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John B. Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS)
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John B Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) AI Stock Analysis

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JBSS

John B Sanfilippo & Son

(NASDAQ:JBSS)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$79.00
▲(8.77% Upside)
John B Sanfilippo & Son's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives in innovation and expansion are the most significant factors driving the score. Positive technical indicators and a reasonable valuation further support the stock's attractiveness. However, attention is needed on cash flow management and addressing challenges in sales volume and inventory costs.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Stability
A low debt-to-equity ratio indicates minimal leverage and financial risk, providing JBSS with stability and flexibility for future investments.
Operational Efficiency
Improved gross profit and margin reflect effective cost management and operational efficiencies, enhancing long-term profitability.
Strategic Expansion
Investing in new production lines for snacks and protein bars positions JBSS for growth in emerging segments, supporting future revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact long-term market position and profitability.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates cash outflows exceed net income, potentially limiting JBSS's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Increased Inventory Costs
Rising inventory costs can pressure margins and cash flow, challenging JBSS's ability to manage costs effectively in the long term.

John B Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

John B Sanfilippo & Son Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and peanuts in the United States. The company offers raw and processed nuts, including almonds, pecans, peanuts, black walnuts, English walnuts, cashews, macadamia nuts, pistachios, pine nuts, Brazil nuts, and filberts in various styles and seasonings. It also offers peanut butter in various sizes and varieties; snack and trail mixes, salad toppings, snacks, snack bites, dried fruit, and chocolate and yogurt coated products; baking ingredients; bulk food products; sunflower kernels, pepitas, almond and cashew butter, candy and confections, corn snacks, chickpea snacks, sesame sticks, and other sesame snack products; and various toppings for ice cream and yogurt. In addition, the company operates a retail store. The company provides its products under the Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest, Squirrel Brand, and Southern Style Nuts brands, as well as under various private brands. It serves retailers and wholesalers, and commercial ingredient and contract packaging customers through a network of independent brokers, distributors, and suppliers. John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Elgin, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyJBSS generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products to grocery stores, wholesalers, and food service providers. The company's key revenue streams include retail sales of branded snacks and nuts, private label manufacturing, and bulk sales to food service operators. JBSS benefits from long-term partnerships with major retailers, allowing for consistent demand for its products. Additionally, the company capitalizes on trends in health and wellness by providing products that cater to consumer preferences for nutritious snacks, further enhancing its market position and profitability.

John B Sanfilippo & Son Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance with significant improvements in earnings per share, increased net sales, and strategic investments in innovation. However, challenges such as declining sales volume, increased inventory costs, and shifts in consumer behavior presented hurdles.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant EPS Improvement
Delivered a 59% improvement in diluted earnings per share, reflecting strong strategic execution and operational efficiencies.
Special Dividend Announcement
Approved a special cash dividend of $1 per share, returning approximately $11.7 million to stockholders, demonstrating strong financial performance and commitment to shareholder value.
Revenue Increase
Net sales for Q1 of fiscal 2026 increased by 8.1% to $298.7 million, driven by an 8.9% increase in weighted average sales price per pound.
Gross Profit Growth
Gross profit increased by 16.2% to $54.1 million, with gross profit margin improving to 18.1% of net sales from 16.9% in the previous year.
Expansion and Innovation
Expanded manufacturing footprint with new production lines for snack and protein bars, paving the way for innovation in new segments.
Strong Performance in Commercial Ingredients and Contract Manufacturing
Sales volume increased 12.8% in commercial ingredients and 18.4% in contract manufacturing channels.
Negative Updates
Sales Volume Decline
Overall sales volume declined by 0.7%, with decreases in major product types except for peanuts, walnuts, and pecans.
Challenges in Snack Nut and Trail Mix Category
Snack nut and trail mix category saw a 3% volume decline, with Fisher snack nut and trail mix performing worse with a 6% decrease in pound shipments.
Orchard Valley Harvest Brand Struggles
Orchard Valley Harvest brand experienced a 44% decline in pound shipments due to discontinuation at a national specialty retailer.
Increased Inventory Costs
Inventory value increased by 20.6% due to higher commodity acquisition costs and greater on-hand quantities of finished goods.
Consumer Behavior Shifts
Price inflation and shifts to cheaper snack alternatives impacted snack bar business and overall consumer distribution channel.
Company Guidance
During the John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. first quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company reported a 59% improvement in diluted earnings per share and an 8.1% increase in net sales to $298.7 million compared to the same quarter last year. This was driven by an 8.9% rise in weighted average sales price per pound, although sales volume slightly declined by 0.7%. The gross profit increased by $7.6 million to $54.1 million, and the gross profit margin rose to 18.1% from 16.9% last year. Despite challenges such as nut commodity cost increases and evolving consumer behavior, the company achieved significant results and declared a special cash dividend of $1 per share, totaling approximately $11.7 million. The company emphasized its focus on operational efficiencies, maintaining strong customer relationships, and expanding its retail distribution channels. Net income for the quarter rose to $18.7 million, or $1.59 per diluted share, from $11.7 million, or $1 per diluted share, in the prior year. The call also highlighted strategic initiatives such as expanding the manufacturing footprint and innovating new snack and protein bar segments to drive future growth.

