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Brookdale Senior Living (BKD)
NYSE:BKD

Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) AI Stock Analysis

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BK

Brookdale Senior Living

(NYSE:BKD)

56Neutral
Brookdale Senior Living's stock score reflects ongoing financial challenges due to high leverage and net losses, balanced by positive earnings call insights and strategic corporate events. Technical indicators show upward momentum, though valuation concerns persist.
Positive Factors
Demographics and Market Demand
The aging baby boomer population is expected to drive a significant increase in demand for senior housing units, benefiting BKD.
Occupancy Rates
Occupancy is trending ahead of typical seasonality patterns, which, together with emerging pricing power, should set up BKD for better-than-expected revenue and EBITDA throughout the year.
Negative Factors
Competitive Positioning
Analyst reiterates an Underperform rating as BKD is seen as worse positioned compared to peers to benefit from senior housing industry tailwinds.
Cost and Expense Management
BKD noted the typical seasonal items: more workdays vs Q1, merit increases, and utility costs. The three items combined to be $10m adj EBITDA headwind in Q2 vs Q1.

Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Brookdale Senior Living Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrookdale Senior Living Inc. (BKD) is a leading operator of senior living communities in the United States. The company provides a broad range of services to its residents, including independent living, assisted living, memory care, and rehabilitation. Brookdale is committed to enriching the lives of seniors by offering a variety of care options tailored to meet individual needs, fostering a supportive and engaging environment for its residents.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrookdale Senior Living generates revenue primarily through resident fees for its senior living services. These fees vary based on the level of care and type of accommodation provided, such as independent living, assisted living, or memory care. The company also earns income from ancillary services, including therapy, home health, and hospice services, which are either billed directly to residents or to third-party payers like Medicare and Medicaid. Additionally, Brookdale may engage in partnerships with healthcare providers to enhance service offerings and optimize care delivery. The company focuses on maximizing occupancy rates in its communities as a key driver of revenue growth and profitability.

Brookdale Senior Living Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brookdale Senior Living's financial performance indicates challenges with profitability and high leverage. The income statement reflects moderate revenue growth but persistent net losses. The balance sheet shows high debt-to-equity ratios, posing financial risks. Cash flow has improved, but free cash flow remains low, highlighting the need for better financial management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $3.13 billion indicates a moderate growth rate compared to the previous year. However, the company suffers from consistent net losses, with a net profit margin of -6.46% in the TTM. Despite slight improvements in EBIT and EBITDA margins, overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.78 in the TTM. The company's equity ratio has decreased, indicating a reliance on debt financing. Negative stockholders' equity is a potential risk, though some improvement is seen in asset management efficiency.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement in operating cash flow, but free cash flow remains low. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 0.08, showing some efficiency in cash generation despite net losses. The increase in free cash flow from the previous year suggests improving cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.13B3.01B2.74B2.75B3.42B
Gross Profit
799.31M737.63M513.94M488.58M681.40M
EBIT
46.53M18.41M-85.10M-185.74M9.22M
EBITDA
413.45M370.44M268.79M159.32M374.88M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-201.94M-189.01M-238.34M-99.36M82.02M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
328.80M307.73M447.53M529.42M553.33M
Total Assets
6.34B5.57B5.94B6.41B6.90B
Total Debt
1.63B4.73B4.89B5.23B5.21B
Net Debt
1.32B4.45B4.49B4.88B4.83B
Total Liabilities
6.12B5.17B5.35B5.71B6.10B
Stockholders Equity
212.47M403.66M582.61M697.40M800.43M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
166.18M-70.28M-193.64M-271.29M19.78M
Operating Cash Flow
166.18M162.92M3.28M-94.63M205.65M
Investing Cash Flow
-278.07M-113.36M-67.43M181.46M-425.11M
Financing Cash Flow
142.06M-174.44M100.38M-113.66M382.91M

Brookdale Senior Living Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.75
Price Trends
50DMA
6.19
Positive
100DMA
5.65
Positive
200DMA
5.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
64.24
Neutral
STOCH
78.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.54, above the 50-day MA of 6.19, and above the 200-day MA of 5.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BKD.

