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Northwest Bancshares (NWBI)
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Northwest Bancshares (NWBI) AI Stock Analysis

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NWBI

Northwest Bancshares

(NASDAQ:NWBI)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(14.70% Upside)
Northwest Bancshares' strong financial performance and successful merger integration are key strengths, contributing to a positive outlook. The attractive dividend yield and reasonable valuation further enhance its appeal. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and rising non-performing assets pose risks that need monitoring.
Positive Factors
Successful Merger Integration
The successful integration of the Penns Woods merger enhances Northwest Bancshares' market position and operational scale, supporting long-term growth and efficiency improvements.
Record Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for services and effective business strategies, positioning the company well for continued financial performance.
Strong Capital and Liquidity Position
A solid capital and liquidity position ensures financial stability and the capacity to withstand economic fluctuations, supporting long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Increased Non-Performing Assets
Rising non-performing assets can strain financial resources and increase risk, potentially impacting profitability and requiring careful management.
Rising Loan Delinquencies
An increase in loan delinquencies may signal underlying credit quality issues, necessitating enhanced risk management to prevent future losses.
Declining Free Cash Flow Growth
A decline in free cash flow growth could limit the company's ability to invest in new opportunities and maintain financial flexibility, impacting long-term growth.

Northwest Bancshares (NWBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Northwest Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorthwest Bancshares (NWBI) is a financial holding company headquartered in Warren, Pennsylvania, primarily engaged in the business of banking and financial services. The company operates through its subsidiary, Northwest Bank, which offers a wide range of services including personal and business banking, wealth management, insurance, and investment services. With a focus on community banking, Northwest Bancshares serves customers across Pennsylvania, Ohio, and New York, emphasizing local relationships and customer service.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorthwest Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from service fees and other financial services. Key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and consumer loans, mortgage loans, and investment securities. Non-interest income is derived from fees associated with deposit accounts, wealth management services, and insurance products. The company also benefits from partnerships with local businesses and organizations, enhancing its community presence and customer base. Additionally, prudent management of its loan portfolio and investment strategies plays a critical role in optimizing earnings and minimizing risk.

Northwest Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Northwest Bancshares had a strong quarter with successful integration of the Penns Woods merger and record revenue growth. However, challenges such as increased non-performing assets and rising delinquencies were noted. The company's strong capital and liquidity position, along with improved net interest margins, contribute to a positive outlook despite these challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Completion of Penns Woods Merger
The Penns Woods merger was closed, marking the largest transaction in the company's history. The integration, including customer and data conversion, was completed successfully, with deal synergies meeting or exceeding expectations.
Record Revenue Achievement
Northwest Bancshares achieved a record revenue of $168 million for the third quarter, marking a more than 20% year-over-year growth.
Strong Commercial C&I Growth
The company delivered over 25% year-over-year average growth in commercial C&I loans, driven by strategic rebalancing and growth in specialty verticals and SBA lending.
Improved Net Interest Margin
Net interest margin improved by 9 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 3.65%, benefiting from higher average loan yields and purchase accounting accretion.
Solid Capital and Liquidity Position
The company reported a strong liquidity position, covering approximately 250% of uninsured deposits, and a CET1 ratio of 12.3%, well above regulatory requirements.
Negative Updates
Increased Non-Performing Assets
NPAs increased by $26.3 million, with $17 million attributed to acquired loans, raising NPAs as a percentage of loans plus OREO to 100 basis points.
Rising Loan Delinquencies
30-day plus loan delinquencies increased slightly from 1% to 1.10%, primarily from administrative issues related to acquired consumer loans.
Merger and Restructuring Charges
The third quarter GAAP EPS was impacted by merger and restructuring charges, reducing it to $0.02 per share.
Potential Higher Charge-offs
Net charge-offs were within guidance but could reach up to $13 million in Q4, reflecting ongoing work through the criticized and classified loan book.
Company Guidance
During Northwest Bancshares' Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance that highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The merger with Penns Woods significantly enhanced the balance sheet, resulting in $16.4 billion in total assets, $13.7 billion in deposits, and $12.9 billion in loans at quarter-end. The company achieved a record revenue of $168 million, marking a 20% year-over-year growth, with a net interest margin improvement to 3.65%. Adjusted EPS increased by 21% over the past nine months. Credit management showed progress, with a decrease of $74 million in legacy classified loans. The company maintained a strong capital position with a CET1 ratio of 12.3% and a TCE ratio of 8.6%. They also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.20, translating to a 6.5% annualized yield. Looking ahead, they plan to open new financial centers in Columbus and Indianapolis, aiming for sustainable and profitable growth with tight control over expenses and risk management.

