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Dorian LPG (LPG)
NYSE:LPG
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Dorian LPG (LPG) AI Stock Analysis

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LPG

Dorian LPG

(NYSE:LPG)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$35.00
â–²(12.58% Upside)
Dorian LPG's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a positive earnings call, highlighting robust financial results and operational efficiencies. While the valuation suggests a relatively high P/E ratio, the attractive dividend yield and solid financial performance support the stock's appeal.

Dorian LPG (LPG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dorian LPG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDorian LPG Ltd. is a leading provider of international seaborne transportation services for liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). The company operates a modern fleet of very large gas carriers (VLGCs) and specializes in the transportation of LPG, which is utilized for heating, cooking, and as a feedstock in various industrial processes. Dorian LPG primarily serves customers in the global energy sector, facilitating the efficient movement of LPG from producers to consumers across key markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyDorian LPG generates revenue primarily through the transportation of LPG via its fleet of vessels. The company operates under two main revenue models: time charters and spot market contracts. In time charters, Dorian leases its vessels to customers for a fixed period, providing stable and predictable income. In spot market contracts, the company earns revenue based on current market rates for LPG transportation, which can fluctuate based on supply and demand dynamics. Additionally, Dorian LPG benefits from operational efficiencies and cost management practices that maximize profitability. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with major energy producers and traders, which contribute to its revenue stability and growth potential.

Dorian LPG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial and operational performance with significant capital returns and strategic advancements in fleet capabilities. However, challenges such as dry docking impacts and geopolitical volatility were noted.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Dividend Payment and Capital Return
Dorian LPG announced a dividend of $0.60 per share, totaling $25.6 million, marking the 16th dividend payment and bringing total dividends to over $665 million. Over $900 million in total capital has been returned to shareholders.
Strong Freight Rates and Market Resilience
Freight rates strengthened in the second quarter, supported by healthy arbitrage economics and geopolitical tensions. Forward bookings for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, reflect a strong increase in rates since late May into June, with a TCE in excess of $67,000 per day.
Operational Milestones and Ammonia Conversion
Dorian LPG completed 10 of their 12 planned dry dockings for 2025 and is converting VLGCs to facilitate the carriage of ammonia, enhancing fleet commercial optionality.
Solid Financial Position
Reported adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $38.6 million. Cash flow remained healthy with $278 million of free cash reported as of June 30, 2025.
Environmental and Operational Efficiency
The fleet's Annual Efficiency Ratio (AER) was 8.5% better than the IMO 2025 target, with continuous improvements expected.
Negative Updates
Dry Docking and Revenue Impact
Heavy dry dock schedule during the quarter resulted in 195 days not available for revenue generation, impacting overall earnings.
Geopolitical and Tariff-Related Volatility
Geopolitical factors, including near-global tariffs and Middle East hostilities, introduced volatility and inefficiencies in trade flows.
Increased G&A Expenses
Total G&A for the quarter was affected by bonuses booked during the quarter, amounting to $8.3 million or $0.19 per share.
Company Guidance
During the Dorian LPG First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on various financial and operational metrics. The call highlighted a dividend of $0.60 per share, totaling $25.6 million, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. This dividend marks the 16th payment, with over $665 million distributed and more than $900 million returned to shareholders in total. The Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) per available day was reported at $39,726, while spot rates in the Helios Pool were $37,700, demonstrating robust market conditions. The forward bookings for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, indicate a TCE exceeding $67,000 per day. Operating expenses for the quarter were $10,108 per day, with noncapitalized drydocking expenses at $2.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA was reported at $38.6 million, which would have been $49.5 million if adjusted further for bonuses and drydocking expenses. Additionally, the company maintains a comfortable financial position with $278 million in free cash and a debt-to-total book capitalization of 34.4%. Operationally, the company completed 10 of its 12 planned dry dockings for 2025 and is advancing efforts to convert some vessels to carry ammonia, enhancing fleet versatility.

Dorian LPG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dorian LPG demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and efficient operational management. Despite concerns about declining revenue and reduced free cash flow, the company maintains a robust balance sheet with manageable leverage and a strong return on equity.
Income Statement
77
Positive
Dorian LPG shows a strong gross profit margin and consistent net profit margins in the latest year. However, revenue has significantly decreased compared to the previous year, indicating volatility. Margins such as EBIT and EBITDA have remained robust, suggesting operational efficiency despite revenue fluctuations.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a healthy equity ratio with stockholders' equity consistently exceeding total liabilities. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, indicating manageable leverage levels. Return on equity is strong, which is a positive indicator of profitability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, indicating effective cash management. However, free cash flow has decreased compared to the previous year, which could suggest potential challenges in sustaining cash flow growth. The company maintains a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, reflecting efficient cash utilization.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue353.34M353.34M560.72M389.75M274.22M315.94M
Gross Profit152.69M152.69M365.24M228.05M112.99M147.71M
EBITDA187.64M192.98M397.50M261.76M151.57M197.84M
Net Income90.17M90.17M307.45M172.44M71.94M92.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.78B1.78B1.84B1.61B1.58B1.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments316.88M316.88M294.04M236.76M79.33M63.31M
Total Debt712.98M712.98M797.34M670.84M609.14M661.84M
Total Liabilities732.55M732.55M814.12M687.21M634.79M694.91M
Stockholders Equity1.05B1.05B1.02B920.15M946.83M977.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow154.06M154.06M355.59M95.51M161.09M149.01M
Operating Cash Flow173.01M173.01M388.45M118.70M170.60M169.04M
Investing Cash Flow-7.36M-7.36M-34.80M68.77M1.02M-33.14M
Financing Cash Flow-131.29M-131.29M-219.72M-35.18M-174.48M-114.65M

Dorian LPG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.09
Price Trends
50DMA
28.80
Positive
100DMA
25.29
Positive
200DMA
23.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.69
Positive
RSI
56.67
Neutral
STOCH
32.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.90, above the 50-day MA of 28.80, and above the 200-day MA of 23.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LPG.

Dorian LPG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.31B26.744.54%10.20%-42.64%-84.82%
79
Outperform
$1.75B6.3015.78%3.94%-21.71%-37.58%
77
Outperform
$1.44B14.5412.50%11.63%-2.98%-17.51%
76
Outperform
$1.13B12.727.39%1.23%1.19%12.56%
75
Outperform
$1.97B10.2017.90%6.36%-8.89%21.28%
65
Neutral
$15.28B7.483.22%5.33%4.10%-60.58%
46
Neutral
$130.44M33.55-6.93%0.60%-1.06%-340.61%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LPG
Dorian LPG
31.09
-1.19
-3.69%
DHT
DHT Holdings
12.46
2.67
27.27%
MMLP
Martin Midstream
3.16
-0.37
-10.48%
TNK
Teekay Tankers
52.08
1.02
2.00%
NVGS
Navigator Holdings
16.62
1.30
8.49%
FLNG
FLEX LNG
25.80
3.41
15.23%

Dorian LPG Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Dorian LPG Announces Irregular Cash Dividend Payout
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Dorian LPG announced an irregular cash dividend of $0.60 per share, totaling approximately $25.6 million, to be paid on August 27, 2025. The company also reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, ending June 30, 2025, with revenues of $84.2 million and a net income of $10.1 million. The results were impacted by a heavy drydocking schedule and market volatility, leading to a decrease in adjusted net income compared to the previous year.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025