B&G Foods (BGS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $357.50M
• Dividend Yield: 17.12%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.56M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): >-0.01
• Revenue Growth: -6.04%
• EPS Growth: -844.18%
• Country: US
• Employees: 2,846
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 0.15
• Shares Outstanding: 79,977,050
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,659,080
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,556,622
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.07
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.29
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.40
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 6.59
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.28
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.97
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -23.40
• 1Y Price Target: $4.20
• Price Target Upside: -1.87% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 50 Neutral
• Price Target: $4.50 ▲(5.14% Upside)

The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (declining sales, losses, and high leverage). Technicals and earnings-call commentary are mixed rather than clearly improving, while valuation support from the high dividend yield is offset by loss-making results (negative P/E). Corporate events add a modest positive tilt via the announced acquisition, but not enough to outweigh the balance-sheet and profitability concerns.

Positive Factors

Cost Savings Initiatives

Cost-saving measures can enhance profitability and operational efficiency, providing a buffer against revenue declines and improving margins over time.

Divestiture Strategy

Strategic divestitures can streamline operations, focus resources on core brands, and improve cash flow, aiding in debt reduction and financial stability.

Spices & Seasonings Growth

Growth in the Spices & Seasonings segment indicates strong demand and market position, supporting revenue diversification and long-term sales stability.

Negative Factors

Declining Net Sales

Declining net sales reflect challenges in maintaining market share and revenue growth, potentially impacting profitability and strategic initiatives.

High Leverage

High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases risk, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.

Tariff Challenges

Tariff challenges can erode margins and competitiveness, necessitating strategic adjustments to mitigate long-term impacts on profitability.

B&G Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

B&G Foods, Inc. manufactures, sells, and distributes a portfolio of shelf-stable and frozen foods, and household products in the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. The company's products include frozen and canned vegetables, vegetables, canola and other cooking oils, vegetable shortening, cooking sprays, oatmeal and other hot cereals, fruit spreads, canned meats and beans, bagel chips, spices, seasonings, hot sauces, wine vinegar, maple syrups, molasses, salad dressings, pizza crusts, Mexican-style sauces, dry soups, taco shells and kits, salsas, pickles, peppers, tomato-based products, baking powder and soda, corn starch, cookies and crackers, nut clusters, and other specialty products. It markets its products under various brands, including Ac'cent, B&G, B&M, Back to Nature, Baker's Joy, Bear Creek Country Kitchens, Brer Rabbit, Canoleo, Cary's, Clabber Girl, Cream of Rice, Cream of Wheat, Crisco, Dash, Davis, Devonsheer, Don Pepino, Durkee, Emeril's, Grandma's Molasses, Green Giant, Joan of Arc, Las Palmas, Le Sueur, MacDonald's, Mama Mary's, Maple Grove Farms of Vermont, McCann's, Molly McButter, New York Flatbreads, New York Style, Old London, Ortega, Polaner, Red Devil, Regina, Rumford, Sa-són, Sclafani, Spice Islands, Spring Tree, Sugar Twin, Tone's, Trappey's, TrueNorth, Underwood, Vermont Maid, Victoria, and Weber and Wright's. The company also sells, markets, and distributes household products under the Static Guard brand. It sells and distributes its products directly, as well as through a network of independent brokers and distributors to supermarket chains, foodservice outlets, mass merchants, warehouse clubs, non-food outlets, and specialty distributors. The company was formerly known as B&G Foods Holdings Corp. and changed its name to B&G Foods, Inc. in October 2004. B&G Foods, Inc. was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.

How the Company Makes Money

B&G Foods generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaged food products across various channels, including supermarkets, mass merchants, and food service establishments. The company's revenue model is driven by several key streams, including direct sales of branded products, private label offerings, and partnerships with retailers for in-store promotions. Additionally, B&G Foods benefits from strategic acquisitions of complementary brands and product lines, which expand its market presence and diversify its offerings. The company's ability to innovate and respond to consumer trends, such as health and wellness, also plays a crucial role in sustaining its revenue growth.

B&G Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak fundamentals overall: declining revenue and negative profitability (negative net and EBITDA margins) alongside very high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.40) and limited balance-sheet flexibility. Cash generation shows some relative support versus net losses (positive free cash flow to net income), but free cash flow growth and cash conversion are under pressure.

Income Statement

B&G Foods has experienced declining revenue over the past few years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.17% in the TTM period. The company is facing profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. Gross profit margins have also decreased slightly, reflecting pressure on cost management. The negative EBITDA margin further highlights operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.40 in the TTM period, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial flexibility and potential risk in meeting long-term obligations.