Brookdale Senior Living Risk Analysis

Brookdale Senior Living disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brookdale Senior Living reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brookdale Senior Living Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.61B28.1317.66%0.16%16.80%39.99%
NHNHC
76
Outperform
$1.68B15.7111.19%2.25%19.16%31.92%
69
Neutral
$1.04B39.4311.28%30.04%43.47%
68
Neutral
$3.09B34.837.85%5.34%
BKBKD
56
Neutral
$1.61B-91.17%3.88%-34.30%
56
Neutral
$493.52M-70.23%26.13%37.38%
52
Neutral
$5.19B3.04-44.64%2.82%16.45%-0.53%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BKD
Brookdale Senior Living
6.75
-0.14
-2.03%
AMED
Amedisys
94.12
-2.09
-2.17%
SNDA
Sonida Senior Living
26.16
-5.65
-17.76%
NHC
National Healthcare
106.43
10.27
10.68%
ENSG
The Ensign Group
147.70
28.53
23.94%
PNTG
Pennant Group
29.74
6.06
25.59%

Brookdale Senior Living Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Brookdale Senior Living reported a strong start to 2025 with significant financial growth and operational improvements, exceeding expectations and raising annual guidance. Despite challenges in occupancy for some communities and macroeconomic uncertainty, the company's strategic initiatives, including portfolio optimization and community acquisitions, position it well for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Expectations and Raised Guidance
Brookdale Senior Living exceeded expectations for RevPAR and adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2025, leading to a raise in annual guidance. Adjusted free cash flow was positive, marking a significant milestone.
Strong RevPAR Growth
Consolidated RevPAR grew 4.9% in Q1, driven by a 3% increase in RevPOR and a 140 basis point increase in occupancy to 79.3%.
Successful Community Acquisitions
Brookdale acquired 41 previously leased communities, enhancing financial growth opportunities and providing more flexibility in portfolio management.
Operational Improvements
Same community operating income grew 7.6% year-over-year, with operating income margin expanding 90 basis points to 29%, the highest in five years.
Positive Adjusted Free Cash Flow
First quarter adjusted free cash flow increased by $30 million over the prior year to a positive $4 million.
Strategic Portfolio Optimization
The company plans to exit 55 leased communities and divest 14 non-core owned communities, improving financial performance and focusing on core assets.
Board and Leadership Updates
Brookdale appointed two new independent directors, and initiated a CEO search to find a candidate with the right experience and strategic vision.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Challenges
143 communities were identified as having less than 70% occupancy, with efforts underway to improve performance.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
The company acknowledged elevated near-term uncertainty associated with the global macroeconomic environment, which could impact future results.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Brookdale Senior Living reported a robust financial performance, exceeding expectations in both RevPAR and adjusted EBITDA, which led to a positive adjusted free cash flow. This encouraging start allowed the company to raise its annual guidance, with RevPAR growth now anticipated to be in the range of 5% to 5.75% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA expected to reach between $440 million and $450 million. The company also highlighted a significant improvement in same community weighted average occupancy, reaching 80%, and a 2.8% increase in RevPOR. Additionally, Brookdale's strategic initiatives, such as optimizing their real estate portfolio and deploying high opportunity response teams, are expected to further drive growth. The company remains focused on continuing operational improvements and reducing leverage, with a projected positive adjusted free cash flow for the year between $30 million and $50 million.

Brookdale Senior Living Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Brookdale Senior Living Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results
Positive
May 6, 2025

Brookdale Senior Living reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, surpassing expectations and establishing a solid foundation for growth. The company achieved a 7.6% increase in same community operating income compared to the previous year, with a notable improvement in net cash provided by operating activities and adjusted free cash flow. The company also reported a rise in occupancy rates and revenue per available room, indicating favorable market conditions and effective operational strategies. Brookdale’s management expressed confidence in continued growth and shareholder value creation, supported by a strategic focus on meeting the needs of the aging population.

