Nicolet Bankshares (NIC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.80B
• Dividend Yield: 1.07%
• Average Volume (3M): 57.45K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.84
• Revenue Growth: 10.78%
• EPS Growth: 28.31%
• Country: US
• Employees: 952
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 77
• Industry: Banks - Regional
• EPS (TTM): 2.10
• Shares Outstanding: 15,079,193
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 61,435
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 57,449
• PEG Ratio: 0.59
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.14
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.55
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.83
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.82
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.72
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.56
• 1Y Price Target: $122.33
• Price Target Upside: 2.95% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: ―

Nicolet Bankshares demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue and profit growth, no debt, and a strong cash position. The stock's technical indicators show positive momentum, but caution is advised due to the RSI nearing overbought levels. The valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E ratio and a low dividend yield. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the banking sector with favorable growth prospects.

Positive Factors

Analyst Recommendation

Analyst's recommendation includes a Buy rating with an expected stock price appreciation of 22.0% and a dividend yield of 1.0%, indicating a total return of about 23%.

Credit Quality

NIC's credit quality is considered very strong and stable, with non-performing assets at 0.43% of loans and negligible net charge-offs.

Earnings

NIC reported 1Q25 results with EPS of $2.08 vs. consensus of $1.96 due to solid loan growth, stable net interest margin, controlled expenses, and very strong credit quality.

Financial Performance

NIC reported 4Q24 results with EPS of $2.19, significantly exceeding consensus and previous estimates due to a wider net interest margin and strong credit quality.

Strategic Acquisitions

NIC's strong record of accretive acquisitions is highlighted by its expansion and growth in assets from $1.2B to $9.0B since 2016.

Negative Factors

Valuation Concerns

The 2025 price target of $131 represents a premium valuation based on NIC's accretive acquisition history and current trading position.

Nicolet Bankshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Nicolet National Bank that provides banking products and services for businesses and individuals. The company accepts checking, savings, and money market accounts; various certificates of deposit; and individual retirement accounts. It also offers commercial loans, including commercial, industrial, and business loans and lines of credit; commercial real estate loans; agricultural (AG) production and AG real estate loans; commercial real estate investment real estate loans; construction and land development loans; residential real estate loans, such as residential first lien and junior lien mortgages, home equity loans, lines of credit, and residential construction loans; and consumer loans. In addition, the company provides cash management, international banking, personal brokerage, safe deposit boxes, and trust and fiduciary services, as well as wealth management and retirement plan services. Further, it offers mortgage refinancing; online services, such as commercial, retail, and trust online banking; automated bill payment, mobile banking deposits and account access, and remote deposit capture services; and other services consisting of wire transfers, debit cards, credit cards, pre-paid gift cards, direct deposits, and official bank checks, as well as facilitates crop insurance products. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 52 branches throughout Wisconsin and Michigan. The company was formerly known as Green Bay Financial Corporation and changed its name to Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. in March 2002. Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Green Bay, Wisconsin.

How the Company Makes Money

Nicolet Bankshares makes money primarily through the interest income generated from its lending activities, which includes personal loans, commercial loans, and mortgages. Additionally, the company earns revenue from non-interest income sources such as service charges on deposit accounts, fees from wealth management services, and transaction fees. Nicolet Bankshares also benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions which enhance its market presence and customer base, contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Nicolet Bankshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Nicolet Bankshares showcases robust financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, zero debt, and effective cash management. While the company's balance sheet reflects prudent financial management, the relatively low equity ratio and high reliance on liabilities could present challenges in adverse economic conditions. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the banking industry with favorable growth prospects.

Income Statement

Nicolet Bankshares demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth from $272.5M to $438.4M (60.9% increase) in the latest year. The gross profit margin remains robust at 100%, and net profit margin improved from 22.6% to 28.3%. EBIT margin increased significantly from 40.0% to 98.1%, indicating efficient cost management and operational performance. However, absence of EBITDA data for 2024 limits full profitability analysis.

Balance Sheet

The company exhibits a stable financial position with no total debt, enhancing its risk profile compared to industry peers. Stockholders' equity increased to $1.17B, supporting a healthy equity ratio of 13.3%. Return on equity improved to 10.6%, reflecting better profitability relative to equity. However, the relatively low equity ratio suggests reliance on liabilities, which could pose risks in volatile markets.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow grew from $89.8M to $133.7M (48.9% increase), indicating strong cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.08, suggesting effective cash conversion from earnings. However, cash flow from investing activities shows significant outflows, and the absence of free cash flow to net income ratio limits deeper cash flow analysis.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
422.42M	349.12M	272.50M	297.88M	225.32M	191.96M
	Gross Profit
399.10M	349.12M	412.47M	297.88M	225.32M	191.96M
	EBIT
182.02M	155.13M	108.89M	175.01M	81.12M	80.60M
	EBITDA
126.54M	0.00	105.03M	147.67M	94.98M	91.63M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
128.86M	124.06M	61.52M	94.26M	60.65M	60.12M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
943.19M	922.36M	1.29B	1.08B	1.54B	1.34B
	Total Assets
8.98B	8.80B	8.47B	8.76B	7.70B	4.55B
	Total Debt
0.00	161.39M	166.93M	542.34M	216.91M	53.87M
	Net Debt
-105.08M	-115.94M	-324.50M	375.10M	-400.30M	-748.99M
	Total Liabilities
7.79B	7.62B	7.43B	7.79B	6.80B	4.01B
	Stockholders Equity
1.18B	1.17B	1.04B	972.53M	891.89M	539.19M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
154.92M	117.23M	89.77M	105.16M	84.86M	68.11M
	Operating Cash Flow
152.06M	133.75M	107.97M	117.40M	97.65M	78.90M
	Investing Cash Flow
-377.51M	-288.44M	591.46M	-516.36M	-370.60M	-208.70M
	Financing Cash Flow
370.21M	199.30M	-362.73M	-41.60M	65.38M	750.60M

Nicolet Bankshares Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 118.83
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NIC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 118.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 121.04, above the 50-day MA of 115.99, and above the 200-day MA of 108.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NIC.

Nicolet Bankshares Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
OFG	80 Outperform	$1.87B	9.97	15.46%	2.88%	7.72%	6.82%
NIC	78 Outperform	$1.80B	14.37	11.47%	1.07%	10.78%	28.31%
CASH	71 Outperform	$1.84B	10.40	22.88%	0.26%	3.25%	11.22%
CHCO	70 Outperform	$1.72B	14.89	16.25%	2.66%	8.80%	0.22%
FBNC	69 Neutral	$1.73B	19.74	6.03%	2.11%	-2.00%	-23.83%
MBIN	69 Neutral	$1.50B	6.01	14.81%	1.22%	9.73%	-14.72%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$12.93B	9.81	7.84%	78.03%	12.20%	-7.74%

Nicolet Bankshares Corporate Events

Nicolet Bankshares Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend

On February 25, 2025, Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.28 per share on its common stock, payable on March 17, 2025, to shareholders of record as of March 10, 2025. This announcement reflects Nicolet’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and may enhance its positioning within the financial services industry.