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Northwest Bancshares (NWBI)
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Northwest Bancshares (NWBI) AI Stock Analysis

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NWBI

Northwest Bancshares

(NASDAQ:NWBI)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(6.20% Upside)
Northwest Bancshares' overall score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation, supported by a positive earnings call. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and liquidity concerns from declining cash flow metrics present risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for the company's services and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Successful Merger Integration
Successful integration of the Penns Woods merger enhances the company's market position and operational scale, providing a foundation for future growth.
Strong Capital Position
A strong capital and liquidity position ensures the company can withstand economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Increased Non-Performing Assets
Rising non-performing assets can strain financial resources and indicate potential issues in credit quality, impacting long-term profitability.
Rising Loan Delinquencies
Increased loan delinquencies may signal underlying credit risk issues, potentially leading to higher future losses and impacting financial stability.
Declining Cash Flow Metrics
Declining cash flow metrics can limit the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, posing a risk to long-term sustainability.

Northwest Bancshares (NWBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Northwest Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorthwest Bancshares, Inc. (NWBI) is a financial holding company headquartered in Warren, Pennsylvania, operating primarily through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Northwest Bank. The company provides a range of financial services, including retail and commercial banking, investment management, and insurance products. Northwest Bank serves customers across Pennsylvania, Ohio, and New York, offering core products such as savings and checking accounts, loans, mortgages, and wealth management services.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorthwest Bancshares generates revenue primarily through net interest income and non-interest income. The key revenue stream is net interest income, which is derived from the difference between the interest earned on loans and investments and the interest paid on deposits and borrowings. This includes various loan products such as commercial, residential, and consumer loans. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income through fees from wealth management services, insurance products, and transaction fees associated with deposit accounts. Significant partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its customer base and service offerings, contributing to overall earnings growth.

Northwest Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Northwest Bancshares had a strong quarter with successful integration of the Penns Woods merger and record revenue growth. However, challenges such as increased non-performing assets and rising delinquencies were noted. The company's strong capital and liquidity position, along with improved net interest margins, contribute to a positive outlook despite these challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Completion of Penns Woods Merger
The Penns Woods merger was closed, marking the largest transaction in the company's history. The integration, including customer and data conversion, was completed successfully, with deal synergies meeting or exceeding expectations.
Record Revenue Achievement
Northwest Bancshares achieved a record revenue of $168 million for the third quarter, marking a more than 20% year-over-year growth.
Strong Commercial C&I Growth
The company delivered over 25% year-over-year average growth in commercial C&I loans, driven by strategic rebalancing and growth in specialty verticals and SBA lending.
Improved Net Interest Margin
Net interest margin improved by 9 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 3.65%, benefiting from higher average loan yields and purchase accounting accretion.
Solid Capital and Liquidity Position
The company reported a strong liquidity position, covering approximately 250% of uninsured deposits, and a CET1 ratio of 12.3%, well above regulatory requirements.
Negative Updates
Increased Non-Performing Assets
NPAs increased by $26.3 million, with $17 million attributed to acquired loans, raising NPAs as a percentage of loans plus OREO to 100 basis points.
Rising Loan Delinquencies
30-day plus loan delinquencies increased slightly from 1% to 1.10%, primarily from administrative issues related to acquired consumer loans.
Merger and Restructuring Charges
The third quarter GAAP EPS was impacted by merger and restructuring charges, reducing it to $0.02 per share.
Potential Higher Charge-offs
Net charge-offs were within guidance but could reach up to $13 million in Q4, reflecting ongoing work through the criticized and classified loan book.
Company Guidance
During Northwest Bancshares' Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance that highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The merger with Penns Woods significantly enhanced the balance sheet, resulting in $16.4 billion in total assets, $13.7 billion in deposits, and $12.9 billion in loans at quarter-end. The company achieved a record revenue of $168 million, marking a 20% year-over-year growth, with a net interest margin improvement to 3.65%. Adjusted EPS increased by 21% over the past nine months. Credit management showed progress, with a decrease of $74 million in legacy classified loans. The company maintained a strong capital position with a CET1 ratio of 12.3% and a TCE ratio of 8.6%. They also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.20, translating to a 6.5% annualized yield. Looking ahead, they plan to open new financial centers in Columbus and Indianapolis, aiming for sustainable and profitable growth with tight control over expenses and risk management.

