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Simply Good Foods (SMPL)
NASDAQ:SMPL

Simply Good Foods (SMPL) AI Stock Analysis

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SMPL

Simply Good Foods

(NASDAQ:SMPL)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(5.36% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/11/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating TTM profitability and very weak technical momentum (downtrend across key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include solid cash flow generation and moderate leverage, while corporate events are mildly supportive due to leadership actions. Valuation is constrained by loss-making results and the absence of a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for working capital, marketing and product investment. Strong cash conversion supports resilience through earnings cycles, funds strategic initiatives or debt repayment, and cushions near-term profitability volatility.
Negative Factors
TTM profitability deterioration
A swing to a negative net margin signals deeper operational or non-operating pressures that impair shareholder returns. Until margins and net income stabilize, reinvestment and returns are constrained, and recovery depends on sustainable cost or revenue improvements rather than short-lived fixes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for working capital, marketing and product investment. Strong cash conversion supports resilience through earnings cycles, funds strategic initiatives or debt repayment, and cushions near-term profitability volatility.
Read all positive factors

Simply Good Foods (SMPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Simply Good Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a consumer packaged food and beverage company in North America and internationally. The company develops, markets, and sells snacks and meal replacements. It offers protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, swe...
How the Company Makes Money
Simply Good Foods primarily makes money by selling branded nutrition products (e.g., bars, shakes, and related convenient nutrition/snacking items) to customers in the consumer packaged goods supply chain. Revenue is generated mainly through (1) r...

Simply Good Foods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 09, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Neutral — the transcript contains only the operator's introductory remark and provides insufficient information to determine whether the company's performance or outlook is positive or negative.
Positive Updates
No substantive content — call introduction only
The provided transcript contains only the operator's opening line and does not include any financial metrics, operational updates, guidance, or management commentary. No highlights could be identified from the available text.
Negative Updates
Insufficient data for analysis
The transcript is limited to the call introduction and lacks information on revenue, margins, segment performance, percentage changes, achievements, or challenges. As a result, no lowlights or adverse trends can be extracted.
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
No substantive content — call introduction only
The provided transcript contains only the operator's opening line and does not include any financial metrics, operational updates, guidance, or management commentary. No highlights could be identified from the available text.
Company Guidance
The excerpt you provided is only the operator’s opening for The Simply Good Foods Company’s Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 call (Fiscal Year 2026, Fiscal Period 2, 2026-04-09) and contains no guidance; therefore I cannot extract any metrics such as revenue or net sales, organic sales growth percentage, GAAP or adjusted EPS, adjusted EBITDA, gross margin, operating income, net income, cash flow from operations, free cash flow, capital expenditures, tax rate, share repurchases, segment or geographic sales, or any guidance ranges and timeframes. Please provide the portion of the transcript with the company’s guidance or the full call transcript and I’ll pull all available metrics.

Simply Good Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: strong, positive operating and free cash flow and moderate leverage support stability, but TTM profitability deteriorated materially (net loss, weaker margins) alongside slight revenue contraction, making near-term earnings recovery a key risk.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.42B1.45B1.33B1.24B1.17B1.01B
Gross Profit465.16M508.85M494.65M436.00M428.28M392.78M
EBITDA143.27M182.91M240.06M232.74M198.37M135.64M
Net Income-105.68M103.61M139.31M133.57M108.57M40.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.13B2.40B2.48B2.13B2.12B2.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.44M98.47M132.53M87.72M67.49M75.34M
Total Debt396.87M304.43M437.31M327.70M454.17M500.23M
Total Liabilities635.88M589.21M756.58M553.92M684.09M891.48M
Stockholders Equity1.49B1.81B1.73B1.57B1.44B1.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow146.01M157.91M208.03M156.24M104.34M125.38M
Operating Cash Flow173.38M178.46M214.50M168.42M110.09M132.09M
Investing Cash Flow-28.57M-20.93M-286.88M-12.19M-8.16M-2.51M
Financing Cash Flow-140.62M-191.21M117.10M-135.84M-109.49M-150.05M

Simply Good Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.44
Price Trends
50DMA
15.59
Negative
100DMA
17.69
Negative
200DMA
22.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.90
Positive
RSI
17.43
Positive
STOCH
33.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMPL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.08, below the 50-day MA of 15.59, and below the 200-day MA of 22.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 17.43 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SMPL.

Simply Good Foods Risk Analysis

Simply Good Foods disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Simply Good Foods reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Simply Good Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.11B73.369.90%-2.23%57.16%
64
Neutral
$1.57B491.436.48%3.53%0.54%-24.42%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$766.96M27.769.29%11.31%99.83%
57
Neutral
$1.76B18.24-47.89%16.05%-10.17%
56
Neutral
$944.71M-2.47-6.15%8.98%-26.29%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMPL
Simply Good Foods
10.44
-27.13
-72.21%
CENT
Central Garden Pet
37.38
0.97
2.66%
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
82.49
-49.87
-37.68%
STKL
SunOpta
6.48
2.38
58.05%
BRBR
BellRing Brands
15.01
-60.20
-80.04%

Simply Good Foods Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Simply Good Foods Holds Virtual 2026 Annual Stockholder Meeting
Positive
Feb 2, 2026
On January 28, 2026, The Simply Good Foods Company held its annual meeting of stockholders in a virtual-only format, where shareholders elected 10 directors to serve until the 2027 annual meeting, ratified Deloitte Touche LLP as the independent a...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Simply Good Foods Brings Back Joe Scalzo as CEO
Positive
Jan 21, 2026
On January 20, 2026, The Simply Good Foods Company announced that longtime former chief executive Joe Scalzo returned as president and CEO, effective January 19, 2026, succeeding Geoff Tanner, who stepped down from the role and from the board on J...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 11, 2026