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Healthcare Services (HCSG)
NASDAQ:HCSG
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Healthcare Services (HCSG) AI Stock Analysis

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HCSG

Healthcare Services

(NASDAQ:HCSG)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(4.56% Upside)
The overall stock score of 68 reflects a stable financial position with positive cash flow trends and technical momentum. However, challenges such as high valuation, declining margins, and restructuring impacts weigh on the score. The earnings call provided mixed signals, with strong revenue growth but significant financial setbacks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth is slightly ahead of the management's prior guidance, driven by supportive trends in skilled nursing facilities and positive Medicare/Medicaid rate updates.
Share Repurchase
The company has announced a $50 million 12-month repurchase plan, indicating confidence in its financial health and potential future performance.
Negative Factors
Bankruptcy Impact
The bottom line results were lower than expectations due to a bad-debt expense related to the bankruptcy of its largest customer.
Customer Bankruptcy
Genesis Healthcare Group, one of the largest skilled nursing operators in the United States, announced that it has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

Healthcare Services (HCSG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Healthcare Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHealthcare Services Group, Inc. (HCSG) is a leading provider of housekeeping, dining, and dietary services to the healthcare industry, including nursing homes and other long-term care facilities. Founded in 1977, HCSG operates primarily within the healthcare sector, focusing on delivering high-quality support services that enhance patient care and operational efficiency. The company's core offerings include cleaning services, food service management, and the provision of nutritional programs, all tailored to meet the unique needs of healthcare environments.
How the Company Makes MoneyHCSG generates revenue primarily through service contracts with healthcare facilities, which include long-term care facilities, hospitals, and rehabilitation centers. The company charges clients based on a fee-for-service model, where revenue is derived from contracted service agreements that outline specific service expectations and pricing. Key revenue streams include daily service fees for housekeeping and dietary services, as well as additional charges for specialized services or equipment. HCSG also benefits from long-term contracts, which provide stable and predictable income. Significant partnerships with healthcare organizations and an emphasis on compliance with health and safety regulations further enhance HCSG's market position and contribute to its earnings.

Healthcare Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with both significant achievements and challenges. While revenue growth exceeded expectations and positive industry trends were noted, the impact of the Genesis HealthCare restructuring and resulting financial charges were substantial setbacks.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Exceeds Expectations
Second quarter growth exceeded expectations with a revenue of $458.5 million, marking a 7.6% increase over the prior year. This was the fifth consecutive sequential revenue increase and the highest rate of growth since Q1 2018.
Increased Cash Flow Forecast
The company raised its 2025 cash flow from operations forecast, excluding payroll accrual changes, from $60-75 million to $70-85 million.
Positive Industry Trends
Industry operating trends remain positive with steady occupancy, increasing workforce availability, and a stable reimbursement environment. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act is expected to have beneficial provisions for the industry.
Share Repurchase Plan
The company announced plans to repurchase $50 million of common stock under its February 2023 share repurchase authorization over the next 12 months.
Negative Updates
Genesis HealthCare Restructuring Impact
Genesis HealthCare filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, resulting in a $61.2 million noncash charge impacting the quarter's results. The company expects an additional $0.04 per share noncash charge related to Genesis restructuring in the third quarter.
Negative Segment Margins
Segment margins for Dietary Services were reported at negative 10.1% and for Environmental Services at 0.8%, both impacted by noncash charges related to Genesis restructuring.
Net Loss Reported
The company reported a net loss of $32.4 million and a diluted loss per share of $0.44, impacted by the Genesis restructuring.
Company Guidance
During Healthcare Services Group, Inc.'s second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. Revenue for the quarter was reported at $458.5 million, marking a 7.6% increase over the previous year. The company expects third-quarter revenue to range between $455 million and $465 million and reiterated its mid-single-digit growth expectations for 2025. Despite challenges related to Genesis HealthCare's Chapter 11 bankruptcy, HCSG raised its 2025 cash flow from operations forecast, excluding payroll accrual changes, from $60-$75 million to $70-$85 million. Segment revenues for Environmental and Dietary Services were reported at $205.8 million and $252.7 million, respectively. The company also highlighted a $50 million share repurchase plan over the next 12 months. Additionally, the cost of services was reported at $455.5 million, and SG&A costs were $49.2 million after adjustments. The company emphasized its strategic priorities, including growth through management development, sales pipeline conversion, and optimized cash flow, positioning itself for accelerated growth and profitability.

