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John B. Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS)
NASDAQ:JBSS
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John B Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) AI Stock Analysis

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JBSS

John B Sanfilippo & Son

(NASDAQ:JBSS)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$72.00
▲(10.94% Upside)
John B Sanfilippo & Son's overall stock score reflects its strong financial stability and attractive valuation, supported by positive corporate events and earnings call highlights. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, and challenges in revenue growth and cash flow need addressing.

John B Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

John B Sanfilippo & Son Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and peanuts in the United States. The company offers raw and processed nuts, including almonds, pecans, peanuts, black walnuts, English walnuts, cashews, macadamia nuts, pistachios, pine nuts, Brazil nuts, and filberts in various styles and seasonings. It also offers peanut butter in various sizes and varieties; snack and trail mixes, salad toppings, snacks, snack bites, dried fruit, and chocolate and yogurt coated products; baking ingredients; bulk food products; sunflower kernels, pepitas, almond and cashew butter, candy and confections, corn snacks, chickpea snacks, sesame sticks, and other sesame snack products; and various toppings for ice cream and yogurt. In addition, the company operates a retail store. The company provides its products under the Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest, Squirrel Brand, and Southern Style Nuts brands, as well as under various private brands. It serves retailers and wholesalers, and commercial ingredient and contract packaging customers through a network of independent brokers, distributors, and suppliers. John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Elgin, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyJBSS generates revenue primarily through the sale of nut and nut-related products. The company's key revenue streams include retail sales under its proprietary brands, private label manufacturing for retailers, and bulk sales to commercial entities such as food manufacturers and foodservice operators. Strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors help expand its market reach. Additionally, JBSS benefits from value-added processing services such as roasting, seasoning, and packaging, which enhance its product offerings and contribute to its earnings.

John B Sanfilippo & Son Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance with strong highlights in net sales growth, EPS improvement, and operational efficiency. However, these positive aspects were counterbalanced by challenges in sales volume declines, increased commodity costs, and specific category struggles, particularly in private label bars and recipe nuts.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Sales
Net sales increased to a record $1.11 billion for fiscal 2025, surpassing the $1 billion mark for 2 consecutive years.
Earnings Per Share Growth
Year-over-year diluted EPS growth of 49.6% and 33.7% in the third and fourth quarters, respectively.
Dividend Increase
Annual dividend increased by 5.9% to $0.90 per share, with a special dividend of $0.60 per share declared.
Operational Efficiency
Enhancements in spending discipline and increased efficiencies in operations contributed positively to financial performance.
Contract Manufacturing Growth
Sales volume in the contract manufacturing distribution channel increased by 18.7%.
Negative Updates
Sales Volume Decline
Overall sales volume declined by 5.9% in the fourth quarter, with significant decreases in consumer distribution channel and private brand sales.
Increased Commodity Costs
Higher commodity acquisition costs for peanuts and most tree nuts led to decreased gross profit and profit margin.
Recipe Nut Category Decline
Fisher recipe pound shipments were down 7.1% in Q4 due to increased commodity costs and delayed shipments in e-commerce.
Challenges in Bar Category
Private label bar shipments decreased by 17% due to competition from a national brand's market reentry.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter earnings call, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. highlighted several key metrics reflecting their financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported a record net sales of $1.11 billion for the year, with year-over-year diluted EPS growth of 49.6% and 33.7% in the third and fourth quarters, respectively. Despite a slight 0.2% decrease in fourth-quarter net sales to $269.1 million, the company achieved a 6% increase in the weighted average sales price per pound due to higher commodity costs for most nuts except pecans. Net income for the fourth quarter was $13.5 million, or $1.15 per diluted share, compared to $10 million, or $0.86 per diluted share, in the previous year. The company increased its annual dividend by 5.9% to $0.90 per share and declared a special dividend of $0.60 per share. Additionally, operating expenses decreased to 10.6% of net sales from 13.1% due to lower incentive compensation and freight expenses. Looking forward, the company aims to accelerate volume growth by expanding its private brand bar portfolio and rebuilding its nut and trail business, despite ongoing challenges such as tariffs, inflation, and volatile commodity costs.