Cash Flow

B&G Foods' cash flow position is under pressure, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low, indicating challenges in converting earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net losses.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.84B	1.93B	2.06B	2.16B	2.06B	1.97B
Gross Profit	394.58M	421.95M	455.52M	409.62M	436.97M	481.74M
EBITDA	-100.63M	-85.06M	172.58M	203.44M	297.40M	354.66M
Net Income	-250.49M	-251.25M	-66.20M	-11.37M	67.36M	131.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.94B	2.99B	3.46B	3.84B	3.83B	3.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	60.91M	50.58M	41.09M	45.44M	33.69M	52.18M
Total Debt	2.07B	2.08B	2.12B	2.46B	2.34B	2.37B
Total Liabilities	2.47B	2.47B	2.63B	2.97B	2.91B	2.94B
Stockholders Equity	470.74M	524.81M	835.46M	868.17M	920.25M	831.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	54.76M	103.65M	222.07M	-16.32M	50.30M	254.73M
Operating Cash Flow	86.30M	130.91M	247.76M	5.96M	93.88M	281.48M
Investing Cash Flow	38.40M	-27.68M	81.59M	-39.15M	-42.84M	-568.89M
Financing Cash Flow	-118.84M	-92.96M	-333.69M	45.34M	-69.84M	327.95M

B&G Foods Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 4.28
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.26, below the 50-day MA of 4.45, and below the 200-day MA of 4.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BGS.

B&G Foods Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JJSF	69 Neutral	$1.79B	28.08	6.82%	3.53%	0.54%	-24.42%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
CPB	60 Neutral	$8.16B	14.16	14.82%	5.64%	2.71%	4.90%
THS	56 Neutral	$1.24B	-5.13	-17.18%	―	-0.69%	-910.85%
CAG	52 Neutral	$8.59B	-85.91	-1.16%	7.87%	-5.82%	-119.70%
BGS	50 Neutral	$357.50M	-1.35	-40.86%	17.12%	-6.04%	-844.18%
SJM	49 Neutral	$11.23B	-9.21	-17.44%	4.45%	-0.66%	-326.55%

B&G Foods Corporate Events

B&G Foods to Acquire College Inn, Kitchen Basics Brands

On January 15, 2026, B&G Foods announced it had entered into an agreement to acquire Del Monte Foods’ College Inn and Kitchen Basics broth and stock business for approximately $110 million in cash, plus an inventory-based adjustment and assumption of certain liabilities, following a competitive auction conducted amid Del Monte’s Chapter 11 proceedings. The deal, which is subject to U.S. Bankruptcy Court approval, customary closing conditions and the simultaneous closing of two unrelated Del Monte bankruptcy asset sales, is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026 and will be funded with cash on hand, including divestiture proceeds, and borrowings under B&G’s existing revolving credit facility; B&G projects the acquired brands will generate $110 million–$120 million in annual net sales, $18 million–$22 million in adjusted EBITDA, be immediately accretive to earnings, deliver roughly $15 million in tax benefits due to the asset-purchase structure, and strengthen its portfolio with well-established pantry-staple brands acquired at a mid-single-digit EBITDA multiple.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGS) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&G Foods stock, see the BGS Stock Forecast page.

B&G Foods Reports Q3 2025 Sales Decline

B&G Foods reported a decrease in net sales by 4.7% in the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to reduced volume and foreign currency impacts, despite improvements in net pricing and product mix. The company also faced significant non-cash impairment charges but managed to achieve a gain from the divestiture of the Le Sueur U.S. brand. The adjusted EBITDA remained stable year-over-year, and the company announced the sale of Green Giant Canada, aiming to strengthen its core brand portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGS) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&G Foods stock, see the BGS Stock Forecast page.

B&G Foods Sells Canadian Green Giant Lines

On October 27, 2025, B&G Foods announced an agreement to sell its Green Giant and Le Sieur frozen and shelf-stable vegetable product lines in Canada to Nortera Foods. This move is part of B&G Foods’ strategy to divest non-core brands, reduce long-term debt, and sharpen its business focus. The sale, subject to regulatory approval, is expected to close by the end of 2025 or early 2026. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment and asset purchases. B&G Foods had previously divested other parts of the Green Giant brand in the U.S. and continues to evaluate further divestitures.

The most recent analyst rating on (BGS) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B&G Foods stock, see the BGS Stock Forecast page.