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Marcus & Millichap Inc (MMI)
NYSE:MMI

Marcus & Millichap (MMI) AI Stock Analysis

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Marcus & Millichap

(NYSE:MMI)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(0.10%Upside)
Marcus & Millichap's overall stock score reflects financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability. The balance sheet provides some stability with low leverage, and earnings call data shows potential for recovery. However, technical indicators and valuation remain areas of concern, highlighting the need for strategic improvements to support long-term growth.
Positive Factors
Deal Volumes
Raising estimates slightly on modestly better deal volumes.
Larger Deals
Larger deals beginning to pick up, but smaller transactions remain challenged.
Negative Factors
Economic Uncertainty
Depressed deal activity, the challenging capital markets environment, and continued economic uncertainty present headwinds for MMI's brokerage and financing businesses.
External Growth
Investors are looking for more meaningful external growth, which has not materialized for the company.
Transaction Volumes
Transaction volumes continue to fall, with a significant year-over-year decrease as reported by RCA.

Marcus & Millichap (MMI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marcus & Millichap Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarcus & Millichap (MMI) is a leading commercial real estate brokerage firm specializing in investment sales, financing, research, and advisory services. The company operates across various sectors including multifamily, retail, office, and industrial properties, providing tailored solutions to meet the needs of real estate investors and owners. With a vast network of experienced agents and a strong market presence, Marcus & Millichap is dedicated to delivering exceptional value and insights to its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarcus & Millichap generates revenue primarily through commissions earned on the sale and financing of commercial real estate properties. The firm operates on a transaction-based model where it facilitates property sales and financing deals, earning a percentage of the transaction value as a commission. Additionally, the company provides advisory and research services, which contribute to its revenue streams. Key factors contributing to its earnings include a large and diverse network of agents, a wide range of property types, and strategic partnerships with financial institutions and investors that enhance its service offerings.

Marcus & Millichap Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a mix of positive revenue growth and strategic investments, balanced by ongoing challenges in the private client segment and a net loss. Despite some setbacks, the company shows potential for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
First quarter revenue reached $145 million, marking a 12% increase over the first quarter of 2024.
Brokerage Revenue Increase
Brokerage revenue grew nearly 13% year-over-year with a notable 30% increase in middle market and larger transactions.
Financing Revenue Surge
Revenue from financing improved by 26%, aided by a 16% increase in volume and a 12% increase in the average commission rate.
Strategic Investments
The company continued to make strategic investments in talent acquisition, proprietary technology, and expanding market presence.
Strong Balance Sheet
The company remains well-capitalized with no debt and $330 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was negative $8.7 million, though this reflects a 13% improvement over the previous year.
Challenges in Private Client Segment
The private client segment faced challenges with a limited 6% growth due to a wide bid-ask spread and tightened underwriting.
Office Market and Underwriting Challenges
Higher interest rates and tightened underwriting continue to impact the office market and private client transactions negatively.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $4.4 million or $0.11 per share, though this was an improvement from the previous year's $10 million loss.
Company Guidance
During Marcus & Millichap's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Hessam Nadji highlighted various key metrics and strategic directions. The company reported a 12% increase in revenue, reaching $145 million, compared to the first quarter of 2024. Brokerage revenue rose by nearly 13%, with financing revenue surging 26% due to improved lending conditions. Despite an adjusted EBITDA of negative $8.7 million, a 13% improvement from the previous year, the company remains optimistic about long-term growth. Nadji emphasized strategic investments in technology, talent acquisition, and analytics, and noted significant progress in middle market and larger transactions, which grew 30% in dollar volume. Additionally, the company conducted over 1,175 transactions with an average size of $5.7 million, resulting in $6.7 billion in transaction volume, showcasing a strategic shift toward larger institutional investor deals. Despite ongoing market disruptions, Nadji expressed cautious optimism about future recovery, supported by expectations of a larger-scale price reset and sustained economic strength.

