B&G Foods (BGS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $313.61M
• Dividend Yield: 17.76%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.19M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.14
• Revenue Growth: -6.04%
• EPS Growth: -844.18%
• Country: US
• Employees: 2,846
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 0.15
• Shares Outstanding: 80,003,746
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,877,866
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,194,000
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.07
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.29
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.40
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 7.44
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.81
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 8.46
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 17.53
• 1Y Price Target: $3.50
• Price Target Upside: -10.71% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 44 Neutral
• Price Target: $5.00 ▲(27.55% Upside)

B&G Foods faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage, which are the most critical factors impacting its stock score. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, with some short-term bullishness but overall bearish momentum. The high dividend yield is a positive aspect, but it is overshadowed by the company's financial instability. The earnings call provided some positive developments, but these are not enough to offset the broader financial concerns.

Positive Factors

Cost Savings Initiatives

Cost savings initiatives improve margin sustainability and operational efficiency, which can enhance long-term profitability and competitiveness.

Divestiture Strategy Progress

Strategic divestitures focus the business on core strengths, potentially improving cash flow and reducing leverage, enhancing financial stability.

Spices & Seasonings Growth

Growth in the Spices & Seasonings segment indicates strong market demand and potential for sustained revenue expansion in a key business area.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

Declining revenue reflects challenges in maintaining market share and consumer demand, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.

High Leverage

High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases risk, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Profitability Challenges

Negative profitability undermines financial health and can hinder the company's ability to reinvest in business operations and growth initiatives.

B&G Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) is a prominent American packaged food company that specializes in the manufacturing and marketing of a diverse range of food products. Founded in 1996 and headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey, the company operates primarily in the grocery and snacks sectors. B&G Foods' portfolio includes well-known brands such as Green Giant, Ortega, and Cream of Wheat, among others, catering to both retail and food service channels. The company focuses on providing high-quality, value-oriented products that appeal to a broad consumer base.

How the Company Makes Money

B&G Foods generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaged food products across various channels, including supermarkets, mass merchants, and food service establishments. The company's revenue model is driven by several key streams, including direct sales of branded products, private label offerings, and partnerships with retailers for in-store promotions. Additionally, B&G Foods benefits from strategic acquisitions of complementary brands and product lines, which expand its market presence and diversify its offerings. The company's ability to innovate and respond to consumer trends, such as health and wellness, also plays a crucial role in sustaining its revenue growth.

B&G Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary

B&G Foods is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and negative returns on equity. While there is some improvement in cash flow generation, the overall financial health of the company is concerning. The company needs to address its leverage and profitability issues to improve its financial standing.

Income Statement

B&G Foods has experienced declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -1.07% TTM. The company is facing profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has slightly decreased over time, reflecting cost pressures. Overall, the income statement shows a concerning trend of declining revenue and profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.06 TTM, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial stability. The balance sheet highlights potential risks due to high leverage and negative returns.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 5.30% TTM, indicating some improvement in cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting that operating cash flow is not fully covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong, indicating efficient cash conversion despite profitability issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2019	Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.29B	1.93B	2.06B	2.16B	1.66B	1.70B
Gross Profit	275.90M	421.95M	455.52M	409.62M	383.12M	349.50M
EBITDA	133.19M	-85.06M	172.58M	203.44M	273.95M	384.25M
Net Income	-28.08M	-251.25M	-66.20M	-11.37M	76.39M	172.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.94B	2.99B	3.46B	3.84B	3.23B	3.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	60.91M	50.58M	41.09M	45.44M	11.31M	11.65M
Total Debt	2.07B	2.08B	2.12B	2.46B	1.92B	1.64B
Total Liabilities	2.47B	2.47B	2.63B	2.97B	2.42B	2.15B
Stockholders Equity	470.74M	524.81M	835.46M	868.17M	812.54M	900.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-16.91M	103.65M	222.07M	-16.32M	4.15M	167.83M
Operating Cash Flow	5.95M	130.91M	247.76M	5.96M	46.50M	209.46M
Investing Cash Flow	47.08M	-27.68M	81.59M	-39.15M	-124.74M	347.59M
Financing Cash Flow	-43.37M	-92.96M	-333.69M	45.34M	77.71M	-753.33M

B&G Foods Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3.92
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.39, below the 50-day MA of 4.36, and below the 200-day MA of 4.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BGS.

B&G Foods Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CPB	67 Neutral	$9.12B	15.27	15.64%	4.94%	6.40%	6.17%
JJSF	67 Neutral	$1.59B	19.07	8.79%	3.81%	0.50%	-4.46%
CAG	64 Neutral	$8.12B	9.58	9.65%	8.09%	-4.11%	72.17%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
THS	62 Neutral	$1.18B	―	-17.18%	―	-0.69%	-910.85%
SJM	49 Neutral	$11.44B	―	-21.32%	4.25%	2.54%	-293.39%
BGS	44 Neutral	$313.61M	―	-40.86%	17.76%	-6.04%	-844.18%

B&G Foods Corporate Events

B&G Foods Earnings Call: Mixed Outlook with Strategic Moves

The recent earnings call for B&G Foods presented a mixed outlook, reflecting both positive strides and ongoing challenges. While the company showed improvements in adjusted EBITDA and benefited from cost-saving initiatives, it faced hurdles with declining net sales and the impact of divestitures. The ongoing tariff issues also posed a significant challenge. However, the progress in divestiture strategy and growth in the Spices & Seasonings segment are positive signs.

B&G Foods Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results

B&G Foods, Inc., based in Parsippany, New Jersey, is a manufacturer and distributor of high-quality, branded shelf-stable and frozen foods across the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico, with a diverse portfolio of over 50 well-known brands. In the third quarter of 2025, B&G Foods reported a decrease in net sales by 4.7% to $439.3 million compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to reduced volume and negative foreign currency impacts. Despite these challenges, the company achieved a 15.4% increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share to $0.15, reflecting improved operational efficiencies. Key financial metrics highlighted in the report include a net loss of $19.1 million for the third quarter, attributed to significant non-cash impairment charges, and an adjusted EBITDA of $70.4 million, consistent with the previous year. The company also completed the divestiture of Le Sueur U.S., recognizing a gain of $15.5 million, and announced the sale of Green Giant Canada to strengthen its core brand portfolio. Looking ahead, B&G Foods has narrowed its full-year fiscal 2025 guidance, projecting net sales between $1.82 billion and $1.84 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $273.0 million and $280.0 million, as it continues to navigate a challenging economic environment.

B&G Foods Reports Q3 2025 Sales Decline

B&G Foods reported a decrease in net sales by 4.7% in the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to reduced volume and foreign currency impacts, despite improvements in net pricing and product mix. The company also faced significant non-cash impairment charges but managed to achieve a gain from the divestiture of the Le Sueur U.S. brand. The adjusted EBITDA remained stable year-over-year, and the company announced the sale of Green Giant Canada, aiming to strengthen its core brand portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGS) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&G Foods stock, see the BGS Stock Forecast page.

B&G Foods Sells Canadian Green Giant Lines

On October 27, 2025, B&G Foods announced an agreement to sell its Green Giant and Le Sieur frozen and shelf-stable vegetable product lines in Canada to Nortera Foods. This move is part of B&G Foods’ strategy to divest non-core brands, reduce long-term debt, and sharpen its business focus. The sale, subject to regulatory approval, is expected to close by the end of 2025 or early 2026. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment and asset purchases. B&G Foods had previously divested other parts of the Green Giant brand in the U.S. and continues to evaluate further divestitures.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGS) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&G Foods stock, see the BGS Stock Forecast page.