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B&G Foods Holdings (BGS)
NYSE:BGS
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B&G Foods (BGS) AI Stock Analysis

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BGS

B&G Foods

(NYSE:BGS)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-2.17% Downside)
B&G Foods faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and high leverage being major concerns. The technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, and the negative P/E ratio reflects profitability issues. However, the high dividend yield and strategic efforts to improve profitability and reduce leverage provide some positive aspects. The overall score reflects a cautious outlook, with financial performance being the most significant factor.
Positive Factors
Portfolio Restructuring
Strategic divestitures help streamline the portfolio, focusing resources on core brands, potentially improving operational efficiency and profitability.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management and debt reduction enhance financial stability, providing more flexibility for future investments and growth.
Frozen Vegetables Business Improvement
Profitability in the frozen vegetables segment indicates successful cost management and productivity improvements, strengthening the company's market position.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Declining Revenue
Continued revenue decline reflects challenges in maintaining market share and demand, which could impact long-term growth and profitability.
Negative Profitability
Negative profitability indicates operational challenges and cost control issues, which may hinder the company's ability to generate sustainable earnings.

B&G Foods (BGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

B&G Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionB&G Foods, Inc. manufactures, sells, and distributes a portfolio of shelf-stable and frozen foods, and household products in the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. The company's products include frozen and canned vegetables, vegetables, canola and other cooking oils, vegetable shortening, cooking sprays, oatmeal and other hot cereals, fruit spreads, canned meats and beans, bagel chips, spices, seasonings, hot sauces, wine vinegar, maple syrups, molasses, salad dressings, pizza crusts, Mexican-style sauces, dry soups, taco shells and kits, salsas, pickles, peppers, tomato-based products, baking powder and soda, corn starch, cookies and crackers, nut clusters, and other specialty products. It markets its products under various brands, including Ac'cent, B&G, B&M, Back to Nature, Baker's Joy, Bear Creek Country Kitchens, Brer Rabbit, Canoleo, Cary's, Clabber Girl, Cream of Rice, Cream of Wheat, Crisco, Dash, Davis, Devonsheer, Don Pepino, Durkee, Emeril's, Grandma's Molasses, Green Giant, Joan of Arc, Las Palmas, Le Sueur, MacDonald's, Mama Mary's, Maple Grove Farms of Vermont, McCann's, Molly McButter, New York Flatbreads, New York Style, Old London, Ortega, Polaner, Red Devil, Regina, Rumford, Sa-són, Sclafani, Spice Islands, Spring Tree, Sugar Twin, Tone's, Trappey's, TrueNorth, Underwood, Vermont Maid, Victoria, and Weber and Wright's. The company also sells, markets, and distributes household products under the Static Guard brand. It sells and distributes its products directly, as well as through a network of independent brokers and distributors to supermarket chains, foodservice outlets, mass merchants, warehouse clubs, non-food outlets, and specialty distributors. The company was formerly known as B&G Foods Holdings Corp. and changed its name to B&G Foods, Inc. in October 2004. B&G Foods, Inc. was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyB&G Foods generates revenue primarily through the sale of its food products across retail, foodservice, and industrial channels. The company operates a revenue model that includes selling its products to grocery stores, wholesalers, and foodservice operators. Key revenue streams include branded products, private label offerings, and partnerships with major retailers, which enhance market reach and brand visibility. Additionally, B&G Foods often capitalizes on strategic acquisitions to expand its product lines and customer base, contributing to its overall earnings. Seasonal promotions, product innovations, and effective marketing strategies further bolster sales and profitability.

B&G Foods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of challenges and strategic progress. While the company faced declines in net sales and adjusted EBITDA, there were significant efforts in portfolio restructuring and expected improvements in profitability, especially in the frozen and vegetables segment. The focus on reducing leverage and generating cash flow also indicates positive moves towards financial stability.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improvement in Frozen and Vegetables Business
The U.S. frozen vegetables business is expected to turn profitable, with an increase in segment adjusted EBITDA by $8 to $10 million due to favorable crop costs and strong productivity.
Portfolio Restructuring and Divestitures
B&G Foods completed key divestitures including Don Pepino and Scalfani brands and Le Sueur U.S. Canned peas, which are expected to reduce leverage and focus the portfolio.
Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
Generated $17.8 million in net cash from operations in Q2 2025, and reduced net debt to $1.957 billion, with plans to decrease leverage to 6x within 12 months.
Expected Back Half Fiscal Year Improvement
Expect solid improvement in Q3 and Q4 with flat to slightly positive net sales and year-over-year growth in adjusted EBITDA.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Sales and Adjusted EBITDA
Q2 net sales were $424.4 million, down 4.5% from last year, with a base business decline of 4.2%. Adjusted EBITDA was down 9.3% from last year.
Challenges in Frozen and Vegetables Business
Segment adjusted EBITDA for the frozen and vegetables unit was down $6.5 million due to higher costs and trade spend.
Impact of Tariffs and Foreign Exchange
Increased tariffs cost $1.6 million in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, and foreign exchange impacts have moderated but remain a concern.
Decrease in Spices and Flavor Solutions
Net sales for this segment declined by about $2 million due to timing, pricing, and softer volumes, with significant tariff impacts.
Company Guidance
During the B&G Foods Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, management provided revised guidance for fiscal 2025, reflecting recent divestitures and expected performance improvements. Net sales for the second quarter were reported at $424.4 million, down 4.5% year-over-year, with base business net sales down 4.2%. Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 9.3% to $58 million, primarily due to challenges in the frozen and vegetables business unit. The company expects the latter half of 2025 to show stabilization, with flat to slightly positive net sales and adjusted EBITDA growth, aided by a 53rd week contributing 2-3% to net sales growth in Q4. The fiscal year 2025 guidance was adjusted to account for the divestitures, now projecting net sales of $1.83 billion to $1.88 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $273 million to $283 million, and adjusted earnings per share of $0.50 to $0.60. Additionally, the company aims to reduce leverage to 6x within the next 12 months through divestiture proceeds and improved cash flow.