Marcus & Millichap Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marcus & Millichap faces financial headwinds with declining revenues and profitability. The income statement indicates ongoing losses with negative profit margins. However, the balance sheet shows financial stability with low leverage and a strong equity base, providing a buffer against financial challenges. Positive operating cash flow offers some hope, yet operational efficiency needs improvement.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reflects a challenging financial period for Marcus & Millichap. The company has experienced a decline in revenue over the past years, marked by a significant drop from 2022 to 2023. Gross profit margin stood at 37.3% for TTM, a decline from previous years, and net profit margin remains negative, indicating ongoing losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 for TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio is high at 77.0%, which underscores the company's strong asset base relative to its liabilities. However, the decline in stockholders' equity over recent years may be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Despite negative net income, operating cash flow remains positive, with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of -2.93, suggesting some efficiency in cash generation. Free cash flow growth is sluggish, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.94, indicating that cash flow does not fully cover losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
711.99M696.06M645.93M1.30B1.30B716.91M
Gross Profit
265.71M264.59M239.28M450.82M456.23M269.03M
EBIT
-30.24M-32.91M-59.37M137.40M189.36M53.61M
EBITDA
-2.34M2.75M-25.89M150.65M201.08M64.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-6.80M-12.36M-34.03M104.22M142.47M42.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
264.81M349.46M349.13M489.29M566.01M401.41M
Total Assets
802.02M869.80M878.41M1.00B1.05B779.12M
Total Debt
83.94M84.22M87.74M82.09M77.31M78.60M
Net Debt
-55.09M-69.22M-83.01M-153.76M-304.83M-164.55M
Total Liabilities
184.47M238.98M233.14M290.20M348.89M232.29M
Stockholders Equity
617.55M630.82M645.27M713.51M696.30M546.84M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
13.17M13.84M-81.80M1.96M249.05M31.14M
Operating Cash Flow
19.89M21.71M-72.43M13.63M255.90M38.09M
Investing Cash Flow
68.87M-9.90M74.87M-53.98M-108.36M-17.23M
Financing Cash Flow
-29.33M-28.75M-67.68M-105.56M-5.92M-10.33M

Marcus & Millichap Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price30.97
Price Trends
50DMA
30.28
Positive
100DMA
33.57
Negative
200DMA
36.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
60.58
Neutral
STOCH
90.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MMI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 30.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.29, above the 50-day MA of 30.28, and below the 200-day MA of 36.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MMI.

Marcus & Millichap Risk Analysis

Marcus & Millichap disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marcus & Millichap reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marcus & Millichap Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
JLJLL
77
Outperform
$11.27B21.488.16%13.63%78.40%
74
Outperform
$39.60B40.8712.15%13.14%1.70%
CWCWK
71
Outperform
$2.49B15.399.53%1.24%1205.18%
65
Neutral
$2.16B29.815.32%1.02%13.87%90.42%
61
Neutral
$2.86B10.960.41%6.08%5.73%-21.25%
MMMMI
54
Neutral
$1.20B-1.09%1.63%14.79%82.32%
50
Neutral
$1.31B199.35%5.11%-29.67%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MMI
Marcus & Millichap
30.97
0.71
2.35%
CBRE
CBRE Group
133.83
44.79
50.30%
JLL
Jones Lang Lasalle
237.50
32.86
16.06%
RDFN
Redfin
10.74
4.29
66.51%
NMRK
Newmark Group
11.76
1.76
17.60%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
10.65
0.08
0.76%

Marcus & Millichap Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marcus & Millichap Appoints New Chief Growth Officer
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Marcus & Millichap announced that Richard Matricaria, previously the Chief Operating Officer for the Western Division, was appointed as the Senior Vice President and Chief Growth Officer effective May 1, 2025. The company entered into an employment agreement with Mr. Matricaria on June 5, 2025, detailing his compensation package, which includes a base salary of $400,000, a potential annual bonus of $600,000, equity grants, and a relocation allowance. This strategic appointment is aimed at driving growth and enhancing the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (MMI) stock is a Sell with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marcus & Millichap stock, see the MMI Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Marcus & Millichap Reports Q1 2025 Revenue Growth
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Marcus & Millichap held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders elected directors and approved various proposals, including the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. The company also reported a 12.3% revenue growth in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, driven by increased brokerage commissions and financing fees. Despite a net loss of $4.4 million, the company showed improved financial performance and remains well-positioned for long-term growth, focusing on enhancing client value and investing in talent.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marcus & Millichap Announces Management Reorganization
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Marcus & Millichap, Inc. announced a management reorganization, promoting John David Parker to Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, overseeing all brokerage operations. Richard Matricaria has been named Senior Vice President and Chief Growth Officer, focusing on growth initiatives, while Greg LaBerge will transition to Senior Vice President, Chief Client Officer, overseeing specialty divisions.

Executive/Board Changes
Marcus & Millichap Appoints New Acting Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

Marcus & Millichap, Inc. announced the resignation of its Chief Accounting Officer, Kurt Schwarz, effective March 24, 2025. He will remain with the company until April 18, 2025, with no disagreements or issues related to his departure. Fabrice De Bosschère has been appointed as the acting Chief Accounting Officer effective March 25, 2025, pending formal appointment by the Board on May 1, 2025. De Bosschère, who has been with the company since January 2022, brings extensive international finance and accounting experience from his previous roles at Publicis Groupe.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.