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Dorian LPG (LPG)
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Dorian LPG (LPG) AI Stock Analysis

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LPG

Dorian LPG

(NYSE:LPG)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(1.93% Upside)
Dorian LPG's overall stock score is driven by its strong valuation and positive earnings call highlights, including robust dividend payments and market improvements. While technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, the stock's low P/E ratio and high dividend yield provide significant upside potential. Financial performance is stable, though attention to cash flow management is needed.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency reduces costs, enhancing profitability and providing a competitive edge in the volatile shipping industry.
Market Improvement
Improved market conditions for VLGCs can lead to higher revenue potential, supporting long-term growth and financial stability.
Strong Financial Metrics
Strong cash flow generation enhances liquidity, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns, crucial for sustaining growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Significant decline in revenue growth may indicate challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, impacting future profitability.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth could constrain future investments and limit financial flexibility, affecting long-term strategic initiatives.
Market Volatility
Geopolitical volatility can disrupt operations and revenue predictability, posing risks to consistent financial performance and strategic planning.

Dorian LPG (LPG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dorian LPG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDorian LPG is a leading owner and operator of very large gas carriers (VLGCs) that transport liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) worldwide. Established in 2013, the company operates in the maritime transportation sector, focusing primarily on the shipping of LPG, which is used for heating, cooking, and as a fuel for vehicles. Dorian LPG has a fleet of modern and efficient vessels, positioning itself as a key player in the global LPG logistics industry, catering to producers, traders, and end-users.
How the Company Makes MoneyDorian LPG generates revenue primarily through the transportation of LPG on its fleet of VLGCs. The company operates under a time charter and spot market model, where it earns income by leasing its vessels to customers for a specified duration (time charters) or by engaging in one-off contracts (spot charters) based on current market rates. Additionally, Dorian LPG may benefit from long-term contracts with major energy companies, providing a stable revenue stream. The company also focuses on operational efficiency and cost management to maximize profitability. Fluctuations in LPG demand, shipping rates, and operational costs significantly influence its earnings, making the company's performance closely tied to global energy market dynamics.

Dorian LPG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented positive developments such as strong dividend payments, market improvements, and operational efficiency. However, these were tempered by challenges like unexpected TCE revenue shortfalls and market volatility. Despite these issues, the company's strong financial position and strategic initiatives reflect a generally positive outlook.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Dividend Declaration
Dorian LPG declared a dividend of $0.65 per share totaling $27.8 million, marking their 17th dividend payment, with total dividends distributed reaching over $695 million and total capital returned to shareholders at almost $925 million.
VLGC Market Improvement
The VLGC market improved in the third calendar quarter, with the Baltic Index averaging $68,000 per day, up from $48,000 in the second quarter and $33,000 in the first quarter, more than doubling from the start of the year.
Record Seaborne LPG Liftings
Global seaborne LPG liftings reached a record high of 37.21 million tons, supported by record quarterly exports from North America and Saudi Arabia.
Strong Financial Metrics
The company achieved TCE revenue per available day of $53,725, generated over $30 million in free cash flow to equity during the quarter, and reported adjusted EBITDA of $85.7 million.
Operational Efficiency
Daily OpEx for the quarter was down over 6% from the prior quarter, reflecting efficient cost management by the technical management team.
Negative Updates
Unrealized TCE Revenue
Despite strong market conditions, the realized TCE revenue was lower than expected due to timing discrepancies, dry docking days, and other accounting factors.
Market Volatility
The VLGC market faced volatility due to geopolitical factors, including increased Panama Canal congestion and repositioning due to U.S. port service fees.
Dry Docking Impact
An unusually large number of dry docks due to 5- and 7.5-year docking cycles affected operational availability and financial metrics.
Company Guidance
During the Dorian LPG Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call, significant financial metrics and operational updates were provided. The company declared a $0.65 per share dividend, totaling $27.8 million, marking its 17th dividend payment and bringing total dividends to over $695 million and total capital returned to almost $925 million. The VLGC market saw improvements, with the Baltic Index averaging $68,000 per day, peaking at just under $80,000 in mid-August. Dorian LPG achieved a TCE revenue per available day of $53,725, generating over $30 million in free cash flow to equity. The fleet's operational expenses were $9,474 per day, excluding dry docking costs, and the adjusted EBITDA was reported at $85.7 million. The company's debt stood at $530 million, with a net debt to total capitalization ratio of 16.4%. Dorian LPG also focused on energy efficiency, noting scrubber vessel savings of $1,363,000 and highlighted its commitment to sustainability with ongoing investments in fuel efficiency and emission reductions.

