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Lifestance Health Group (LFST)
NASDAQ:LFST
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Lifestance Health Group (LFST) AI Stock Analysis

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LFST

Lifestance Health Group

(NASDAQ:LFST)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(3.63% Upside)
Lifestance Health Group's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and solid revenue growth. However, the stock's technical indicators and valuation suggest caution due to ongoing profitability challenges and bearish market trends.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
LifeStance Health reported second quarter 2025 results, which came in modestly above consensus expectations across the board.
Growth and Expansion
Management raised its center margin and profit outlook, which calls for another year of solid growth.
Revenue and Profitability
LifeStance Health Group has shown strong EBITDA margin expansion by more than doubling it in the past two years.
Negative Factors
Cost Management
The company has shifted to a cash-based bonus for clinicians tied to productivity and quality services, which will lead to a reduction in net income by $10mn in 2026 and $40mn run rate by 2029.
Margin Pressure
Center margin is expected to be pressured in the remaining quarters, reversing a trend of solid improvement.
Stock Market Reaction
Recent stock weakness is related to investor de-risking and misunderstood headlines from the 1Q report.

Lifestance Health Group (LFST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lifestance Health Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLifeStance Health Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides outpatient mental health services. The company offers patients a suite of mental health services, including psychiatric evaluations and treatment, psychological, and neuropsychological testing, as well as individual, family, and group therapy. It treats a range of mental health conditions, including anxiety, depression, bipolar disorder, eating disorders, psychotic disorders, and post-traumatic stress disorder. In addition, the company operates outpatient mental health platform as well as offers patients care virtually through its online delivery platform or in-person at its centers in 32 states. It serves children, adolescents, adults, and geriatrics. LifeStance Health Group, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyLifeStance Health Group generates revenue primarily through the provision of mental health services. The company's key revenue streams include fees collected from patients and reimbursement from insurance providers for therapy and psychiatric services rendered. LifeStance Health contracts with a diverse group of payers, including commercial insurance companies, Medicare, and Medicaid, which contributes significantly to its earnings. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and facilities that expand its reach and patient base, supporting its financial growth.

Lifestance Health Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.03%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
LifeStance Health reported a solid start to 2025, exceeding guided metrics and achieving positive net income for the first time. The company showed strong clinician growth, improved operational efficiencies, and a significant improvement in free cash flow. However, pressures on revenue per visit and the competitive environment for recruiting clinicians present challenges. Overall, the positive aspects of the earnings call outweigh the negatives, indicating a strong performance and outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Guided Metrics
LifeStance Health exceeded each of its guided metrics for the first quarter of 2025, instilling confidence in their ability to deliver on full-year guidance.
Solid Financial Performance
Reported revenue of $333 million, representing an 11% year-over-year growth, with double-digit adjusted EBITDA margins of 10.4%.
Positive Net Income
Achieved positive net income for the first time in LifeStance's history as a public company, with net income of $700,000.
Clinician Growth
Increased clinician base by 152 clinicians or 10% year-over-year, bringing the total to 7,535 clinicians.
Operational Excellence
Completed the rollout of the digital patient check-in tool, driving higher patient satisfaction, operational efficiencies, and significant improvements in patient collections.
Strong Free Cash Flow Improvement
Improved free cash flow by $17 million year-over-year in the first quarter, despite being negative $10 million.
Negative Updates
Pressure on Revenue Per Visit
Total revenue per visit increased only 1% year-over-year, with downward pressure expected due to rate decreases from a single outlier payer.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Reported negative free cash flow of $10 million in the first quarter.
Competitive Environment for Clinicians
Continues to face a very competitive environment for attracting and retaining clinicians, despite stable turnover and retention.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, LifeStance Health surpassed its financial guidance, reporting a robust performance across several metrics. They achieved a double-digit adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.4%, marking an improvement over expectations, and recorded positive net income for the first time since becoming a public company. The company also reported a solid revenue growth of 11% year-over-year, reaching $333 million, driven by a 10% increase in visit volumes to 2.1 million, primarily due to a 10% growth in their clinician base, now totaling 7,535 clinicians. Total revenue per visit rose by 1% to $159. Furthermore, LifeStance improved its free cash flow by $17 million compared to the same period last year, although it was still negative $10 million. They maintained strong leverage ratios with net leverage at 1.2x and gross leverage at 2.3x, significantly improved from the prior year's figures. Looking ahead, they are confident in their full-year guidance ranges, expecting revenues of $1.4 billion to $1.44 billion, center margin between $440 million to $464 million, and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $130 million to $150 million.

