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Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc. (KW)
NYSE:KW
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Kennedy-Wilson (KW) AI Stock Analysis

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KW

Kennedy-Wilson

(NYSE:KW)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(0.59% Upside)
Kennedy-Wilson's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with high leverage and declining profitability, offset by strong cash flow improvements. Positive technical indicators and strategic achievements in the earnings call contribute to a moderately favorable outlook, despite valuation challenges.

Kennedy-Wilson (KW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kennedy-Wilson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment company. The company owns, operates, and invests in real estate both on its own and through its investment management platform. It focuses on multifamily and office properties located in the Western United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Spain, Italy, and Japan. As of December 31, 2021, the company had ownership interests in 10,460 multifamily units, 4.9 million square feet of office space, 3.4 million square feet of retail and industrial space, and one hotel. It is also involved in the development, redevelopment, and entitlement of real estate properties. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Beverly Hills, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyKennedy-Wilson generates revenue primarily through its real estate investment activities, which include the acquisition and management of properties. The company earns income from rental payments from tenants in its managed properties, as well as through property sales and capital appreciation. Additionally, KW provides real estate services, which contribute to its revenue stream by charging fees for property management, leasing, and advisory services. Significant partnerships with institutional investors and private equity firms also enhance its investment capabilities, allowing KW to leverage additional capital for its projects and further diversify its income sources.

Kennedy-Wilson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in capital deployment, asset management growth, and expansion in the rental housing sector. Despite a GAAP EPS loss and minor setbacks in the European office portfolio, the overall performance and strategic advancements depict a positive trajectory for the company.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Capital Deployment
Deployed or committed $1.7 billion of new capital in Q2, driving total capital deployment to $2.6 billion for the first half of 2025. On track to exceed the $4.3 billion deployed in 2024.
Asset Management Growth
Assets under management grew to a record $30 billion, a 70% increase since the beginning of 2021. Fee-bearing capital reached a record $9.2 billion, with investment management fees up 39% in Q2.
Non-Core Asset Sales Success
Successfully executed over $600 million in non-core asset sales, generating $250 million in cash proceeds, exceeding the $200 million target.
Rental Housing Expansion
Focus remains on rental housing, representing 65% of assets under management. Acquisition of 4 communities totaling 1,200 units for $387 million and $1.3 billion in new rental housing construction loans originated.
Improved Financial Metrics
Baseline EBITDA for Q2 increased by 12% year-over-year to $117 million. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $147 million, up from $79 million in Q2 of last year.
Negative Updates
GAAP EPS Loss
GAAP EPS for the quarter totaled a loss of $0.05 per share compared to a loss of $0.43 per share in Q2 of last year.
Office Portfolio Decline
Same-property NOI for European office portfolio declined by 3% in the quarter due to a decline in occupancy at two U.K. assets.
Company Guidance
During the Kennedy-Wilson Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported strong performance metrics, surpassing their business plan expectations. They deployed or committed $1.7 billion of new capital in Q2, bringing total capital deployment to $2.6 billion for the first half of 2025, with a goal to exceed the $4.3 billion deployed in 2024. Noncore asset sales generated $250 million in cash proceeds, exceeding their $200 million target, and $170 million was used to reduce their unsecured line of credit. Assets under management reached a record $30 billion, a 70% increase since early 2021. Their stabilized investments generated $1.6 billion in revenue and $1.3 billion in stabilized NOI, with Kennedy-Wilson holding a 37% ownership interest in these assets. The rental housing sector, comprising 65% of their assets, is expected to grow to over 80% of AUM in the next two years. The company originated $1.3 billion in new rental housing construction loans, marking their second largest quarter in originations. Additionally, they acquired four multifamily communities totaling 1,200 units for $387 million. Their investment management fees grew by 39% in Q2 to a quarterly record of $36 million, with fee-bearing capital reaching $9.2 billion, a record level. The company plans to continue recycling capital into higher return investment opportunities and aims to reach $400 million in asset sales by year-end, having already generated $275 million. They anticipate robust rental growth due to a persistent housing shortage and declining new starts, with 40,000 apartment units positioned to benefit from favorable supply-demand dynamics.

