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USANA Health (USNA)
NYSE:USNA

USANA Health (USNA) AI Stock Analysis

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USNA

USANA Health

(NYSE:USNA)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▼(-9.01% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/12/26
USNA scores moderately, led by a very strong, low-risk balance sheet and solid TTM revenue growth, but weighed down by sharp profitability and cash flow deterioration. Technicals point to a weaker longer-term trend with neutral momentum, while valuation is middling for a business facing margin pressure. Recent commentary and the updated outlook are constructive on venture-brand growth and efficiency actions, but core softness and investment-driven margin tradeoffs keep the score in the mid-range.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage gives USANA meaningful financial flexibility to fund growth, weather shocks, and invest in venture brands without debt-service pressure. Over the next 2–6 months this supports capital allocation toward manufacturing, inventory and strategic priorities while limiting financial risk.
Sustained revenue growth
TTM revenue growth of about 15% indicates durable top-line momentum across core and venture segments driven by product launches and channel activity. Sustained revenue expansion provides scale to absorb fixed costs and underpins potential margin recovery if Brand Partner productivity stabilizes.
In-house manufacturing capability
Bringing Hiya and Rise Bar production in-house is a structural improvement that can lower COGS, shorten lead times, and reduce third-party dependency. Over months this should support more stable gross-margin realization for venture brands and better inventory management as volumes scale.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Net margin decline to ~1.9% reflects that investments, the enhanced compensation plan, and other costs have materially eroded profitability. Persistently lower margins shrink retained earnings and constrain the firm’s ability to self-fund growth or absorb cyclical downturns without cutting investment or taking other actions.
Weakened cash generation
Lower operating and free cash flow reduces internal funding for inventory buildup, capex, and venture investments. With management increasing working capital for Hiya and Rise, weaker cash conversion elevates the risk that growth initiatives will require external financing or force tougher prioritization of capital uses.
Direct-selling execution risk
A decline in Hiya active customers tied to platform algorithm changes and softer Brand Partner productivity exposes a structural dependency on digital acquisition and distributor effectiveness. This makes customer growth and revenue more volatile and may require sustained investment to diversify channels and rebuild acquisition flows.

USANA Health (USNA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

USANA Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUSANA Health Sciences, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells science-based nutritional and personal care products. The company offers USANA nutritional products that comprise essentials/CellSentials, such as vitamin and mineral supplements that provide a foundation of total body nutrition for various age groups; optimizers comprising targeted supplements that are designed to meet cardiovascular, skeletal/structural, and digestive health needs; and foods that include meal replacement shakes, snack bars, and other related products. It also provides Celavive, a skin care regimen for various skin care types and ethnicities; and other products for prenatal, infant, and young child age groups. In addition, the company offers materials and online tools to assist associates in building their businesses, as well as in marketing products. It offers its products directly in the Asia Pacific, the Americas, and Europe, as well as online. The company has a research collaboration agreement with Beijing University of Chinese Medicine for research in the field of traditional Chinese medicine; and National Sports Training Bureau. USANA Health Sciences, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyUSANA generates revenue primarily through the direct sale of its health and wellness products. The company utilizes a multi-level marketing (MLM) model, where independent distributors earn commissions not only on their own sales but also on the sales made by their recruits, thereby incentivizing recruitment and sales. Key revenue streams include the sale of nutritional supplements, personal care products, and weight management products. Additionally, USANA has established significant partnerships with various organizations and healthcare professionals to enhance brand credibility and expand its market reach. The company's focus on product innovation and science-backed formulations also plays a crucial role in driving customer loyalty and repeat purchases, contributing to its overall earnings.

