Debt Financing ConcernsModerna shares closed down 7.5% at new 52-week lows in response to the Ares $1.5 billion debt financing, perceived quality of the 2028 breakeven path, and several program removals/timing halts to enable additional cost-cutting.
Litigation ConcernsThere is ongoing litigation with ROIV affiliates regarding the use of LNP technology, although management expressed confidence in MRNA’s IP protection.
Uncertain Covid SalesThe longer-term outlook for Covid sales is uncertain, with cash burn currently annualizing above $3B and doubts about reaching breakeven by 2028.