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Healthcare Services (HCSG)
NASDAQ:HCSG

Healthcare Services (HCSG) AI Stock Analysis

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Healthcare Services

(NASDAQ:HCSG)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(19.37%Upside)
Healthcare Services Group has a robust financial performance, with strong operational efficiency and cash flow management, contributing significantly to its overall stock score. Technical indicators support a positive momentum, although the stock might be overbought. The valuation suggests some overvaluation, but the positive guidance from the earnings call enhances the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The EPS beat of $0.23 vs our model and Street of $0.17 and $0.19, respectively, was due to better gross margin of 15.2% vs our 13.6% estimate.
Financial Performance
HCSG reported first quarter results that were favorable to expectations on both the top and bottom lines.
Valuation
The current valuation of HCSG shares offers an attractive entry point, as it is below the five-year average.
Negative Factors
Budget Concerns
There is a cautious outlook on the budget resolution in Congress that may lean heavily on Medicaid funding.
Contract Expenses
HCSG reported a 4Q revenue beat and an EPS miss due to higher contract start-up expenses resulting from accelerated new contract starts in the quarter.

Healthcare Services (HCSG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Healthcare Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHealthcare Services Group, Inc. provides management, administrative, and operating services to the housekeeping, laundry, linen, facility maintenance, and dietary service departments of nursing homes, retirement complexes, rehabilitation centers, and hospitals in the United States. It operates through two segments, Housekeeping and Dietary. The Housekeeping segment engages in the cleaning, disinfecting, and sanitizing of resident rooms and common areas of the client's facility, as well as laundering and processing of the bed linens, uniforms, resident personal clothing, and other assorted linen items utilized at a client's facility. The Dietary segment provides food purchasing, meal preparation, and professional dietitian services, which include the development of menus that meet the dietary needs of residents. This segment also offers on-site management and clinical consulting services to facilities. As of December 31, 2021, the company provided its services to approximately 3,000 facilities. Healthcare Services Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Bensalem, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyHealthcare Services Group, Inc. generates revenue through service contracts with healthcare facilities. The company earns money by providing recurring and essential services such as housekeeping, laundry, and dietary management. HCSG typically enters into long-term agreements with its clients, which provide a steady revenue stream. The company may also benefit from economies of scale and operational efficiencies, allowing them to offer competitive pricing while maintaining profitability. Additionally, strategic partnerships and maintaining high service quality can contribute to client retention and expansion opportunities, further enhancing revenue potential.

Healthcare Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 55.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook, highlighted by record revenue and cash flow, strong balance sheet, and favorable industry trends. However, challenges remain with food inflation and labor market issues, and Q2 revenue growth guidance is conservative.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Cash Flows
First-quarter revenue of $447.7 million, an increase of 5.7% over the prior year, and cash flows were the best in five years.
Strong Balance Sheet
Cash and marketable securities of $143.9 million and a $500 million credit facility, with steps taken to reduce interest expense.
Positive Industry Trends
Workforce availability and occupancy continue to grow, with stable reimbursement environment and favorable regulatory changes.
Increased Cash Flow Guidance
Raised 2025 cash flow from operations expectations from $45-$60 million to $60-$75 million.
Opportunistic Share Repurchases
Repurchased approximately $7 million of common stock in Q1, with a total buyback of about $23 million since February 2023.
Tuck-in Acquisition
A small acquisition was made, expected to add about 1% to 2025 revenue.
Negative Updates
Food Inflation
Food at home inflation increased sequentially, showing 1% inflation in Q1, with January and March at 50 basis points.
Lingering Labor Market Challenges
Although improving, some markets still face ongoing labor challenges, though overall industry trends are positive.
Flat Sequential Revenue Growth Guidance
Q2 revenue guidance suggests a small $3 million step-up, implying relatively flat sequential growth excluding acquisition impact.
Company Guidance
During the Healthcare Services Group, Inc.'s First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, several key metrics and projections were shared. The company reported a revenue of $447.7 million for the quarter, marking a 5.7% increase compared to the previous year. Net income stood at $17.2 million, with diluted EPS at $0.23. Cash flow from operations, excluding the change in payroll accrual, was $32.1 million, showing a $41.3 million increase from the prior year. The company projects Q2 revenue to range between $445 million and $455 million and anticipates sequential revenue growth in the latter half of the year. Cost of services was 84.8%, with a goal to manage it within the 86% range for 2025. SG&A expenses were reported at $46.4 million, targeting a 9.5% to 10.5% range in the near term. Cash and marketable securities were $143.9 million, along with a $500 million credit facility. The quarter also benefited from a $12.2 million receipt of CARES Act-related employee retention credits, contributing to an increase in the cash flow from operations guidance to a range of $60 to $75 million for 2025.

