UTZ Brands (UTZ) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.83B
• Dividend Yield: 2.03%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.05M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 63.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.09
• Revenue Growth: -0.09%
• EPS Growth: 316.21%
• Country: US
• Employees: 3,000
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 0.17
• Shares Outstanding: 86,201,904
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 803,168
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,052,941
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.49
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.92
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.52
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 18.77
• 1Y Price Target: $16.75
• Price Target Upside: 25.56% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: $14.00 ▲(4.95% Upside)

UTZ Brands' overall score reflects solid revenue growth and strategic expansion efforts, tempered by profitability challenges and high valuation concerns. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook with strong growth potential but also highlighted risks from revised EPS guidance and increased expenses.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

UTZ raised its organic sales outlook to growth of +2.5% or better and raised the low end of its adj. EBITDA outlook which is now growth of +7% to +10%.

Sales Growth

Utz's branded salty snacks business has grown retail sales a robust +3.7% YOY despite a salty snack category that has been down slightly YOY during this period.

Negative Factors

Earnings

UTZ reduced the midpoint of its EPS outlook to $0.83 from $0.86 with half of the decline driven by higher interest expense and the remainder from higher depreciation and amortization.

Market Reaction

Shares reacted negatively on the mechanical nature of lower EPS guidance and limited liquidity in the stock.

Valuation Concerns

Subdued organic growth and debt leverage are expected to weigh on the valuation multiple in an increasingly volatile macro environment.

UTZ Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

UTZ Brands, Inc. is a leading snack food company based in the United States, primarily known for its wide range of salty snacks, including potato chips, pretzels, cheese balls, and popcorn. Established in 1921, UTZ operates in the snack food sector and has built a strong portfolio of well-recognized brands, including Utz, Golden Flake, and Zapp's. The company focuses on quality and innovation, catering to consumer preferences for both traditional snacks and healthier options.

How the Company Makes Money

UTZ Brands generates revenue through the sale of its snack products across various distribution channels, including grocery stores, convenience stores, and online retailers. The company's revenue model is primarily driven by the direct sales of its branded snack products, which are well-positioned in the market due to their strong brand recognition and loyalty. Key revenue streams include sales from their core product lines, promotional partnerships with retailers, and strategic marketing initiatives aimed at increasing brand visibility. Additionally, UTZ may benefit from economies of scale in production and distribution, enabling competitive pricing and improved margins. Collaborations with distributors and retailers further enhance their market reach, contributing significantly to their overall earnings.

UTZ Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary

UTZ Brands shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency with healthy gross profit margins. However, profitability is limited due to low net profit margins and negative free cash flow, indicating cash management challenges.

Income Statement

UTZ Brands demonstrates steady revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $1.41 billion, showing a slight increase from the previous year. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 34.9%. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.7%, indicating limited profitability after expenses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins at 3.9% and 9.2% respectively suggest moderate operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly, dropping to 0.05 in the TTM period, which indicates reduced financial leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) at 3.2% shows low profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is solid at 26.1%, reflecting a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.

Cash Flow

The company’s free cash flow has turned negative in the TTM period, signaling potential issues in maintaining cash reserves after capital expenses. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.41 indicates strong cash generation relative to net income, yet the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash outflows exceeding inflows.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.43B	1.41B	1.44B	1.41B	1.18B	768.23M
Gross Profit	495.48M	494.78M	456.49M	449.06M	383.91M	253.80M
EBITDA	145.80M	182.12M	99.25M	91.33M	127.67M	-16.07M
Net Income	18.12M	15.97M	-24.94M	-392.00K	20.55M	-16.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.84B	2.73B	2.75B	2.84B	2.72B	2.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	54.60M	56.14M	52.02M	72.93M	41.90M	46.83M
Total Debt	1.05B	940.82M	985.34M	992.46M	909.01M	812.05M
Total Liabilities	1.46B	1.34B	1.36B	1.39B	1.28B	1.20B
Stockholders Equity	731.20M	702.45M	669.50M	703.15M	679.71M	552.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-13.54M	7.53M	20.92M	-39.77M	14.89M	8.00M
Operating Cash Flow	86.12M	106.17M	76.64M	48.19M	48.39M	29.70M
Investing Cash Flow	-106.71M	74.96M	-48.49M	-76.07M	-136.10M	-115.88M
Financing Cash Flow	16.77M	-177.01M	-49.05M	58.91M	82.78M	231.52M

UTZ Brands Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 13.34
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UTZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.22, below the 50-day MA of 13.34, and below the 200-day MA of 14.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UTZ.

UTZ Brands Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JBSS	78 Outperform	$743.74M	13.38	17.25%	2.23%	3.79%	-2.56%
NOMD	69 Neutral	$2.31B	10.22	7.88%	4.23%	0.87%	8.59%
JJSF	65 Neutral	$2.22B	26.63	8.79%	2.69%	0.50%	-4.46%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$20.91B	14.58	-4.08%	3.07%	2.70%	-8.71%
THS	61 Neutral	$934.25M	46.33	1.34%	―	-1.52%	―
UTZ	59 Neutral	$1.83B	63.07	2.56%	2.03%	-0.09%	316.21%
BGS	51 Neutral	$352.82M	―	-35.36%	16.59%	-6.91%	-83.51%

UTZ Brands Corporate Events

Utz Brands Announces Leadership Change Effective August 2025

Utz Brands announced a leadership change effective August 15, 2025, with Ryan Tewey becoming the Principal Accounting Officer, while William J. Kelley Jr. will continue as EVP and CFO. The company reported a 2.9% increase in net sales for Q2 2025, with a significant 5.4% rise in branded salty snacks sales. Despite a decrease in net income by 60.2%, Utz is optimistic about its growth strategy, raising its 2025 organic net sales outlook and continuing its supply chain transformation by consolidating manufacturing facilities, which is expected to generate cost savings and support geographic expansion.