Farmer Brothers Company (FARM)
NASDAQ:FARM
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Farmer Brothers Company (FARM) AI Stock Analysis

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FARM

Farmer Brothers Company

(NASDAQ:FARM)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(1.35% Upside)
Farmer Brothers Company is currently facing significant financial and operational challenges. The most impactful factors are the weak financial performance and bearish technical indicators, which are compounded by a poor valuation. While there are some positive developments from the earnings call, they are not enough to offset the overall negative outlook.

Farmer Brothers Company (FARM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Farmer Brothers Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFarmer Brothers Company (FARM) is a leading national coffee roaster and distributor based in the United States, specializing in providing high-quality coffee, tea, and culinary products to a diverse range of customers, including restaurants, hotels, and convenience stores. Established in 1912, the company operates in the foodservice sector, focusing on both coffee and tea distribution, alongside a variety of related products such as spices, creamers, and other food items. Farmer Brothers is committed to sustainability and sourcing premium ingredients, which strengthens its brand reputation in the competitive coffee industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyFarmer Brothers Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of coffee and related products. The company operates a direct sales model, supplying products to foodservice businesses across the United States. Key revenue streams include wholesale coffee distribution, where they offer a wide range of coffee blends and brewing equipment, as well as tea and culinary products. The company also benefits from its strategic partnerships with various coffee growers and suppliers, ensuring a steady supply of high-quality beans. Additionally, Farmer Brothers has invested in technology and logistics to enhance its distribution efficiency, which contributes to cost savings and improved margins. The company’s focus on sustainability and quality also helps in building customer loyalty and repeat business, further driving its revenue growth.

Farmer Brothers Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 11, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Farmer Brothers demonstrated significant operational and financial improvements with increased efficiency and successful brand initiatives. However, the company faces considerable challenges due to decreased coffee volumes, rising costs, and market headwinds that may impact future financial results.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margins ended the year above 43%, representing a more than $14 million year-over-year improvement in adjusted EBITDA and a 420 basis point increase compared to the prior year.
Debt Reduction and Cash Flow
The company significantly paid down debt, ending the year with $6.8 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and a $10 million decrease in net debt. Free cash flow generation improved significantly, with a $34.5 million year-over-year increase for the full fiscal year.
Operational Efficiency Gains
Farmer Brothers captured internal efficiency gains from manufacturing, sales, and network optimization initiatives. Decreases in SG&A expenses were achieved, and a new CRM tool was launched to enhance customer analytics.
Successful Launch of Sum>One Brand
The launch of the Sum>One specialty brand was completed, with early promising opportunities and collaborations with larger customers to launch branded cafe experiences.
Leadership and Structural Improvements
Appointments of Brian Miller in sales and Travis Young in field operations helped separate responsibilities, align KPIs, and improve execution.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Coffee Volume
Total coffee volumes decreased by 10% year-over-year, influenced by a weak food service sector and a significant rise in green coffee prices.
Impact of Tariffs
A 50% tariff on goods imported from Brazil may significantly increase the overall cost of goods in fiscal 2026, adding pressure to gross margins and financial results.
Net Loss and Asset Sales
The company recorded a net loss of $14.5 million for the full fiscal year, compared to a loss of $3.9 million in the prior year, due to fewer branch sales and pension settlement losses.
Market Headwinds
The macroeconomic environment for the coffee industry remains challenging, with elevated green coffee prices and significant pressure on gross margins expected in fiscal 2026.
Company Guidance
In the Farmer Brothers Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2025 earnings call, the company reported significant financial improvements, including a year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA of over $14 million and gross margins exceeding 43%. A strategic focus on operational efficiency led to a reduction in SG&A expenses and significant debt repayment. Despite facing a challenging macroeconomic environment, including a 65% rise in green coffee prices and a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports, the company successfully launched its Sum>One specialty brand and completed its SKU rationalization initiative. Farmer Brothers also improved its technology platforms, enhancing supply chain optimization and customer analytics. With new leadership appointments and a focus on driving top-line revenue, the company aims to leverage its distribution network and improve customer retention while navigating anticipated financial pressures in fiscal 2026.

