tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
First Commonwealth Financial (FCF)
:FCF
Advertisement

First Commonwealth (FCF) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
127 Followers

Top Page

FCF

First Commonwealth

(NYSE:FCF)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$18.50
â–²(20.99% Upside)
First Commonwealth's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its score. The company's robust balance sheet and improving cash flow generation support its stability. While technical indicators suggest some bearish momentum, the stock's valuation remains reasonable, with an attractive dividend yield. Challenges such as fraud impact and potential margin pressure are noted but do not significantly detract from the overall positive outlook.

First Commonwealth (FCF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Commonwealth Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Commonwealth Financial Corporation (FCF) is a financial services holding company headquartered in Indiana, Pennsylvania. Operating primarily in the banking sector, FCF provides a wide range of financial products and services through its various subsidiaries. These offerings include commercial and retail banking, mortgage lending, investment services, and insurance products. The company serves individual consumers, small to medium-sized businesses, and larger corporate clients across its regional footprint, primarily in Pennsylvania and Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Commonwealth generates revenue primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is derived from the loans it extends to customers, including personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans, as well as interest earned on securities in its investment portfolio. Non-interest income comes from various sources, including fees for services such as account maintenance, ATM transactions, wealth management, and insurance services. Additionally, FCF benefits from partnerships with other financial institutions and service providers, which can enhance its product offerings and customer reach. The company also focuses on cross-selling its products to existing customers, thereby increasing customer retention and overall profitability.

First Commonwealth Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with improvements in key financial metrics, deposit and loan growth, and successful acquisition performance. However, challenges such as the dealer floor plan fraud and potential net interest margin pressure due to rate cuts and seasonal factors are noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Financial Metrics
Return on assets improved to 1.34% and core pretax, pre-provision ROA grew 10 basis points to 2.05%. Net interest margin expanded 9 basis points to 3.92%.
Deposit and Loan Growth
Average deposits increased 4%, while loans grew by $137 million or 5.7% despite commercial real estate payoff headwinds.
Efficiency Ratio Improvement
The efficiency ratio improved to 52.3% from 54.1% in the previous quarter, indicating good expense control.
Tangible Book Value Growth
Tangible book value grew 11.6% annualized on a linked-quarter basis and 9.1% year-over-year.
Successful Center Bank Acquisition
The acquisition in Cincinnati is exceeding customer retention expectations, aiding regional expansion.
Negative Updates
Dealer Floor Plan Fraud Impact
$5.5 million was charged off and an additional $3.1 million added to reserves due to a dealer floor plan fraud, leading to a net provision impact of $4.4 million.
Net Charge-Off Increase
Net charge-offs for the quarter were $12.2 million, driven by the dealer floor plan charge-off and $2.8 million from the sale of Center Bank loans.
Potential NIM Pressure
The net interest margin may face short-term downward pressure due to potential Fed rate cuts and seasonal deposit decline.
Company Guidance
During the First Commonwealth Financial Corporation's third-quarter conference call, several key financial metrics were highlighted. The return on assets improved to 1.34%, while the core pre-tax, pre-provision ROA increased by 10 basis points to 2.05%. The net interest margin expanded by 9 basis points to 3.92%. Average deposits rose by 4%, with the cost of deposits decreasing by 7 basis points to 1.84%. Loan growth was robust, up $137 million or 5.7%, with significant contributions from various sectors such as equipment finance and home equity lending. The efficiency ratio improved to 52.3% from the previous quarter's 54.1%. Tangible book value grew by 11.6% annualized on a linked-quarter basis. On the credit front, core provision expenses increased by $2.4 million, reaching $11.3 million, while net charge-offs for the quarter were $12.2 million. The company also reported a decrease in nonperforming loans to 0.91% from 1.04% in the prior quarter. These figures underscore the corporation's effective pricing discipline and strategic growth initiatives.

