Kennedy-wilson (KW)
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Kennedy-Wilson (KW) AI Stock Analysis

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KW

Kennedy-Wilson

(NYSE:KW)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(28.04% Upside)
Kennedy-Wilson's stock score is primarily influenced by its financial challenges, including high leverage and negative cash flow growth. However, positive technical indicators and strategic growth initiatives highlighted in the earnings call provide some optimism. The high dividend yield adds a degree of attractiveness despite valuation concerns.

Kennedy-Wilson (KW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kennedy-Wilson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment company. The company owns, operates, and invests in real estate both on its own and through its investment management platform. It focuses on multifamily and office properties located in the Western United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Spain, Italy, and Japan. As of December 31, 2021, the company had ownership interests in 10,460 multifamily units, 4.9 million square feet of office space, 3.4 million square feet of retail and industrial space, and one hotel. It is also involved in the development, redevelopment, and entitlement of real estate properties. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Beverly Hills, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyKennedy-Wilson generates revenue primarily through its real estate investment activities, which include the acquisition and management of properties. The company earns income from rental payments from tenants in its managed properties, as well as through property sales and capital appreciation. Additionally, KW provides real estate services, which contribute to its revenue stream by charging fees for property management, leasing, and advisory services. Significant partnerships with institutional investors and private equity firms also enhance its investment capabilities, allowing KW to leverage additional capital for its projects and further diversify its income sources.

Kennedy-Wilson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted significant growth in investment management and capital deployment, as well as the strategic acquisition of Toll Brothers' platform, indicating strong future prospects. However, challenges such as GAAP EPS loss, declines in European office portfolio performance, and flat NOIs in the affordable portfolio were noted. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Investment Management Growth
Assets under management (AUM) grew to $31 billion, marking an 11% increase year-over-year. Fee-bearing capital grew by 10% from the previous year.
Successful Capital Deployment
Deployed or committed approximately $900 million in Q3, with total capital deployment reaching $3.5 billion year-to-date through September.
Credit Team Achievements
Originated $600 million in new rental housing construction loans, with total originations reaching $2.6 billion for the year.
U.K. Single-Family Rental Platform Expansion
Added $62 million in new investments, with the total portfolio reaching 1,300 homes and committed capital at approximately $585 million.
Toll Brothers Acquisition
Pending acquisition expected to add $5 billion to AUM, increasing total pro forma AUM to $36 billion.
Improved Financial Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA increased to $125 million in Q3, up from $66 million last year. Investment management fees increased by 8% in the quarter and 23% year-to-date.
Negative Updates
GAAP EPS Loss
Reported a loss of $0.15 per share in Q3, compared to a loss of $0.56 per share in the same quarter last year.
European Office Portfolio Decline
Same-property NOI decreased by 6% in Europe, impacted by a 5% decline in occupancy.
Northern California NOI Decline
NOIs fell by 1.5% in Northern California region.
Affordable Portfolio NOI Challenges
Same-store NOI was flat due to rental increases offset by higher expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Kennedy-Wilson Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported significant progress in expanding its investment management platform and executing its noncore asset sale plan. Key financial metrics showed improvement, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $125 million in Q3, almost doubling from $66 million the previous year, and a year-to-date increase of 6% to $371 million. Assets under management grew by 11% year-over-year to $31 billion, while fee-bearing capital increased by 10% to $9.7 billion. The company deployed approximately $900 million in Q3, focusing on rental housing-related credit and equity investments, with credit originations totaling $2.6 billion for the year. Kennedy-Wilson's strategic moves included the acquisition of Toll Brothers Apartment Living platform, adding $5 billion to assets under management and expanding its national rental housing platform to over 90,000 units. The company also achieved $470 million in cash generation from asset sales, surpassing its annual target. The balance sheet was strengthened by the repayment of $352 million in unsecured bonds, with the debt structure now 96% fixed or hedged.

Kennedy-Wilson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kennedy-Wilson faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability pressures. The high leverage and negative free cash flow growth are concerning, though there are signs of improvement in net profit margins. The company needs to address its cash flow issues and manage its debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Kennedy-Wilson's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -2.11% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has decreased from 70.34% in 2024 to 51.89% in the TTM, indicating pressure on profitability. The net profit margin has improved to 1.59% in the TTM from a negative margin in 2024, suggesting some recovery. However, the EBIT margin is negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.02 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in a rising interest rate environment. The return on equity is low at 0.52%, suggesting limited profitability from equity investments. The equity ratio stands at 22.81%, showing a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement highlights challenges with negative free cash flow growth of -115.32% in the TTM, indicating cash flow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.95, suggesting adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue515.90M531.40M562.60M540.00M453.60M454.00M
Gross Profit370.90M373.80M372.10M359.30M308.20M304.50M
EBITDA403.30M385.90M80.30M531.80M821.30M532.90M
Net Income8.20M-33.00M-303.80M93.70M330.40M110.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.70B6.96B7.71B8.27B7.88B7.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments382.60M217.50M313.70M439.30M524.80M965.10M
Total Debt4.61B4.78B5.30B5.59B5.43B5.09B
Total Liabilities5.14B5.33B5.91B6.26B6.07B5.66B
Stockholders Equity1.53B1.60B1.76B1.96B1.78B1.64B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-39.50M-76.50M-168.30M-128.00M-169.50M-206.70M
Operating Cash Flow12.10M55.10M48.90M32.90M-30.30M-12.60M
Investing Cash Flow747.70M414.20M-11.70M-361.60M-1.04B590.80M
Financing Cash Flow-740.90M-565.50M-164.80M264.20M632.00M-206.60M

Kennedy-Wilson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.81
Price Trends
50DMA
8.38
Positive
100DMA
8.04
Positive
200DMA
7.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Negative
RSI
64.72
Neutral
STOCH
43.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.66, below the 50-day MA of 8.38, and above the 200-day MA of 7.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KW.

