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First Commonwealth Financial (FCF)
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First Commonwealth (FCF) AI Stock Analysis

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FCF

First Commonwealth

(NYSE:FCF)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(10.98% Upside)
First Commonwealth Financial Corporation's solid financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of the score. The stock's fair valuation and neutral technical indicators provide additional support, though concerns about nonperforming loans slightly weigh on the overall outlook.

First Commonwealth (FCF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Commonwealth Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Commonwealth Financial Corporation, a financial holding company, provides various consumer and commercial banking services in the United States. Its consumer services include personal checking accounts, interest-earning checking accounts, savings and health savings accounts, insured money market accounts, debit cards, investment certificates, fixed and variable rate certificates of deposit, mortgage loans, secured and unsecured installment loans, construction and real estate loans, safe deposit facilities, credit cards, credit lines with overdraft checking protection, IRA accounts, and automated teller machine (atm) services, as well as internet, mobile, and telephone banking services. The company's commercial banking services comprise commercial lending, business checking accounts, online account management services, payroll direct deposits, commercial cash management services, and repurchase agreements, as well as ACH origination services. It also offers various trust and asset management services; auto, home, and business insurance, as well as term life insurance; and annuities, mutual funds, and stock and bond brokerage services through a broker-dealer and insurance brokers. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 118 community banking offices in western and central Pennsylvania, as well as northeastern, central, and southwestern Ohio; corporate banking centers in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, as well as Columbus, Canton, and Cleveland, Ohio; and mortgage banking offices in Wexford, Pennsylvania, and Hudson, Westlake, as well as Lewis Center, Ohio. It also operates 136 automated teller machines. First Commonwealth Financial Corporation was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Indiana, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Commonwealth generates revenue primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is derived from the loans it extends to customers, including personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans, as well as interest earned on securities in its investment portfolio. Non-interest income comes from various sources, including fees for services such as account maintenance, ATM transactions, wealth management, and insurance services. Additionally, FCF benefits from partnerships with other financial institutions and service providers, which can enhance its product offerings and customer reach. The company also focuses on cross-selling its products to existing customers, thereby increasing customer retention and overall profitability.

First Commonwealth Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook for First Commonwealth Financial Corporation, with significant achievements in earnings per share, net interest margin expansion, and both loan and deposit growth. However, the increase in nonperforming loans and provision expenses were notable concerns. The successful integration of the CenterBank acquisition and robust fee income growth further contributed to a positive sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share Surpasses Estimates
Core earnings per share of $0.38 surpassed consensus estimates by $0.03, improving from $0.32 in the previous quarter.
Significant Net Interest Margin Expansion
Net interest margin expanded by 21 basis points from 3.62% to 3.83% due to improved loan yields and lower deposit costs.
Strong Loan and Deposit Growth
Loan growth at 8.1% annualized and deposits grew 9% year-to-date, reaching $10.1 billion.
Successful Integration of Acquisition
The integration of CenterBank added $295 million in loans and $278 million in deposits, enhancing the company's presence in Cincinnati.
Robust Fee Income Growth
Noninterest income increased by $2.1 million to $24.7 million, driven by mortgage, SBA, interchange, and wealth management.
Negative Updates
Increase in Nonperforming Loans
Nonperforming loans increased by $40.1 million due to a single commercial floorplan loan moved to nonaccrual status.
Loan Charge-offs and Provision Expense
Provision expense was $12.6 million, with $3.8 million tied to the CenterBank acquisition, and $2.6 million in specific reserves for problematic loans.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, First Commonwealth Financial Corporation reported strong financial performance with several key metrics surpassing expectations. The core earnings per share came in at $0.38, exceeding consensus estimates by $0.03 and improving from the previous quarter's $0.32. Core return on assets was recorded at 1.31%, while the core pretax pre-provision ROA stood at 1.95%, accompanied by a core efficiency ratio of 54.1%. The net interest margin expanded significantly, rising from 3.62% in the first quarter to 3.83% in the second quarter, mainly due to improved loan yields and lower deposit costs. This expansion, along with an annualized 8.1% growth in loans, increased net interest income by $10.7 million to reach $106.2 million. Total deposits grew by 9% year-to-date, hitting $10.1 billion, driven by strong performances in key geographic markets, including Ohio and Pennsylvania. Noninterest income also saw an uptick, increasing by $2.1 million to $24.7 million, bolstered by mortgage, SBA, interchange, wealth, and other service charges. Looking ahead, the company anticipates continued momentum supported by disciplined execution and strategic acquisitions.

