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Marcus & Millichap Inc (MMI)
NYSE:MMI

Marcus & Millichap (MMI) AI Stock Analysis

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Marcus & Millichap

(NYSE:MMI)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲( 6.99% Upside)
Marcus & Millichap faces significant financial headwinds, with declining revenues and profitability being primary concerns. The strong balance sheet and strategic investments offer some hope, but technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. The earnings call's positive revenue growth and strategic direction provide a slightly optimistic outlook amidst ongoing challenges.
Positive Factors
Deal Volumes
Raising estimates slightly on modestly better deal volumes.
Larger Deals
Larger deals beginning to pick up, but smaller transactions remain challenged.
Negative Factors
Economic Uncertainty
Depressed deal activity, the challenging capital markets environment, and continued economic uncertainty present headwinds for MMI's brokerage and financing businesses.
External Growth
Investors are looking for more meaningful external growth, which has not materialized for the company.
Transaction Volumes
Transaction volumes continue to fall, with a significant year-over-year decrease as reported by RCA.

Marcus & Millichap (MMI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marcus & Millichap Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarcus & Millichap, Inc., an investment brokerage company, provides real estate investment brokerage and financing services to sellers and buyers of commercial real estate in the United States and Canada. The company offers commercial real estate investment sales, financing, research, and advisory services for multifamily, retail, office, industrial, single-tenant net lease, seniors housing, self-storage, hospitality, medical office, and manufactured housing. It also operates as a financial intermediary that provides commercial real estate capital markets solutions, including senior debt, mezzanine debt, joint venture, and preferred equity, as well as loan sales and consultative/due diligence services to commercial real estate owners, developers, investors, and capital providers. In addition, the company provides various ancillary services, including research, advisory, and consulting services to developers, lenders, owners, real estate investment trusts, high net worth individuals, pension fund advisors, and other institutions. Marcus & Millichap, Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarcus & Millichap makes money primarily through commissions earned on the sale and financing of commercial real estate properties. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on transaction volume, with agents earning fees based on the value of the real estate deals they facilitate. This includes sales of multifamily apartment buildings, retail centers, office properties, and more. In addition to sales commissions, Marcus & Millichap generates revenue from its financing services, where it arranges debt and equity financing for clients, earning fees for successfully securing funding. The company also benefits from its research and advisory services, which, although not a primary revenue source, enhance its brokerage services by providing clients with valuable market insights and strategic guidance.

Marcus & Millichap Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marcus & Millichap is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow issues. While the balance sheet remains relatively stable, the income and cash flow statements indicate operational and financial stress. The company needs to address its revenue generation and cost management strategies to regain financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Marcus & Millichap has faced a challenging period with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM shows negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational challenges. Revenue growth has been negative over the past two years, with a significant decline in 2023 compared to 2022. Margins have also deteriorated, reflecting increased operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet remains stable with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio and a strong equity base. However, the decline in stockholders' equity and assets since 2022 poses some concern. Despite this, the equity ratio remains solid, providing a buffer against financial instability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Marcus & Millichap has struggled with cash flow, reporting negative free cash flow and operating cash flow in recent periods. Despite this, there is a slight improvement in free cash flow in the TTM compared to 2023, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains unfavorable.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
696.06M645.93M1.30B1.30B716.91M
Gross Profit
264.59M239.28M450.82M456.23M269.03M
EBIT
-32.91M-59.37M137.40M189.36M53.61M
EBITDA
2.75M-25.89M150.65M201.08M64.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-12.36M-34.03M104.22M142.47M42.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
349.46M349.13M489.29M566.01M401.41M
Total Assets
869.80M878.41M1.00B1.05B779.12M
Total Debt
84.22M87.74M82.09M77.31M78.60M
Net Debt
-69.22M-83.01M-153.76M-304.83M-164.55M
Total Liabilities
238.98M233.14M290.20M348.89M232.29M
Stockholders Equity
630.82M645.27M713.51M696.30M546.84M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
13.84M-81.80M1.96M249.05M31.14M
Operating Cash Flow
21.71M-72.43M13.63M255.90M38.09M
Investing Cash Flow
-9.90M74.87M-53.98M-108.36M-17.23M
Financing Cash Flow
-28.75M-67.68M-105.56M-5.92M-10.33M

Marcus & Millichap Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price28.04
Price Trends
50DMA
31.92
Negative
100DMA
34.52
Negative
200DMA
36.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.81
Positive
RSI
31.47
Neutral
STOCH
9.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MMI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.02, below the 50-day MA of 31.92, and below the 200-day MA of 36.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MMI.

