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UTZ Brands (UTZ)
NYSE:UTZ
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UTZ Brands (UTZ) AI Stock Analysis

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UTZ

UTZ Brands

(NYSE:UTZ)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(5.36% Upside)
UTZ Brands' overall score reflects strong revenue growth and market expansion, but is tempered by profitability challenges, high valuation, and bearish technical indicators. The company's strategic initiatives and brand successes are positive, yet operational hurdles and cash flow issues need addressing.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth driven by expansion and infrastructure investments indicates robust market demand and strategic positioning.
Brand Performance
Boulder Canyon's growth and market penetration reflect successful brand strategy and product appeal, supporting long-term revenue potential.
Gross Margin Expansion
Improved gross margins through productivity savings enhance profitability, providing a cushion against cost pressures and supporting financial health.
Negative Factors
EPS Guidance Revision
Lower EPS guidance due to increased expenses suggests potential profitability challenges, impacting investor confidence and financial forecasts.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage debt effectively.
Underperformance in Product Categories
Underperformance in certain product categories could signal market saturation or competitive pressures, affecting overall sales growth.

UTZ Brands (UTZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

UTZ Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUtz Brands, Inc. operates as a snack food manufacturing company. It offers a range of salty snacks, including potato chips, kettle chips, tortilla chips, pretzels, cheese snacks, veggie snacks, pork skins, pub/party mixes, salsa and queso, ready-to-eat popcorn, and other snacks under the Utz, Zapp's, ON THE BORDER, Golden Flake, Good Health, Boulder Canyon, Hawaiian, TGIF, TORTIYAHS!, and other brand names. The company distributes its products to grocery, mass, club, convenience, drug, and other retailers though direct shipments, distributors, and direct store delivery routes. Utz Brands, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Hanover, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyUTZ Brands generates revenue through the sale of its snack products across various distribution channels, including grocery stores, convenience stores, and online retailers. The company's revenue model is primarily driven by the direct sales of its branded snack products, which are well-positioned in the market due to their strong brand recognition and loyalty. Key revenue streams include sales from their core product lines, promotional partnerships with retailers, and strategic marketing initiatives aimed at increasing brand visibility. Additionally, UTZ may benefit from economies of scale in production and distribution, enabling competitive pricing and improved margins. Collaborations with distributors and retailers further enhance their market reach, contributing significantly to their overall earnings.

UTZ Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

UTZ Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Utz Brands, Inc. demonstrated strong growth and market expansion, particularly with its Boulder Canyon brand and regional market penetration. However, challenges with the On The Border brand and adverse weather impacting potato crops posed some operational hurdles. The company remains optimistic about resolving these issues and sustaining growth, though margin expansion might be moderated due to strategic investments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Market Expansion
Utz Brands, Inc. has made significant progress in expanding market share in Florida, Illinois, Colorado, and Missouri, achieving over 4% market share in these regions. The company is confident about further scaling in California following recent route acquisitions.
Positive Volume Growth
The company experienced strong volume gains with slight negative pricing, driven by expansion markets and strategic promotions. This reflects Utz's successful execution in gaining market penetration and consumer trial.
Boulder Canyon Brand Success
Boulder Canyon continues to show strong performance, becoming the #1 potato chip brand in the natural channel. The brand achieved significant velocity and distribution gains, with plans for further expansion in 2026.
Negative Updates
On The Border Brand Challenges
The On The Border brand faced softness and regional competition, impacting its performance. Utz identified and is addressing specific short-term issues to stabilize the brand.
Potato Crop Impact on Gross Margin
Adverse weather conditions impacted the potato crop used by Utz, leading to higher costs and pressure on gross margins. This was an isolated issue expected to be resolved in the upcoming quarters.
Slight Backing Off on 2026 Margin Expectations
While maintaining a target of 16% EBITDA margins by 2026, there are considerations of potential incremental investments in California that might affect the degree of margin expansion.
Company Guidance
During the Utz Brands, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided insights into its financial projections and strategic initiatives. Utz reiterated its expectation of achieving EBITDA margins of approximately 16% by 2026, with a planned expansion of about 100 basis points each year, despite making incremental investments to support the California expansion. The company remains confident in its ability to outperform the category, projecting to grow 200 to 300 basis points ahead of it. The strategic acquisition for California expansion is anticipated to enhance market penetration, with Utz aiming to replicate its successful Florida model. The company reported strong performance in its Boulder Canyon brand, which is now the #1 potato chip brand in the natural channel, and highlighted continued market share gains in core markets. Furthermore, Utz discussed the challenges faced with its On The Border brand, which are being actively addressed, and emphasized the importance of innovation and retail media investments to drive future growth. The company also addressed challenges with potato crop quality, noting these were resolved by the end of the quarter.