First Commonwealth Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Commonwealth demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability, effective balance sheet management, and robust cash flow generation. While the company exhibits strengths in revenue growth and leverage management, there is room for improvement in operational efficiency and return on equity.
Income Statement
78
Positive
First Commonwealth has demonstrated strong revenue growth and profitability. The TTM data shows a solid gross profit margin of 98.5% and a net profit margin of 31.3%. Revenue growth has been steady, indicating robust business operations. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity base with an equity ratio of 100%. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.65, indicating prudent financial leverage management. However, the return on equity is moderate at 11.7%, suggesting room to improve shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow remains healthy, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. Free cash flow is positive, supporting potential reinvestment and debt servicing. However, fluctuations in investing and financing cash flows suggest potential volatility in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue699.80M699.69M626.61M428.66M400.60M395.69M
Gross Profit449.11M448.95M467.47M389.82M386.67M306.03M
EBITDA179.10M184.01M201.66M170.74M184.26M101.86M
Net Income137.72M142.57M157.06M128.18M138.26M73.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.79B11.58B11.46B9.81B9.55B9.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.23B1.28B1.17B916.90M1.44B1.19B
Total Debt340.19M343.12M784.59M553.92M320.58M350.63M
Total Liabilities10.34B10.18B10.15B8.75B8.44B8.00B
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.41B1.31B1.05B1.11B1.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow130.18M113.92M128.72M140.21M154.41M98.08M
Operating Cash Flow145.70M129.46M150.76M151.41M165.05M105.70M
Investing Cash Flow-271.04M-121.72M-574.27M-588.79M-565.30M-483.14M
Financing Cash Flow-43.67M-21.32M416.26M196.25M439.05M612.16M

First Commonwealth Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.67
Price Trends
50DMA
16.27
Positive
100DMA
15.69
Positive
200DMA
16.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
54.41
Neutral
STOCH
82.80
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.43, above the 50-day MA of 16.27, and above the 200-day MA of 16.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCF.

First Commonwealth Risk Analysis

First Commonwealth disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Commonwealth reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Commonwealth Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.11B16.298.17%-7.45%-45.67%
75
Outperform
$1.78B10.878.96%6.66%14.86%40.09%
74
Outperform
$1.74B12.759.31%3.18%4.57%-15.68%
74
Outperform
$2.19B22.526.53%1.70%-2.04%-14.82%
72
Outperform
$1.61B17.1413.86%3.18%-1.41%-6.42%
67
Neutral
¥836.32B13.019.24%3.02%7.93%10.80%
53
Neutral
$1.53B241.930.57%-0.90%-67.89%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCF
First Commonwealth
16.67
0.71
4.45%
FBNC
First Bancorp
52.22
11.28
27.55%
LKFN
Lakeland Financial
62.24
0.12
0.19%
NWBI
Northwest Bancshares
12.02
-0.58
-4.60%
CUBI
Customers Bancorp
65.88
17.22
35.39%
CLBK
Columbia Financial
14.54
-2.73
-15.81%

First Commonwealth Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
First Commonwealth Promotes Michael McCuen to Chief Banking Officer
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Jane Grebenc, Executive Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer of First Commonwealth Financial Corporation, announced her intention to retire in the first quarter of 2026. Subsequently, on August 4, 2025, Michael P. McCuen was promoted to Chief Banking Officer, indicating a strategic leadership transition within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCF) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Commonwealth stock, see the FCF Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
First Commonwealth Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 29, 2025, First Commonwealth Financial Corporation announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a net income of $33.4 million, which is a slight increase from the previous quarter but a decrease from the same period in 2024. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.135 per share, reflecting its continued commitment to returning value to shareholders. The financial results showed an increase in core net income and net interest income compared to both the previous quarter and the second quarter of 2024, highlighting the company’s strong operational performance despite challenges such as reduced card-related interchange income due to regulatory changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCF) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Commonwealth stock, see the FCF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025