First Commonwealth Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Commonwealth demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong margins. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, providing financial stability. Cash flow generation is improving, although there is a slight decline in the conversion of earnings to cash. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the regional banking sector, with opportunities to enhance profitability and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
First Commonwealth shows a consistent revenue growth trend with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.11%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 64.31% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 18.94% TTM from 20.38% in the previous year, suggesting some pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.018 TTM, indicating strong financial stability and low leverage risk. Return on equity is modest at 3.25% TTM, showing room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is robust, reflecting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.68 TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow growth is positive at 4.37% TTM, showing improvement in cash flow generation. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower at 0.89 TTM compared to previous periods, suggesting some challenges in converting earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue707.59M699.69M626.61M428.66M400.60M395.69M
Gross Profit455.07M448.95M467.47M389.82M386.67M306.03M
EBITDA174.65M184.01M201.66M170.74M184.26M101.86M
Net Income134.03M142.57M157.06M128.18M138.26M73.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.24B11.58B11.46B9.81B9.55B9.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.27B1.28B1.17B916.90M1.44B1.19B
Total Debt532.43M343.12M784.59M553.92M320.58M350.63M
Total Liabilities10.72B10.18B10.15B8.75B8.44B8.00B
Stockholders Equity1.52B1.41B1.31B1.05B1.11B1.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow135.87M113.92M128.72M140.21M154.41M98.08M
Operating Cash Flow153.42M129.46M150.76M151.41M165.05M105.70M
Investing Cash Flow-323.80M-121.72M-574.27M-588.79M-565.30M-483.14M
Financing Cash Flow142.25M-21.32M416.26M196.25M439.05M612.16M

First Commonwealth Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.29
Price Trends
50DMA
16.62
Negative
100DMA
16.53
Negative
200DMA
15.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Negative
RSI
45.79
Neutral
STOCH
42.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.82, below the 50-day MA of 16.62, and below the 200-day MA of 15.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FCF.

First Commonwealth Risk Analysis

First Commonwealth disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Commonwealth reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Commonwealth Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.81B9.2214.82%2.94%3.98%6.75%
74
Outperform
$1.73B13.8416.42%2.69%6.09%11.49%
74
Outperform
$1.56B8.7321.81%0.29%7.80%19.38%
72
Outperform
$1.65B11.349.71%3.40%3.83%―
71
Outperform
$1.71B13.366.55%6.83%15.94%16.17%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
$1.66B14.377.25%3.50%-1.28%32.40%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCF
First Commonwealth
15.75
-2.85
-15.32%
CHCO
City Holding Company
120.29
-10.45
-7.99%
CASH
Pathward Financial
68.68
-12.65
-15.55%
NWBI
Northwest Bancshares
11.72
-2.29
-16.35%
OFG
OFG Bancorp
40.55
-3.17
-7.25%
VBTX
Veritex
30.26
0.65
2.20%

First Commonwealth Corporate Events

First Commonwealth Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

First Commonwealth Financial Corporation, headquartered in Indiana, Pennsylvania, operates as a financial services company providing a range of banking, mortgage, and insurance products through its subsidiaries.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
First Commonwealth Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, First Commonwealth Financial Corporation announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a GAAP net income of $41.3 million, which marks an increase from both the previous quarter and the same quarter in 2024. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.135 per share, reflecting its strong financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders. This announcement underscores First Commonwealth’s solid financial positioning and its ability to generate consistent earnings growth, which is likely to positively impact its stakeholders and enhance its competitive stance in the financial services industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCF) stock is a Buy with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Commonwealth stock, see the FCF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
First Commonwealth Promotes Michael McCuen to Chief Banking Officer
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Jane Grebenc, Executive Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer of First Commonwealth Financial Corporation, announced her intention to retire in the first quarter of 2026. Subsequently, on August 4, 2025, Michael P. McCuen was promoted to Chief Banking Officer, indicating a strategic leadership transition within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCF) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Commonwealth stock, see the FCF Stock Forecast page.

First Commonwealth Financial’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

The latest earnings call for First Commonwealth Financial Corporation painted a generally positive picture, highlighting significant achievements in key financial metrics. The company reported strong earnings per share, net interest margin expansion, and robust growth in both loans and deposits. Despite these successes, concerns were raised regarding an increase in nonperforming loans and provision expenses. The successful integration of the CenterBank acquisition and impressive fee income growth further contributed to the positive sentiment expressed during the call.

First Commonwealth Financial Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 31, 2025

First Commonwealth Financial Corporation, headquartered in Indiana, Pennsylvania, operates as a financial services company offering a range of commercial banking, consumer banking, mortgage, equipment finance, wealth management, and insurance products and services across Pennsylvania and Ohio.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025