Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.67B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 3.44M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.17
• Revenue Growth: 3.93%
• EPS Growth: -42.22%
• Country: US
• Employees: 24,480
• Sector: Healthcare
• Sector Strength: 45
• Industry: Medical - Care Facilities
• EPS (TTM): -0.48
• Shares Outstanding: 237,655,400
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,342,900
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,443,166
• PEG Ratio: -0.95
• Price to Book (P/B): 5.39
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.38
• P/FCF Ratio: -32.63
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.70
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.31
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 8.51
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 16.35
• 1Y Price Target: $13.50
• Price Target Upside: 25.00% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3
• EPS Forecast (FY): -1.05
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $3.20B

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: $11.50 ▲(6.48% Upside)

Brookdale Senior Living's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and leverage, which weigh heavily on its financial performance score. Despite strong technical indicators and positive earnings call highlights, the negative valuation metrics and high leverage levels present substantial risks. The company's strategic initiatives and operational improvements are promising, but financial stability remains a key concern.

Positive Factors

Occupancy Growth

Increased occupancy rates indicate successful strategic initiatives, enhancing revenue potential and operational efficiency, supporting long-term growth.

Adjusted EBITDA Increase

Significant EBITDA growth reflects improved operational performance and cost management, strengthening financial health and supporting future investments.

Portfolio Optimization

Exiting underperforming assets optimizes the portfolio, improving occupancy and financial metrics, enhancing long-term profitability and efficiency.

Negative Factors

High Leverage Levels

High leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Negative Profitability

Sustained negative profitability indicates operational challenges, impacting cash flow and long-term financial stability, requiring strategic improvements.

Financial Leverage

Excessive financial leverage poses risks to stability and limits strategic flexibility, necessitating focus on debt reduction and financial restructuring.

Brookdale Senior Living Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) is a leading provider of senior living services in the United States, specializing in a range of residential care options including independent living, assisted living, Alzheimer's and dementia care, rehabilitation, and skilled nursing. With a significant number of communities across the country, Brookdale focuses on creating engaging and supportive environments tailored to the needs of seniors, offering a blend of hospitality and healthcare services.

How the Company Makes Money

Brookdale Senior Living generates revenue primarily through the fees charged for its various senior living services. The company operates on a rental model where residents pay monthly fees that cover accommodations, amenities, and care services. Key revenue streams include independent living, assisted living, memory care, and skilled nursing facilities. Additionally, Brookdale may earn revenue from ancillary services such as rehabilitation and therapy. The company also benefits from partnerships with healthcare providers, insurance companies, and government programs, which can enhance its service offerings and patient referrals, contributing to its overall earnings.

Brookdale Senior Living Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Brookdale Senior Living faces significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and leverage. Despite some positive signs in cash flow growth, the high debt levels and negative equity position pose substantial risks. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and reducing financial leverage to enhance its financial health.

Income Statement

Brookdale Senior Living's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight revenue growth of 2.16%, but the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -9.73% and a declining gross profit margin. The EBIT margin is also low, indicating operational challenges. Despite a positive EBITDA margin, the overall profitability remains weak.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio of -171.10 in the TTM period, indicating potential financial risk. The negative stockholders' equity and return on equity suggest financial instability. The equity ratio is also concerning, reflecting a high reliance on debt financing.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows some positive trends, with a substantial free cash flow growth rate of 381.44% in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.36, and the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates limited cash generation relative to net losses. Overall, cash flow management shows improvement but remains a concern.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.12B	2.98B	2.87B	2.74B	2.75B	3.02B
Gross Profit	847.98M	807.43M	744.71M	513.94M	488.58M	700.64M
EBITDA	441.27M	420.80M	369.29M	319.92M	425.07M	256.69M
Net Income	-306.65M	-201.94M	-189.01M	-238.43M	-99.29M	82.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	6.01B	6.34B	5.57B	5.94B	6.41B	6.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	253.45M	328.80M	307.73M	447.53M	529.42M	553.33M
Total Debt	5.50B	5.65B	4.73B	4.89B	5.23B	5.61B
Total Liabilities	6.02B	6.12B	5.17B	5.35B	5.71B	6.10B
Stockholders Equity	-6.73M	212.47M	403.66M	582.61M	697.40M	800.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	82.08M	-35.07M	-70.28M	-193.64M	-271.29M	19.78M
Operating Cash Flow	228.69M	166.18M	162.92M	3.28M	-94.63M	205.65M
Investing Cash Flow	-555.90M	-278.07M	-113.36M	-67.43M	181.46M	-425.11M
Financing Cash Flow	326.49M	142.06M	-174.44M	100.38M	-113.66M	382.91M