USANA Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed but constructive outlook: clear positives include retail wins for Hiya and Rise Wellness, a 4% midpoint sales growth outlook for FY2026, experienced leadership returning to CEO, and cost savings from workforce realignment. Offsetting these positives are meaningful risks — notably a 48% inventory build, a very high effective tax rate guidance of 55–60%, core-business sales declines, and FY2026 margin pressure from venture-brand mix with Rise only expected to breakeven. Management conveyed confidence and a concrete strategic plan, but several financial and execution risks remain that balance the positive operational developments.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Fiscal 2026 Net Sales Guidance
Management provided consolidated net sales guidance for fiscal 2026 targeting growth of 4% at the midpoint (guidance range provided). The outlook reflects confidence in strategy execution and growth from venture brands (Rise Wellness and Hiya).
Retail Expansion and Distribution Wins
Notable retail gains: Hiya launching into Target in April and expanding into Canada and the U.K.; Rise Wellness secured distribution in Costco (now in all Costco stores) and Target (in-store rollout), with additional major U.S. retailers in discussions. These retail placements underpin expected revenue growth for the venture brands.
Inventory Build to Support Growth
Inventories increased $35 million, a 48% year-over-year rise to $107 million at fiscal year-end; ~80% of the increase driven by Rise Wellness (Protein Pop retailer support) and Hiya (channel expansion and raw materials buildup ahead of in-house manufacturing). Management expects elevated inventory levels throughout FY2026 to support expansion.
Leadership and Strategic Refocus
Kevin Guest returned as CEO (while remaining Chairman) with a clear strategic plan: omnichannel expansion, product innovation, technology modernization, operational efficiencies, and accountability — signaling experienced leadership and renewed strategic clarity.
Cost Realignment and Savings
Company implemented cost realignment impacting ~10% of workforce and expects approximately $10 million (plus) of net savings, primarily in SG&A, with some savings being repurposed to strategic initiatives.
Venture Brand Momentum and Product Pipeline
Management highlighted Hiya and Rise Wellness as primary growth drivers. Rise is expanding Protein Pop SKUs/flavors and retail footprint; Hiya benefits from prior brand awareness investments and early positive results in Canada and U.S. retail placements. Company also plans product innovation launches across 2026.
Negative Updates
Core Business Year-Over-Year Declines
Management acknowledged the core USANA nutritional business experienced year-over-year sales declines, and while signs of stabilization were noted, the core business remains under pressure and is a key focus for turnaround efforts.
High Effective Income Tax Rate Guidance
Fiscal 2026 effective tax rate guidance is expected between 55% and 60%, driven by geographic misalignment between revenue and costs and one-time items recognized in H2 FY2025 — a substantial tax burden that materially impacts net income.
Margin and Mix Pressure from Venture Brands
Rise Wellness is expected to operate at approximately breakeven in FY2026 and carries a thinner gross margin profile; as Rise and Hiya scale, the consolidated gross margin could be pressured by mix shift toward lower-margin venture revenue.
Elevated Inventory and Working Capital Risk
Inventories rose 48% (+$35M) to $107M to support retailer launches and channel expansion. Management expects elevated inventory throughout FY2026 — this increases working capital needs and execution risk if demand or retail placements underperform expectations.
Unquantified Technology Investment and Timing Uncertainty
Management plans to accelerate technology modernization (including potential third-party platforms and AI use) but has not finalized scope, timing, or capital needs; incremental investment was not factored into FY2026 guidance, creating uncertainty around future capital deployment and timing of benefits.
Seasonality and Operational Volatility
Business remains seasonally skewed (notably around Lunar New Year in China), creating quarter-to-quarter variability. Additionally, FY2026 is a 52-week fiscal year (one less week versus FY2025), complicating direct year-over-year comparisons.
Company Guidance
Management guided consolidated net sales for fiscal 2026 to grow about 4% at the midpoint (the outlook reflects a 52‑week fiscal year, one fewer week than FY25), noted inventories rose $35.0 million (48%) to $107.0 million at fiscal‑25 year‑end (with ~80% of that increase driven by Rise Wellness and Hiya) and said elevated inventory levels are expected through FY26 to support retail expansions (Target in April, Costco and other retailers, plus Canada and U.K. rollouts) and plans to begin in‑house manufacturing for Hiya; Rise Wellness is expected to operate at approximately breakeven in FY26 and, along with Hiya, is a primary driver of the sales outlook; the company expects an effective tax rate of 55–60% for FY26; a recent cost realignment affected roughly 10% of the workforce and yielded about $10M of net SG&A savings (some funds being repurposed to growth initiatives); management also cautioned that incremental technology investments are anticipated but not yet included in the FY26 outlook and that gross margins will be influenced by business mix (e.g., thinner margins at Rise).

