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Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc. (KW)
NYSE:KW

Kennedy-Wilson (KW) AI Stock Analysis

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KW

Kennedy-Wilson

(NYSE:KW)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(7.03%Upside)
Kennedy-Wilson's overall score is driven by its strong earnings call performance, showcasing capital deployment and asset growth. However, profitability challenges, valuation concerns, and mixed technical signals temper the outlook. The dividend yield offers some appeal, but caution is advised due to the financial and market pressures.

Kennedy-Wilson (KW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kennedy-Wilson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKennedy-Wilson (KW) is a global real estate investment company that operates across various sectors, including multifamily, office, retail, and industrial properties. The company focuses on acquiring, managing, and developing real estate assets, primarily in the Western United States, the United Kingdom, and Ireland. Kennedy-Wilson is known for its expertise in real estate investments and property management, leveraging its extensive market knowledge and operational capabilities to drive value for its investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyKennedy-Wilson makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes income from rental properties, property sales, and real estate services. A significant portion of the company's revenue comes from the leasing and management of its real estate portfolio, which generates consistent rental income. Additionally, Kennedy-Wilson actively engages in the acquisition and disposition of properties, realizing gains from the sale of assets that have appreciated in value. The company also provides property management and real estate services, which contribute to its earnings. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures further enhance Kennedy-Wilson's ability to access capital, share risks, and expand its investment opportunities in key markets.

Kennedy-Wilson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong capital deployment, asset growth, and investment management fee increases. However, the company faced challenges with a GAAP EPS loss and pricing pressures in the loan origination market due to increased competition.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Capital Deployment
Deployed or committed approximately $1 billion of new capital in Q1, with a strong pipeline expected to reach $3.5 billion for the first half of 2025, compared to $4 billion for all of 2024.
Growth in Assets Under Management
Assets under management grew by 26% over the past two years to $29 billion, producing approximately $575 million in estimated annual NOI and fees.
Investment Management Fee Growth
Investment management fees grew by 17% in Q1 to $25 million, with a target of 20% to 25% annual growth.
Reduction in Unsecured Debt
Paid down unsecured debt by $250 million over the last two years, with plans to reduce it further using proceeds from asset sales.
Strong Portfolio Performance
The stabilized portfolio generates estimated annual NOI of $473 million, with a focus on rental housing and industrial sectors.
Negative Updates
GAAP EPS Loss
GAAP EPS for the first quarter totaled a loss of $0.30 per share compared to income of $0.19 per share in Q1 of 2024.
Pricing Pressure on Loan Originations
Experienced downward pressure on spreads for loan originations, with a decrease of 30 to 40 basis points on average.
Increased Competition in Loan Market
Faced more competition from life insurance companies, banks, and private lenders, affecting pricing and spreads.
Company Guidance
During the Kennedy-Wilson First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and insights into their performance and strategic initiatives. In Q1 2025, Kennedy-Wilson deployed or committed approximately $1 billion of new capital, primarily through their credit platform, with a pipeline totaling $2.5 billion of loan originations and real estate equity acquisitions. They anticipate total capital deployment of $3.5 billion for the first half of 2025, compared to $4 billion for all of 2024. The company's assets under management have grown by 26% over the past two years to $29 billion, with rental housing comprising 66% of their portfolio. Investment management fees increased by 17% in Q1 to $25 million, and the company aims for an annual fee revenue growth target of 20% to 25%. The call highlighted a focus on asset sales and unsecured debt reductions, aiming to generate $400 million to $450 million of cash from asset sales and recaps by year-end. Their total debt is 96% fixed or hedged, with a weighted average maturity of 4.8 years and an effective interest rate of 4.7%.

