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Farmer Brothers (FARM)
:FARM

Farmer Brothers Company (FARM) AI Stock Analysis

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Farmer Brothers Company

(NASDAQ:FARM)

Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(7.91%Upside)
Farmer Brothers faces significant financial and technical challenges, with continued losses and weak market performance. Despite some operational improvements and strategic initiatives, the company's valuation remains poor, and challenging market conditions persist. Positive EBITDA and cost management efforts are notable but insufficient to offset broader concerns.

Farmer Brothers Company (FARM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Farmer Brothers Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFarmer Bros. Co. engages in the roasting, wholesale, equipment servicing, and distribution of coffee, tea, and culinary products in the United States. The company offers roast and ground coffee; frozen liquid coffee; flavoured and unflavoured iced and hot teas; culinary products, including spices, pancake and biscuit mixes, gravy and sauce mixes, soup bases, dressings, and syrups and sauces, as well as coffee filters, cups, sugar, and creamers; and other beverages comprising cappuccino, cocoa, granitas, and other blender-based beverages and concentrated and ready-to-drink cold brew and iced coffee. It serves small independent restaurants, foodservice operators, and large institutional buyers, as well as consumers. The company distributes its products through direct-store-delivery network, and common carriers or third-party distributors, as well as Website. The company was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Northlake, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyFarmer Brothers Company generates revenue through the sale of its coffee, tea, and culinary products to foodservice establishments. The company offers a comprehensive selection of products, including traditional and specialty coffees, iced and hot teas, cappuccino mixes, spices, and sauces, which are sold directly to restaurants, hotels, casinos, hospitals, and other institutional customers. Key revenue streams include the sale of its proprietary brands and private label products, as well as the provision of equipment and service support. Additionally, Farmer Brothers has strategic partnerships with distributors and suppliers to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as commodity costs, customer demand, and operational efficiencies.

Farmer Brothers Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -26.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Farmer Brothers demonstrated resilience by reporting positive adjusted EBITDA and improved gross margins despite a challenging market environment. However, declines in coffee volumes, customer count, and net sales, along with a recorded net loss, highlight ongoing challenges. The company remains focused on growth and cost management efforts.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Farmer Brothers reported its third consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA at $1.7 million, marking an increase of approximately $1.5 million compared to the third quarter of last year.
Improved Gross Margins
Gross margins in the third quarter were 42.1%, a year-over-year increase of 200 basis points from 40.1% in the third quarter of last year.
Successful Cost Management
The company achieved continued improvement in its cost structure, with selling and G&A expenses decreasing and rightsizing initiatives leading to $1.9 million lower operating expenses when adjusted for net asset sales.
Launch of Sum>One Coffee Roasters
The official launch of Sum>One Coffee Roasters marked the completion of the company's brand pyramid and coffee SKU rationalization initiatives.
Positive Operating Cash Flow
The company reported positive cash flow from operating activities at $1.3 million, an increase of $3.6 million compared to the same period last year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Coffee Volumes and Customer Count
The company saw a decline in overall coffee volumes and customer count during the quarter, with total coffee pounds down 9.4% compared to the third quarter of 2024.
Net Sales Decrease
Net sales during the third quarter of fiscal 2025 were down year-over-year to $82.1 million, compared to $85.4 million during the prior year period.
Net Loss Recorded
Farmer Brothers recorded a net loss of $5 million for the quarter, compared to a $700,000 net loss in the third quarter of last year, impacted by a $2.4 million net loss associated with the disposal of assets.
Challenging Market Conditions
The company continues to face challenging market conditions, including high coffee market prices, decreased consumer confidence, and potential tariff impacts.
Company Guidance
During the Farmer Brothers Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were discussed. The company reported a positive adjusted EBITDA of $1.7 million, marking its third consecutive quarter of profitability, despite a challenging economic environment. Gross margins were maintained above 42%, specifically at 42.1%, representing a year-over-year increase of 200 basis points. However, net sales for the quarter decreased to $82.1 million from $85.4 million in the prior year, with total coffee volumes down by 9.4% compared to the third quarter of 2024. The company also reported a net loss of $5 million, affected by a $2.4 million net loss associated with asset disposals. Operating expenses increased to $38.1 million, primarily due to a decrease in net gains related to asset disposals. Despite these challenges, Farmer Brothers has focused on streamlining operations, reducing overhead, and optimizing its brand pyramid, which contributed to improved cost structure and operational efficiencies. The company has also adjusted its leadership, with Travis Young now leading the DSD team, as they aim to drive top-line revenue and customer growth. Looking forward, Farmer Brothers plans to continue managing inventory and pricing to maintain gross margins above the 40% target, while also focusing on expanding their customer base and product offerings.