Dorian LPG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dorian LPG demonstrates robust revenue growth and maintains a solid balance sheet with moderate leverage. While profitability margins have declined, they remain healthy. Cash flow generation is adequate, though recent negative free cash flow growth warrants attention. Overall, the company is in a stable financial position with opportunities for improvement in profitability and cash flow management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Dorian LPG shows strong revenue growth with a 12.88% increase in TTM, indicating positive momentum. Gross profit margin is healthy at 36.91%, and net profit margin stands at 15.15%, reflecting solid profitability. However, margins have decreased compared to previous periods, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.67, indicating moderate leverage and a stable financial structure. Return on equity is relatively low at 4.62%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is strong, highlighting a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.19, showing adequate cash generation relative to earnings. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -5.63%, which could be a concern for future liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.84, indicating a decent conversion of earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue361.39M353.34M560.72M389.75M274.22M315.94M
Gross Profit169.57M152.69M365.24M228.05M112.99M147.71M
EBITDA194.23M192.98M414.12M265.87M158.19M191.91M
Net Income94.92M90.17M307.45M172.44M71.94M92.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.78B1.78B1.84B1.71B1.61B1.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments268.30M316.88M294.04M148.80M236.76M79.33M
Total Debt698.47M712.98M797.34M816.09M670.96M609.35M
Total Liabilities713.63M732.55M814.12M835.07M687.21M634.79M
Stockholders Equity1.07B1.05B1.02B873.85M920.15M946.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow89.24M154.06M355.59M155.27M95.51M161.09M
Operating Cash Flow121.68M173.01M388.45M224.06M118.70M170.60M
Investing Cash Flow-22.65M-7.36M-34.80M-76.34M68.77M1.02M
Financing Cash Flow-180.42M-131.29M-219.72M-235.23M-35.18M-174.48M

Dorian LPG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.49
Price Trends
50DMA
27.47
Negative
100DMA
28.83
Negative
200DMA
25.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.96
Positive
RSI
33.85
Neutral
STOCH
27.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.07, below the 50-day MA of 27.47, and above the 200-day MA of 25.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LPG.

Dorian LPG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.36B13.8212.79%11.81%-3.20%6.76%
79
Outperform
$1.17B11.898.57%1.24%2.46%33.89%
72
Outperform
$2.07B10.3718.81%5.76%-16.45%23.94%
71
Outperform
$1.06B11.138.81%12.82%-27.21%-62.22%
68
Neutral
$1.92B6.1717.02%3.59%-20.11%-26.44%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
42
Neutral
$101.54M0.77%-0.58%-587.83%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LPG
Dorian LPG
24.46
2.64
12.10%
DHT
DHT Holdings
12.84
3.73
40.94%
MMLP
Martin Midstream
2.63
-1.33
-33.59%
TNK
Teekay Tankers
55.79
17.07
44.09%
NVGS
Navigator Holdings
17.70
2.47
16.22%
FLNG
FLEX LNG
25.41
4.53
21.70%

Dorian LPG Corporate Events

Dorian LPG Reports Strong Quarterly Earnings Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Dorian LPG Ltd. is a company based in the Marshall Islands, engaged in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) worldwide, primarily operating very large gas carriers (VLGCs) in the shipping industry. The company is known for its focus on owning and operating fuel-efficient and environmentally friendly vessels equipped with advanced technologies.

Dorian LPG’s Earnings Call: Optimism Amid Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

Dorian LPG’s recent earnings call painted a picture of cautious optimism, with notable positive developments such as robust dividend payments, improvements in the VLGC market, and enhanced operational efficiency. However, these positives were counterbalanced by challenges including unexpected TCE revenue shortfalls and market volatility. Despite these hurdles, the company’s solid financial position and strategic initiatives suggest a generally positive outlook.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Dorian LPG Announces Irregular Cash Dividend
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Dorian LPG Ltd. announced an irregular cash dividend of $0.65 per share, amounting to approximately $27.8 million, payable on December 2, 2025. The company also reported strong financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, with revenues of $124.1 million and a net income of $55.4 million. The increase in revenues was driven by higher Time Charter Equivalent rates and a record in global seaborne LPG volumes, supported by increased exports from the U.S. and the Middle East.

The most recent analyst rating on (LPG) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dorian LPG stock, see the LPG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dorian LPG Re-elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Dorian LPG held its annual meeting of shareholders for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025. During the meeting, shareholders re-elected John C. Hadjipateras, Malcolm McAvity, and Mark Ross as Class III directors to serve until 2028. Additionally, Deloitte Certified Public Accountants S.A. was ratified as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (LPG) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dorian LPG stock, see the LPG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025