Northwest Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Northwest Bancshares demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and profitability margins. The balance sheet reflects a conservative approach to leverage, enhancing financial stability. However, declining free cash flow growth and potential cost pressures on margins warrant careful monitoring.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Northwest Bancshares shows a solid revenue growth rate of 5.64% TTM, with improving margins. The gross profit margin is strong at 68.30%, and the net profit margin has increased to 17.52% TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 TTM, reflecting prudent financial management. Return on equity is moderate at 8.89%, indicating decent profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over time could be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.98% TTM, indicating potential cash flow challenges. Free cash flow growth has declined significantly by 30.19% TTM, which could impact future investments. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 95.25%, showing efficient cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue818.91M754.09M700.05M558.36M534.14M563.06M
Gross Profit559.31M495.96M524.94M501.41M522.68M436.74M
EBITDA198.51M150.89M199.57M179.31M207.76M97.26M
Net Income143.50M100.28M134.96M133.67M154.32M74.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.49B14.41B14.42B14.11B14.50B13.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.46B1.40B1.17B1.36B2.83B2.14B
Total Debt442.69M444.70M642.66M924.32M391.72M411.84M
Total Liabilities12.84B12.81B12.87B12.62B12.92B12.27B
Stockholders Equity1.64B1.60B1.55B1.49B1.58B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow115.82M125.36M84.33M171.11M187.94M128.18M
Operating Cash Flow121.59M127.67M92.89M175.43M205.46M140.44M
Investing Cash Flow-48.64M174.97M-239.68M-917.42M-232.97M-560.58M
Financing Cash Flow-34.31M-136.52M129.69M-397.90M570.49M1.10B

Northwest Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.77
Price Trends
50DMA
12.14
Negative
100DMA
12.18
Negative
200DMA
11.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
45.28
Neutral
STOCH
17.83
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NWBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.91, below the 50-day MA of 12.14, and below the 200-day MA of 11.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NWBI.

Northwest Bancshares Risk Analysis

Northwest Bancshares disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Northwest Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Northwest Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.81B9.2114.82%2.94%3.98%6.75%
74
Outperform
$1.73B13.8416.42%2.69%6.09%11.49%
74
Outperform
$1.56B8.7321.81%0.29%7.80%19.38%
72
Outperform
$1.65B11.349.71%3.40%3.83%
71
Outperform
$1.71B13.366.55%6.83%15.94%16.17%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
$1.66B14.377.25%3.50%-1.28%32.40%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NWBI
Northwest Bancshares
11.72
-2.29
-16.35%
CHCO
City Holding Company
120.29
-10.45
-7.99%
FCF
First Commonwealth
15.75
-2.85
-15.32%
CASH
Pathward Financial
68.68
-12.65
-15.55%
OFG
OFG Bancorp
40.55
-3.17
-7.25%
VBTX
Veritex
30.26
0.65
2.20%

Northwest Bancshares Corporate Events

Northwest Bancshares Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 29, 2025

Northwest Bancshares, Inc., headquartered in Columbus, Ohio, is a bank holding company for Northwest Bank, which offers a comprehensive range of business and personal banking services, as well as employee benefits and wealth management services across Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, and Indiana. The company’s stock is listed on Nasdaq under the ticker NWBI.

Northwest Bancshares’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Oct 29, 2025

Northwest Bancshares’ recent earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment, underscored by the successful integration of the Penns Woods merger and record revenue growth. Despite facing challenges such as increased non-performing assets and rising delinquencies, the company remains optimistic due to its strong capital and liquidity position, along with improved net interest margins.

Northwest Bancshares Reports Strong Revenue Growth
Jul 31, 2025

Northwest Bancshares, Inc., headquartered in Columbus, Ohio, is a bank holding company for Northwest Bank, providing a wide range of financial services including personal and business banking, employee benefits, and wealth management across several states. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, Northwest Bancshares announced a net income of $34 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, marking a significant increase from the same quarter last year. The company also highlighted a 54% growth in total revenue and a 12% increase in net interest income compared to the previous year. Key financial metrics revealed a strong net interest margin of 3.56%, and a notable 19% growth in commercial C&I lending over the past year. The successful completion of the Penns Woods merger was also a significant milestone for the company. Despite a decrease in net income from the previous quarter, the company maintained its commitment to shareholder returns by declaring a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share. Looking ahead, Northwest Bancshares remains focused on optimizing operations post-merger and expanding its footprint through new branch openings, while continuing to evaluate strategic acquisition opportunities.

Northwest Bancshares’ Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

Northwest Bancshares’ recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic success, tempered by some emerging challenges. The company showcased strong revenue growth and successful merger execution, which were key highlights of the call. However, concerns over increased classified loans and noninterest expenses, along with potential issues with non-performing assets, were also discussed, indicating areas that require attention.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025