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First Commonwealth Financial (FCF)
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First Commonwealth (FCF) AI Stock Analysis

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FCF

First Commonwealth

(NYSE:FCF)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(20.99% Upside)
First Commonwealth Financial Corporation exhibits strong financial performance and a positive earnings call outlook, which are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis suggests a neutral market sentiment, while the valuation is fair with an attractive dividend yield. The company faces some challenges, such as potential net interest margin pressure and recent fraud impacts, but overall, it remains well-positioned in its sector.
Positive Factors
Loan and Deposit Growth
Strong loan and deposit growth indicates robust demand for FCF's financial services, enhancing revenue potential and market position.
Efficiency Ratio Improvement
Improved efficiency ratio reflects effective cost management, which can sustain profitability and competitive advantage in the long term.
Board of Directors Appointment
New board appointment can bring fresh perspectives and strategic guidance, potentially strengthening governance and long-term strategic direction.
Negative Factors
Dealer Floor Plan Fraud Impact
Fraud impacts highlight potential weaknesses in risk management, which could affect trust and financial stability if not addressed.
Net Charge-Off Increase
Increased charge-offs may indicate rising credit risk, which could pressure future earnings and necessitate higher provisions.
Potential Net Interest Margin Pressure
Potential margin pressure from rate cuts could reduce profitability, challenging FCF's ability to maintain earnings growth.

First Commonwealth (FCF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Commonwealth Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Commonwealth Financial Corporation, a financial holding company, provides various consumer and commercial banking services in the United States. Its consumer services include personal checking accounts, interest-earning checking accounts, savings and health savings accounts, insured money market accounts, debit cards, investment certificates, fixed and variable rate certificates of deposit, mortgage loans, secured and unsecured installment loans, construction and real estate loans, safe deposit facilities, credit cards, credit lines with overdraft checking protection, IRA accounts, and automated teller machine (atm) services, as well as internet, mobile, and telephone banking services. The company's commercial banking services comprise commercial lending, business checking accounts, online account management services, payroll direct deposits, commercial cash management services, and repurchase agreements, as well as ACH origination services. It also offers various trust and asset management services; auto, home, and business insurance, as well as term life insurance; and annuities, mutual funds, and stock and bond brokerage services through a broker-dealer and insurance brokers. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 118 community banking offices in western and central Pennsylvania, as well as northeastern, central, and southwestern Ohio; corporate banking centers in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, as well as Columbus, Canton, and Cleveland, Ohio; and mortgage banking offices in Wexford, Pennsylvania, and Hudson, Westlake, as well as Lewis Center, Ohio. It also operates 136 automated teller machines. First Commonwealth Financial Corporation was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Indiana, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Commonwealth generates revenue through various key streams primarily centered around interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is earned from loans and mortgages issued to customers, which typically constitutes the largest portion of its revenue. This includes commercial loans, consumer loans, and mortgage loans. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income through fees associated with its banking services, which may include account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and service charges. Wealth management services contribute to non-interest income as well, providing financial advisory services, asset management, and trust services. Furthermore, First Commonwealth may engage in partnerships with other financial institutions and service providers to enhance its product offerings and expand its customer base, which can also contribute to its overall earnings.

First Commonwealth Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with improvements in key financial metrics, deposit and loan growth, and successful acquisition performance. However, challenges such as the dealer floor plan fraud and potential net interest margin pressure due to rate cuts and seasonal factors are noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Financial Metrics
Return on assets improved to 1.34% and core pretax, pre-provision ROA grew 10 basis points to 2.05%. Net interest margin expanded 9 basis points to 3.92%.
Deposit and Loan Growth
Average deposits increased 4%, while loans grew by $137 million or 5.7% despite commercial real estate payoff headwinds.
Efficiency Ratio Improvement
The efficiency ratio improved to 52.3% from 54.1% in the previous quarter, indicating good expense control.
Tangible Book Value Growth
Tangible book value grew 11.6% annualized on a linked-quarter basis and 9.1% year-over-year.
Successful Center Bank Acquisition
The acquisition in Cincinnati is exceeding customer retention expectations, aiding regional expansion.
Negative Updates
Dealer Floor Plan Fraud Impact
$5.5 million was charged off and an additional $3.1 million added to reserves due to a dealer floor plan fraud, leading to a net provision impact of $4.4 million.
Net Charge-Off Increase
Net charge-offs for the quarter were $12.2 million, driven by the dealer floor plan charge-off and $2.8 million from the sale of Center Bank loans.
Potential NIM Pressure
The net interest margin may face short-term downward pressure due to potential Fed rate cuts and seasonal deposit decline.
Company Guidance
During the First Commonwealth Financial Corporation's third-quarter conference call, several key financial metrics were highlighted. The return on assets improved to 1.34%, while the core pre-tax, pre-provision ROA increased by 10 basis points to 2.05%. The net interest margin expanded by 9 basis points to 3.92%. Average deposits rose by 4%, with the cost of deposits decreasing by 7 basis points to 1.84%. Loan growth was robust, up $137 million or 5.7%, with significant contributions from various sectors such as equipment finance and home equity lending. The efficiency ratio improved to 52.3% from the previous quarter's 54.1%. Tangible book value grew by 11.6% annualized on a linked-quarter basis. On the credit front, core provision expenses increased by $2.4 million, reaching $11.3 million, while net charge-offs for the quarter were $12.2 million. The company also reported a decrease in nonperforming loans to 0.91% from 1.04% in the prior quarter. These figures underscore the corporation's effective pricing discipline and strategic growth initiatives.

