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Natural Alternatives International (NAII)
NASDAQ:NAII

Natural Alternatives International (NAII) AI Stock Analysis

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NAII

Natural Alternatives International

(NASDAQ:NAII)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(42.86% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (loss-making margins, pressured cash flow, and higher leverage). Technicals add some support due to a clear uptrend, but overbought signals increase near-term risk. Valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings, while the credit agreement waiver is a modest positive that reduces immediate financing risk.
Positive Factors
Diversified Revenue Streams
Having both contract manufacturing and branded-product businesses plus proprietary ingredient commercialization creates multiple durable cash engines. Contract manufacturing offers recurring volume-based revenue, while branded and ingredient sales provide upside and strategic optionality over months.
High-margin Licensing
Licensing of patented/trademarked ingredients with 40%+ margins is a structural strength: high-margin licensing scales without proportional manufacturing lift, supports consolidated profitability if expanded, and leverages IP to create recurring, capital-light revenue over a multi-month horizon.
Credit Agreement Waiver Restores Stability
Securing a waiver for breached covenants removes an immediate default risk and preserves lender support, giving management time to execute operational fixes. This materially improves short-to-medium term survival prospects and reduces forced liquidity strain while longer-term repairs are implemented.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability
Sustained negative net profit and EBIT margins undermine the firm's ability to self-fund growth or rebuild buffers. Persistent losses erode equity, constrain reinvestment, and force reliance on external financing or asset sales unless margins materially recover through pricing, mix, or cost action.
Weak Cash Generation
Declining free cash flow and weak OCF-to-net-income signal limited internal liquidity for capex, working capital, or debt servicing. Over several months this raises refinancing and covenant risk, restricts strategic investment, and increases the dependence on external capital to sustain operations.
Rising Leverage & Negative ROE
Increasing leverage paired with negative ROE indicates the company is funding operations with more debt while failing to generate equity returns. This structural imbalance raises insolvency sensitivity to shocks, elevates interest burden, and limits strategic flexibility until profitability and equity returns improve.

Natural Alternatives International (NAII) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Natural Alternatives International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNatural Alternatives International, Inc. engages in formulating, manufacturing, and marketing nutritional supplements in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Private-Label Contract Manufacturing, and Patent and Trademark Licensing. It offers private-label contract manufacturing services to companies that market and distribute vitamins, minerals, herbal, and other nutritional supplements, as well as other health care products. The company also provides strategic partnering services, such as customized product formulation, clinical studies, manufacturing, marketing support, international regulatory and label law compliance, international product registration, packaging in multiple formats and labeling design, scientific research, proprietary ingredients, customer-specific nutritional product formulation, product testing and evaluation, packaging and delivery system design, and regulatory review. In addition, it sells beta-alanine ingredient under the CarnoSyn and SR CarnoSyn names. The company manufactures products in various forms, including capsules, tablets, chewable wafers, and powders. Its private-label contract manufacturing customers include companies that market nutritional supplements through direct sales marketing channels, direct to consumer e-commerce channels, and retail stores. Natural Alternatives International, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyNatural Alternatives International generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from its contract manufacturing services, where it partners with brands to produce dietary supplements and functional foods under private labels. The company also earns income from the sale of its proprietary products, which are marketed directly to consumers and distributors. Additionally, NAII benefits from strategic partnerships with health and wellness brands that enable collaborative product development, leveraging its expertise in formulation and manufacturing. The company's focus on quality, compliance, and innovation has positioned it favorably in a competitive market, driving consistent revenue growth.

Natural Alternatives International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Natural Alternatives International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Natural Alternatives International is facing financial challenges, with declining profitability and increasing leverage. While there is some revenue growth, the negative margins and cash flow issues highlight the need for strategic improvements to stabilize the company's financial health.
Income Statement
Natural Alternatives International has experienced declining profitability with negative net profit and EBIT margins in the TTM period. The revenue growth rate is positive at 3.53%, indicating some recovery, but the overall margins remain weak compared to previous years, highlighting challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased over time, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is negative, reflecting recent losses. However, the equity ratio remains relatively stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
The cash flow situation is concerning, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio. Although there is some operating cash flow, the negative free cash flow growth indicates potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue130.58M129.86M113.80M154.01M170.97M178.52M
Gross Profit10.56M9.29M6.87M18.16M30.51M30.44M
EBITDA-3.53M-2.70M-4.46M11.09M20.66M16.58M
Net Income-18.81M-13.57M-7.22M2.52M10.71M10.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets151.94M151.94M162.34M134.15M146.00M120.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.32M12.32M11.98M13.60M21.83M32.13M
Total Debt59.03M59.03M60.29M30.93M31.84M16.48M
Total Liabilities83.51M83.51M79.75M45.38M57.48M40.20M
Stockholders Equity68.43M68.43M82.59M88.77M88.52M80.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.95M2.32M-4.51M-6.50M-14.62M15.70M
Operating Cash Flow12.72M5.93M-1.50M7.02M11.87M20.81M
Investing Cash Flow-4.77M-3.61M-3.02M-13.47M-26.46M-5.04M
Financing Cash Flow-4.07M-1.97M2.89M-1.78M4.29M-14.11M

Natural Alternatives International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.15
Price Trends
50DMA
3.25
Positive
100DMA
3.21
Positive
200DMA
3.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
81.57
Negative
STOCH
92.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NAII, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.42, below the 50-day MA of 3.25, and below the 200-day MA of 3.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.57 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NAII.

Natural Alternatives International Risk Analysis

Natural Alternatives International disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Natural Alternatives International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Natural Alternatives International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$384.90M27.119.52%6.62%-7.85%
71
Outperform
$145.56M22.2817.77%12.44%-20.33%
66
Neutral
$82.43M8.4333.31%2.81%16.77%143.30%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
54
Neutral
$365.80M22.483.20%5.88%-68.62%
48
Neutral
$26.81M-2.22-15.93%18.19%-35.22%
42
Neutral
$109.59M-0.20-75.51%-10.13%-532.32%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NAII
Natural Alternatives International
4.34
0.14
3.33%
NATR
Nature's Sunshine Products
22.00
8.04
57.59%
HAIN
Hain Celestial
1.21
-3.80
-75.85%
USNA
USANA Health
20.01
-14.00
-41.16%
LFVN
LifeVantage
6.34
-16.29
-71.98%
FTLF
FitLife Brands
15.50
0.60
4.03%

Natural Alternatives International Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Natural Alternatives Resolves Credit Agreement Issues
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Natural Alternatives International, Inc. announced that it failed to comply with certain financial covenants under its Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo Bank for its fiscal first quarter ending September 30, 2025. To address the issue, the company successfully negotiated a Waiver and Release Agreement with Wells Fargo on December 17, 2025, ensuring that all defaults were waived and the Credit Agreement remains fully operational. This resolution reinforces the company’s ability to maintain its financial arrangements and supports its ongoing operations, bringing stability for stakeholders moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (NAII) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natural Alternatives International stock, see the NAII Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Natural Alternatives International Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Natural Alternatives International held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key decisions were made. The stockholders approved the election of a Class II director, the First Amendment to the 2020 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan, the ratification of Haskell & White LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026, the compensation of the company’s named executive officers, and a three-year frequency for non-binding votes on executive compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (NAII) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natural Alternatives International stock, see the NAII Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026