Healthcare Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Healthcare Services demonstrates a stable financial position with consistent revenue growth, strong operational efficiency, and excellent cash flow management. The company maintains a low leverage balance sheet, positioning itself well within the Medical - Care Facilities industry. However, there is room for enhancing net profitability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Healthcare Services shows solid profitability with a Gross Profit Margin of 37.0% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is modest at 2.38%, suggesting room for improved efficiency. Revenue Growth Rate is positive, showing a 1.41% increase from the previous year, indicating stable growth despite industry challenges. However, the EBIT Margin is strong at 24.9%, reflecting good operational control. Overall, the income statement reflects a stable financial performance with potential for growth in profitability.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.015, indicating minimal leverage and financial stability. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 8.05%, showcasing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 62.5% suggests a robust capital structure with significant equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet demonstrates financial health and low risk exposure.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Healthcare Services exhibits a strong Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 220.65%, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.04, highlighting efficient cash conversion from operations. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.90, suggesting strong cash retention for investments. While cash flows are robust, maintaining this growth trajectory is crucial for future stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.74B1.72B1.67B1.69B1.64B1.76B
Gross Profit263.76M228.09M214.75M193.84M226.88M267.99M
EBITDA75.29M73.96M75.21M62.94M77.88M144.83M
Net Income41.39M39.47M38.39M34.24M48.54M98.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets822.96M802.77M790.65M718.33M777.53M785.03M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments114.81M107.31M147.46M121.48M185.19M264.34M
Total Debt7.95M8.03M36.23M33.10M11.30M11.36M
Total Liabilities308.76M302.85M334.04M292.16M324.85M304.57M
Stockholders Equity514.20M499.93M456.62M426.17M452.68M480.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow78.45M24.47M38.09M-13.38M31.42M212.87M
Operating Cash Flow84.34M30.80M43.50M-8.17M37.11M217.21M
Investing Cash Flow-20.14M6.05M-3.29M2.58M-22.99M-36.84M
Financing Cash Flow-53.80M-31.05M-12.15M-38.93M-82.65M-68.37M

Healthcare Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price14.66
Price Trends
50DMA
14.51
Positive
100DMA
12.52
Positive
200DMA
11.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Positive
RSI
51.15
Neutral
STOCH
23.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HCSG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.76, above the 50-day MA of 14.51, and above the 200-day MA of 11.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HCSG.

Healthcare Services Risk Analysis

Healthcare Services disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Healthcare Services reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Healthcare Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NHNHC
78
Outperform
$1.60B14.9711.19%2.47%19.16%31.92%
78
Outperform
$1.07B26.198.37%3.71%1.32%
68
Neutral
$891.02M33.7111.28%30.04%43.47%
MDMD
63
Neutral
$1.16B-10.01%-1.13%-17.77%
AMAMN
53
Neutral
$845.71M18.62-21.08%-18.13%-215.78%
53
Neutral
$838.90M245.9842.49%9.05%
52
Neutral
$7.49B0.22-61.87%2.28%16.62%1.08%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HCSG
Healthcare Services
14.66
3.60
32.55%
AMN
AMN Healthcare Services
21.77
-27.55
-55.86%
MD
Pediatrix Medical Group
13.56
6.35
88.07%
NHC
National Healthcare
103.74
-13.28
-11.35%
PNTG
Pennant Group
26.16
0.38
1.47%
AVAH
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
4.27
1.36
46.74%

Healthcare Services Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Healthcare Services Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Healthcare Services held its annual shareholder meeting to vote on various management proposals. The shareholders elected nine directors for one-year terms, approved the executive compensation in a non-binding advisory vote, and ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCSG) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Healthcare Services stock, see the HCSG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025