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Pennant Group Inc (PNTG)
NASDAQ:PNTG
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Pennant Group (PNTG) AI Stock Analysis

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PNTG

Pennant Group

(NASDAQ:PNTG)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(5.72% Upside)
The overall stock score of 69 reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, driven by revenue growth and successful acquisitions. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The company's high leverage and integration challenges pose additional risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The substantial revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt management, crucial for sustained growth.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions expand market presence and service offerings, strengthening competitive position and driving long-term growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth.
Integration Challenges
Integration challenges can create operational disruptions and cost overruns, affecting short-term performance and strategic execution.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Regulatory changes can alter reimbursement structures, impacting revenue streams and operational strategies, posing long-term risks.

Pennant Group (PNTG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pennant Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Pennant Group, Inc. provides healthcare services in the United States. It operates in two segments, Home Health and Hospice Services, and Senior Living Services. The company offers home health services, including clinical services, such as nursing, speech, occupational and physical therapy, medical social work, and home health aide services; and hospice services comprising clinical care, education, and counseling services for the physical, spiritual, and psychosocial needs of terminally ill patients and their families. It also provides senior living services, such as residential accommodations, activities, meals, housekeeping, and assistance in the activities of daily living to seniors, who are independent or who require some support. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 88 home health and hospice agencies, and 54 senior living communities with 4127 Senior Living units in Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Iowa, Montana, Nevada, Oklahoma, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. The Pennant Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.
How the Company Makes MoneyPennant Group generates revenue through multiple streams within the healthcare services industry. Primarily, it earns money by providing home health services, hospice care, and long-term care services to patients, which are reimbursed through government programs such as Medicare and Medicaid, as well as private insurance providers. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and affiliations with local healthcare providers and hospitals, which help to drive patient referrals and enhance service offerings. Additionally, Pennant Group may engage in value-based care models that incentivize improved patient outcomes, further contributing to its revenue through performance-based reimbursements.

Pennant Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive sentiment due to record revenue, successful acquisitions, and growth across key segments. While there are challenges related to integration and regulatory uncertainty, the company is confident in its ability to manage these effectively.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Growth
In Q3, Pennant Group reported revenues of $229 million, an increase of $48.4 million or 26.8% compared to the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $2.2 million or 14.5%, and adjusted EPS rose by $0.04 or 15.4%.
Successful Acquisition of UnitedHealth Amedisys
Closed on the UnitedHealth Amedisys transaction, adding operations in the Southeast which are expected to deliver long-term growth potential.
Strong Performance in Home Health and Hospice Segment
Segment revenue increased by $37.9 million or 27.9%, while segment adjusted EBITDA rose by $5 million or 22.7% year-over-year.
Senior Living Segment Growth
Revenue in the Senior Living segment grew by 23.2% over the prior year quarter, with same-store occupancy reaching a new high of 81.8%.
Increased Annual Guidance
Raised full year revenue guidance to $911.4 million to $948.6 million and adjusted EPS to $1.14 to $1.18, a 23.4% increase over 2024 EPS.
Negative Updates
Potential Impact of 2026 Home Health Rule
The uncertainty surrounding the 2026 home health rule could impact operations, though less than 20% of revenue is from Medicare home health fee-for-service reimbursement.
Integration Challenges
Complex integration matters from the UnitedHealth Amedisys acquisition expected to create variability in results through the transition period.
Increased G&A Expenses
G&A expenses expected to remain slightly elevated during the transition period of recent acquisitions.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, The Pennant Group reported strong financial performance with revenue reaching $229 million, a 26.8% increase compared to the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA was $17.3 million, marking a 14.5% rise, and adjusted EPS increased by 15.4% to $0.30. The company successfully closed the UnitedHealth Amedisys transaction on October 1, acquiring operations with trailing revenues of $189.3 million. Pennant raised its full-year guidance, anticipating revenue between $911.4 million and $948.6 million, adjusted EBITDA of $70.9 million to $73.8 million, and adjusted EPS of $1.14 to $1.18, reflecting a 23.4% EPS growth over 2024. Key operational highlights included a 27.9% increase in Home Health and Hospice segment revenue to $173.6 million, and a 23.2% rise in Senior Living segment revenue to $55.5 million. The company also reported improvements in clinical metrics, with a 4.1-star average CMS rating and a decrease in potentially preventable hospitalizations to 8.4%.