Farmer Brothers Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Farmer Brothers Company is facing a challenging financial landscape with declining revenues and profitability issues. Despite some improvement in leverage, significant cash flow challenges persist. Strategic initiatives to enhance operational efficiency and cash flow management are crucial for future stability and growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Farmer Brothers Company shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.2% TTM. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy at 42.5% TTM, but the company struggles with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -4.0% TTM and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The company needs to address its operational inefficiencies to improve its bottom line.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.91 TTM from previous periods, indicating a reduction in leverage. However, the return on equity remains negative at -33.4% TTM, reflecting ongoing challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall balance sheet shows a need for improved financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Farmer Brothers Company faces significant challenges in cash flow management, with a drastic decline in free cash flow growth of -93.8% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.12 TTM, indicating limited cash generation from operations. The company must focus on enhancing its cash flow efficiency to support its financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue338.82M342.28M341.09M339.96M314.78M261.91M
Gross Profit144.03M148.91M133.89M114.61M133.81M95.78M
EBITDA4.62M4.53M15.56M-3.03M25.97M21.24M
Net Income-13.54M-14.52M-3.88M-79.18M-15.66M-41.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets158.78M161.23M185.21M187.78M350.07M338.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.82M6.80M5.83M5.24M9.82M10.26M
Total Debt54.85M53.36M59.41M48.68M136.01M115.84M
Total Liabilities118.78M117.68M139.66M149.67M245.32M233.05M
Stockholders Equity40.01M43.55M45.55M38.11M104.75M104.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow404.00K6.51M-27.99M-21.90M-26.62M-16.60M
Operating Cash Flow8.60M16.10M-14.15M-6.88M-11.45M-1.49M
Investing Cash Flow-4.52M-5.90M14.72M88.44M-6.04M-10.70M
Financing Cash Flow-5.22M-9.23M10.00K-86.14M17.05M-37.39M

Farmer Brothers Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.48
Price Trends
50DMA
1.78
Negative
100DMA
1.71
Negative
200DMA
1.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
30.71
Neutral
STOCH
20.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FARM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.69, below the 50-day MA of 1.78, and below the 200-day MA of 1.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FARM.

Farmer Brothers Company Risk Analysis

Farmer Brothers Company disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Farmer Brothers Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Farmer Brothers Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$808.60M13.729.41%8.33%47.71%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
$22.83M12.047.17%17.92%64.96%
46
Neutral
$47.88M-43.01-14.63%17.73%-34.71%
45
Neutral
$16.86M-1.22-17.98%13.83%-82.27%
41
Neutral
$31.97M-33.46%-1.58%-78.08%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FARM
Farmer Brothers Company
1.48
-0.57
-27.80%
BRID
Bridgford Foods
7.50
-1.11
-12.89%
JVA
Coffee Holding Co
3.99
1.01
33.89%
NAII
Natural Alternatives International
2.81
-1.62
-36.57%
SENEA
Seneca Foods
118.26
52.82
80.72%
LSF
Laird Superfood
2.71
-5.69
-67.74%

Farmer Brothers Company Corporate Events

Farmer Brothers Reports Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Farmer Brothers Coffee Co., a prominent player in the coffee roasting, wholesaling, and distribution sector, offers a diverse range of coffee, tea, and culinary products to various U.S.-based customers, from small restaurants to large institutional buyers.

Farmer Brothers’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment Amid Challenges
Sep 13, 2025

Farmer Brothers’ recent earnings call revealed a mixed sentiment, highlighting significant operational and financial improvements alongside challenges such as decreased coffee volumes and rising costs. The company has made strides in efficiency and brand initiatives, but market headwinds pose potential risks to future financial outcomes.

Farmer Brothers Reports Fiscal 2025 Financial Results
Sep 12, 2025

Farmer Brothers Coffee Co., founded in 1912, is a national coffee roaster, wholesaler, and distributor specializing in coffee, tea, and culinary products, serving a diverse range of U.S.-based customers from small restaurants to large institutional buyers.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Farmer Brothers Amends Executive Severance Agreements
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Farmer Brothers Company amended its severance agreements with key executives, including the CEO, CFO, and General Counsel, to redefine ‘Good Reason’ and adjust severance terms during a change in control period. Additionally, the company established bonus agreements for these executives, contingent on closing a change in control transaction by January 1, 2026, with alternative compensation arrangements if the target is not met.

The most recent analyst rating on (FARM) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Farmer Brothers Company stock, see the FARM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025