Marcus & Millichap Risk Analysis

Marcus & Millichap disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marcus & Millichap reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Failure to comply with confidentiality obligations could damage our reputation and materially harm our operating results. Q4, 2024
2.
We are subject to complex and evolving licensing and regulatory requirements. Q4, 2024
3.
Our business is subject to complex and evolving laws and regulations regarding privacy, data protection, and cybersecurity. Many of these laws and regulations are subject to change and uncertain interpretation and could result in claims, increased cost of operations or otherwise harm our business. Q4, 2024

Marcus & Millichap Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
JLJLL
76
Outperform
$10.99B20.698.16%13.63%78.40%
CWCWK
74
Outperform
$2.40B14.809.53%1.24%1205.18%
74
Outperform
$38.90B39.1912.15%13.14%1.70%
60
Neutral
$2.82B10.380.33%8508.19%5.98%-17.49%
56
Neutral
$2.14B29.485.32%1.05%13.87%90.42%
MMMMI
53
Neutral
$1.14B-1.09%1.71%14.79%82.32%
52
Neutral
$1.30B199.35%5.11%-29.67%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MMI
Marcus & Millichap
28.04
-5.05
-15.26%
CBRE
CBRE Group
120.87
31.26
34.88%
JLL
Jones Lang Lasalle
215.43
16.89
8.51%
RDFN
Redfin
9.57
3.09
47.69%
NMRK
Newmark Group
10.28
-0.12
-1.15%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
9.52
-1.20
-11.19%

Marcus & Millichap Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.59%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a mix of positive revenue growth and strategic investments, balanced by ongoing challenges in the private client segment and a net loss. Despite some setbacks, the company shows potential for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
First quarter revenue reached $145 million, marking a 12% increase over the first quarter of 2024.
Brokerage Revenue Increase
Brokerage revenue grew nearly 13% year-over-year with a notable 30% increase in middle market and larger transactions.
Financing Revenue Surge
Revenue from financing improved by 26%, aided by a 16% increase in volume and a 12% increase in the average commission rate.
Strategic Investments
The company continued to make strategic investments in talent acquisition, proprietary technology, and expanding market presence.
Strong Balance Sheet
The company remains well-capitalized with no debt and $330 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was negative $8.7 million, though this reflects a 13% improvement over the previous year.
Challenges in Private Client Segment
The private client segment faced challenges with a limited 6% growth due to a wide bid-ask spread and tightened underwriting.
Office Market and Underwriting Challenges
Higher interest rates and tightened underwriting continue to impact the office market and private client transactions negatively.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $4.4 million or $0.11 per share, though this was an improvement from the previous year's $10 million loss.
Company Guidance
During Marcus & Millichap's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Hessam Nadji highlighted various key metrics and strategic directions. The company reported a 12% increase in revenue, reaching $145 million, compared to the first quarter of 2024. Brokerage revenue rose by nearly 13%, with financing revenue surging 26% due to improved lending conditions. Despite an adjusted EBITDA of negative $8.7 million, a 13% improvement from the previous year, the company remains optimistic about long-term growth. Nadji emphasized strategic investments in technology, talent acquisition, and analytics, and noted significant progress in middle market and larger transactions, which grew 30% in dollar volume. Additionally, the company conducted over 1,175 transactions with an average size of $5.7 million, resulting in $6.7 billion in transaction volume, showcasing a strategic shift toward larger institutional investor deals. Despite ongoing market disruptions, Nadji expressed cautious optimism about future recovery, supported by expectations of a larger-scale price reset and sustained economic strength.

Marcus & Millichap Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Marcus & Millichap Reports Q1 2025 Revenue Growth
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Marcus & Millichap held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders elected directors and approved various proposals, including the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. The company also reported a 12.3% revenue growth in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, driven by increased brokerage commissions and financing fees. Despite a net loss of $4.4 million, the company showed improved financial performance and remains well-positioned for long-term growth, focusing on enhancing client value and investing in talent.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marcus & Millichap Announces Management Reorganization
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Marcus & Millichap, Inc. announced a management reorganization, promoting John David Parker to Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, overseeing all brokerage operations. Richard Matricaria has been named Senior Vice President and Chief Growth Officer, focusing on growth initiatives, while Greg LaBerge will transition to Senior Vice President, Chief Client Officer, overseeing specialty divisions.

Executive/Board Changes
Marcus & Millichap Appoints New Acting Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

Marcus & Millichap, Inc. announced the resignation of its Chief Accounting Officer, Kurt Schwarz, effective March 24, 2025. He will remain with the company until April 18, 2025, with no disagreements or issues related to his departure. Fabrice De Bosschère has been appointed as the acting Chief Accounting Officer effective March 25, 2025, pending formal appointment by the Board on May 1, 2025. De Bosschère, who has been with the company since January 2022, brings extensive international finance and accounting experience from his previous roles at Publicis Groupe.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.