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Nicolet Bankshares (NIC)
NYSE:NIC
US Market

Nicolet Bankshares (NIC) AI Stock Analysis

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NI

Nicolet Bankshares

(NYSE:NIC)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$148.00
â–²(13.78%Upside)
Nicolet Bankshares demonstrates strong financial performance and has recently increased its dividend, indicating confidence in its financial stability. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The stock's valuation is fair, making it a solid, though not exceptional, investment opportunity in the regional banking sector.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
NIC's strong record of accretive acquisitions is highlighted by its expansion and growth in assets from $1.2B to $9.0B since 2016.
Earnings
NIC reported 1Q25 results with EPS of $2.08, surpassing the consensus of $1.96 due to solid loan growth and stable net interest margin.
Negative Factors
Valuation
The premium valuation of NIC represents a higher market price, which might deter some investors looking for undervalued opportunities.

Nicolet Bankshares (NIC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nicolet Bankshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNicolet Bankshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Nicolet National Bank that provides banking products and services for businesses and individuals. The company accepts checking, savings, and money market accounts; various certificates of deposit; and individual retirement accounts. It also offers commercial loans, including commercial, industrial, and business loans and lines of credit; commercial real estate loans; agricultural (AG) production and AG real estate loans; commercial real estate investment real estate loans; construction and land development loans; residential real estate loans, such as residential first lien and junior lien mortgages, home equity loans, lines of credit, and residential construction loans; and consumer loans. In addition, the company provides cash management, international banking, personal brokerage, safe deposit boxes, and trust and fiduciary services, as well as wealth management and retirement plan services. Further, it offers mortgage refinancing; online services, such as commercial, retail, and trust online banking; automated bill payment, mobile banking deposits and account access, and remote deposit capture services; and other services consisting of wire transfers, debit cards, credit cards, pre-paid gift cards, direct deposits, and official bank checks, as well as facilitates crop insurance products. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 52 branches throughout Wisconsin and Michigan. The company was formerly known as Green Bay Financial Corporation and changed its name to Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. in March 2002. Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyNicolet Bankshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and securities, as well as non-interest income from fees and service charges. The interest income is derived from the interest charged on loans to consumers and businesses, including commercial loans, residential mortgages, and personal loans. Additionally, the company earns interest on investments in securities. Non-interest income comes from various fees, such as service charges on deposit accounts, wealth management fees, and mortgage banking revenue. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that expand its market presence and enhance its product offerings. Its ability to attract and retain deposits at competitive rates further supports its lending and investment activities, contributing to its overall earnings.

Nicolet Bankshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nicolet Bankshares showcases robust financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, zero debt, and effective cash management. While the company's balance sheet reflects prudent financial management, the relatively low equity ratio and high reliance on liabilities could present challenges in adverse economic conditions. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the banking industry with favorable growth prospects.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Nicolet Bankshares demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth from $272.5M to $438.4M (60.9% increase) in the latest year. The gross profit margin remains robust at 100%, and net profit margin improved from 22.6% to 28.3%. EBIT margin increased significantly from 40.0% to 98.1%, indicating efficient cost management and operational performance. However, absence of EBITDA data for 2024 limits full profitability analysis.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company exhibits a stable financial position with no total debt, enhancing its risk profile compared to industry peers. Stockholders' equity increased to $1.17B, supporting a healthy equity ratio of 13.3%. Return on equity improved to 10.6%, reflecting better profitability relative to equity. However, the relatively low equity ratio suggests reliance on liabilities, which could pose risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Free cash flow grew from $89.8M to $133.7M (48.9% increase), indicating strong cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.08, suggesting effective cash conversion from earnings. However, cash flow from investing activities shows significant outflows, and the absence of free cash flow to net income ratio limits deeper cash flow analysis.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue422.42M349.12M272.50M297.88M225.32M191.96M
Gross Profit399.10M349.12M412.47M297.88M225.32M191.96M
EBITDA126.54M0.00105.03M147.67M94.98M91.63M
Net Income128.86M124.06M61.52M94.26M60.65M60.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.98B8.80B8.47B8.76B7.70B4.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments943.19M922.36M1.29B1.08B1.54B1.34B
Total Debt0.00161.39M166.93M542.34M216.91M53.87M
Total Liabilities7.79B7.62B7.43B7.79B6.80B4.01B
Stockholders Equity1.18B1.17B1.04B972.53M891.89M539.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow154.92M117.23M89.77M105.16M84.86M68.11M
Operating Cash Flow152.06M133.75M107.97M117.40M97.65M78.90M
Investing Cash Flow-377.51M-288.44M591.46M-516.36M-370.60M-208.70M
Financing Cash Flow370.21M199.30M-362.73M-41.60M65.38M750.60M

Nicolet Bankshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price130.08
Price Trends
50DMA
120.41
Positive
100DMA
116.17
Positive
200DMA
110.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.03
Negative
RSI
72.03
Negative
STOCH
89.48
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NIC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 130.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 120.43, above the 50-day MA of 120.41, and above the 200-day MA of 110.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.03 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.48 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NIC.

Nicolet Bankshares Risk Analysis

Nicolet Bankshares disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nicolet Bankshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nicolet Bankshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NINIC
78
Outperform
$1.96B15.6811.47%0.98%10.78%28.31%
76
Outperform
$1.94B11.0222.88%0.24%3.25%11.22%
OFOFG
76
Outperform
$1.97B10.4915.46%2.74%7.61%6.82%
75
Outperform
$1.83B15.8116.25%2.51%8.80%0.22%
74
Outperform
$1.89B21.576.03%2.02%-2.00%-23.83%
68
Neutral
$1.58B6.3514.81%1.14%9.73%-14.72%
62
Neutral
AU$10.00B7.9510.79%5.23%32.02%38.31%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NIC
Nicolet Bankshares
130.08
50.90
64.28%
CHCO
City Holding Company
127.35
25.60
25.16%
FBNC
First Bancorp
46.86
15.64
50.10%
CASH
Meta Financial Group
82.58
26.23
46.55%
OFG
OFG Bancorp
44.40
8.57
23.92%
MBIN
Merchants Bancorp
35.24
-4.72
-11.81%

Nicolet Bankshares Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsDividends
Nicolet Bankshares Announces Increased Quarterly Dividend
Positive
May 20, 2025

At the annual meeting on May 19, 2025, Nicolet Bankshares‘ shareholders voted on several proposals, including the election of directors and ratification of the selection of Forvis Mazars, LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Additionally, on May 20, 2025, Nicolet announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.32 per share, marking a 14% increase over the previous quarter, payable on June 13, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 2, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (NIC) stock is a Buy with a $124.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nicolet Bankshares stock, see the NIC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025