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Dorian LPG (LPG)
NYSE:LPG
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Dorian LPG (LPG) AI Stock Analysis

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LPG

Dorian LPG

(NYSE:LPG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
â–²(2.34% Upside)
Dorian LPG's overall score is driven by its solid financial performance and effective operational management, as highlighted in the earnings call. The company's high dividend yield adds to its attractiveness, though technical indicators and valuation suggest a more neutral stance. Geopolitical challenges and dry dock impacts were noted but do not overshadow the overall positive outlook.

Dorian LPG (LPG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dorian LPG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDorian LPG Ltd. is a leading provider of international seaborne transportation services for liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). The company operates a modern fleet of very large gas carriers (VLGCs) and specializes in the transportation of LPG, which is utilized for heating, cooking, and as a feedstock in various industrial processes. Dorian LPG primarily serves customers in the global energy sector, facilitating the efficient movement of LPG from producers to consumers across key markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyDorian LPG generates revenue primarily through the transportation of LPG via its fleet of vessels. The company operates under two main revenue models: time charters and spot market contracts. In time charters, Dorian leases its vessels to customers for a fixed period, providing stable and predictable income. In spot market contracts, the company earns revenue based on current market rates for LPG transportation, which can fluctuate based on supply and demand dynamics. Additionally, Dorian LPG benefits from operational efficiencies and cost management practices that maximize profitability. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with major energy producers and traders, which contribute to its revenue stability and growth potential.

Dorian LPG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 7.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong operational and financial performance with increased dividends, improved freight rates, and significant advancements in environmental and operational efficiency. However, geopolitical volatility and dry dock impacts posed challenges.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Dividend Distribution
Dorian LPG declared a dividend of $0.60 per share, totaling $25.6 million, marking their 16th dividend payment. Total dividends distributed have reached over $665 million, and total capital returned to shareholders is over $900 million.
Resilient Market and Freight Rate Growth
Freight rates strengthened due to healthy arbitrage economics and geopolitical tensions. The company fixed approximately 70% of the pool's fixable days at a TCE in excess of $67,000 per day for the upcoming quarter.
Operational Efficiency and Environmental Progress
Dorian LPG completed 10 of 12 dry dockings planned for 2025 and reported fleet AR 8.5% better than the IMO 2025 target. They are also upgrading vessels to carry ammonia and enhancing energy efficiency.
Improved Financial Metrics
Reported TCE per available day was $39,726, with June results stronger than earlier months. Adjusted EBITDA was $38.6 million, and liquidity remains strong with $278 million of free cash.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical Volatility Impact
Geopolitical factors, such as tariffs and Middle East hostilities, created volatility in the freight market. There was a significant drop in the Baltic indices within 4 days following tariff announcements.
Dry Dock Impact on Revenue
Heavy dry dock schedule resulted in 195 days not available for revenue generation, impacting financial performance.
Increased Compliance and Operational Costs
Noncash compensation expense is expected to increase by $3 million in the next quarter due to new share grants. Drydocking costs for two remaining vessels are estimated between $6.5 million and $7 million.
Company Guidance
During the Dorian LPG First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided key financial guidance and updates. They announced a dividend of $0.60 per share, amounting to $25.6 million, marking their 16th dividend payment and bringing total dividends to over $665 million, with total capital returned to shareholders exceeding $900 million. The company reported a Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) per available day of $39,726 and spot rates in the Helios Pool of about $37,700. They estimated that they have fixed approximately 70% of the pool's fixable days for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, at a TCE exceeding $67,000 per day. Operational expenses for the quarter were $10,108 per day, excluding drydocking costs, and they reported an adjusted EBITDA of $38.6 million. The company highlighted their strong financial position with $278 million in free cash and a debt to total book capitalization ratio of 34.4%. They also discussed the completion of 10 out of 12 planned dry dockings for 2025 and their initiatives to convert some Very Large Gas Carriers (VLGCs) for ammonia carriage. Additionally, they mentioned ongoing enhancements in energy efficiency and sustainability, alongside future market outlooks influenced by geopolitical factors and freight rate dynamics.

Dorian LPG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dorian LPG demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and efficient operational management. Despite concerns about declining revenue and reduced free cash flow, the company maintains a robust balance sheet with manageable leverage and a strong return on equity.
Income Statement
77
Positive
Dorian LPG shows a strong gross profit margin and consistent net profit margins in the latest year. However, revenue has significantly decreased compared to the previous year, indicating volatility. Margins such as EBIT and EBITDA have remained robust, suggesting operational efficiency despite revenue fluctuations.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a healthy equity ratio with stockholders' equity consistently exceeding total liabilities. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, indicating manageable leverage levels. Return on equity is strong, which is a positive indicator of profitability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, indicating effective cash management. However, free cash flow has decreased compared to the previous year, which could suggest potential challenges in sustaining cash flow growth. The company maintains a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, reflecting efficient cash utilization.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue353.34M353.34M560.72M389.75M274.22M315.94M
Gross Profit152.69M152.69M365.24M228.05M112.99M147.71M
EBITDA187.64M192.98M397.50M261.76M151.57M197.84M
Net Income90.17M90.17M307.45M172.44M71.94M92.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.78B1.78B1.84B1.61B1.58B1.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments316.88M316.88M294.04M236.76M79.33M63.31M
Total Debt712.98M712.98M797.34M670.84M609.14M661.84M
Total Liabilities732.55M732.55M814.12M687.21M634.79M694.91M
Stockholders Equity1.05B1.05B1.02B920.15M946.83M977.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow154.06M154.06M355.59M95.51M161.09M149.01M
Operating Cash Flow173.01M173.01M388.45M118.70M170.60M169.04M
Investing Cash Flow-7.36M-7.36M-34.80M68.77M1.02M-33.14M
Financing Cash Flow-131.29M-131.29M-219.72M-35.18M-174.48M-114.65M

Dorian LPG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.29
Price Trends
50DMA
26.52
Positive
100DMA
23.62
Positive
200DMA
23.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.05
Positive
RSI
62.80
Neutral
STOCH
78.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.04, above the 50-day MA of 26.52, and above the 200-day MA of 23.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LPG.

Dorian LPG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.08B12.377.39%1.27%1.19%12.56%
79
Outperform
$1.52B5.4715.78%4.46%-21.71%-37.58%
76
Outperform
$1.29B26.354.54%10.36%-42.64%-84.82%
75
Outperform
$1.80B9.4817.90%7.23%-8.89%21.28%
72
Outperform
$1.34B13.2112.69%11.89%-3.86%-24.86%
56
Neutral
C$4.18B2.0016.25%5.63%10.54%-54.53%
49
Neutral
$135.91M33.55-6.93%0.58%-1.06%-340.61%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LPG
Dorian LPG
30.29
-4.29
-12.41%
DHT
DHT Holdings
11.21
0.68
6.46%
MMLP
Martin Midstream
3.48
-0.08
-2.25%
TNK
Teekay Tankers
44.06
-11.25
-20.34%
NVGS
Navigator Holdings
15.59
-0.28
-1.76%
FLNG
FLEX LNG
25.23
1.21
5.04%

Dorian LPG Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Dorian LPG Announces Irregular Cash Dividend Payout
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Dorian LPG announced an irregular cash dividend of $0.60 per share, totaling approximately $25.6 million, to be paid on August 27, 2025. The company also reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, ending June 30, 2025, with revenues of $84.2 million and a net income of $10.1 million. The results were impacted by a heavy drydocking schedule and market volatility, leading to a decrease in adjusted net income compared to the previous year.

The most recent analyst rating on (LPG) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dorian LPG stock, see the LPG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025