John B Sanfilippo & Son Financial Statement Overview

Summary
John B Sanfilippo & Son shows strong financial stability with low leverage and a solid equity base. However, challenges include a decline in revenue growth and negative free cash flow, which the company needs to address to improve financial performance.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement shows a slight decline in revenue growth with a negative rate of -4.5% in the TTM period. Gross profit margin decreased to 18.38% from 20.07% in the previous year, indicating pressure on cost management. Net profit margin also slightly decreased to 5.32% from 5.65%. However, the company maintains a stable EBIT margin of 7.35% and EBITDA margin of 8.94%, reflecting operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is healthy at 17.54%, though slightly down from the previous year. The equity ratio stands at 60.36%, showcasing a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative free cash flow and a free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.66, indicating cash outflows exceeding net income. However, operating cash flow remains positive, albeit lower, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.36, suggesting some operational cash generation capability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.11B1.11B1.07B999.69M955.87M858.48M
Gross Profit203.47M203.47M214.14M211.63M199.63M184.99M
EBITDA98.95M84.71M109.09M108.02M99.55M99.57M
Net Income58.93M58.93M60.25M62.86M61.79M59.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets597.60M597.60M515.58M425.29M447.26M398.45M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments585.00K0.00484.00K1.95M415.00K672.00K
Total Debt25.16M25.16M52.94M12.83M52.65M26.58M
Total Liabilities236.91M236.91M192.96M133.08M168.44M155.96M
Stockholders Equity360.70M360.70M322.61M292.21M278.82M242.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.17M-20.17M73.36M103.92M1.85M79.52M
Operating Cash Flow30.55M30.55M101.67M124.66M19.60M104.70M
Investing Cash Flow-50.82M-50.82M-87.35M-24.29M-11.38M-22.95M
Financing Cash Flow20.38M20.38M-15.79M-98.83M-8.48M-82.61M

John B Sanfilippo & Son Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price64.90
Price Trends
50DMA
63.79
Positive
100DMA
63.05
Positive
200DMA
70.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
54.34
Neutral
STOCH
64.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBSS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 64.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.03, above the 50-day MA of 63.79, and below the 200-day MA of 70.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JBSS.

John B Sanfilippo & Son Risk Analysis

John B Sanfilippo & Son disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. John B Sanfilippo & Son reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

John B Sanfilippo & Son Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$6.33B9.9121.17%2.29%-1.19%78.79%
74
Outperform
$755.64M12.9117.25%2.31%3.79%-2.56%
72
Outperform
$780.60M18.167.04%7.30%-13.73%
63
Neutral
$20.41B14.67-2.94%3.10%2.04%-6.12%
61
Neutral
$926.17M46.871.34%-1.52%
53
Neutral
$360.82M-35.36%17.43%-6.91%-83.51%
46
Neutral
$162.46M-31.83%-8.50%-186.18%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBSS
John B Sanfilippo & Son
64.19
-28.99
-31.11%
BGS
B&G Foods
4.36
-3.02
-40.92%
BRFS
BRF SA
3.63
-0.80
-18.06%
SENEA
Seneca Foods
112.11
51.65
85.43%
HAIN
Hain Celestial
1.80
-6.70
-78.82%
THS
TreeHouse Foods
18.34
-22.95
-55.58%

John B Sanfilippo & Son Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
John B Sanfilippo & Son Highlights Growth at Conference
Positive
Aug 26, 2025

On August 26, 2025, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. presented at the Midwest IDEAS Investor Conference in Chicago, highlighting its strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company reported a consistent increase in sales and profitability, with significant growth in the consumer channel driven by private label and e-commerce expansion. The company also emphasized its commitment to returning cash to shareholders and investing in future growth, showcasing a solid foundation for continued success.

Executive/Board Changes
John B Sanfilippo & Son Announces Executive Departure
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 5, 2025, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. announced the elimination of the Vice President, General Counsel position. Subsequently, on August 12, 2025, the company entered into a separation agreement with Gina Lakatos, offering her a $150,000 payment and health insurance reimbursement as part of the transition.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
John B Sanfilippo & Son Restructures Legal Operations
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

On August 5, 2025, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. announced the elimination of the Vice President, General Counsel position, leading to Gina Lakatos’s departure from the company. This change reflects a strategic shift in the company’s legal operations, acknowledging Ms. Lakatos’s contributions during her tenure.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
John B Sanfilippo & Son Announces Special Dividend
Positive
Jul 15, 2025

On July 15, 2025, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. announced a special cash dividend of $0.60 per share and an annual cash dividend of $0.90 per share for its Common Stock and Class A Common Stock, to be paid on September 11, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s strong financial performance in the first three quarters of fiscal 2025 and marks the eighth consecutive year of increasing the annual dividend, reinforcing its commitment to creating long-term shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2025