J & J Snack Foods (JJSF)
:JJSF
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J & J Snack Foods (JJSF) AI Stock Analysis

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JJSF

J & J Snack Foods

(NASDAQ:JJSF)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$101.00
▲(8.40% Upside)
J & J Snack Foods' overall stock score reflects a solid financial performance and positive earnings call, highlighting record sales and effective cost optimization. However, the technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation. The company's challenges in cash flow management and retail segment performance also weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Food Service Segment Strength
Growth in the Food Service segment highlights the company's competitive position and ability to capitalize on consumer trends.
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility for future investments and growth.
Negative Factors
Retail Segment Decline
Declining retail sales suggest challenges in consumer demand or competitive pressures, potentially impacting overall revenue growth.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth indicates potential issues in cash generation, which could constrain future operational and strategic initiatives.
Churro Sales Decline
A significant decline in churro sales may reflect challenges in product diversification and consumer retention strategies.

J & J Snack Foods (JJSF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

J & J Snack Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJ & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) is a leading manufacturer and distributor of snack foods and frozen beverages in the United States. Founded in 1971, the company operates primarily in the food products sector, catering to various markets including retail, food service, and vending. JJSF's core product offerings include pretzels, pastries, ice cream products, and frozen beverages, which are marketed under well-known brands such as SuperPretzel, Luigi's, and ICEE. The company serves a diverse customer base, including convenience stores, restaurants, and amusement parks, positioning itself as a key player in the snack food industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyJ & J Snack Foods generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling its various snack food products to a wide array of customers across different channels. The company operates through two main segments: the Food Service segment and the Retail segment. In the Food Service segment, JJSF distributes products to restaurants, convenience stores, and vending operators, while the Retail segment focuses on selling directly to grocery and retail outlets. Significant revenue is derived from partnerships with major retailers and food service operators, enabling JJSF to secure shelf space and distribution agreements. Additionally, the company benefits from brand recognition and consumer loyalty, which help drive sales volume. The diverse product line and strategic marketing efforts also contribute to its earnings, allowing JJSF to adapt to changing consumer preferences and trends in the snack food market.

J & J Snack Foods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial results with record sales and adjusted EBITDA, growth in the Food Service segment, and successful cost optimization measures. However, these positives were tempered by challenges in the Retail segment, declining churro sales, and impacts from foreign exchange rates and tariffs affecting margins.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Results
Net sales grew 3.3% to a record $454.3 million, adjusted EBITDA increased 1.6% to $72 million, and adjusted EPS was $2 per share compared to $1.98 last year.
Box Office Sales Rebound
Box office sales increased by 37% year-over-year, driven by the success of the Minecraft movie in April and May.
Food Service Segment Growth
Sales increased 4.8%, with pretzel sales up 12.8% and Bavarian Pretzels up 20%. The overall food service pretzel dollar share increased 1.3%.
Dippin' Dots Revenue Growth
Dippin' Dots sales increased, led by expanded theater penetration and year-to-date revenue growth of 10%.
Successful Price Increase Implementation
Progress in implementing price increases to offset input cost inflation, especially for chocolate, helped maintain margins.
Frozen Beverage Segment Improvement
Frozen Beverage sales increased by 6.1% due to higher machine revenue, despite volume decline.
Distribution Cost Optimization
Distribution expenses fell to 9.8% of sales from 10.2% last year, driven by freight optimization and reduced fuel expenses.
Negative Updates
Retail Segment Decline
Retail sales decreased by 7.1% due to declines in frozen novelty and handheld sales.
Churro Sales Decline
Churro sales declined approximately 13% due to the wind down of a limited-time offer program.
Impact of Foreign Exchange Rates
Unfavorable foreign exchange rates negatively impacted beverage sales by approximately 400 basis points.
Gross Margin Compression
Gross margin slightly decreased to 33% from 33.6% last year, attributed to a higher mix of lower-margin machine sales in the Frozen Beverage segment.
Tariffs and Cost of Goods Sold
Tariffs increased cost of goods sold by about 0.25 percentage points, with potential exposure to $8 million annually under a 10% tariff environment.
Company Guidance
During the J&J Snack Foods Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Conference Call, the company reported record financial results despite various challenges. Net sales increased by 3.3% to $454.3 million, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 1.6% to $72 million, and adjusted EPS was $2 per share compared to $1.98 last year. Despite the impact of unfavorable summer weather and foreign exchange headwinds, the company maintained a gross margin of 33%, driven by a seasonal mix shift toward higher-margin products and pricing initiatives. The Food Service segment saw a 4.8% sales increase, with pretzel sales up 12.8%, and Bavarian Pretzels sales climbing 20%. Retail segment sales decreased by 7.1% due to declines in frozen novelty and handheld sales, although Dippin' Dots retail sales reached approximately $2.5 million. The Frozen Beverage segment experienced a 6.1% sales increase, driven mainly by higher machine revenue, despite a 400 basis point negative foreign exchange impact. The company is focused on innovation and cost-saving initiatives, such as improved pretzel recipes and clean label frozen novelties, aiming to drive sustainable growth and long-term value.