USANA Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is up strongly TTM (~+15% YoY), and the balance sheet is a major strength with essentially no leverage (debt at 0). However, profitability has compressed materially (TTM net margin ~1.9% vs ~4.9% in 2024) and cash generation has weakened (lower operating cash flow and free cash flow vs 2024), keeping the financial performance score only moderate.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is up strongly versus the prior year (about +15%), but profitability has compressed materially: net margin fell to ~1.9% in TTM from ~4.9% in 2024, and operating profitability also stepped down. Gross margins remain very high and stable (~79–81%), but the multi-year trend shows shrinking operating and net profitability from 2020–2021 levels, which weighs on the score.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with essentially no leverage in TTM (total debt at 0 and debt-to-equity at 0), and equity remains substantial (~$528M). Returns on equity have come down sharply (TTM ~3.2% vs ~7.9% in 2024 and much higher in 2020–2022), but overall financial risk from debt is low, supporting a high score.
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
Cash generation has weakened: TTM operating cash flow (~$31.5M) and free cash flow (~$18.7M) are down meaningfully versus 2024, and free cash flow growth is sharply negative. Cash conversion is also softer, with free cash flow running at ~59% of TTM net income (below prior years), indicating reduced cash efficiency despite still-positive free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue912.67M854.50M921.01M998.60M1.19B1.13B
Gross Profit694.67M678.75M731.62M791.32M955.53M911.79M
EBITDA83.93M98.86M123.11M130.22M192.89M200.96M
Net Income17.02M42.03M63.79M69.35M116.50M124.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets726.59M748.19M632.76M596.55M577.74M640.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments145.35M181.77M330.42M288.42M239.83M312.88M
Total Debt0.0039.20M13.21M13.78M17.30M21.47M
Total Liabilities145.04M161.86M135.56M162.08M182.62M199.24M
Stockholders Equity528.07M532.11M497.20M434.47M395.12M441.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.69M50.92M56.15M93.50M108.46M145.31M
Operating Cash Flow31.52M60.99M70.64M103.90M121.23M160.40M
Investing Cash Flow-216.37M-213.09M-11.97M-12.37M-14.19M-33.96M
Financing Cash Flow-31.13M9.55M-14.24M-30.09M-181.41M-59.44M

USANA Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.53
Price Trends
50DMA
20.77
Positive
100DMA
20.78
Positive
200DMA
25.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
51.63
Neutral
STOCH
76.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USNA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.11, above the 50-day MA of 20.77, and below the 200-day MA of 25.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for USNA.

USANA Health Risk Analysis

USANA Health disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. USANA Health reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

USANA Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$473.25M33.339.52%6.62%-7.85%
69
Neutral
$331.83M31.1214.46%12.14%-17.80%
63
Neutral
$2.03B8.76-0.78%265.56%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
56
Neutral
$395.96M37.963.20%5.88%-68.62%
56
Neutral
$57.95M7.5725.00%2.81%16.77%143.30%
55
Neutral
$141.81M21.7817.77%12.44%-20.33%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USNA
USANA Health
21.26
-11.95
-35.98%
HLF
Herbalife
19.26
10.64
123.43%
LWAY
Lifeway Foods
22.56
1.53
7.28%
NATR
Nature's Sunshine Products
27.54
13.14
91.25%
LFVN
LifeVantage
4.67
-12.14
-72.21%
FTLF
FitLife Brands
15.15
0.25
1.68%

USANA Health Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
USANA Health Issues Updated 2025-2026 Sales Outlook
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, USANA Health Sciences announced that it expects fiscal 2025 consolidated net sales of about $925 million, modestly above its prior guidance of roughly $920 million, and issued an initial fiscal 2026 net sales outlook of $925 million to $1.0 billion ahead of its presentation at the 28th Annual ICR Conference in Orlando. The 2026 outlook assumes softer revenue in the core USANA nutritional business, with projected sales of $720 million to $765 million versus about $777 million in 2025, partially offset by anticipated growth at Hiya, which is forecast to rise to $140 million to $155 million from around $132 million, and at Rise Wellness, which is expected to accelerate sharply to $65 million to $80 million from approximately $16 million in 2025, even as the company invests heavily in inventory, capital expenditures and working capital and accepts breakeven operating margins at Rise Wellness to support early-stage expansion; management plans to update investors further when it reports fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 17, 2026, followed by an analyst conference call on February 18.

The most recent analyst rating on (USNA) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USANA Health stock, see the USNA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
USANA Health Sciences announces CEO leadership transition
Neutral
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, USANA Health Sciences announced a leadership transition in which Jim Brown stepped down as chief executive officer and president after three years in the top role and 19 years with the company, remaining in an advisory position at the board’s discretion. Effective the same day, Executive Chairman Kevin Guest, who previously served as CEO from 2015 to 2023 and oversaw a period of global expansion and record results, returned to the chief executive role while retaining his chairmanship, a move the board framed as a bid to accelerate strategic priorities, support long-term growth and leverage his deep relationships with USANA’s sales force and management team; terms of Brown’s separation and Guest’s new compensation package have yet to be finalized by the compensation committee.

The most recent analyst rating on (USNA) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USANA Health stock, see the USNA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 12, 2026