net interest income and (2) noninterest income. Net interest income is earned from the spread between interest income on loans and securities and interest expense paid on funding sources such as ...

Merchants Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains solid (TTM net margin ~20% and mid‑20s EBIT margin), but revenue has turned negative (~‑4.4% TTM). Balance-sheet risk has increased with leverage rising sharply (debt-to-equity ~1.79 TTM vs. ~0.57 in 2023), and cash generation is a major concern with persistently negative operating and free cash flow in recent periods.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.31B1.37B1.45B1.19B602.07M461.56M
Gross Profit594.58M563.69M642.69M519.10M422.49M422.66M
EBITDA325.85M267.26M425.66M350.76M293.63M307.12M
Net Income268.58M218.77M320.39M279.23M219.72M227.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.23B19.45B18.81B16.95B12.62B11.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.88M880.90M566.62M1.70B549.50M1.34B
Total Debt4.28B3.84B4.34B964.13M940.39M1.17B
Total Liabilities18.84B17.17B16.56B15.25B11.16B10.12B
Stockholders Equity2.39B2.28B2.24B1.70B1.46B1.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-569.28M-170.30M-853.67M-363.93M966.96M-52.86M
Operating Cash Flow-546.84M-149.36M-835.28M-356.40M975.77M-49.22M
Investing Cash Flow-1.48B-387.56M-874.27M-3.26B-2.86B-474.26M
Financing Cash Flow1.69B272.51M1.60B3.97B1.08B1.38B

Merchants Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price47.69
Price Trends
50DMA
49.60
Positive
100DMA
47.62
Positive
200DMA
42.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.75
Negative
RSI
63.34
Neutral
STOCH
75.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 47.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.17, below the 50-day MA of 49.60, and above the 200-day MA of 42.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MBIN.

Merchants Bancorp Risk Analysis

Merchants Bancorp disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Merchants Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Merchants Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.91B13.4212.17%2.48%21.78%43.92%
76
Outperform
$1.84B13.989.74%2.74%2.45%
73
Outperform
$1.84B13.6710.23%2.48%3.50%23.44%
68
Neutral
$1.81B51.304.09%9.21%234.88%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$1.93B16.816.47%2.94%8.43%-23.02%
63
Neutral
$2.53B11.0811.64%0.88%-4.89%9.27%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBIN
Merchants Bancorp
54.25
23.69
77.50%
GABC
German American Bancorp
50.50
13.12
35.10%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
50.87
15.77
44.91%
TCBK
Trico Bancshares
57.27
17.28
43.23%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
76.01
24.66
48.02%
NBHC
National Bank Holdings
42.62
7.22
20.40%

Merchants Bancorp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
Merchants Bancorp Shareholders Approve Governance and Dividends
Positive
May 21, 2026
Merchants Bancorp held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 21, 2026, where investors elected twelve directors to serve until the 2027 annual meeting, approved on an advisory basis the compensation of named executive officers, and ratified th...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2026