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Simply Good Foods
(NASDAQ:SMPL)
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Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(5.13% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/29/26
The score is mainly supported by solid cash generation and moderate leverage, but is held back by the TTM swing to a net loss and a weak technical trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is also pressured by the negative P/E, while recent corporate events are modestly supportive but not transformative.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow (~$173M and ~$146M TTM) provides durable internal funding for working capital, capex, and marketing. Strong cash conversion cushions earnings volatility, supports deleveraging, and funds strategic investment without immediate external financing.
Negative Factors
Profitability Deterioration
The TTM swing to a net loss and modest revenue decline signal impaired profitability that can erode returns and constrain reinvestment. If losses persist, management may need to cut brand, marketing or R&D spending, risking long-term growth and margin restoration prospects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow (~$173M and ~$146M TTM) provides durable internal funding for working capital, capex, and marketing. Strong cash conversion cushions earnings volatility, supports deleveraging, and funds strategic investment without immediate external financing.
Read all positive factors
Simply Good Foods (SMPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.24B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.18M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.42
Revenue Growth0.34%
EPS Growth-182.07%
CountryUS
Employees316
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryPackaged Foods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-1.18
Shares Outstanding90,489,020
10 Day Avg. Volume1,942,509
30 Day Avg. Volume2,176,166
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.07
Price to Book (P/B)1.60
Price to Sales (P/S)1.99
P/FCF Ratio18.26
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.12
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.98
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.98
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-12.19
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$17.89Price Target Upside50.45% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering12
EPS Forecast (FY)1.67
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.33B
Simply Good Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a global purveyor of consumer packaged food and beverage items, with a significant presence across North America and in international markets. Its core business revolves around the creation, promotion, and...
How the Company Makes Money
Simply Good Foods makes money primarily by selling branded nutrition products to retailers, distributors, and e-commerce customers. Its core revenue streams come from (1) Atkins-branded products (e.g., low-carb nutrition bars, shakes, and related ...
Simply Good Foods Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 09, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Neutral — the transcript contains only the operator's introductory remark and provides insufficient information to determine whether the company's performance or outlook is positive or negative.Positive Updates
No substantive content — call introduction only
The provided transcript contains only the operator's opening line and does not include any financial metrics, operational updates, guidance, or management commentary. No highlights could be identified from the available text.
Negative Updates
Insufficient data for analysis
The transcript is limited to the call introduction and lacks information on revenue, margins, segment performance, percentage changes, achievements, or challenges. As a result, no lowlights or adverse trends can be extracted.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
No substantive content — call introduction only
The provided transcript contains only the operator's opening line and does not include any financial metrics, operational updates, guidance, or management commentary. No highlights could be identified from the available text.
Company Guidance
The excerpt you provided is only the operator’s opening for The Simply Good Foods Company’s Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 call (Fiscal Year 2026, Fiscal Period 2, 2026-04-09) and contains no guidance; therefore I cannot extract any metrics such as revenue or net sales, organic sales growth percentage, GAAP or adjusted EPS, adjusted EBITDA, gross margin, operating income, net income, cash flow from operations, free cash flow, capital expenditures, tax rate, share repurchases, segment or geographic sales, or any guidance ranges and timeframes. Please provide the portion of the transcript with the company’s guidance or the full call transcript and I’ll pull all available metrics.Simply Good Foods Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Aug 2025 | Aug 2024 | Aug 2023 | Aug 2022 | Aug 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.42B | 1.45B | 1.33B | 1.24B | 1.17B | 1.01B |
| Gross Profit | 465.16M | 508.85M | 494.65M | 436.00M | 428.28M | 392.78M |
| EBITDA | -113.83M | 182.91M | 240.06M | 232.74M | 198.37M | 135.64M |
| Net Income | -105.68M | 103.61M | 139.31M | 133.57M | 108.57M | 40.88M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.13B | 2.40B | 2.48B | 2.13B | 2.12B | 2.08B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 107.44M | 98.47M | 132.53M | 87.72M | 67.49M | 75.34M |
| Total Debt | 396.87M | 304.43M | 437.31M | 327.70M | 454.17M | 500.23M |
| Total Liabilities | 635.88M | 589.21M | 756.58M | 553.92M | 684.09M | 891.48M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.49B | 1.81B | 1.73B | 1.57B | 1.44B | 1.19B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 146.01M | 157.91M | 208.03M | 156.24M | 104.34M | 125.38M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 173.38M | 178.46M | 214.50M | 168.42M | 110.09M | 132.09M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -28.57M | -20.93M | -286.88M | -12.19M | -8.16M | -2.51M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -140.62M | -191.21M | 117.10M | -135.84M | -109.49M | -150.05M |
Simply Good Foods Technical Analysis
Positive
11.89
Price Trends
12.32
Positive
13.53
Positive
17.30
Negative
Market Momentum
0.33
Negative
65.16
Neutral
89.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.57, below the 50-day MA of 12.32, and below the 200-day MA of 17.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SMPL.
Simply Good Foods Risk Analysis
Simply Good Foods disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Simply Good Foods reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Simply Good Foods Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | $1.42B | 25.35 | 6.24% | 3.53% | -2.04% | -23.39% | |
66 Neutral | $2.47B | 15.87 | 10.72% | ― | 0.22% | 46.14% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
59 Neutral | $1.24B | -11.64 | -6.15% | ― | 0.34% | -182.07% | |
54 Neutral | $1.61B | 10.58 | -35.70% | ― | 6.37% | -40.20% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
SMPL
Simply Good Foods
13.73
-17.85
-56.52%
CENT
Central Garden Pet
43.95
8.39
23.59%
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
75.92
-36.30
-32.34%
BRBR
BellRing Brands
13.86
-43.42
-75.80%
Simply Good Foods Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Simply Good Foods Announces Leadership Change and Realignment
Neutral
Apr 21, 2026
On April 20, 2026, The Simply Good Foods Company announced a set of corporate realignment initiatives that include the planned departure of Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer Amy Held by June 1, 2026. In connection with her ex...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.