Farmer Brothers Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Farmer Brothers Company faces significant financial challenges with consistent losses impacting profitability and return metrics. While operational efficiency shows some improvement, the company struggles with cash flow volatility and high leverage, posing risks to financial stability. Strategic measures are needed to drive revenue growth and improve profitability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The company has struggled with negative net income and declining EBIT over the periods analyzed, indicating profitability challenges. Gross profit margin has improved in the TTM to 42.0%, showing operational efficiency. However, the negative net profit margin of -4.2% in TTM emphasizes ongoing losses. Revenue growth from the previous year was negligible at 0.1%, suggesting stagnant sales growth.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07 in TTM shows moderate leverage, which could be a risk if not managed well. Return on Equity remains negative due to losses, indicating unprofitable equity utilization. The equity ratio of 22.8% suggests a relatively low equity base compared to assets, which could impact financial stability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The cash flow statement indicates volatility in cash flows, with a negative free cash flow in TTM. However, operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to -0.37 in TTM, suggesting some operational cash generation despite losses. Free cash flow growth remains negative, reflecting cash management challenges.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue341.54M341.09M339.96M469.19M397.85M501.32M
Gross Profit143.43M133.89M114.61M136.92M100.92M138.12M
EBITDA1.39M15.56M-3.94M18.52M16.27M2.31M
Net Income-14.36M-3.88M-79.18M-15.66M-41.65M-37.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets163.16M185.21M187.78M350.07M338.01M392.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.05M5.83M5.24M9.82M10.26M60.01M
Total Debt39.72M59.41M48.68M135.41M115.09M143.48M
Total Liabilities125.89M139.66M149.67M245.32M233.05M280.79M
Stockholders Equity37.26M45.55M38.11M104.75M104.96M111.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.57M-27.99M-21.90M-26.62M-16.60M-16.11M
Operating Cash Flow5.36M-14.15M-6.88M-11.45M-1.49M1.46M
Investing Cash Flow-6.60M14.72M88.44M-6.04M-10.70M21.92M
Financing Cash Flow-225.00K10.00K-86.14M17.05M-37.39M29.66M

Farmer Brothers Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.39
Price Trends
50DMA
1.59
Negative
100DMA
1.93
Negative
200DMA
1.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
40.24
Neutral
STOCH
26.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FARM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.48, below the 50-day MA of 1.59, and below the 200-day MA of 1.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FARM.

Farmer Brothers Company Risk Analysis

Farmer Brothers Company disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Farmer Brothers Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Farmer Brothers Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$694.98M17.216.77%8.25%-30.16%
JVJVA
75
Outperform
$24.26M6.5814.11%15.24%
65
Neutral
$27.29B15.33-4.01%3.21%1.02%-0.84%
LSLSF
53
Neutral
$67.44M-7.38%25.04%87.51%
47
Neutral
$20.14M-10.25%-1.16%-146.23%
43
Neutral
$29.96M-35.72%-0.19%70.65%
$70.89M-5.87%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FARM
Farmer Brothers Company
1.39
-1.11
-44.40%
BRID
Bridgford Foods
7.81
-2.12
-21.35%
JVA
Coffee Holding Co
4.25
2.13
100.47%
NAII
Natural Alternatives International
3.26
-2.30
-41.37%
SENEA
Seneca Foods
103.73
43.86
73.26%
LSF
Laird Superfood
6.38
1.59
33.19%

Farmer Brothers Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Farmer Brothers Announces Key Leadership Appointments
Positive
Jan 13, 2025

Farmer Brothers Co. has announced the appointment of Brian Miller as the new Vice President of Sales and the transition of Thomas E. Bauer to Vice President, Chief Field Operations Officer. Brian Miller, with over 25 years of experience in the consumer product industry and a strong track record in the coffee and beverage sector, is expected to drive top-line growth and enhance customer service at Farmer Brothers. These leadership changes are part of the company’s strategy to maintain sustainable long-term profitability and build on its recent positive momentum.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025