Laird Superfood (LSF)
:LSF
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Laird Superfood
(LSF)
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Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(6.38% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/27/26
The score is primarily held back by weak profitability and inconsistent operating/free cash flow, alongside bearish technical signals (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Offsetting factors include a strong low-debt balance sheet and a more constructive forward narrative from the latest earnings call (expected 2026 growth, EBITDA improvement, and synergy-driven margin recovery), though dilution and near-term margin/cash-flow pressures temper confidence.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Very low leverage and a cash position provide durable financial flexibility to fund integration, working capital swings, or targeted investment without immediate reliance on volatile capital markets. This balance sheet strength supports operational resilience while executing strategic growth initiatives over 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Persistent losses & weak cash flow
Multi-year net losses and inconsistent operating/free cash flow indicate the business has not yet proven durable self-funding. Continued cash burn elevates refinancing risk and constrains reinvestment, making durable profitability and free cash flow generation a material operational objective over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet strength
Very low leverage and a cash position provide durable financial flexibility to fund integration, working capital swings, or targeted investment without immediate reliance on volatile capital markets. This balance sheet strength supports operational resilience while executing strategic growth initiatives over 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
Laird Superfood (LSF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$25.67M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)167.59K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.49
Revenue Growth17.73%
EPS Growth-34.71%
CountryUS
Employees26
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryPackaged Foods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.16
Shares Outstanding10,925,218
10 Day Avg. Volume129,618
30 Day Avg. Volume167,589
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.10
Price to Book (P/B)2.04
Price to Sales (P/S)0.47
P/FCF Ratio-8.19
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.80
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.51
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.09
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-6.64
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$4.00Price Target Upside70.21% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.21
Revenue Forecast (FY)$57.11M
Laird Superfood Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Laird Superfood, Inc. manufactures and markets plant-based natural and functional food in the United States. It offers powdered and liquid coffee creamers, and hydration and beverage enhancing supplements; hydrate coconut water products, activate ...
How the Company Makes Money
LSF makes money primarily by selling branded consumer packaged goods (CPG) products. Its revenue model is product-sales driven, with two main channels: (1) direct-to-consumer (DTC) e-commerce, where customers purchase products through the company’...
Laird Superfood Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call communicated clear commercial progress—record revenue growth (+15% FY and Q4), strong wholesale momentum (+41–44%), product relaunch success, positive adjusted EBITDA, and a strategic acquisition (Navitas) that materially expands scale and diversification. Offsetting these positives were margin compression (gross margin down ~3 percentage points YoY), a larger reported net loss driven by acquisition and impairment charges, e-commerce/DTC softness, working capital cash outflows, and substantial equity dilution from the Nexus investment (≈56.2% as-converted stake). Management expects synergies to drive margin recovery into the high-30% range and at least high-single-digit combined revenue growth in 2026, but near-term financial impacts and dilution temper the outlook.Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Fiscal 2025 net sales of $49.9M, up 15% year-over-year; Q4 net sales of $13.3M, up 15% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Contraction
Gross margin declined to 37.9% for FY2025 from 40.9% in 2024; Q4 gross margin 34.1% versus 38.6% prior-year quarter, driven by commodity inflation, tariff impacts, and non-recurrence of prior-year settlement recoveries.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Revenue Growth
Fiscal 2025 net sales of $49.9M, up 15% year-over-year; Q4 net sales of $13.3M, up 15% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that the combined Laird Superfood + Navitas business should grow net sales by at least high single digits in 2026 and that adjusted EBITDA will increase as top-line growth and integration synergies (procurement, supply chain, operations) are realized, with specific full-year 2026 guidance to be provided with the Q1 2026 release; for context they are starting from a combined revenue base of Laird’s $49.9M (FY2025, +15% YoY) and Navitas’ $45.3M (FY2025, $14.4M gross profit, ~31.8% gross margin, ~$1.6M net income), expect to drive gross margins back to the high‑30% range on a run‑rate basis by the end of 2026, and see operating cash flow improving through 2026 as year‑end receivables convert and inventory normalizes; the deal is supported by a $50M Nexus investment (plus an option to call up to $60M within 270–360 days), and management highlighted ending FY2025 with $5.3M cash, no debt, AR $3.9M and inventory $7.8M while targeting margin and EBITDA expansion going forward.Laird Superfood Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
33
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 49.89M | 43.30M | 34.22M | 35.83M | 36.81M |
| Gross Profit | 18.91M | 17.69M | 10.31M | 5.19M | 9.43M |
| EBITDA | -3.16M | -1.90M | -10.39M | -22.84M | -22.96M |
| Net Income | -3.25M | -1.82M | -10.16M | -40.34M | -23.87M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 19.22M | 19.26M | 18.03M | 30.04M | 65.85M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 5.32M | 8.56M | 7.71M | 17.43M | 31.68M |
| Total Debt | 155.88K | 246.43K | 382.64K | 135.92K | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 7.76M | 6.06M | 4.62M | 7.53M | 3.79M |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.46M | 13.20M | 13.41M | 22.51M | 62.05M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -2.86M | 840.73K | -10.91M | -15.47M | -24.30M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -2.79M | 865.50K | -10.77M | -14.31M | -22.10M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -76.45K | -24.78K | 690.31K | 8.97M | -12.64M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -331.68K | -33.38K | -27.42K | 102.27K | 576.25K |
Laird Superfood Technical Analysis
Neutral
2.35
Price Trends
2.66
Negative
2.60
Negative
4.27
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.09
Negative
52.86
Neutral
74.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LSF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.36, below the 50-day MA of 2.66, and below the 200-day MA of 4.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LSF.
Laird Superfood Risk Analysis
Laird Superfood disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Laird Superfood reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Laird Superfood Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $344.96M | 26.57 | 17.25% | ― | 12.14% | -17.80% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
61 Neutral | $434.89M | 19.90 | 12.18% | ― | 6.62% | -7.85% | |
50 Neutral | $25.67M | -7.20 | -14.36% | ― | 17.73% | -34.71% | |
45 Neutral | $70.06M | -0.21 | -111.73% | ― | -10.13% | -532.32% | |
43 Neutral | $263.07M | 0.58 | -43.21% | ― | -10.17% | 24.25% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
LSF
Laird Superfood
2.35
-2.43
-50.84%
BRID
Bridgford Foods
7.61
-0.11
-1.42%
LWAY
Lifeway Foods
22.77
-0.15
-0.65%
NATR
Nature's Sunshine Products
24.84
12.83
106.83%
HAIN
Hain Celestial
0.77
-2.64
-77.42%
BYND
Beyond Meat
0.58
-2.09
-78.28%
Laird Superfood Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Laird Superfood Closes Navitas Deal, Adds Nexus Investment
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 12, 2026, Laird Superfood completed its $38.5 million acquisition of premium organic superfoods brand Navitas LLC, funded by a concurrent $50 million private placement of Series A convertible preferred stock to affiliates of Nexus Capital...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Laird Superfood Updates Nexus Investment Terms and Governance
Positive
Jan 30, 2026
On December 21, 2025, Laird Superfood, Inc. agreed to a $50 million investment from Nexus Capital Management affiliate entities through the sale of 50,000 shares of Series A Preferred Stock at $1,000 per share, with an option to require the invest...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Laird Superfood Plans Capital Raise and Navitas Acquisition
Positive
Jan 13, 2026
On January 13, 2026, Laird Superfood furnished an investor presentation it plans to use at the 2026 ICR Conference in Orlando, detailing summary information on a proposed private placement of Series A preferred stock to Nexus Capital Management an...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.