First Commonwealth Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Commonwealth demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet is robust, characterized by low leverage and a strong equity position. Cash flow generation is stable, though there is room for improvement in cash flow flexibility. The company is well-positioned in the regional banking sector, but should monitor cost management to maintain margins.
Income Statement
75
Positive
First Commonwealth shows a solid revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.21%. The company maintains healthy margins, with a TTM gross profit margin of 62.24% and a net profit margin of 25.89%. However, there is a slight decline in gross profit margin compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 0.012, indicating minimal leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is modest at 3.44%, suggesting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is high, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of 7.11%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating robust cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.97 suggests limited cash flow flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue716.13M699.69M626.61M428.66M400.60M395.69M
Gross Profit469.13M448.95M467.47M389.82M386.67M306.03M
EBITDA186.43M184.01M201.66M170.74M184.26M101.86M
Net Income143.28M142.57M157.06M128.18M138.26M73.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.31B11.58B11.46B9.81B9.55B9.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B1.28B1.17B916.90M1.44B1.19B
Total Debt411.61M343.12M784.59M553.92M320.58M350.63M
Total Liabilities10.77B10.18B10.15B8.75B8.44B8.00B
Stockholders Equity1.54B1.41B1.31B1.05B1.11B1.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow145.53M113.92M128.72M140.21M154.41M98.08M
Operating Cash Flow149.31M129.46M150.76M151.41M165.05M105.70M
Investing Cash Flow-416.12M-121.72M-574.27M-588.79M-565.30M-483.14M
Financing Cash Flow-154.09M-21.32M416.26M196.25M439.05M612.16M

First Commonwealth Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.29
Price Trends
50DMA
16.17
Positive
100DMA
16.50
Negative
200DMA
15.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
57.25
Neutral
STOCH
76.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.86, below the 50-day MA of 16.17, and below the 200-day MA of 15.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCF.

First Commonwealth Risk Analysis

First Commonwealth disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Commonwealth reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Commonwealth Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.77B9.1314.82%2.94%3.98%6.75%
74
Outperform
$1.62B9.2321.81%0.30%7.80%19.38%
72
Outperform
$1.71B11.889.71%3.26%3.80%-6.23%
69
Neutral
$1.76B13.686.55%6.64%15.86%16.50%
68
Neutral
$1.75B14.0116.42%2.66%6.09%11.49%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
7.25%3.50%-1.28%32.40%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCF
First Commonwealth
16.50
-1.59
-8.79%
CHCO
City Holding Company
121.27
-5.44
-4.29%
CASH
Pathward Financial
72.23
-10.53
-12.72%
NWBI
Northwest Bancshares
12.26
-1.33
-9.79%
OFG
OFG Bancorp
40.04
-3.87
-8.81%
VBTX
Veritex
30.26
1.15
3.95%

First Commonwealth Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
First Commonwealth Appoints Joseph DiVito Jr. as Director
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 1, 2025, First Commonwealth Financial Corporation appointed Joseph V. DiVito Jr. as a new director on its Board, expanding the board from 12 to 13 members. DiVito, who brings extensive expertise in information technology, cybersecurity, and regulatory compliance, will serve on the Audit and Risk Committees. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s governance and risk management capabilities, reflecting First Commonwealth’s commitment to navigating the complex financial and digital landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCF) stock is a Buy with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Commonwealth stock, see the FCF Stock Forecast page.

First Commonwealth Financial’s Positive Earnings Call Highlights
Oct 31, 2025

The latest earnings call from First Commonwealth Financial reflects a generally positive sentiment, with notable improvements in key financial metrics, deposit and loan growth, and successful acquisition performance. Despite these positive developments, the company faces challenges such as dealer floor plan fraud and potential net interest margin pressure due to rate cuts and seasonal factors.

First Commonwealth Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

First Commonwealth Financial Corporation, headquartered in Indiana, Pennsylvania, operates as a financial services company providing a range of banking, mortgage, and insurance products through its subsidiaries.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
First Commonwealth Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, First Commonwealth Financial Corporation announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a GAAP net income of $41.3 million, which marks an increase from both the previous quarter and the same quarter in 2024. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.135 per share, reflecting its strong financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders. This announcement underscores First Commonwealth’s solid financial positioning and its ability to generate consistent earnings growth, which is likely to positively impact its stakeholders and enhance its competitive stance in the financial services industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCF) stock is a Buy with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Commonwealth stock, see the FCF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025