J & J Snack Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
J & J Snack Foods demonstrates a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth and a strong balance sheet. However, there are areas of concern in cash flow management, particularly in sustaining free cash flow levels. The company should focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow generation to enhance its financial health further.
Income Statement
75
Positive
J & J Snack Foods shows a solid performance in its income statement with a consistent revenue growth trend, highlighted by a TTM revenue growth rate of 0.904%. The gross profit margin is stable at around 30%, and the net profit margin is reasonable at 4.79%. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity is healthy at 8.81%, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at a robust level, showcasing financial stability and a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. While the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.87, indicating good cash generation relative to net income, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -20.17%, suggesting challenges in maintaining free cash flow levels. The free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.52, showing some room for improvement in cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.60B1.57B1.56B1.38B1.14B1.02B
Gross Profit475.18M486.13M469.87M369.64M298.93M238.43M
EBITDA188.40M191.37M174.34M119.03M121.88M74.58M
Net Income83.86M86.55M78.91M47.23M55.61M18.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41B1.37B1.28B1.22B1.12B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments77.38M73.39M49.58M39.19M291.17M246.96M
Total Debt167.19M160.50M121.91M111.56M60.53M61.58M
Total Liabilities444.00M408.13M365.72M353.80M276.56M247.06M
Stockholders Equity969.92M956.97M911.52M863.17M845.65M809.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.56M99.50M67.54M-61.23M47.92M34.33M
Operating Cash Flow145.02M173.07M172.28M26.06M101.50M92.14M
Investing Cash Flow-63.20M-77.67M-93.24M-296.17M9.94M-44.46M
Financing Cash Flow-67.86M-68.37M-66.84M22.22M-24.67M-43.46M

J & J Snack Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price93.17
Price Trends
50DMA
94.19
Negative
100DMA
103.82
Negative
200DMA
113.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.73
Positive
RSI
26.55
Positive
STOCH
25.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JJSF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 93.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.33, below the 50-day MA of 94.19, and below the 200-day MA of 113.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.55 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JJSF.

J & J Snack Foods Risk Analysis

J & J Snack Foods disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. J & J Snack Foods reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

J & J Snack Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$2.43B12.5813.73%8.56%0.26%-19.45%
67
Neutral
$1.86B8.377.39%5.58%1.44%8.29%
67
Neutral
$1.60B19.148.79%3.80%0.50%-4.46%
63
Neutral
$1.95B19.225.86%8.98%-26.29%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
-4.30%-70.31%
56
Neutral
$1.44B160.220.80%2.45%1.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
82.57
-79.78
-49.14%
FLO
Flowers Foods
11.39
-9.26
-44.84%
SMPL
Simply Good Foods
19.57
-17.75
-47.56%
NOMD
Nomad Foods
12.19
-3.87
-24.10%
UTZ
UTZ Brands
10.40
-6.17
-37.24%
KLG
WK Kellogg Co
23.00
6.37
38.30%

J & J Snack Foods Corporate Events

J & J Snack Foods Reports Record Earnings Amid Mixed Challenges
Sep 2, 2025

J & J Snack Foods recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment among stakeholders. The company celebrated record sales and adjusted EBITDA, with notable growth in the Food Service segment and successful cost optimization strategies. However, these achievements were somewhat overshadowed by challenges in the Retail segment, declining churro sales, and adverse impacts from foreign exchange rates and tariffs on margins.

Business Operations and Strategy
J & J Snack Foods Announces Strategic Manufacturing Changes
Negative
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, J & J Snack Foods Corp. announced a strategic plan to optimize its manufacturing footprint, which includes closing certain manufacturing plants. This decision will result in asset write-downs, severance costs, and other exit expenses, with pre-tax charges expected between $12 million and $20 million in the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025 and into 2026. The company anticipates completing the closures in fiscal year 2026, aiming for annualized pre-tax cost savings of approximately $15 million as part of its transformation program.

The most recent analyst rating on (JJSF) stock is a Hold with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on J & J Snack Foods stock, see the JJSF Stock Forecast page.

J & J Snack Foods Reports Strong Q3 Performance
Aug 6, 2025

J & J Snack Foods Corp. is a prominent player in the snack food industry, known for its innovative and affordable branded snack foods and beverages, including popular products like SUPERPRETZEL, ICEE, and DIPPIN’ DOTS, distributed across foodservice and retail supermarket outlets. In its fiscal 2025 third quarter, J & J Snack Foods reported a robust financial performance with net sales reaching $454.3 million, a 3% increase from the previous year, and net earnings of $44.2 million, marking a 22% rise. The company attributed its success to strong sales growth in its Food Service and Frozen Beverage segments, despite challenges such as a facility fire impacting handheld sales and a cautious consumer environment. Key financial metrics showed positive trends, with operating income up by 21% to $60.6 million and earnings per diluted share increasing by 21% to $2.26. The company also highlighted a strategic focus on product innovation and capacity restoration efforts to address previous constraints. Looking forward, J & J Snack Foods remains focused on execution and innovation, with plans for new product launches and customer pilots in fiscal 2026, aiming to drive sustainable growth and long-term value for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025