Spark’s Take on BKD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BKD is a Neutral.

Brookdale Senior Living’s stock score reflects challenges due to high leverage and net losses, balanced by positive earnings call insights and strategic corporate events. Technical indicators show upward momentum, though valuation concerns persist.

To see Spark’s full report on BKD stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Brookdale Senior Living EVP George Hicks to Retire
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

George T. Hicks, the Executive Vice President – Finance and Treasurer of Brookdale Senior Living Inc., announced his retirement effective May 21, 2025, after a 40-year tenure with the company. In recognition of his service, the company’s Board of Directors waived the six-month notice requirement for his retirement, allowing his long-term incentive awards to continue vesting post-retirement, which reflects the company’s appreciation for his contributions.

Spark’s Take on BKD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BKD is a Neutral.

Brookdale Senior Living’s stock score reflects challenges due to high leverage and net losses, balanced by positive earnings call insights and strategic corporate events. Technical indicators show upward momentum, though valuation concerns persist.

To see Spark’s full report on BKD stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Brookdale Senior Living Appoints New Independent Director
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

On April 23, 2025, Brookdale Senior Living‘s board temporarily increased its number of directors to nine, appointing Joshua Hausman as an independent director effective April 24, 2025. Hausman, with over 20 years of experience in healthcare investment, is expected to bring valuable insights to Brookdale’s strategic goals, including enhancing occupancy and revenue growth. The board’s refreshment, including Hausman’s appointment, reflects Brookdale’s commitment to integrating new expertise and perspectives, aiming to accelerate growth and shareholder value.

Spark’s Take on BKD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BKD is a Neutral.

Brookdale Senior Living’s overall score reflects ongoing financial challenges with high leverage and net losses. However, technical indicators and corporate events show positive trends and potential for improvement. The earnings call provided optimistic guidance and effective strategic management, contributing to a moderately positive outlook. Valuation remains a concern, warranting cautious optimism.

To see Spark’s full report on BKD stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Brookdale Senior Living Announces Leadership Transition
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Brookdale Senior Living announced a significant leadership transition, with Lucinda M. Baier stepping down as President and CEO, effective April 13, 2025. Denise W. Warren was appointed as Interim CEO while the Board initiates a search for a new CEO. The company also established an Interim Office of the CEO to ensure business continuity. Additionally, Mark Fioravanti was appointed as a new independent director, while Frank M. Bumstead will not stand for reelection. Brookdale’s preliminary first quarter 2025 results exceeded expectations, indicating strong operational performance and potential for future growth.

Spark’s Take on BKD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BKD is a Neutral.

Brookdale Senior Living’s overall score reflects financial challenges marked by high leverage and ongoing net losses. Despite this, the company shows positive momentum in occupancy rates and strategic management, as highlighted in the earnings call. Technical analysis provides mixed signals, and valuation metrics emphasize caution. Improvements in cash management and strategic initiatives are promising but must address profitability concerns for better long-term prospects.

To see Spark’s full report on BKD stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Brookdale Senior Living Reports Record Occupancy Rates
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

In March 2025, Brookdale Senior Living reported a significant increase in its occupancy rates, with a weighted average occupancy of 79.5%, marking a 160 basis point rise year-over-year. The month-end occupancy reached 80.9%, the highest in five years, indicating strong performance and counter-seasonal strength. The first quarter of 2025 saw a 140 basis point year-over-year increase in weighted average occupancy, with move-in volumes exceeding historical averages by 12% and move-out volumes improving by 3%, reflecting positive trends in the company’s operations.

Spark’s Take on BKD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BKD is a Neutral.

Brookdale Senior Living shows positive operational trends, with improved cash flow and strategic initiatives such as debt reduction and asset acquisition. However, ongoing challenges with profitability and high leverage weigh heavily on its financial performance. The technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, but the negative valuation metrics suggest caution. Overall, while there are signs of improvement, significant financial risks remain.

To see Spark’s full report on BKD stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.