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UTZ Brands (UTZ)
NYSE:UTZ
US Market

UTZ Brands (UTZ) AI Stock Analysis

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UTZ Brands

(NYSE:UTZ)

68Neutral
UTZ Brands scores a 68, reflecting solid financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's strategic initiatives, strong household penetration, and recent operational improvements are significant strengths. However, technical indicators signal caution, and high valuation poses a risk. The recent corporate events provide additional optimism, but the overall score is moderated by potential market challenges and valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Utz Brands Inc reported better than expected preliminary 1Q25 results with organic sales and net sales exceeding expectations, along with slightly better adjusted EBITDA.
Leadership
The appointment of William J. Kelley Jr. as the new CFO and Principal Accounting Officer is seen as a strategic move, bringing experience from leading companies like Tropicana Brands Group and The Kraft Heinz Company.
Supply Chain Transformation
UTZ has over delivered on supply chain transformation, which could yield upside revisions if the company sustains recent share momentum.
Negative Factors
Category Weakness
Concerns for persistent salty snack category weakness and a lower probability of a takeout in the near term influence the stock rating downgrade.
Demand Concerns
The salty snacks category has overextended its price increases since the pandemic, which could impact demand negatively.
Organic Growth
Despite UTZ's efforts in cost reduction and efficiency, the stock is predicted to trade at a lower valuation due to subdued organic growth and high debt leverage.

UTZ Brands (UTZ) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

UTZ Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUtz Brands, Inc. operates as a snack food manufacturing company. It offers a range of salty snacks, including potato chips, kettle chips, tortilla chips, pretzels, cheese snacks, veggie snacks, pork skins, pub/party mixes, salsa and queso, ready-to-eat popcorn, and other snacks under the Utz, Zapp's, ON THE BORDER, Golden Flake, Good Health, Boulder Canyon, Hawaiian, TGIF, TORTIYAHS!, and other brand names. The company distributes its products to grocery, mass, club, convenience, drug, and other retailers though direct shipments, distributors, and direct store delivery routes. Utz Brands, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Hanover, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyUTZ Brands generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of its snack food products. The company's primary revenue stream comes from distributing its products to a variety of retail partners, including supermarkets, convenience stores, and mass merchandisers. Additionally, UTZ benefits from partnerships with private label brands and produces snacks under various brand names, enhancing its market reach. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as consumer preferences, pricing strategies, and distribution efficiency. UTZ also invests in marketing and product innovation to maintain its competitive edge and drive sales growth.

UTZ Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UTZ Brands shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, though challenges in net income volatility and free cash flow variability remain. The company's balanced capital structure supports financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
UTZ Brands shows solid revenue growth from 2021 to 2024, with a significant increase in total revenue over the years. The gross profit margin has remained stable, reflecting efficient cost management. However, net profit margins have been inconsistent, with occasional losses, indicating potential challenges in controlling operating expenses or fluctuating input costs. The EBIT margin has improved, suggesting better core operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, showing a balance between debt and equity financing. Return on equity has been volatile due to fluctuating net income, affecting the overall profitability from an equity holder's perspective. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating a strong capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow has consistently supported the company's operations, although free cash flow growth has been inconsistent. The company shows a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, highlighting effective cash generation from operations. The inconsistency in free cash flow suggests potential variability in capital expenditures or operational cash generation.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.41B1.44B1.41B1.18B768.23M
Gross Profit
494.78M456.49M449.06M383.91M253.80M
EBIT
58.91M16.02M5.34M10.57M38.75M
EBITDA
182.12M100.80M93.27M131.52M-16.07M
Net Income Common Stockholders
15.97M-24.94M-14.04M8.00M-16.17M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
56.14M52.02M72.93M41.90M46.83M
Total Assets
2.73B2.75B2.84B2.72B2.58B
Total Debt
38.00M985.34M944.74M876.63M812.05M
Net Debt
-18.14M933.32M871.80M834.73M765.22M
Total Liabilities
1.34B1.36B1.39B1.28B1.06B
Stockholders Equity
702.45M669.50M703.15M679.71M602.26M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
7.53M20.92M-39.77M14.89M8.00M
Operating Cash Flow
106.17M76.64M48.19M48.39M27.99M
Investing Cash Flow
74.96M-48.49M-76.07M-136.10M-115.88M
Financing Cash Flow
-177.01M-49.05M58.91M82.78M96.03M

UTZ Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.29
Price Trends
50DMA
13.61
Negative
100DMA
14.17
Negative
200DMA
15.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
46.14
Neutral
STOCH
29.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UTZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.49, below the 50-day MA of 13.61, and below the 200-day MA of 15.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UTZ.