Lifestance Health Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lifestance Health Group shows strong revenue growth and a robust balance sheet, but persistent net losses and operational inefficiencies remain a concern. The company must focus on improving operational margins and aligning cash flow with net income for long-term success.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Lifestance Health Group has demonstrated considerable revenue growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 2.6% and a significant annual growth from 2020 to 2024. However, profitability remains a concern as the company consistently reports negative net income and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with a high equity ratio of approximately 69% in the TTM period. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, suggesting prudent financial leverage. However, the company has not yet achieved profitability, which could pose challenges in future equity preservation.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Lifestance Health Group shows improvement in cash flow with significant growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. Despite this, the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash flow generation is not yet aligned with profitability, posing potential risks for sustaining cash reserves.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.25B1.06B859.54M667.51M377.22M
Gross Profit402.40M302.10M237.02M201.51M134.32M
EBITDA39.87M-104.93M-136.41M-229.62M8.77M
Net Income-57.44M-186.26M-215.56M-307.20M-38.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.12B2.23B2.17B1.93B1.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments154.57M78.82M108.62M148.03M18.83M
Total Debt485.19M511.04M476.49M157.42M362.53M
Total Liabilities672.01M804.28M655.15M382.08M571.89M
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.43B1.52B1.55B997.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow85.69M-57.40M-26.47M-85.07M-46.60M
Operating Cash Flow107.26M-16.88M52.79M9.42M-8.53M
Investing Cash Flow-21.57M-60.34M-139.46M-194.08M-861.17M
Financing Cash Flow-9.95M47.43M47.26M313.86M912.27M

Lifestance Health Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.86
Price Trends
50DMA
4.85
Negative
100DMA
5.63
Negative
200DMA
6.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Negative
RSI
28.81
Positive
STOCH
26.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LFST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.16, below the 50-day MA of 4.85, and below the 200-day MA of 6.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 28.81 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LFST.

Lifestance Health Group Risk Analysis

Lifestance Health Group disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lifestance Health Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lifestance Health Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.11B30.075.00%54.81%-45.07%
64
Neutral
$764.87M29.0411.44%30.04%43.47%
62
Neutral
$2.00B11.864.62%5.64%
61
Neutral
$403.23M152.472.52%25.02%
59
Neutral
$1.51B-1.11%16.31%79.86%
50
Neutral
AU$2.60B3.64-58.14%2.69%36.37%13.78%
47
Neutral
$419.27M-71.30%3.88%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LFST
Lifestance Health Group
3.86
-2.07
-34.91%
ACHC
Acadia Healthcare
18.20
-53.50
-74.62%
ASTH
Astrana Health
21.46
-25.39
-54.19%
PNTG
Pennant Group
24.12
-4.65
-16.16%
TALK
Talkspace
2.47
0.82
49.70%
CMPS
COMPASS Pathways
4.60
-2.40
-34.29%

Lifestance Health Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
LifeStance Health Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

LifeStance Health Group reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting an 11% increase in revenue to $345.3 million and a significant reduction in net loss from $23.3 million to $3.8 million compared to the previous year. The company also experienced a 12% rise in visit volumes and an 11% growth in its clinician base, reflecting strong operational performance. The adjusted EBITDA grew by 19% to $34.0 million, and free cash flow reached a record $56.6 million, allowing for further investment in the business. LifeStance raised its full-year guidance for adjusted EBITDA and center margin, indicating positive future expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (LFST) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lifestance Health Group stock, see the LFST Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
LifeStance Health Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 3, 2025, LifeStance Health Group, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key proposals were voted upon. The stockholders elected new directors, ratified the selection of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and approved the executive officer compensation on a non-binding advisory basis. These decisions are expected to influence the company’s governance and operational strategies moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (LFST) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lifestance Health Group stock, see the LFST Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
LifeStance Health Group Appoints New Chief Technology Officer
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, LifeStance Health Group announced the departure of Chief Digital Officer Pablo Pantaleoni, effective July 1, 2025, and the appointment of Vaughn Paunovich as the new Chief Technology Officer, effective June 9, 2025. Paunovich, with extensive experience in healthcare technology, is expected to lead LifeStance’s technology strategy to enhance patient and clinician experiences, aligning with the company’s mission to expand access to mental health services. Pantaleoni, who joined the company in 2020, significantly contributed to its digital transformation and will ensure a smooth transition with Paunovich.

The most recent analyst rating on (LFST) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lifestance Health Group stock, see the LFST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
LifeStance Health Reports First Positive Net Income
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, LifeStance Health Group reported its financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025, highlighting a revenue increase of 11% to $333 million and a net income of $0.7 million, marking the first positive net income since becoming a public company. The company also noted a 10% increase in clinician base and visit volumes, alongside a 25% rise in Adjusted EBITDA. LifeStance reiterated its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting revenues between $1.40 billion and $1.44 billion, and emphasized its commitment to enhancing patient and clinician experiences while expanding access to mental healthcare services.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025