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Natural Alternatives International (NAII)
NASDAQ:NAII

Natural Alternatives International (NAII) AI Stock Analysis

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Natural Alternatives International

(NASDAQ:NAII)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-12.28%Downside)
The overall score of 45 reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and negative profit margins, which are the primary concerns. Despite some technical support suggesting short-term momentum, the ongoing losses and lack of earnings reflected in the negative P/E ratio highlight valuation concerns. The combination of these factors suggests a cautious outlook for the stock.

Natural Alternatives International (NAII) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Natural Alternatives International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNatural Alternatives International, Inc. (NAII) is a leading formulator, manufacturer, and marketer of customized nutritional supplements. Established in the health and wellness sector, the company provides a wide array of services including product development, manufacturing, and packaging for private-label and branded companies. NAII is particularly known for its patented CarnoSyn® beta-alanine, a scientifically proven ingredient that enhances athletic performance.
How the Company Makes MoneyNAII generates revenue primarily through the sale of customized nutritional supplements and ingredients. The company operates in two main segments: private-label contract manufacturing and branded ingredients. In private-label contract manufacturing, NAII partners with various brands to develop and produce nutritional supplements tailored to their specific needs, earning income from manufacturing and packaging services. In the branded ingredients segment, NAII markets and sells its proprietary CarnoSyn® beta-alanine, which is widely used in sports nutrition products. Additionally, the company licenses its CarnoSyn® technology to other companies, receiving royalties as a revenue stream. Significant partnerships with sports nutrition brands and ongoing research and development efforts further bolster NAII's market position and contribute to its financial performance.

Natural Alternatives International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Natural Alternatives International is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenue, negative profit margins, and weak cash flow performance. While the balance sheet remains relatively stable, the company's inability to generate positive earnings and cash flow raises concerns about its operational efficiency and long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Natural Alternatives International has faced declining revenue and profitability over recent periods. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a decrease in revenue to $125.5M from $113.8M in the previous annual period, but still below the $154.0M of the period before that. Gross Profit Margin has dropped to 5.7%, and the Net Profit Margin is negative at -6.6% due to sustained net losses. The EBIT Margin is significantly negative at -7.4%, indicating operational challenges, while the EBITDA Margin is also negative at -4.9%. Overall, the company is struggling with decreasing margins and negative earnings.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with Stockholders' Equity at $76.6M and a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of approximately 0.62, which is manageable. However, Return on Equity (ROE) is negative due to the net losses, indicating inefficiencies in generating profit from shareholders' investments. The Equity Ratio is healthy at about 49.5%, suggesting a balanced capital structure with a moderate level of leverage. While the company maintains a solid equity base, profitability issues are a concern.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow performance has been weak, with negative Free Cash Flow of -$3.3M in the TTM, an improvement from the previous period but still a concern. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, reflecting operational cash outflows. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also negative due to net losses, indicating cash flow challenges. Despite these issues, the company has managed financing activities to maintain liquidity.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
125.48M113.80M154.01M170.97M178.52M118.88M
Gross Profit
7.17M6.87M18.16M30.51M30.44M18.87M
EBIT
-9.24M-8.53M4.71M13.68M9.33M-1.35M
EBITDA
-6.11M-4.46M11.09M20.66M13.67M5.06M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-8.23M-7.22M2.52M10.71M10.77M-1.65M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
18.57M11.98M13.60M21.83M32.13M30.48M
Total Assets
135.49M162.34M134.15M146.00M120.28M120.20M
Total Debt
24.45M60.29M30.93M31.84M16.48M28.78M
Net Debt
5.87M48.31M17.33M10.01M-15.65M-1.70M
Total Liabilities
50.41M79.75M45.38M57.48M40.20M48.83M
Stockholders Equity
85.08M82.59M88.77M88.52M80.08M71.38M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.32M-4.51M-6.50M-14.62M15.70M-850.00K
Operating Cash Flow
-130.00K-1.50M7.02M11.87M20.81M3.69M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.19M-3.02M-13.47M-26.46M-5.04M-4.51M
Financing Cash Flow
1.53M2.89M-1.78M4.29M-14.11M6.25M

Natural Alternatives International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.42
Price Trends
50DMA
3.14
Positive
100DMA
3.54
Negative
200DMA
4.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
59.80
Neutral
STOCH
79.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NAII, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.34, above the 50-day MA of 3.14, and below the 200-day MA of 4.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NAII.

Natural Alternatives International Risk Analysis

Natural Alternatives International disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Natural Alternatives International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Natural Alternatives International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$262.42M26.726.42%2.00%-37.09%
75
Outperform
$131.48M15.2925.89%9.14%18.87%
68
Neutral
$574.71M16.906.78%-2.69%-43.24%
HLHLF
68
Neutral
$842.27M3.01-31.74%-2.45%100.59%
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.40-45.06%3.28%16.75%-0.02%
45
Neutral
$21.32M-10.25%-1.16%-146.23%
44
Neutral
$168.77M-31.83%-8.50%-186.18%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NAII
Natural Alternatives International
3.42
-3.32
-49.26%
HLF
Herbalife
8.02
-3.20
-28.52%
NATR
Nature's Sunshine Products
14.22
-0.79
-5.26%
HAIN
Hain Celestial
1.71
-5.30
-75.61%
USNA
USANA Health
29.85
-15.54
-34.24%
FTLF
FitLife Brands
13.88
-1.50
-9.75%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.