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Addus Homecare (ADUS)
NASDAQ:ADUS
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Addus Homecare (ADUS) AI Stock Analysis

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Addus Homecare

(NASDAQ:ADUS)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$127.00
▲(15.78%Upside)
Addus Homecare's strong financial performance, as evidenced by consistent revenue growth and effective cost management, is the most significant factor driving the score. The positive sentiment from the earnings call further boosts confidence in the company's strategic direction, despite some operational challenges. Technical analysis presents a stable but not strongly bullish outlook, while valuation appears fair.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
ADUS achieved a higher adjusted EBITDA than expected, indicating better profitability.
Regulatory Changes
The Department of Labor's proposed rule could provide a tailwind for home care agencies by reinstating exemptions from federal minimum wage and overtime requirements.
Revenue Growth
Hiring momentum and favorable rate support contributed to a 7.4% organic revenue growth in the PCS segment.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Risks
Investors are concerned about the GOP's plans to alter and cut Medicaid, which could adversely impact ADUS.
Stock Performance
The stock's pullback is viewed as unwarranted, with intact fundamentals and likely continued upside surprises expected.

Addus Homecare (ADUS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Addus Homecare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAddus HomeCare Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides personal care services to elderly, chronically ill, disabled persons, and individuals who are at risk of hospitalization or institutionalization in the United States. It operates through three segments: Personal Care, Hospice, and Home Health. The Personal Care segment provides non-medical assistance with activities of daily living. This segment offers services that include assistance with bathing, grooming, oral care, feeding and dressing, medication reminders, meal planning and preparation, housekeeping, and transportation services. The Hospice segment provides palliative nursing care, social work, spiritual counseling, homemaker, and bereavement counseling services for people who are terminally ill, as well as related services for their families. The Home Health segment offers skilled nursing and physical, occupational, and speech therapy for the individuals who requires assistance during an illness or after hospitalization. The company's payor clients include federal, state, and local governmental agencies; managed care organizations; commercial insurers; and private individuals. As of December 31, 2021, the company served consumers through 206 offices located in 22 states. Addus HomeCare Corporation was founded in 1979 and is based in Frisco, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyAddus HomeCare Corporation generates revenue through a combination of personal care, home health, and hospice services. The company's primary revenue stream comes from personal care services, which involve non-medical support such as bathing, grooming, and meal preparation for individuals who require assistance with daily living activities. In addition, Addus earns income from home health services, which include skilled nursing and therapy services, and hospice care, which provides specialized care for terminally ill patients. A significant portion of Addus HomeCare's revenue is derived from government programs such as Medicaid and Medicare, which reimburse the company for services rendered to eligible patients. Additional revenue streams include contracts with managed care organizations and private pay clients. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions also play a crucial role in expanding the company's service offerings and market reach, contributing to its financial growth.

Addus Homecare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.10%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Addus HomeCare demonstrated substantial revenue and earnings growth with strong performance in the Personal Care and Hospice segments. Despite challenges in clinical hiring and the ongoing impact of Medicaid redetermination, the company has made significant strides in reducing debt and expanding operations through acquisitions.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $337.7 million, a 20.3% increase compared to Q1 2024's $280.7 million.
Strong Earnings Growth
Adjusted earnings per share increased by 17.4%, from $1.21 in Q1 2024 to $1.42 in Q1 2025.
Personal Care Segment Success
The Personal Care segment achieved 7.4% same-store revenue growth and increased hiring success with 79 hires per day.
Hospice Segment Improvement
Hospice same-store revenue increased by 9.9% with a 4.6% rise in average daily census compared to Q1 2024.
Debt Reduction
Reduced bank debt by $20 million in Q1 2025, with an additional $20 million reduction early in Q2 2025, leaving a balance of $203 million.
Negative Updates
Challenging Clinical Hiring
Continued challenges in clinical hiring, particularly with geographic variability, although there have been improvements.
Medicaid Redetermination Impact
Ongoing impact from state-led Medicaid redetermination processes affecting admission volumes, particularly noted in Illinois.
Company Guidance
During Addus HomeCare's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported total revenue of $337.7 million, marking a 20.3% increase compared to the same period in 2024. Adjusted earnings per share rose by 17.4% to $1.42, while adjusted EBITDA saw a 25.1% increase to $40.6 million. The company's Personal Care segment achieved a same-store revenue growth of 7.4%, with a 2% increase in same-store hours. The hospice segment experienced a 9.9% increase in same-store revenue, and the average daily census rose by 4.6% to 3,515. The home health division returned to positive growth with a 1.3% increase in same-store revenue. Addus reduced its bank debt by $20 million, leaving a balance of $203 million, and maintained a conservative net leverage position of under one time adjusted EBITDA. The company continues to benefit from funding received through the American Rescue Plan Act, utilizing $2.5 million in the first quarter, with $8.8 million remaining. Addus is also actively pursuing acquisition opportunities, with a focus on expanding its presence in Texas following the Gentiva personal care acquisition.