Healthcare Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Healthcare Services demonstrates a healthy financial position with stable revenue growth, strong operational efficiency, and excellent cash flow management, accompanied by a low leverage balance sheet. The company is well-positioned within the Medical - Care Facilities industry for continued growth, though enhancing net profitability remains a strategic focus.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Healthcare Services shows solid profitability with a Gross Profit Margin of 37.0% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is modest at 2.38%, suggesting room for improved efficiency. Revenue Growth Rate is positive, showing a 1.41% increase from the previous year, indicating stable growth despite industry challenges. However, the EBIT Margin is strong at 24.9%, reflecting good operational control. Overall, the income statement reflects a stable financial performance with potential for growth in profitability.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.015, indicating minimal leverage and financial stability. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 8.05%, showcasing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 62.5% suggests a robust capital structure with significant equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet demonstrates financial health and low risk exposure.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Healthcare Services exhibits a strong Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 220.65%, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.04, highlighting efficient cash conversion from operations. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.90, suggesting strong cash retention for investments. While cash flows are robust, maintaining this growth trajectory is crucial for future stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.77B1.72B1.67B1.69B1.64B1.76B
Gross Profit192.95M228.09M214.75M193.84M230.57M267.99M
EBITDA34.99M73.96M75.21M62.94M77.88M144.83M
Net Income10.81M39.47M38.39M34.24M48.54M98.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets802.20M802.77M790.65M718.33M777.53M785.03M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments164.08M107.31M147.46M121.48M185.19M264.34M
Total Debt7.05M8.03M36.23M33.10M17.80M16.66M
Total Liabilities325.16M302.85M334.04M292.16M324.85M304.57M
Stockholders Equity477.04M499.93M456.62M426.17M452.68M480.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.88M24.47M38.09M-13.38M31.42M212.87M
Operating Cash Flow96.80M30.80M43.50M-8.17M37.11M217.21M
Investing Cash Flow5.27M6.05M-3.29M2.58M-22.99M-36.84M
Financing Cash Flow-48.47M-31.05M-12.15M-38.93M-82.65M-68.37M

Healthcare Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.78
Price Trends
50DMA
14.27
Positive
100DMA
13.59
Positive
200DMA
12.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Negative
RSI
67.97
Neutral
STOCH
78.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HCSG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.38, above the 50-day MA of 14.27, and above the 200-day MA of 12.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HCSG.

Healthcare Services Risk Analysis

Healthcare Services disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Healthcare Services reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Healthcare Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.44B12.6414.27%-3.08%
71
Outperform
$855.41M32.1911.44%30.58%24.86%
69
Neutral
$1.71B16.4410.65%2.15%25.19%13.44%
68
Neutral
$1.10B111.482.28%5.17%-65.33%
59
Neutral
$1.47B99.3442.49%11.53%
56
Neutral
$753.07M18.62-40.13%-14.33%-398.68%
50
Neutral
AU$2.44B6.3910.94%2.84%37.30%12.91%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HCSG
Healthcare Services
15.78
4.68
42.16%
AMN
AMN Healthcare Services
20.75
-32.18
-60.80%
MD
Pediatrix Medical Group
17.01
5.77
51.33%
NHC
National Healthcare
114.82
-14.61
-11.29%
PNTG
Pennant Group
25.17
-10.07
-28.58%
AVAH
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
7.47
1.98
36.07%

Healthcare Services Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Healthcare Services Responds to Genesis HealthCare Bankruptcy
Neutral
Jul 10, 2025

Healthcare Services Group, Inc. announced that Genesis HealthCare, Inc. filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on July 9, 2025. Despite this, HCSG expects to maintain its services to Genesis facilities without disruption. The bankruptcy will result in non-cash charges for HCSG in the second and third quarters of 2025. CEO Ted Wahl stated that while the Genesis situation is disappointing, the overall industry fundamentals remain strong, and HCSG’s growth and cash flow expectations for 2025 remain unchanged, with anticipated mid-single digit revenue growth and $60 to $75 million in cash flow from operations.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Healthcare Services Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Healthcare Services held its annual shareholder meeting to vote on various management proposals. The shareholders elected nine directors for one-year terms, approved the executive compensation in a non-binding advisory vote, and ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025