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Nature's Sunshine Products (NATR)
NASDAQ:NATR
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Nature's Sunshine Products (NATR) AI Stock Analysis

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NATR

Nature's Sunshine Products

(NASDAQ:NATR)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(5.55% Upside)
Nature's Sunshine Products shows a solid overall performance, driven by strong financial health and positive earnings call outcomes. The stock benefits from a stable growth trajectory and improved guidance. However, valuation concerns and some regional challenges moderate the overall score.
Positive Factors
Digital Business Growth
The digital channel also continued to see strong results with sales up +19%.
Financial Performance
Nature's Sunshine has become significantly more profitable, with management expecting adjusted EBITDA of $38-44M in FY25 compared to approximately $18M in 2017.
Shareholder Confidence
A $25M share repurchase authorization underscores Board confidence.
Negative Factors
North American Market Challenges
In North America, sales were down slightly due to weaker-than-anticipated customer activations.
Tariff Risk
Tariffs could potentially have a $2-3M headwind to gross margin in FY25.

Nature's Sunshine Products (NATR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nature's Sunshine Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNature's Sunshine Products, Inc. (NATR) is a global leader in the health and wellness sector, specializing in the development, manufacturing, and marketing of nutritional and herbal products. Founded in 1972, the company offers a wide range of dietary supplements, essential oils, and personal care products, primarily through a direct selling model. With a commitment to quality and innovation, Nature's Sunshine operates in various markets globally, focusing on promoting health and wellness through natural products.
How the Company Makes MoneyNature's Sunshine Products generates revenue primarily through the sale of its health and wellness products, which are marketed through a direct selling model. This model allows independent distributors to sell products directly to consumers, creating a network of sales representatives who earn commissions based on their sales volume. Key revenue streams include sales of dietary supplements, herbal products, and essential oils. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach. Additionally, Nature's Sunshine benefits from a loyal customer base and a growing trend towards natural and wellness-related products, which supports its earnings and overall financial performance.

Nature's Sunshine Products Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, notable success in the digital segment, and significant market performance in Japan and North America. However, challenges in Taiwan and South Korea, increased SG&A expenses, and mixed European results were concerning. Overall, the company remains optimistic about its growth strategy and future outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Second quarter revenue was $115 million, up 4% versus the prior year or 2% in constant currency.
Adjusted EBITDA Increase
Q2 adjusted EBITDA increased 8% to $11 million compared to $10 million in the prior year.
Digital Business Expansion
North American digital business grew 34%, with the Subscribe & Thrive Autoship program contributing significantly.
Japanese Market Success
Sales in Japan grew by 27%, driven by strong customer growth and the successful Autoship program.
Improved Financial Outlook
Raised full year 2025 revenue guidance to $460 million - $475 million and adjusted EBITDA to $41 million - $45 million.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin increased by 36 basis points to 71.7% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Taiwan and South Korea
Sales in Taiwan and South Korea were affected by a challenging macroeconomic environment with slowed consumer spending.
SG&A Expenses Increase
Selling, general and administrative expenses rose to $43.7 million from $38.6 million, impacting operating income.
Mixed Results in Europe
Sales in Europe increased 1% but decreased 2% in constant currency, with declines in Eastern Europe offsetting Central Europe's growth.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Nature's Sunshine reported notable financial performance metrics, with revenue reaching $115 million, up 4% from the previous year, or 2% in constant currency. The adjusted EBITDA saw an 8% increase, coming in at $11 million compared to $10 million last year. The company experienced strong growth in Japan with a 27% increase in sales, while North America sales rose by 4%, driven by a 34% growth in the digital business. Gross margin improved by 36 basis points to 71.7%, with volume incentives decreasing to 29.9% of net sales, indicating a shift in market dynamics. The SG&A expenses increased to $43.7 million, reflecting greater digital advertising spend and compensation timing. For the full year, the company has raised its revenue guidance to $460 million-$475 million and adjusted EBITDA to $41 million-$45 million, reflecting anticipated year-over-year growth of 1%-5% in revenue and 1%-11% in adjusted EBITDA.