Brookdale Senior Living Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 10.80
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.13, above the 50-day MA of 9.15, and above the 200-day MA of 7.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.34 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BKD.

Brookdale Senior Living Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PNTG	76 Outperform	$927.11M	35.43	10.87%	―	29.89%	10.33%
ADUS	74 Outperform	$2.23B	25.88	8.58%	―	18.77%	6.88%
NHC	72 Outperform	$2.13B	21.16	9.94%	1.97%	23.74%	-18.99%
BKD	57 Neutral	$2.67B	―	-214.33%	―	3.93%	-42.22%
ASTH	56 Neutral	$1.16B	121.32	1.29%	―	68.17%	-85.42%
AVAH	54 Neutral	$1.94B	25.75	―	―	15.48%	―
Sector *	51 Neutral	$7.86B	-0.30	-43.30%	2.27%	22.53%	-2.21%

Brookdale Senior Living Corporate Events

Brookdale Senior Living Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. is a leading operator of senior living communities in the United States, offering a range of services including independent living, assisted living, memory care, and continuing care retirement communities.

Brookdale Senior Living Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results

Brookdale Senior Living reported its third-quarter 2025 results, showing a significant increase in occupancy rates and adjusted EBITDA. Despite a net loss of $114.7 million due to a non-cash impairment charge, the company experienced a 20.4% growth in adjusted EBITDA and improved cash flow, reflecting strong demand for senior living services and strategic focus on profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKD) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookdale Senior Living stock, see the BKD Stock Forecast page.

Brookdale Senior Living Reports September Occupancy Growth

Brookdale Senior Living reported an increase in occupancy rates for September 2025, with a weighted average occupancy of 82.5%, marking a 330 basis point increase year-over-year and a 70 basis point rise sequentially. The month-end consolidated occupancy reached 83.8%, reflecting a 60 basis point sequential increase, while the third quarter weighted average occupancy improved by 290 basis points year-over-year, indicating strong growth in the senior living sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKD) stock is a Sell with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookdale Senior Living stock, see the BKD Stock Forecast page.

Brookdale Senior Living Appoints New CEO Nikolas Stengle

On October 2, 2025, Brookdale Senior Living announced the appointment of Nikolas W. Stengle as the new Chief Executive Officer, effective October 6, 2025. Stengle, who brings extensive experience in senior living, healthcare, and hospitality, is expected to drive operational excellence and enhance the company’s industry leadership. His appointment follows a comprehensive search and is seen as a strategic move to capitalize on growth opportunities and increase shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKD) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookdale Senior Living stock, see the BKD Stock Forecast page.

Brookdale Senior Living Announces Executive Departure Agreement

On September 3, 2025, Brookdale Senior Living Inc. announced a mutual agreement with H. Todd Kaestner, the Executive Vice President – Corporate Development and President – CCRCs, to end his role effective September 30, 2025, as part of ongoing organizational restructuring. The separation agreement includes severance payments and benefits for Mr. Kaestner, reflecting the company’s commitment to its restructuring efforts and potential implications for its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKD) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookdale Senior Living stock, see the BKD Stock Forecast page.

Brookdale Senior Living’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. recently held its earnings call, which was marked by a largely positive sentiment. The company showcased significant improvements in key areas such as occupancy rates, EBITDA growth, and free cash flow. Additionally, Brookdale raised its annual guidance, demonstrating confidence in its strategic initiatives. Despite some challenges with the transition of leased assets, the overall outlook remains strong, with positives outweighing any negatives.