UTZ Brands Risk Analysis

UTZ Brands disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UTZ Brands reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UTZ Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.07B13.148.75%3.17%1.88%24.81%
72
Outperform
$771.25M15.9215.40%1.28%12.09%-27.64%
70
Outperform
$2.53B29.919.08%2.37%2.14%5.38%
UTUTZ
68
Neutral
$1.88B71.072.33%1.78%-2.01%
64
Neutral
$9.01B14.733.76%178.62%3.83%6.05%
THTHS
55
Neutral
$1.17B42.801.67%-4.59%-42.81%
BGBGS
51
Neutral
$545.26M-36.94%11.06%-6.30%-258.92%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UTZ
UTZ Brands
12.14
-7.08
-36.84%
BGS
B&G Foods
6.81
-3.50
-33.95%
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
126.66
-8.19
-6.07%
JBSS
John B Sanfilippo & Son
62.89
-35.41
-36.02%
THS
TreeHouse Foods
23.13
-14.50
-38.53%
NOMD
Nomad Foods
19.71
2.25
12.89%

UTZ Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Utz Brands demonstrated solid growth in organic sales and household penetration, driven by strong performance in untracked channels and the Boulder Canyon brand. However, challenges remain with specific product lines and channels, such as Dips & Salsa and convenience stores. The bonus pack program contributed to short-term volume gains but is not sustainable long-term. Overall, while there are positive aspects, there are also notable challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
3% Organic Sales Growth
Utz Brands reported a 3% organic sales growth despite flat overall retail sales, driven by significant strength in untracked channels such as natural, discount, and club.
Boulder Canyon Performance
Boulder Canyon has been a tremendous growth driver, gaining distribution in both untracked and traditional channels, with increasing velocity and consumer reception.
Household Penetration Increase
Utz Brands achieved an all-time high household penetration rate of 49%, indicating strong trial and repeat rates among consumers.
Negative Updates
Dips & Salsa Under Pressure
The non-branded Dips & Salsa business is expected to face near-term pressure as it laps the prior year.
Convenience Store Performance
Performance in convenience stores has not returned to growth, affected by overall traffic trends and macroeconomic factors.
Impact of Bonus Packs on Volume Share
The bonus pack program contributed to volume share gains but is winding down, potentially affecting future volume performance.
Company Guidance
During the Utz Brands, Inc. First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, several metrics and insights were discussed regarding the company's performance and future outlook. The company reported a 3% organic sales growth despite flat overall retail sales, attributing this to strength in untracked channels like natural, discount, and club, as well as improved throughput from the new Rice distribution center. The bonus pack program was highlighted as a significant driver of volume share gains, contributing about 300 basis points to price impacts, with an additional 60 basis points from other pricing investments. Boulder Canyon's expansion into new categories and increased distribution were noted as key growth drivers, with continued distribution gains expected in both core and expansion geographies. The call also addressed the potential for long-term growth through innovation, expanded distribution, and marketing investments, while acknowledging potential near-term challenges in the non-branded segment and convenience stores. Overall, Utz Brands expressed optimism about sustaining their growth trajectory through strategic initiatives and market responsiveness.

UTZ Brands Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Utz Brands Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Utz Brands reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, showing a 1.6% increase in net sales to $352.1 million and a significant 137.5% rise in net income to $5.7 million compared to the previous year. The company achieved a 2.9% growth in organic net sales, with branded salty snacks seeing a 4.9% increase. Despite a decline in gross profit margin, adjusted gross profit margin expanded by 100bps, driven by productivity savings. Utz reaffirmed its full-year 2025 outlook, expecting continued growth in branded salty snacks and adjusted EBITDA, while anticipating modest impact from tariff volatility due to domestic sourcing of input costs.

Spark’s Take on UTZ Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, UTZ is a Neutral.

UTZ Brands receives a balanced score driven by solid financial performance and strategic initiatives, countered by high valuation concerns and technical indicators suggesting caution. While growth prospects and positive corporate events are encouraging, market valuation and lack of momentum limit the overall attractiveness.

To see Spark’s full report on UTZ stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Utz Brands Appoints New CFO Ahead of May 2025
Positive
Apr 17, 2025

Utz Brands announced the appointment of William J. Kelley Jr. as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective May 1, 2025, succeeding Ajay Kataria. Additionally, Mark Schreiber, the Chief Customer Officer, will retire, and Jeremy Stuart will take over the role. The company reaffirmed its fiscal year 2025 outlook and announced preliminary first-quarter results, expecting a slight increase in net sales and net income. Utz continues to focus on growth through its branded salty snacks and aims for improved financial performance, including adjusted EBITDA growth and expanded profit margins.

Spark’s Take on UTZ Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, UTZ is a Neutral.

UTZ Brands demonstrates solid financial performance and positive future guidance, supported by strategic initiatives and leadership changes. However, high valuation and technical indicators suggest caution, with potential risks in market trends and channel challenges. The stock’s overall score reflects a balanced view of these factors.

To see Spark’s full report on UTZ stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Utz Brands Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Utz Brands reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, with net sales of $341.0 million for the quarter and $1,409.3 million for the year, showing a slight increase in organic net sales and significant growth in adjusted earnings metrics. Despite a net sales decrease in the fourth quarter due to brand divestitures, the company achieved notable profit margin expansions and a turnaround to net income from a previous loss, driven by productivity initiatives and favorable sales volume/mix. Looking ahead to 2025, Utz anticipates continued growth in organic net sales and adjusted earnings, supported by strategic investments and cost-saving measures, while positioning itself to meet or exceed its fiscal 2026 financial goals.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.