Northwest Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Northwest Bancshares demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and profitability margins. The balance sheet reflects a conservative approach to leverage, enhancing financial stability. However, declining free cash flow growth and potential cost pressures on margins warrant careful monitoring.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Northwest Bancshares shows a solid revenue growth rate of 5.64% TTM, with improving margins. The gross profit margin is strong at 68.30%, and the net profit margin has increased to 17.52% TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 TTM, reflecting prudent financial management. Return on equity is moderate at 8.89%, indicating decent profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over time could be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.98% TTM, indicating potential cash flow challenges. Free cash flow growth has declined significantly by 30.19% TTM, which could impact future investments. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 95.25%, showing efficient cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue846.27M754.09M700.05M557.84M534.14M563.06M
Gross Profit561.72M495.96M524.94M501.41M522.68M436.74M
EBITDA151.39M150.89M199.57M180.14M207.76M97.26M
Net Income113.05M100.28M134.96M133.67M154.32M74.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.38B14.41B14.42B14.11B14.50B13.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments301.61M1.40B1.17B1.36B2.83B2.14B
Total Debt613.07M444.70M642.66M924.32M391.72M411.84M
Total Liabilities14.53B12.81B12.87B12.62B12.92B12.27B
Stockholders Equity1.86B1.60B1.55B1.49B1.58B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow60.92M125.36M84.33M171.11M187.94M128.18M
Operating Cash Flow70.25M127.67M92.89M175.43M205.46M140.44M
Investing Cash Flow311.13M174.97M-239.68M-917.42M-232.97M-560.58M
Financing Cash Flow-329.45M-136.52M129.69M-397.90M570.49M1.10B

Northwest Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.77
Price Trends
50DMA
11.95
Positive
100DMA
12.07
Negative
200DMA
11.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
55.39
Neutral
STOCH
74.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NWBI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.72, below the 50-day MA of 11.95, and below the 200-day MA of 11.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NWBI.

Northwest Bancshares Risk Analysis

Northwest Bancshares disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Northwest Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Northwest Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.75B9.0314.82%2.94%3.98%6.75%
74
Outperform
$1.61B9.1321.81%0.30%7.80%19.38%
72
Outperform
$1.70B11.829.71%3.26%3.80%-6.23%
69
Neutral
$1.75B13.596.55%6.64%15.86%16.50%
68
Neutral
$1.75B14.0116.42%2.66%6.09%11.49%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
7.25%3.50%-1.28%32.40%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NWBI
Northwest Bancshares
12.04
-1.55
-11.41%
CHCO
City Holding Company
121.79
-4.92
-3.88%
FCF
First Commonwealth
16.41
-1.68
-9.29%
CASH
Pathward Financial
72.70
-10.06
-12.16%
OFG
OFG Bancorp
40.17
-3.74
-8.52%
VBTX
Veritex
30.26
1.15
3.95%

Northwest Bancshares Corporate Events

Northwest Bancshares Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 29, 2025

Northwest Bancshares, Inc., headquartered in Columbus, Ohio, is a bank holding company for Northwest Bank, which offers a comprehensive range of business and personal banking services, as well as employee benefits and wealth management services across Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, and Indiana. The company’s stock is listed on Nasdaq under the ticker NWBI.

Northwest Bancshares’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Oct 29, 2025

Northwest Bancshares’ recent earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment, underscored by the successful integration of the Penns Woods merger and record revenue growth. Despite facing challenges such as increased non-performing assets and rising delinquencies, the company remains optimistic due to its strong capital and liquidity position, along with improved net interest margins.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025