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J & J Snack Foods (JJSF)
NASDAQ:JJSF
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J & J Snack Foods (JJSF) AI Stock Analysis

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JJSF

J & J Snack Foods

(NASDAQ:JJSF)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$122.00
▲(11.93% Upside)
J & J Snack Foods' overall stock score reflects a solid financial foundation and positive earnings call highlights. However, technical indicators and recent corporate events suggest caution. The company's valuation is moderate, and while strategic changes may yield future benefits, they present short-term challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
J&J Snack Foods reported record operating results driven by strong performance in the Pretzel and Bakery product segments.
Financial Strategy
The company has a pristine balance sheet with cash of $49 million and no debt, which creates capital allocation optionality.
Product Innovation
Product innovation in the Superpretzel line significantly boosted sales, highlighting the success of new product introductions.
Negative Factors
Cost Challenges
Management highlighted specific headwinds such as theatre channel weakness and continued commodity cost inflation affecting results.
Earnings Performance
Revenues of $226M were below consensus, impacting earnings and indicating weaker than expected performance.
Market Outlook
A conservative outlook for the next quarter is communicated due to a choppy consumer macro environment and challenges with tariff-related price increases.

J & J Snack Foods (JJSF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

J & J Snack Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJ&J Snack Foods Corp. manufactures, markets, and distributes nutritional snack foods and beverages to the food service and retail supermarket industries in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. It operates in three segments: Food Service, Retail Supermarkets, and Frozen Beverages. The company offers soft pretzels under the SUPERPRETZEL, PRETZEL FILLERS, PRETZELFILS, GOURMET TWISTS, MR. TWISTER, SOFT PRETZEL BITES, SOFTSTIX, SOFT PRETZEL BUNS, TEXAS TWIST, BAVARIAN BAKERY, SUPERPRETZEL BAVARIAN, NEW YORK PRETZEL, KIM & SCOTT'S GOURMET PRETZELS, SERIOUSLY TWISTED!, BRAUHAUS, AUNTIE ANNE'S, and LABRIOLA, as well as under the private labels. It also provides frozen novelty under the LUIGI'S, WHOLE FRUIT, PHILLY SWIRL, SOUR PATCH, ICEE, and MINUTE MAID brands; churros under the TIO PEPE'S and CALIFORNIA CHURROS brands; and handheld products under the SUPREME STUFFERS and SWEET STUFFERS brands. In addition, the company offers bakery products, including biscuits, fig and fruit bars, cookies, breads, rolls, crumbs, muffins, and donuts under the MRS. GOODCOOKIE, READI-BAKE, COUNTRY HOME, MARY B'S, DADDY RAY'S, and HILL & VALLEY brands, as well as under private labels; and frozen beverages under the ICEE, SLUSH PUPPIE, and PARROT ICE brands. Further, it provides funnel cakes under the FUNNEL CAKE FACTORY brand, as well as various other food products; and sells machines and machine parts to other food and beverage companies. The company sells its products through a network of food brokers, independent sales distributors, and direct sales force. It serves snack bars and food stand locations in chain, department and mass merchandising stores, malls and shopping centers, fast food and casual dining restaurants, stadiums and sports arenas, leisure and theme parks, convenience stores, movie theatres, warehouse club stores, schools, colleges and other institutions, and independent retailers. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Pennsauken, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyJ & J Snack Foods generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling its various snack food products to a wide array of customers across different channels. The company operates through two main segments: the Food Service segment and the Retail segment. In the Food Service segment, JJSF distributes products to restaurants, convenience stores, and vending operators, while the Retail segment focuses on selling directly to grocery and retail outlets. Significant revenue is derived from partnerships with major retailers and food service operators, enabling JJSF to secure shelf space and distribution agreements. Additionally, the company benefits from brand recognition and consumer loyalty, which help drive sales volume. The diverse product line and strategic marketing efforts also contribute to its earnings, allowing JJSF to adapt to changing consumer preferences and trends in the snack food market.