Pennant Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pennant Group demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved cash flow generation, contributing to a positive financial outlook. However, the company faces challenges with relatively low profit margins and high leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a solid revenue growth rate of 6.78% TTM, indicating a positive trend in sales. Gross profit margin is stable around 13.5%, and net profit margin has improved to 3.36% TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also showing slight improvements, reflecting better operational efficiency. However, the margins are still relatively low, suggesting room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00 TTM, indicating significant leverage, though it has improved from previous years. Return on equity is at 9.94% TTM, showing decent profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure. While leverage is a concern, the company is managing to improve its equity position.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a remarkable free cash flow growth rate of 271.98% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.40 TTM, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.78 TTM, both reflecting healthy cash conversion. The company has significantly improved its cash flow position, enhancing financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue847.27M695.24M544.89M473.24M439.69M390.95M
Gross Profit82.86M93.76M67.04M58.59M45.74M54.89M
EBITDA49.20M44.44M30.64M24.60M9.46M23.82M
Net Income26.70M22.56M13.38M6.64M2.15M15.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets753.64M679.52M539.69M512.12M530.30M506.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.34M24.25M6.06M2.08M5.19M43.00K
Total Debt302.81M273.09M329.63M326.57M355.24M319.00M
Total Liabilities410.60M367.56M394.18M386.46M416.05M405.80M
Stockholders Equity321.91M293.28M140.34M121.01M110.20M96.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.10M30.31M24.98M-5.13M-24.53M42.95M
Operating Cash Flow47.91M39.30M33.09M9.04M-18.22M50.20M
Investing Cash Flow-79.35M-70.68M-30.22M-24.24M-20.12M-41.62M
Financing Cash Flow29.31M49.57M1.11M12.08M43.49M-8.95M

Pennant Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.54
Price Trends
50DMA
24.77
Positive
100DMA
24.96
Positive
200DMA
25.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
55.12
Neutral
STOCH
57.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNTG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.64, above the 50-day MA of 24.77, and below the 200-day MA of 25.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PNTG.

Pennant Group Risk Analysis

Pennant Group disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pennant Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pennant Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.23B31.948.07%6.26%-19.33%
69
Neutral
$873.73M32.3310.87%29.89%10.33%
67
Neutral
$1.66B15.355.57%1.79%-22.96%-59.35%
61
Neutral
$1.34B37.047.30%2.03%17.50%154.28%
61
Neutral
$1.67B132.651.29%68.17%-85.23%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$790.63M-35.90%-11.42%-617.31%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNTG
Pennant Group
25.54
-7.88
-23.58%
AMN
AMN Healthcare Services
17.87
-11.18
-38.49%
HCSG
Healthcare Services
17.26
5.39
45.41%
SEM
Select Medical
13.33
-7.49
-35.98%
USPH
US Physical Therapy
73.87
-19.13
-20.57%
ASTH
Astrana Health
25.54
-21.42
-45.61%

Pennant Group Corporate Events

Pennant Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

The Pennant Group, Inc. is a healthcare services holding company that operates home health, hospice, and senior living facilities across several U.S. states, focusing on providing comprehensive care through its independent subsidiaries.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Pennant Group Expands Credit Facility by $100 Million
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 3, 2025, The Pennant Group, Inc. expanded its credit facility by $100 million, bringing the total to $350 million, through a First Amendment with Truist Bank and other lenders. This expansion, which retains the same interest rate and maturity date as the existing facility, aims to refinance part of the outstanding revolving loans and support future growth initiatives, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and strategic opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNTG) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennant Group stock, see the PNTG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Pennant Group Reports Q3 2025 Revenue Surge
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, The Pennant Group announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 26.8% increase in total revenue to $229 million compared to the previous year. The company reported a GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.17 and an adjusted earnings per share of $0.30. Notably, the company completed a significant acquisition of 54 operations from UnitedHealth Group and Amedisys on October 1, 2025, marking its largest transaction to date. This expansion into the Southeast is expected to enhance Pennant’s market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNTG) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennant Group stock, see the PNTG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Pennant Group Expands with Strategic Acquisition in Southeast
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 1, 2025, The Pennant Group, Inc. completed the acquisition of certain home health, hospice, and personal care operations from UnitedHealth Group and Amedisys, Inc. for $146.5 million. This strategic acquisition, part of an antitrust settlement, expands Pennant’s presence into Tennessee, Georgia, and Alabama, marking a significant growth opportunity in the Southeast U.S. The transition is supported by a services agreement with UnitedHealth, and Pennant aims to leverage its operational excellence to integrate these new locations into its portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNTG) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennant Group stock, see the PNTG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Pennant Group Amends Purchase Agreement with UnitedHealth
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 1, 2025, The Pennant Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries amended a purchase agreement with UnitedHealth Group and Amedisys to acquire additional equity interests and assets related to home health, hospice, and palliative care services. The amendment increased the purchase price from $102,484,000 to $146,531,160 to reflect the acquisition of additional assets and entities, impacting the company’s operational scope and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNTG) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pennant Group stock, see the PNTG Stock Forecast page.

Pennant Group’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth and Strategic Expansion
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Pennant Group Inc. showcased a positive sentiment, driven by robust revenue growth and strategic expansion efforts through acquisitions. The company demonstrated significant progress across its various segments, although there were some concerns about potential regulatory changes that could impact the home health segment.

Pennant Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

The Pennant Group, Inc. operates as a holding company for independent subsidiaries providing healthcare services through home health, hospice, and senior living facilities across several U.S. states. The company is known for its decentralized operational model, allowing each subsidiary to function independently.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025