Nature's Sunshine Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nature's Sunshine Products demonstrates solid financial health with steady revenue growth, strong margins, and a robust balance sheet. While profitability ratios indicate room for improvement, the company's low leverage and strong cash flow position it well for future growth.
Income Statement
76
Positive
The income statement reveals steady revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $460.8 million, marking a 1.42% increase from the previous year. Gross profit margin is robust at 71.78%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin stands at 3.06%, suggesting limited profitability after expenses. The EBIT margin is 4.40% and EBITDA margin is 6.34%, reflecting moderate operational efficiency. Overall, the company shows a stable growth trajectory with room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10, demonstrating conservative leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is 8.62%, indicating decent returns for shareholders. Equity ratio stands at 64.22%, highlighting a solid equity position and financial stability. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with low risk and good equity utilization.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive free cash flow growth at 11.52% compared to the prior year, enhancing financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.54, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to its earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.13, indicating strong cash conversion. Despite this, the company should focus on sustaining cash flow improvements to support future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue460.82M454.36M445.32M421.91M444.08M385.20M
Gross Profit330.72M324.69M321.13M299.76M328.62M283.93M
EBITDA35.99M32.79M32.09M31.15M45.83M32.23M
Net Income14.11M7.70M15.08M-390.00K28.85M21.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets254.88M240.85M249.77M229.78M258.87M249.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.34M84.70M82.37M60.03M86.18M92.07M
Total Debt15.63M14.20M14.92M19.18M22.99M26.33M
Total Liabilities91.19M79.86M90.23M82.73M97.47M92.26M
Stockholders Equity157.68M155.31M154.06M142.91M158.20M155.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.98M14.33M30.75M-6.92M27.94M32.75M
Operating Cash Flow21.74M25.30M41.23M710.00K34.61M37.66M
Investing Cash Flow-5.76M-10.97M-10.48M-7.63M-6.61M-4.91M
Financing Cash Flow-14.16M-9.90M-7.96M-16.25M-31.72M3.88M

Nature's Sunshine Products Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.58
Price Trends
50DMA
15.12
Positive
100DMA
14.08
Positive
200DMA
14.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Negative
RSI
63.69
Neutral
STOCH
91.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NATR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.37, above the 50-day MA of 15.12, and above the 200-day MA of 14.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NATR.

Nature's Sunshine Products Risk Analysis

Nature's Sunshine Products disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nature's Sunshine Products reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nature's Sunshine Products Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$151.67M19.7621.88%9.14%18.87%
74
Outperform
$172.21M19.5930.11%1.21%8.22%159.71%
74
Outperform
$305.77M73.1118.79%17.04%-23.81%
72
Outperform
$292.40M22.239.15%4.33%-6.33%
50
Neutral
AU$2.10B-1.45-9.83%4.37%4.08%-50.27%
48
Neutral
$64.09M-8.34%22.79%74.00%
46
Neutral
$167.87M-31.83%-8.50%-186.18%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NATR
Nature's Sunshine Products
16.54
3.43
26.16%
HAIN
Hain Celestial
1.85
-4.87
-72.47%
LFVN
LifeVantage
13.68
5.75
72.51%
FTLF
FitLife Brands
16.61
1.16
7.51%
MAMA
Mama's Creations
8.17
0.11
1.36%
LSF
Laird Superfood
6.01
1.84
44.12%

Nature's Sunshine Products Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsStock Buyback
Nature’s Sunshine Buys Out Fosun Pharma’s Joint Ventures
Neutral
Jul 7, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Fosun Pharma sold a significant portion of its shares in Nature’s Sunshine Products, reducing its ownership below 5%. Consequently, on June 30, 2025, Nature’s Sunshine Products agreed to repurchase Fosun Pharma’s interests in their joint ventures in Hong Kong and Shanghai for a total of $7 million, subject to regulatory approvals in China.

The most recent analyst rating on (NATR) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nature’s Sunshine Products stock, see the NATR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Nature’s Sunshine Announces Secondary Offering and Buyback
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Nature’s Sunshine Products, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement for a secondary public offering of 2,854,607 shares of common stock at $12.00 per share, with no proceeds going to the company. A concurrent share repurchase agreement was also approved, allowing the company to buy back up to $15 million of its shares, potentially impacting its stock value and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (NATR) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nature’s Sunshine Products stock, see the NATR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nature’s Sunshine CEO Terrence Moorehead Steps Down
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Terrence O. Moorehead, the President and CEO of Nature’s Sunshine Products, Inc., announced his decision to step down from his roles, pending the appointment of a successor. This leadership change, announced on June 2, 2025, could impact the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder confidence as it navigates the transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (NATR) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nature’s Sunshine Products stock, see the NATR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 03, 2025