Kennedy-Wilson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kennedy-Wilson faces a tough financial landscape, marked by declining revenues and profitability pressures reflected in negative net income and high leverage. While the company showcases strong gross and EBITDA margins, the negative net profit and high debt levels present significant risks. Improvements in free cash flow provide some optimism, but the overall financial health requires careful management to navigate future challenges.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Kennedy-Wilson's recent TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show a challenging financial environment. The gross profit margin remains strong at 63.0%, and the EBITDA margin is healthy at 37.4%. However, the net profit margin is negative (-19.2%), indicating losses. Revenue has declined from 2023 to the TTM period, showing a negative growth trajectory. The EBIT margin is moderate at 24.1%, but overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.21, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in a volatile market. The equity ratio stands at 21.8%, which shows moderate financial stability. ROE is negative due to net losses, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The company's high debt levels are a potential risk, although it maintains a reasonable equity ratio.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Kennedy-Wilson's cash flow statement shows mixed results. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, reflecting inefficiencies in cash generation. However, free cash flow has improved in the TTM period, turning positive, which is a positive sign. The free cash flow to net income ratio also indicates some improvement, but overall cash flow stability remains a challenge.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue527.00M531.40M562.60M540.00M453.60M454.00M
Gross Profit300.90M373.80M214.30M359.30M308.20M304.50M
EBITDA197.10M385.90M212.10M228.50M70.30M125.50M
Net Income-48.00M-33.00M-303.80M93.70M330.40M110.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.80B6.96B7.71B8.27B7.88B7.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments309.10M217.50M313.70M439.30M524.80M965.10M
Total Debt4.62B4.78B5.30B5.59B5.43B5.09B
Total Liabilities5.20B5.33B5.91B6.26B6.07B5.66B
Stockholders Equity1.56B1.60B1.76B1.96B1.78B1.64B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow56.80M-76.50M-168.30M-128.00M-169.50M-206.70M
Operating Cash Flow9.30M55.10M48.90M32.90M-30.30M-12.60M
Investing Cash Flow707.40M414.20M-11.70M-361.60M-1.04B590.80M
Financing Cash Flow-777.90M-565.50M-164.80M264.20M632.00M-206.60M

Kennedy-Wilson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.45
Price Trends
50DMA
7.44
Positive
100DMA
6.95
Positive
200DMA
8.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
66.20
Neutral
STOCH
87.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.83, above the 50-day MA of 7.44, and above the 200-day MA of 8.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KW.

Kennedy-Wilson Risk Analysis

Kennedy-Wilson disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kennedy-Wilson reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kennedy-Wilson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.67B18.0011.62%4.63%887.64%
71
Outperform
$526.17M14.558.12%10.90%-16.99%-24.57%
70
Outperform
$1.07B-31.81%72.57%65.15%
66
Neutral
$3.24B43.126.00%0.66%16.29%69.89%
63
Neutral
$7.00B13.54-0.52%7.07%3.61%-22.78%
57
Neutral
$1.17B-2.97%5.53%-4.15%75.18%
55
Neutral
$1.27B-1.99%1.54%17.89%65.32%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KW
Kennedy-Wilson
8.68
-1.82
-17.33%
MMI
Marcus & Millichap
32.76
-5.73
-14.89%
RMR
The RMR Group
16.51
-6.42
-28.00%
NMRK
Newmark Group
18.25
4.82
35.89%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
15.85
2.98
23.15%
REAX
Real Brokerage
5.17
-1.18
-18.58%

Kennedy-Wilson Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Kennedy-Wilson Releases Interim Financial Statements
Neutral
Aug 20, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Kennedy Wilson Europe Real Estate Limited released its interim IFRS financial statements for the six-month period ending June 30, 2025. The financial report, which complies with covenants under its unsecured bonds, shows a decrease in rental income and hotel revenue compared to the same period in 2024. Despite this, the review by KPMG Chartered Accountants found no material misstatements in the financial statements, and the company continues to operate under the going concern basis of accounting.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kennedy-Wilson Announces Redemption of Euro Notes
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Kennedy Wilson Europe Real Estate Limited announced its decision to redeem all of its outstanding 3.250% euro-denominated Notes due 2025 on October 3, 2025. The redemption will involve the principal amount of €300,000,000 along with accrued interest totaling €8,681,520, after which no Notes will remain outstanding. This move signifies a strategic financial decision by the company, potentially impacting its financial structure and signaling a shift in its debt management strategy.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kennedy-Wilson Surpasses Asset Sales Target, Reduces Debt
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

During the quarter ended June 30, 2025, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. completed significant asset sales and recapitalizations, generating approximately $250 million in cash, surpassing their $200 million target. The proceeds were primarily used to reduce unsecured debt, including a $170 million reduction in the corporate line of credit. The company also expanded its investment portfolio by acquiring multifamily properties in the Mountain West and Pacific Northwest for $387 million and investing in UK single-family rental housing development sites. Additionally, Kennedy-Wilson originated $1.2 billion in real estate construction loans, enhancing its role as an asset manager.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kennedy-Wilson Shareholders Approve Equity Plan Amendment
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. shareholders approved an amendment to the company’s 2009 Equity Participation Plan, increasing the total shares available for awards by 3,400,000 to 24,645,000 shares. This amendment, effective upon approval, reflects the company’s strategic move to enhance its equity compensation offerings, potentially impacting employee retention and attraction, and aligning with broader industry trends of incentivizing through equity. Additionally, the annual stockholder meeting saw the election of directors and approval of executive compensation and the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025