B&G Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
B&G Foods is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and negative returns on equity. While there is some improvement in cash flow generation, the overall financial health of the company is concerning. The company needs to address its leverage and profitability issues to improve its financial standing.
Income Statement
35
Negative
B&G Foods has experienced declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -1.07% TTM. The company is facing profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has slightly decreased over time, reflecting cost pressures. Overall, the income statement shows a concerning trend of declining revenue and profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.06 TTM, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial stability. The balance sheet highlights potential risks due to high leverage and negative returns.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 5.30% TTM, indicating some improvement in cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting that operating cash flow is not fully covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong, indicating efficient cash conversion despite profitability issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.86B1.93B2.06B2.16B1.66B1.70B
Gross Profit398.10M421.95M455.52M409.62M383.12M349.50M
EBITDA-55.52M-85.06M172.58M203.44M273.95M384.25M
Net Income-223.89M-251.25M-66.20M-11.37M76.39M172.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.94B2.99B3.46B3.84B3.23B3.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments54.08M50.58M41.09M45.44M11.31M11.65M
Total Debt2.04B2.08B2.12B2.46B1.92B1.64B
Total Liabilities2.44B2.47B2.63B2.97B2.42B2.15B
Stockholders Equity501.43M524.81M835.46M868.17M812.54M900.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow124.80M103.65M222.07M-16.32M4.15M167.83M
Operating Cash Flow155.07M130.91M247.76M5.96M46.50M209.46M
Investing Cash Flow-19.46M-27.68M81.59M-39.15M-124.74M347.59M
Financing Cash Flow-122.19M-92.96M-333.69M45.34M77.71M-753.33M

B&G Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.60
Price Trends
50DMA
4.32
Positive
100DMA
4.18
Positive
200DMA
4.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
57.44
Neutral
STOCH
84.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.37, above the 50-day MA of 4.32, and below the 200-day MA of 4.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BGS.

B&G Foods Risk Analysis

B&G Foods disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. B&G Foods reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

B&G Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$9.25B15.4815.64%5.02%6.40%6.17%
67
Neutral
$1.81B21.718.79%3.34%0.50%-4.46%
67
Neutral
$961.52M49.301.34%-1.52%
64
Neutral
$8.91B10.509.65%7.45%-4.11%72.17%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
49
Neutral
$11.24B-21.32%4.14%2.54%-293.39%
48
Neutral
$362.42M-1.63-35.36%16.78%-6.91%-83.51%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BGS
B&G Foods
4.60
-2.53
-35.48%
CPB
Campbell Soup
31.38
-13.59
-30.22%
CAG
Conagra Brands
18.78
-8.91
-32.18%
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
94.08
-67.82
-41.89%
SJM
JM Smucker
104.75
-7.74
-6.88%
THS
TreeHouse Foods
19.48
-18.35
-48.51%

B&G Foods Corporate Events

B&G Foods Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
Aug 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for B&G Foods revealed a mixed performance for the company in the second quarter of 2025. While the company demonstrated strong cash flow generation and made strategic divestitures to concentrate on its core segments, it also faced challenges with declining net sales and EBITDA, particularly in its frozen and vegetables business unit. Additionally, tariffs and increased commodity costs posed significant hurdles. Despite these challenges, the company expressed optimism about the second half of the year, anticipating improvements in profitability and operational efficiency.

B&G Foods Reports Decline in Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 5, 2025

B&G Foods, Inc., headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey, is a company that manufactures, sells, and distributes a wide array of branded shelf-stable and frozen foods across the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico, featuring well-known brands such as Green Giant, Cream of Wheat, and Crisco.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B&G Foods Reports Q2 2025 Sales Decline
Negative
Aug 4, 2025

B&G Foods reported a decrease in net sales by 4.5% for the second quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to reduced volume, pricing adjustments, and foreign currency impacts. The company also experienced a net loss of $9.8 million, attributed to the sale of certain brands and a decline in base business net sales. Despite these challenges, B&G Foods is optimistic about future improvements, having revised its full-year fiscal 2025 guidance and focusing on portfolio restructuring to enhance margins and cash flow.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGS) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&G Foods stock, see the BGS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2025