John B Sanfilippo & Son Financial Statement Overview

Summary
John B Sanfilippo & Son shows strong financial stability with a low debt-to-equity ratio and a solid equity base. However, challenges include a decline in revenue growth and negative free cash flow, which need addressing to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The income statement shows a slight decline in revenue growth with a negative rate of -4.5% in the TTM period. Gross profit margin decreased to 18.38% from 20.07% in the previous year, indicating pressure on cost management. Net profit margin also slightly decreased to 5.32% from 5.65%. However, the company maintains a stable EBIT margin of 7.35% and EBITDA margin of 8.94%, reflecting operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is healthy at 17.54%, though slightly down from the previous year. The equity ratio stands at 60.36%, showcasing a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative free cash flow and a free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.66, indicating cash outflows exceeding net income. However, operating cash flow remains positive, albeit lower, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.36, suggesting some operational cash generation capability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.13B1.11B1.07B999.69M955.87M858.48M
Gross Profit211.02M203.47M214.14M211.63M199.63M184.99M
EBITDA116.54M112.89M109.09M109.65M103.33M99.57M
Net Income66.00M58.93M60.25M62.86M61.79M59.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets598.68M597.60M515.58M425.29M447.26M398.45M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments714.00K585.00K484.00K1.95M415.00K672.00K
Total Debt112.13M102.12M52.94M12.83M52.65M26.58M
Total Liabilities235.90M236.91M192.96M133.08M168.44M155.96M
Stockholders Equity362.78M360.70M322.61M292.21M278.82M242.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.95M-20.17M73.36M103.92M1.85M79.52M
Operating Cash Flow53.74M30.55M101.67M124.66M19.60M104.70M
Investing Cash Flow-63.80M-50.82M-87.35M-24.29M-11.38M-22.95M
Financing Cash Flow10.33M20.38M-15.79M-98.83M-8.48M-82.61M

John B Sanfilippo & Son Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.63
Price Trends
50DMA
64.95
Positive
100DMA
64.43
Positive
200DMA
64.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.15
Negative
RSI
70.99
Negative
STOCH
83.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBSS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.63, above the 50-day MA of 64.95, and above the 200-day MA of 64.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.99 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JBSS.

John B Sanfilippo & Son Risk Analysis

John B Sanfilippo & Son disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. John B Sanfilippo & Son reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

John B Sanfilippo & Son Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$845.72M12.9119.60%3.44%1.88%21.05%
70
Outperform
$829.23M14.039.41%8.33%47.71%
69
Neutral
$1.32B4.07-0.78%265.56%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$1.21B-17.18%-0.69%-910.85%
51
Neutral
$638.71M2.23%11.31%99.83%
44
Neutral
$313.61M-40.86%17.76%-6.04%-844.18%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBSS
John B Sanfilippo & Son
71.22
-12.70
-15.13%
BGS
B&G Foods
4.66
-1.29
-21.68%
HLF
Herbalife
12.63
4.72
59.67%
SENEA
Seneca Foods
121.20
47.83
65.19%
STKL
SunOpta
3.69
-4.01
-52.08%
THS
TreeHouse Foods
23.73
-11.37
-32.39%

John B Sanfilippo & Son Corporate Events

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Reports Strong Q1 Earnings
Nov 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. painted a picture of robust financial health, marked by a significant rise in earnings per share and net sales. The company has made strategic investments in innovation, which have contributed to its strong performance. However, challenges such as declining sales volume, increased inventory costs, and shifts in consumer behavior were acknowledged as hurdles that need to be addressed.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Reports Strong Q1 Earnings
Oct 31, 2025

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., based in Elgin, Illinois, is a prominent processor, packager, marketer, and distributor of nut and dried fruit products, bars, and dried cheese snacks, operating under various brand names including Fisher and Orchard Valley Harvest. The company is recognized for its diverse product offerings and strong presence in the snack food industry.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
John B Sanfilippo & Son Annual Meeting Highlights
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 29, 2025, John B Sanfilippo & Son held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. During the meeting, several directors were elected, and the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2026 fiscal year was ratified. Additionally, the advisory vote on executive compensation was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBSS) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on John B Sanfilippo & Son stock, see the JBSS Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
John B Sanfilippo & Son Announces Special Dividend
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. announced a special cash dividend of $1.00 per share for both Common Stock and Class A Common Stock, to be paid on December 30, 2025, to shareholders of record as of December 1, 2025. This decision, resulting in a return of approximately $11.7 million to stockholders, reflects the company’s strong financial performance over recent quarters and its commitment to creating long-term stockholder value through responsible cash management.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBSS) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on John B Sanfilippo & Son stock, see the JBSS Stock Forecast page.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son’s Mixed Earnings Call
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. revealed a mixed performance, showcasing both commendable achievements and notable challenges. The company highlighted strong net sales growth, impressive EPS improvements, and enhanced operational efficiency. However, these positive developments were tempered by declines in sales volume, increased commodity costs, and struggles within specific categories, notably private label bars and recipe nuts.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
John B Sanfilippo & Son Highlights Growth at Conference
Positive
Aug 26, 2025

On August 26, 2025, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. presented at the Midwest IDEAS Investor Conference in Chicago, highlighting its strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company reported a consistent increase in sales and profitability, with significant growth in the consumer channel driven by private label and e-commerce expansion. The company also emphasized its commitment to returning cash to shareholders and investing in future growth, showcasing a solid foundation for continued success.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBSS) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on John B Sanfilippo & Son stock, see the JBSS Stock Forecast page.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Reports Strong Q4 Earnings
Aug 22, 2025

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., headquartered in Elgin, Illinois, is a prominent player in the food industry, specializing in the processing, packaging, marketing, and distribution of nut and dried fruit products, snack bars, and dried cheese snacks under various brand names.

Executive/Board Changes
John B Sanfilippo & Son Announces Executive Departure
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 5, 2025, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. announced the elimination of the Vice President, General Counsel position. Subsequently, on August 12, 2025, the company entered into a separation agreement with Gina Lakatos, offering her a $150,000 payment and health insurance reimbursement as part of the transition.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025