UTZ Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UTZ Brands shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency with a healthy gross profit margin. However, low net profit margins and negative free cash flow indicate challenges in profitability and cash management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
UTZ Brands demonstrates steady revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $1.41 billion, showing a slight increase from the previous year. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 34.9%. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.7%, indicating limited profitability after expenses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins at 3.9% and 9.2% respectively suggest moderate operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly, dropping to 0.05 in the TTM period, which indicates reduced financial leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) at 3.2% shows low profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is solid at 26.1%, reflecting a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The company’s free cash flow has turned negative in the TTM period, signaling potential issues in maintaining cash reserves after capital expenses. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.41 indicates strong cash generation relative to net income, yet the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash outflows exceeding inflows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.45B1.41B1.44B768.23M772.03M
Gross Profit490.13M494.78M456.49M253.80M266.70M
EBITDA5.92M182.12M99.25M54.78M50.35M
Net Income3.50M15.97M-24.94M-16.17M-30.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.78B2.73B2.75B451.74M443.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.70M56.14M52.02M15.05M944.89K
Total Debt48.90M940.82M985.34M0.000.00
Total Liabilities1.41B1.34B1.36B16.05M15.60M
Stockholders Equity725.30M702.45M669.50M435.69M427.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-111.50M7.53M20.92M-360.00K2.71M
Operating Cash Flow43.40M106.17M76.64M27.99M15.75M
Investing Cash Flow-166.50M74.96M-48.49M-115.88M-2.17M
Financing Cash Flow123.20M-177.01M-49.05M96.03M-16.37M

UTZ Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.44
Price Trends
50DMA
12.59
Negative
100DMA
12.94
Negative
200DMA
13.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
22.60
Positive
STOCH
22.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UTZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.19, below the 50-day MA of 12.59, and below the 200-day MA of 13.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.60 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UTZ.

UTZ Brands Risk Analysis

UTZ Brands disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UTZ Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UTZ Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.69B20.498.79%3.61%0.50%-4.46%
$2.55B11.7515.61%8.07%-0.61%70.09%
$1.73B7.767.88%5.84%0.87%8.59%
$1.92B18.895.86%8.98%-26.29%
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
-4.30%-70.31%
$1.48B58.152.56%2.44%-0.09%316.21%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UTZ
UTZ Brands
10.44
-6.59
-38.70%
FLO
Flowers Foods
12.08
-8.95
-42.56%
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
87.01
-75.11
-46.33%
SMPL
Simply Good Foods
19.23
-15.08
-43.95%
NOMD
Nomad Foods
11.31
-5.71
-33.55%
KLG
WK Kellogg Co
23.00
7.07
44.38%

UTZ Brands Corporate Events

Utz Brands Reports Q3 2025 Results and Expansion Plans
Oct 31, 2025

Utz Brands, Inc., a prominent manufacturer of branded salty snacks, operates in the U.S. staples sector, known for its diverse portfolio of popular snack brands like Utz®, On The Border®, Zapp’s®, and Boulder Canyon®. The company recently reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a modest increase in net sales and strategic expansion plans.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Utz Brands Reports Q3 Sales Growth and Expansion
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Utz Brands reported its third-quarter financial results, showing a 3.4% increase in net sales to $377.8 million compared to the previous year. Despite a decline in gross profit margin, the company achieved a 5.8% growth in branded salty snacks organic net sales and adjusted EBITDA increased by 11.7% to $60.3 million. Utz also announced an expansion into California by acquiring Insignia International’s distribution assets, aiming to boost its market share in the largest U.S. salty snack market. The company raised its 2025 organic net sales growth guidance to 3% and reaffirmed its adjusted EBITDA and earnings per share growth expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (UTZ) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UTZ Brands stock, see the UTZ Stock Forecast page.

Utz Brands Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Results
Aug 1, 2025

Utz Brands, Inc., a prominent U.S. manufacturer of branded salty snacks, operates in the consumer staples sector, known for its diverse portfolio of savory snack brands and a strong family heritage. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, Utz Brands announced a 2.9% increase in net sales to $366.7 million, with notable growth in its branded salty snacks segment. Despite this sales growth, the company experienced a significant decline in net income by 60.2% to $10.1 million, and adjusted EBITDA decreased by 2.0% to $48.7 million, primarily due to higher selling, distribution, and administrative expenses.

Utz Brands Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

Utz Brands Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment characterized by robust top-line growth and notable brand achievements, particularly with Boulder Canyon. However, the company also faced challenges, including revised EPS guidance and varied performance across product subcategories. While strategic investments and productivity enhancements are showing positive outcomes, the market’s reaction to guidance adjustments has raised some concerns.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Utz Brands Announces Leadership Change Effective August 2025
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

Utz Brands announced a leadership change effective August 15, 2025, with Ryan Tewey becoming the Principal Accounting Officer, while William J. Kelley Jr. will continue as EVP and CFO. The company reported a 2.9% increase in net sales for Q2 2025, with a significant 5.4% rise in branded salty snacks sales. Despite a decrease in net income by 60.2%, Utz is optimistic about its growth strategy, raising its 2025 organic net sales outlook and continuing its supply chain transformation by consolidating manufacturing facilities, which is expected to generate cost savings and support geographic expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (UTZ) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UTZ Brands stock, see the UTZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025