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Simply Good Foods (SMPL)
NASDAQ:SMPL
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Simply Good Foods (SMPL) AI Stock Analysis

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SMPL

Simply Good Foods

(NASDAQ:SMPL)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(21.95% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/29/26
The score is mainly supported by solid cash generation and moderate leverage, but is held back by the TTM swing to a net loss and a weak technical trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is also pressured by the negative P/E, while recent corporate events are modestly supportive but not transformative.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow and positive free cash flow provide durable internal funding for working capital, capital expenditures, and strategic initiatives. This cash generation cushions the firm through earnings volatility and supports reinvestment or shareholder returns over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
TTM profitability deterioration
A swing to a TTM net loss and weakening margins signal operating pressure that can erode reinvestment capacity and shareholder returns. If margins and sales do not recover, profitability weakness could persist and constrain strategic initiatives and compensation of fixed costs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow and positive free cash flow provide durable internal funding for working capital, capital expenditures, and strategic initiatives. This cash generation cushions the firm through earnings volatility and supports reinvestment or shareholder returns over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Simply Good Foods (SMPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Simply Good Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a consumer packaged food and beverage company in North America and internationally. The company develops, markets, and sells snacks and meal replacements. It offers protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, swe...
How the Company Makes Money
Simply Good Foods primarily makes money by selling branded nutrition products (e.g., bars, shakes, and related convenient nutrition/snacking items) to customers in the consumer packaged goods supply chain. Revenue is generated mainly through (1) r...

Simply Good Foods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 09, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Neutral — the transcript contains only the operator's introductory remark and provides insufficient information to determine whether the company's performance or outlook is positive or negative.
Positive Updates
No substantive content — call introduction only
The provided transcript contains only the operator's opening line and does not include any financial metrics, operational updates, guidance, or management commentary. No highlights could be identified from the available text.
Negative Updates
Insufficient data for analysis
The transcript is limited to the call introduction and lacks information on revenue, margins, segment performance, percentage changes, achievements, or challenges. As a result, no lowlights or adverse trends can be extracted.
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
No substantive content — call introduction only
The provided transcript contains only the operator's opening line and does not include any financial metrics, operational updates, guidance, or management commentary. No highlights could be identified from the available text.
Company Guidance
The excerpt you provided is only the operator’s opening for The Simply Good Foods Company’s Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 call (Fiscal Year 2026, Fiscal Period 2, 2026-04-09) and contains no guidance; therefore I cannot extract any metrics such as revenue or net sales, organic sales growth percentage, GAAP or adjusted EPS, adjusted EBITDA, gross margin, operating income, net income, cash flow from operations, free cash flow, capital expenditures, tax rate, share repurchases, segment or geographic sales, or any guidance ranges and timeframes. Please provide the portion of the transcript with the company’s guidance or the full call transcript and I’ll pull all available metrics.

Simply Good Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow and balance sheet strength (solid operating/free cash flow and moderate leverage) provide stability, but TTM profitability deterioration is a major offset: slight revenue decline and a swing to a net loss with weaker margins.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.42B1.45B1.33B1.24B1.17B1.01B
Gross Profit465.16M508.85M494.65M436.00M428.28M392.78M
EBITDA143.27M182.91M240.06M232.74M198.37M135.64M
Net Income-105.68M103.61M139.31M133.57M108.57M40.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.13B2.40B2.48B2.13B2.12B2.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.44M98.47M132.53M87.72M67.49M75.34M
Total Debt396.87M304.43M437.31M327.70M454.17M500.23M
Total Liabilities635.88M589.21M756.58M553.92M684.09M891.48M
Stockholders Equity1.49B1.81B1.73B1.57B1.44B1.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow146.01M157.91M208.03M156.24M104.34M125.38M
Operating Cash Flow173.38M178.46M214.50M168.42M110.09M132.09M
Investing Cash Flow-28.57M-20.93M-286.88M-12.19M-8.16M-2.51M
Financing Cash Flow-140.62M-191.21M117.10M-135.84M-109.49M-150.05M

Simply Good Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.89
Price Trends
50DMA
14.94
Negative
100DMA
17.28
Negative
200DMA
21.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.06
Positive
RSI
35.04
Neutral
STOCH
32.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMPL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.28, below the 50-day MA of 14.94, and below the 200-day MA of 21.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SMPL.

Simply Good Foods Risk Analysis

Simply Good Foods disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Simply Good Foods reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Simply Good Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$769.42M27.769.29%12.99%
65
Neutral
$2.12B73.369.90%-4.11%33.62%
64
Neutral
$1.65B491.436.48%3.53%-1.55%-27.49%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
59
Neutral
$1.20B-2.47-6.15%0.34%-182.07%
57
Neutral
$2.02B18.24-47.89%10.59%-31.77%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMPL
Simply Good Foods
13.23
-23.68
-64.16%
CENT
Central Garden Pet
36.73
1.60
4.55%
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
87.03
-40.54
-31.78%
STKL
SunOpta
6.50
1.95
42.86%
BRBR
BellRing Brands
17.20
-61.23
-78.07%

Simply Good Foods Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Simply Good Foods Announces Leadership Change and Realignment
Neutral
Apr 21, 2026
On April 20, 2026, The Simply Good Foods Company announced a set of corporate realignment initiatives that include the planned departure of Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer Amy Held by June 1, 2026. In connection with her ex...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Simply Good Foods Holds Virtual 2026 Annual Stockholder Meeting
Positive
Feb 2, 2026
On January 28, 2026, The Simply Good Foods Company held its annual meeting of stockholders in a virtual-only format, where shareholders elected 10 directors to serve until the 2027 annual meeting, ratified Deloitte Touche LLP as the independent a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 29, 2026