J & J Snack Foods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial results with record sales and adjusted EBITDA, growth in the Food Service segment, and successful cost optimization measures. However, these positives were tempered by challenges in the Retail segment, declining churro sales, and impacts from foreign exchange rates and tariffs affecting margins.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Results
Net sales grew 3.3% to a record $454.3 million, adjusted EBITDA increased 1.6% to $72 million, and adjusted EPS was $2 per share compared to $1.98 last year.
Box Office Sales Rebound
Box office sales increased by 37% year-over-year, driven by the success of the Minecraft movie in April and May.
Food Service Segment Growth
Sales increased 4.8%, with pretzel sales up 12.8% and Bavarian Pretzels up 20%. The overall food service pretzel dollar share increased 1.3%.
Dippin' Dots Revenue Growth
Dippin' Dots sales increased, led by expanded theater penetration and year-to-date revenue growth of 10%.
Successful Price Increase Implementation
Progress in implementing price increases to offset input cost inflation, especially for chocolate, helped maintain margins.
Frozen Beverage Segment Improvement
Frozen Beverage sales increased by 6.1% due to higher machine revenue, despite volume decline.
Distribution Cost Optimization
Distribution expenses fell to 9.8% of sales from 10.2% last year, driven by freight optimization and reduced fuel expenses.
Negative Updates
Retail Segment Decline
Retail sales decreased by 7.1% due to declines in frozen novelty and handheld sales.
Churro Sales Decline
Churro sales declined approximately 13% due to the wind down of a limited-time offer program.
Impact of Foreign Exchange Rates
Unfavorable foreign exchange rates negatively impacted beverage sales by approximately 400 basis points.
Gross Margin Compression
Gross margin slightly decreased to 33% from 33.6% last year, attributed to a higher mix of lower-margin machine sales in the Frozen Beverage segment.
Tariffs and Cost of Goods Sold
Tariffs increased cost of goods sold by about 0.25 percentage points, with potential exposure to $8 million annually under a 10% tariff environment.
Company Guidance
During the J&J Snack Foods Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Conference Call, the company reported record financial results despite various challenges. Net sales increased by 3.3% to $454.3 million, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 1.6% to $72 million, and adjusted EPS was $2 per share compared to $1.98 last year. Despite the impact of unfavorable summer weather and foreign exchange headwinds, the company maintained a gross margin of 33%, driven by a seasonal mix shift toward higher-margin products and pricing initiatives. The Food Service segment saw a 4.8% sales increase, with pretzel sales up 12.8%, and Bavarian Pretzels sales climbing 20%. Retail segment sales decreased by 7.1% due to declines in frozen novelty and handheld sales, although Dippin' Dots retail sales reached approximately $2.5 million. The Frozen Beverage segment experienced a 6.1% sales increase, driven mainly by higher machine revenue, despite a 400 basis point negative foreign exchange impact. The company is focused on innovation and cost-saving initiatives, such as improved pretzel recipes and clean label frozen novelties, aiming to drive sustainable growth and long-term value.

J & J Snack Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
J & J Snack Foods shows solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and a strong balance sheet. However, there are slight declines in profitability margins, with net profit margin decreasing from 5.5% to 4.8% and free cash flow decreasing by 16.2% in TTM. Despite these challenges, the company maintains effective cash generation and conservative leverage.
Income Statement
78
Positive
J & J Snack Foods has shown a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, with a revenue growth rate of approximately 1% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is solid at about 29.8% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 5.5% in 2024 to 4.8% in TTM, highlighting a slight decline in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a slight decrease, suggesting pressure on operating profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 in TTM, indicating conservative leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio remains strong at around 68.9%, showcasing a robust asset base backed by equity. Return on equity (ROE) has decreased slightly to 8.1% in TTM from 9% in the previous year, reflecting a modest decline in profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow from operations has remained relatively stable, supporting the company's liquidity position. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.1 in TTM, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings. However, free cash flow has decreased by 16.2% in TTM due to increased capital expenditures, which could be a potential concern if it continues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.60B1.57B1.56B1.38B1.14B1.02B
Gross Profit475.18M486.13M469.87M369.64M298.93M238.43M
EBITDA188.40M191.37M174.34M119.03M121.88M74.58M
Net Income83.86M86.55M78.91M47.23M55.61M18.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41B1.37B1.28B1.22B1.12B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments77.38M73.39M49.58M39.19M291.17M246.96M
Total Debt167.19M160.50M121.91M111.56M60.53M61.58M
Total Liabilities444.00M408.13M365.72M353.80M276.56M247.06M
Stockholders Equity969.92M956.97M911.52M863.17M845.65M809.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.56M99.50M67.54M-61.23M47.92M34.33M
Operating Cash Flow145.02M173.07M172.28M26.06M101.50M92.14M
Investing Cash Flow-63.20M-77.67M-93.24M-296.17M9.94M-44.46M
Financing Cash Flow-67.86M-68.37M-66.84M22.22M-24.67M-43.46M

J & J Snack Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price109.00
Price Trends
50DMA
114.26
Negative
100DMA
116.78
Negative
200DMA
129.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.30
Positive
RSI
41.14
Neutral
STOCH
11.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JJSF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 109 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.93, below the 50-day MA of 114.26, and below the 200-day MA of 129.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JJSF.

J & J Snack Foods Risk Analysis

J & J Snack Foods disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. J & J Snack Foods reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

J & J Snack Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$2.86B19.908.22%14.22%-1.81%
69
Neutral
$2.26B8.417.98%4.49%3.07%10.64%
68
Neutral
$2.12B25.408.79%2.86%0.50%-4.46%
63
Neutral
$3.13B14.3115.61%6.58%-0.61%70.09%
63
Neutral
$20.52B14.80-2.68%3.09%1.95%-4.76%
60
Neutral
$1.98B57.2010.57%2.85%-4.30%-70.31%
59
Neutral
$1.96B67.402.56%1.91%-0.09%316.21%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
109.00
-51.96
-32.28%
FLO
Flowers Foods
14.81
-7.39
-33.29%
SMPL
Simply Good Foods
28.45
-4.96
-14.85%
NOMD
Nomad Foods
14.71
-3.76
-20.36%
UTZ
UTZ Brands
13.85
-3.57
-20.49%
KLG
WK Kellogg Co
22.97
5.52
31.63%

J & J Snack Foods Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
J & J Snack Foods Announces Strategic Manufacturing Changes
Negative
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, J & J Snack Foods Corp. announced a strategic plan to optimize its manufacturing footprint, which includes closing certain manufacturing plants. This decision will result in asset write-downs, severance costs, and other exit expenses, with pre-tax charges expected between $12 million and $20 million in the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025 and into 2026. The company anticipates completing the closures in fiscal year 2026, aiming for annualized pre-tax cost savings of approximately $15 million as part of its transformation program.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 01, 2025