Kennedy-Wilson Risk Analysis

Kennedy-Wilson disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kennedy-Wilson reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kennedy-Wilson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$1.67B-8.09%1.86%5.08%41.21%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$251.14M12.542.87%-6.06%
58
Neutral
$1.31B0.52%4.90%-3.75%90.10%
58
Neutral
$469.29M95.851.09%2.69%-39.40%
58
Neutral
$1.30B-9.78-8.15%5.27%25.71%
56
Neutral
$1.15B-92.57-1.09%1.76%20.74%78.92%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KW
Kennedy-Wilson
9.47
-0.89
-8.59%
MMI
Marcus & Millichap
28.33
-11.21
-28.35%
FRPH
FRP Holdings
23.34
-8.09
-25.74%
HOUS
Anywhere Real Estate ate
12.48
8.28
197.14%
RMAX
Re/Max Holdings
7.68
-3.61
-31.98%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
10.78
-1.85
-14.65%

Kennedy-Wilson Corporate Events

Kennedy-Wilson Reports Improved Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. is a global real estate investment company with a diverse portfolio of real estate equity and debt investments, managing $31 billion in assets across the United States, the UK, and Ireland. The company focuses on identifying opportunities and building value through market cycles.

Kennedy-Wilson’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Strategic Moves
Nov 7, 2025

Kennedy-Wilson’s recent earnings call showcased a generally optimistic outlook, driven by notable growth in investment management and strategic capital deployment. The company highlighted its acquisition of Toll Brothers’ platform as a key factor in its promising future. Despite some challenges, such as a GAAP EPS loss and declines in the European office portfolio, the positive developments slightly outweighed the negatives.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Kennedy-Wilson Receives Acquisition Proposal from CEO
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. received a proposal from its Chairman and CEO, William McMorrow, and Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited to acquire all outstanding common stock not owned by them for $10.25 per share in cash. The proposal, which represents a 38% premium over the company’s closing share price on November 3, 2025, aims to provide liquidity and certainty of value for shareholders, allowing the company to focus on its long-term strategy without the burden of public reporting. The company’s Board has formed a special committee to evaluate the proposal, although there is no assurance that a definitive agreement will be reached.

The most recent analyst rating on (KW) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kennedy-Wilson stock, see the KW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Kennedy-Wilson Completes Redemption of Euro Notes
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On October 3, 2025, Kennedy Wilson Europe Real Estate Limited completed the redemption of its outstanding 3.25% euro-denominated Notes due November 2025, amounting to €300,000,000, plus accrued interest of €8,681,520. This financial maneuver was funded through proceeds from asset sales, existing liquidity, and a corporate revolving credit facility, indicating strategic financial management and potential implications for the company’s liquidity and investment strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (KW) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kennedy-Wilson stock, see the KW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Kennedy-Wilson Acquires Toll Brothers’ Apartment Platform
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Kennedy Wilson announced an agreement to acquire Toll Brothers’ apartment development platform for $347 million, with the transaction expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025. This acquisition will add over $5 billion of assets under management to Kennedy Wilson, including interests in 18 apartment and student housing properties and a pipeline of 29 development sites. The transaction will enhance Kennedy Wilson’s investment management platform and multifamily development capabilities, while Toll Brothers will focus on its core homebuilding business. The deal also establishes a strategic alliance between the two companies for future investment opportunities in rental and for-sale housing.

The most recent analyst rating on (KW) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kennedy-Wilson stock, see the KW Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Kennedy-Wilson Releases Interim Financial Statements
Neutral
Aug 20, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Kennedy Wilson Europe Real Estate Limited released its interim IFRS financial statements for the six-month period ending June 30, 2025. The financial report, which complies with covenants under its unsecured bonds, shows a decrease in rental income and hotel revenue compared to the same period in 2024. Despite this, the review by KPMG Chartered Accountants found no material misstatements in the financial statements, and the company continues to operate under the going concern basis of accounting.

The most recent analyst rating on (KW) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kennedy-Wilson stock, see the KW Stock Forecast page.

Kennedy-Wilson’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth
Aug 12, 2025

Kennedy-Wilson’s recent earnings call was marked by a generally positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s strategic achievements and growth. Despite reporting a GAAP EPS loss, the call emphasized strong capital deployment, successful asset sales, and significant growth in assets under management. The expansion in rental housing and investment management fee growth further underscored the company’s robust performance, with positive developments outweighing the challenges faced in certain regions and sectors.

Kennedy-Wilson Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. is a prominent global real estate investment company with a diverse portfolio of real estate equity and debt investments, managing assets worth $30 billion across the United States, the UK, and Ireland. The company specializes in identifying opportunities and building value through market cycles, focusing on multifamily, office, and industrial properties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025