Addus Homecare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Addus HomeCare demonstrates strong revenue growth and maintains solid profitability across its financial statements. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, and cash flows are robust, indicating efficient cash management and potential for future investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Addus Homecare demonstrates strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the past years. The Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin are stable, reflecting efficient operations and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also show a healthy margin, indicating effective cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects robust financial health.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is solid with a moderate Debt-to-Equity Ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on Equity is commendable, showing the company's ability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. The Equity Ratio is strong, suggesting a stable financial structure with low risk of over-leverage.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flows are strong and consistently cover net income, demonstrating efficient cash management. Free Cash Flow has shown a positive trend, indicating the company's ability to generate cash after accounting for capital expenditures. This positions the company well for future investments or debt repayment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.21B1.15B1.06B951.12M864.50M764.77M
Gross Profit394.52M375.02M339.88M299.74M269.85M226.24M
EBITDA127.53M120.61M106.56M83.14M80.70M57.18M
Net Income79.00M73.60M62.52M46.02M45.13M33.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41B1.46B1.02B937.99M947.59M892.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments96.95M98.91M64.79M79.96M168.90M145.08M
Total Debt250.80M273.13M175.18M178.05M263.55M239.67M
Total Liabilities412.20M442.14M317.73M304.45M373.24M373.91M
Stockholders Equity995.38M970.49M706.69M633.54M574.34M518.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.12M110.38M102.79M96.81M34.84M102.58M
Operating Cash Flow96.70M116.43M112.25M105.11M39.49M109.41M
Investing Cash Flow-354.24M-354.61M-119.24M-106.59M-42.02M-214.24M
Financing Cash Flow277.77M272.30M-8.18M-87.45M26.34M138.19M

Addus Homecare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price109.69
Price Trends
50DMA
112.34
Negative
100DMA
105.02
Positive
200DMA
115.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.65
Positive
RSI
44.50
Neutral
STOCH
12.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADUS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 109.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.50, below the 50-day MA of 112.34, and below the 200-day MA of 115.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADUS.

Addus Homecare Risk Analysis

Addus Homecare disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Addus Homecare reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Addus Homecare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.01B24.509.18%11.38%10.29%
NHNHC
75
Outperform
$1.51B14.0911.19%2.63%19.16%31.92%
74
Outperform
$1.22B34.855.00%54.81%-45.07%
71
Outperform
$3.20B36.077.85%5.34%
68
Neutral
$843.11M31.0011.28%30.04%43.47%
66
Neutral
€1.82B34.7210.52%2.44%7.10%103.68%
AGAGL
47
Neutral
$910.69M-42.95%19.18%-6.14%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADUS
Addus Homecare
109.69
-9.53
-7.99%
AMED
Amedisys
97.47
-0.26
-0.27%
NHC
National Healthcare
98.22
-25.01
-20.30%
ASTH
Astrana Health
24.69
-24.18
-49.48%
PNTG
Pennant Group
23.91
-2.99
-11.12%
AGL
Agilon Health
2.16
-4.83
-69.10%

Addus Homecare Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Addus Homecare Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Meeting
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

At the 2025 annual meeting held on June 18, Addus HomeCare Corporation’s stockholders voted on several key issues. They elected three directors for terms expiring in 2028, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and approved executive compensation policies. The board also decided to hold an annual advisory vote on executive compensation, reflecting stockholder preferences.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADUS) stock is a Buy with a $147.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Addus Homecare stock, see the ADUS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Addus HomeCare Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Addus HomeCare Corporation announced its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025, highlighting a 20.3% increase in net service revenues to $337.7 million and a 25.1% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $40.6 million. The company’s growth was driven by its personal care segment, which saw a 7.4% organic revenue increase, and the integration of Gentiva’s personal care operations. Addus also reported improvements in its hospice care segment and maintained a strong cash position, allowing for continued investment and potential acquisitions. The results reflect solid demand for home-based care services and strategic expansion efforts.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 12, 2025