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Merchants Bancorp (MBIN)
NASDAQ:MBIN
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Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) AI Stock Analysis

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MBIN

Merchants Bancorp

(NASDAQ:MBIN)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(4.57% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/28/26
The score is held back primarily by financial risks: earnings softened in 2025, leverage is elevated, and cash flow has been negative in most years. Technicals are mixed but generally supportive versus longer-term averages, while valuation is reasonable (P/E ~11.2) and the dividend increase is a modest positive.
Positive Factors
Diversified revenue mix
Merchants operates a diversified banking model: net interest income from loans plus fee income from mortgage warehousing, servicing and deposit fees. That mix provides multiple, structurally different cash sources and reduces single-product dependency, improving resilience across cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Material increase in leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises sensitivity to interest-rate and funding shocks. Higher debt levels can amplify earnings volatility, constrain capital deployment for growth or buybacks, and increase refinancing and covenant risks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified revenue mix
Merchants operates a diversified banking model: net interest income from loans plus fee income from mortgage warehousing, servicing and deposit fees. That mix provides multiple, structurally different cash sources and reduces single-product dependency, improving resilience across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Merchants Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Merchants Bancorp operates as the diversified bank holding company in the United States. The company operates through Multi-family Mortgage Banking, Mortgage Warehousing, and Banking segments. The Multi-family Mortgage Banking segment originates a...
How the Company Makes Money
Merchants Bancorp primarily earns money through (1) net interest income and (2) noninterest (fee) income. Net interest income is generated by collecting interest and fees on interest-earning assets—principally loans—while paying interest on fundin...

Merchants Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is still solid (2025 net margin ~16%), but the trajectory weakened with revenue down in 2025 (-1.58%) and net income falling from ~$320M (2024) to ~$219M (2025). Balance sheet risk rose as leverage moved sharply higher (debt-to-equity ~1.68 in 2025), and the biggest concern is persistently negative operating/free cash flow in most years outside of 2022.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
32
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.37B1.45B1.19B602.07M461.56M
Gross Profit563.69M642.69M519.10M422.49M422.66M
EBITDA267.26M425.66M350.76M293.63M307.12M
Net Income218.77M320.39M279.23M219.72M227.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.45B18.81B16.95B12.62B11.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments880.90M566.62M1.70B549.50M1.34B
Total Debt3.84B4.34B964.13M940.39M1.17B
Total Liabilities17.17B16.56B15.25B11.16B10.12B
Stockholders Equity2.28B2.24B1.70B1.46B1.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-376.67M-853.67M-363.93M966.96M-52.86M
Operating Cash Flow-341.25M-835.28M-356.40M975.77M-49.22M
Investing Cash Flow-195.67M-874.27M-3.26B-2.86B-474.26M
Financing Cash Flow272.51M1.60B3.97B1.08B1.38B

Merchants Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.86
Price Trends
50DMA
43.78
Positive
100DMA
39.27
Positive
200DMA
35.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.39
Negative
RSI
66.11
Neutral
STOCH
92.04
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.24, above the 50-day MA of 43.78, and above the 200-day MA of 35.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MBIN.

Merchants Bancorp Risk Analysis

Merchants Bancorp disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Merchants Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Merchants Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.60B11.189.25%3.38%-1.48%-1.58%
70
Outperform
$1.61B12.649.20%2.83%0.93%5.65%
68
Neutral
$1.87B22.628.05%3.07%-2.46%-1.98%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$1.64B12.8010.75%2.89%30.45%3.13%
58
Neutral
$2.15B5.769.89%1.19%-2.45%-28.20%
50
Neutral
$1.48B58.332.77%2.04%-64.17%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBIN
Merchants Bancorp
46.86
15.18
47.91%
GABC
German American Bancorp
43.55
9.02
26.13%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
43.67
10.50
31.66%
TCBK
Trico Bancshares
50.20
14.22
39.51%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
62.40
12.45
24.92%
NBHC
National Bank Holdings
41.60
7.46
21.84%

Merchants Bancorp Corporate Events

Dividends
Merchants Bancorp Raises Quarterly Common Dividend Ten Percent
Positive
Feb 19, 2026
On February 19, 2026, Merchants Bancorp announced that its board increased the quarterly dividend on its common stock by 10% to $0.11 per share for the first quarter of 2026. The board also declared quarterly cash dividends on its Series C, Series...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026