Seneca Foods (SENEA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $916.18M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 85.77K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 10.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.33
• Revenue Growth: 8.33%
• EPS Growth: 47.71%
• Country: US
• Employees: 2,800
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 6.48
• Shares Outstanding: 5,208,790
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 70,265
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 85,769
• PEG Ratio: -0.48
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.97
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.39
• P/FCF Ratio: 2.06
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.32
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.75
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.96
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.55
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: $157.00 ▲(31.51% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/07/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/07/26

The score is driven by improved TTM financial performance (strong growth, better margins, and reduced leverage) and an attractive P/E valuation, supported by a technically constructive uptrend. The key offset is historical earnings and cash flow volatility, which tempers the financial performance score.

Positive Factors

Revenue & Margin Recovery

Revenue rising ~34% with TTM net margin improvement to ~5.6% indicates restored pricing power and operating leverage. Sustained top-line growth and better margins imply the business can generate more enduring earnings across quarters, improving reinvestment capacity and resilience versus prior weak years.

Improved Balance Sheet Health

Debt-to-equity falling to ~0.39 and solid ROE (~13.5%) materially reduce financial risk and interest burden. A stronger balance sheet provides durable flexibility to fund working capital through seasonality, pursue capex or acquisitions, and absorb crop-related shocks without immediate refinancing pressure.

Diversified Business Model & Contract Packing

Multiple revenue streams—branded, private-label, foodservice, industrial and contract packing—create structural demand diversification. Contract manufacturing and private-label work provide steady baseload volumes and longer customer relationships, smoothing sales cycles and supporting durable utilization of manufacturing capacity.

Negative Factors

Earnings & Cash Flow Volatility

Historic swings to near-break-even earnings and intermittent negative cash flow undermine predictability. Volatility hampers long-term planning, makes capital allocation riskier, and increases the chance that a single poor harvest or margin shock can quickly reverse recent improvements in profitability and liquidity.

Exposure to Agricultural Input & Crop Yields

Dependence on commodity inputs and crop yields creates structural margin cyclicality. Input-price spikes, poor harvests, or supply disruptions can persist across seasons and directly compress gross margins, reducing the durability of earnings despite operational improvements and limiting reliable margin expansion.

Recent Free Cash Flow Weakness

A sharp decline in free cash flow versus the prior annual period, plus prior years of negative FCF, signals inconsistent cash conversion. Even with recent positive operating cash flow, the instability raises questions about sustaining investment, debt reduction, or shareholder returns without re-exposing leverage when cycles turn.

Seneca Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Seneca Foods Corporation (SENEA) is a leading provider of packaged food products, primarily focusing on the processing and marketing of fruits and vegetables. Established in 1949, the company operates in the food sector, specializing in canned and frozen products, including peas, corn, and various fruit products. Seneca Foods serves both retail and foodservice markets, offering a wide range of private-label and branded products that cater to consumers' needs for convenient and nutritious meal options.

How the Company Makes Money

Seneca Foods generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaged food products, including canned and frozen fruits and vegetables. The company operates on a revenue model that includes both wholesale and retail distribution, with significant sales coming from private-label products for major grocery chains. Key revenue streams include direct sales to grocery stores, food distributors, and foodservice companies. Additionally, Seneca Foods benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and suppliers, which enhance its market reach and operational efficiency. Seasonal demand for agricultural products also plays a critical role in its earnings, as the company capitalizes on peak harvest periods to maximize production and sales.

Seneca Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary

TTM fundamentals are improved with strong revenue growth (~34%), higher profitability (net margin ~5.6% vs ~2.6% in FY2025), lower leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.39), and positive free cash flow. The main constraint is volatility across recent years (near break-even earnings and negative cash flow in FY2023–FY2024), which raises sustainability risk.

Income Statement

Profitability improved meaningfully in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with revenue up ~34% and stronger earnings versus the last annual period (net margin ~5.6% in TTM vs ~2.6% in FY2025). Operating profitability also looks healthier in TTM as margins stepped up. The main drawback is volatility across the cycle—FY2021 was much stronger, while FY2023 was near break-even—suggesting results can swing materially with pricing, input costs, and operating leverage.

Balance Sheet

Leverage has moved to a more comfortable level in TTM (debt-to-equity ~0.39), a notable improvement from the high-leverage profile seen in FY2024 (~1.12). Equity has also grown, and returns on equity are solid in TTM (~13.5%). The key risk is the historical variability in leverage and returns (including a weak FY2023), which indicates the balance sheet can tighten quickly during tougher operating periods.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is currently solid in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, and operating cash flow modestly exceeding net income. However, free cash flow is down sharply versus the last annual period (TTM free cash flow growth is strongly negative), and the company has a track record of cash flow volatility, including negative operating and free cash flow in FY2023 and FY2024.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.61B	1.58B	1.46B	1.51B	1.39B	1.47B
Gross Profit	202.67M	150.20M	188.22M	104.32M	141.60M	232.19M
EBITDA	184.47M	133.47M	161.20M	69.59M	102.12M	198.56M
Net Income	89.99M	41.22M	63.32M	9.23M	46.20M	126.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.22B	1.18B	1.38B	1.21B	942.27M	909.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	33.31M	42.69M	4.48M	5.24M	10.90M	59.84M
Total Debt	278.84M	374.81M	650.82M	492.45M	178.12M	169.41M
Total Liabilities	508.64M	548.41M	801.10M	657.97M	363.24M	331.53M
Stockholders Equity	713.86M	633.02M	582.89M	554.75M	579.03M	577.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	168.50M	298.25M	-119.60M	-283.42M	-23.21M	111.75M
Operating Cash Flow	206.03M	335.48M	-82.96M	-212.80M	30.15M	183.18M
Investing Cash Flow	-32.49M	-34.81M	-47.20M	-64.88M	-45.19M	2.26M
Financing Cash Flow	-153.14M	-262.12M	129.76M	279.02M	-33.90M	-136.30M

Seneca Foods Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 119.38
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SENEA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123.97, above the 50-day MA of 117.46, and above the 200-day MA of 108.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.12 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 98.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SENEA.

Seneca Foods Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SENEA	74 Outperform	$916.18M	10.77	9.41%	―	8.33%	47.71%
JBSS	74 Outperform	$972.11M	13.88	20.23%	3.48%	1.88%	21.05%
LWAY	69 Neutral	$331.83M	31.12	14.46%	―	12.14%	-17.80%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
STKL	58 Neutral	$777.66M	―	2.23%	―	11.31%	99.83%
BGS	50 Neutral	$421.48M	-1.68	-40.86%	17.12%	-6.04%	-844.18%