Kennedy-Wilson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kennedy-Wilson's financial performance is mixed. Strong operational efficiencies are evidenced by a high EBIT margin of 92.7% and a solid gross profit margin. However, profitability remains an issue with fluctuating revenues and negative net income. The balance sheet is stable with zero debt, but declining equity and negative ROE are concerns. Cash flow improvements are positive but historical challenges in free cash flow generation persist.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Kennedy-Wilson has experienced fluctuating revenue trends, with a recent decline from $562.6M to $531.4M. The company reported negative net income in recent years, indicating profitability challenges. However, the gross profit margin remains strong at 100% for 2024, suggesting efficiency in cost management. EBIT margin has significantly improved to 92.7% in 2024, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a healthy balance sheet with zero total debt as of 2024, reducing financial risk. However, stockholders' equity has decreased over recent years, impacting the equity ratio negatively. The Return on Equity (ROE) is currently negative due to net losses, which is a concern for investor returns. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but faces challenges in equity growth.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow improved to $55.1M in 2024, reflecting better liquidity. The free cash flow turned positive, but the company has struggled with negative free cash flow in previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests that the company is generating more cash than net income, which is positive for cash sustainability.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
523.30M531.40M562.60M540.00M453.60M450.90M
Gross Profit
329.80M373.80M372.10M359.30M308.20M301.40M
EBIT
126.00M68.50M54.30M227.70M288.00M25.50M
EBITDA
195.50M385.90M212.10M400.60M454.30M205.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-100.70M-33.00M-303.80M93.70M330.40M110.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
524.80M217.50M313.70M439.30M524.80M965.10M
Total Assets
7.88B6.96B7.71B8.27B7.88B7.33B
Total Debt
5.43B4.78B5.30B5.59B5.43B5.09B
Net Debt
4.91B4.57B4.98B5.15B4.91B4.13B
Total Liabilities
6.07B5.33B5.91B6.26B6.07B5.66B
Stockholders Equity
1.78B1.60B1.76B1.96B1.78B1.64B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
36.80M-76.50M-168.30M-128.00M-169.50M-206.70M
Operating Cash Flow
6.10M55.10M48.90M32.90M-30.30M-12.60M
Investing Cash Flow
149.20M414.20M-11.70M-361.60M-1.04B590.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-336.90M-565.50M-164.80M264.20M632.00M-206.60M

Kennedy-Wilson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.54
Price Trends
50DMA
6.53
Positive
100DMA
7.71
Negative
200DMA
9.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
50.59
Neutral
STOCH
46.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.45, above the 50-day MA of 6.53, and below the 200-day MA of 9.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for KW.

Kennedy-Wilson Risk Analysis

Kennedy-Wilson disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kennedy-Wilson reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kennedy-Wilson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RMRMR
76
Outperform
$512.27M13.408.36%11.20%-18.14%-55.82%
CWCWK
71
Outperform
$2.46B15.349.53%1.24%1205.18%
70
Outperform
$826.86M-52.95%83.50%8.45%
66
Neutral
$2.13B29.385.32%1.04%13.87%90.42%
61
Neutral
$2.84B10.780.41%6.09%6.01%-21.16%
MMMMI
61
Neutral
$1.21B-1.09%1.69%14.79%82.32%
KWKW
56
Neutral
$904.44M-6.10%7.32%-7.27%46.78%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KW
Kennedy-Wilson
6.54
-2.63
-28.68%
MMI
Marcus & Millichap
30.23
-0.43
-1.40%
RMR
The RMR Group
16.23
-4.44
-21.48%
NMRK
Newmark Group
11.18
1.21
12.14%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
10.26
-0.22
-2.10%
REAX
Real Brokerage
3.96
0.11
2.86%

Kennedy-Wilson Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kennedy-Wilson Shareholders Approve Equity Plan Amendment
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. shareholders approved an amendment to the company’s 2009 Equity Participation Plan, increasing the total shares available for awards by 3,400,000 to 24,645,000 shares. This amendment, effective upon approval, reflects the company’s strategic move to enhance its equity compensation offerings, potentially impacting employee retention and attraction, and aligning with broader industry trends of incentivizing through equity. Additionally, the annual stockholder meeting saw the election of directors and approval of executive compensation and the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KW) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kennedy-Wilson stock, see the KW Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kennedy-Wilson Completes Recapitalization, Raises $125 Million
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings completed a recapitalization transaction involving a hotel property, resulting in $125 million in cash and a reduction of its ownership stake in a joint venture from 50% to 35%. The company plans to use these funds to reduce its unsecured debt, including amounts owed under its corporate line of credit and the Kennedy Wilson Europe Unsecured Notes due November 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KW) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kennedy-Wilson stock, see the KW Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Kennedy-Wilson Releases 2024 Financial Statements
Negative
Apr 25, 2025

On April 25, 2025, Kennedy Wilson Europe Real Estate Limited released its audited financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2024. The company reported a decrease in gross revenues from £165.6 million in 2023 to £113.0 million in 2024, primarily due to asset sales, including The Shelbourne Hotel. Despite a loss of £61.8 million after taxation, the company remains in a strong financial position with significant loan repayments and a cash balance of £49.8 million at year-end.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.