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Pediatrix Medical Group (MD)
NYSE:MD
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Pediatrix Medical Group (MD) AI Stock Analysis

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MD

Pediatrix Medical Group

(NYSE:MD)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(14.00% Upside)
Pediatrix Medical Group's overall score is driven by strong earnings performance and technical indicators, despite challenges in revenue growth and increased expenses. The stock's valuation suggests it is attractively priced, contributing positively to the score.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow growth indicates robust operational efficiency, providing the company with flexibility for investments and debt reduction.
Innovative Technology
The implementation of BabySteps showcases Pediatrix's commitment to innovation, potentially improving patient outcomes and strengthening market position.
Same-Unit Growth
Consistent same-unit growth reflects strong demand for services, indicating a stable revenue base and effective pricing strategies.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The revenue decline from restructuring suggests potential challenges in maintaining sales levels, impacting long-term growth prospects.
Increased G&A Expenses
Rising G&A expenses can pressure margins, potentially reducing profitability and limiting resources for strategic initiatives.
Declining Profit Margins
Decreasing profit margins indicate cost pressures or pricing challenges, which could hinder long-term financial performance.

Pediatrix Medical Group (MD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pediatrix Medical Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPediatrix Medical Group (MD) is a leading provider of specialized healthcare services for infants, children, and adolescents across the United States. The company operates within the pediatric healthcare sector, focusing on neonatology, pediatric cardiology, and other subspecialties. Pediatrix Medical Group offers a range of services including hospital-based care, outpatient services, and telehealth solutions to ensure comprehensive care for its young patients and their families.
How the Company Makes MoneyPediatrix Medical Group generates revenue primarily through the provision of medical services in hospitals and outpatient settings. The company is compensated for its services via reimbursements from private health insurers, government programs like Medicaid and Medicare, and out-of-pocket payments from patients. Key revenue streams include fees for inpatient consults, outpatient services, and telehealth consultations. Additionally, Pediatrix benefits from partnerships with hospitals and health systems, which often contract the company's specialists to provide care within their facilities, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company also focuses on maintaining high-quality care to improve patient outcomes, which can lead to better reimbursement rates from payers.

Pediatrix Medical Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with exceeded expectations in adjusted EBITDA, robust year-to-date results, and strategic share buybacks. The company's innovative technology and research leadership were emphasized as key differentiators. However, a revenue decrease due to portfolio restructuring and increased G&A expenses were noted as challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded EBITDA Expectations
Adjusted EBITDA of $87 million exceeded expectations, driven by positive outcomes in pricing, collections, and expense controls.
Strong Year-to-Date Performance
2025 year-to-date results have been strong with no expectation of deviations from normal seasonality in the fourth quarter.
Share Buyback Achievement
Pediatrix bought back 1.2 million shares during the quarter, with a total of 1.7 million shares bought back to date.
Strong Same-Unit Growth
Same-unit growth of 8% with pricing up 7.5% and patient service volumes up 40 basis points.
Increased Operating Cash Flow
Generated $138 million in operating cash flow, up from $96 million in the prior year.
Innovative Technology Implementation
Introduction of proprietary system BabySteps, enhancing clinical outcomes for NICU patients.
Research Leadership
Pediatrix's clinicians authored 1,395 peer-reviewed publications, with substantial clinical research activity.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decrease
Consolidated revenue decreased by $54 million due to portfolio restructuring.
Increased G&A Expenses
G&A expenses increased year-over-year, driven by higher incentive compensation expenses.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. reported stronger-than-expected financial performance, surpassing expectations with an adjusted EBITDA of $87 million, driven by favorable pricing, collections, and expense controls. The company provided guidance for the full year's adjusted EBITDA in the range of $270 million to $290 million, reflecting variability due to practice bonus variability. Key performance indicators included a consolidated revenue decrease due to portfolio restructuring, offset by same-unit growth of 8%, pricing up by 7.5%, and patient service volumes increasing by just under 40 basis points. The company also highlighted a strong cash position with $340 million in cash and net debt of just over $260 million, and an operating cash flow of $138 million compared to $96 million in the prior year. Pediatrix Medical Group emphasized its commitment to research and technology through initiatives like BabySteps, contributing to its leadership in neonatology and partnership with hospital systems.

Pediatrix Medical Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pediatrix Medical Group shows a solid financial position with strong cash flow generation and improved leverage. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and profit margins, which need addressing to enhance profitability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Pediatrix Medical Group shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 18.16% and a net profit margin of 8.44%, which are reasonable but have declined from previous periods. The revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a contraction in sales. However, the company has improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year, suggesting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.72 in the TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage. Return on equity is strong at 19.79%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with a 20.44% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.75, indicating healthy cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.94, suggesting strong cash flow coverage of earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.92B2.01B1.99B1.97B1.91B1.73B
Gross Profit496.25M454.34M421.56M467.03M513.24M449.32M
EBITDA241.46M-28.37M29.89M156.70M236.10M146.07M
Net Income162.19M-99.07M-60.41M66.33M130.96M-796.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.20B2.15B2.22B2.35B2.72B3.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments463.10M348.51M177.74M103.06M487.11M1.23B
Total Debt642.27M662.31M701.65M717.08M1.07B1.80B
Total Liabilities1.31B1.39B1.37B1.46B1.83B2.60B
Stockholders Equity890.67M764.94M849.06M891.63M896.49M747.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow273.39M184.55M104.00M137.23M44.49M175.83M
Operating Cash Flow290.00M206.57M137.32M166.94M76.74M204.62M
Investing Cash Flow-9.95M-35.41M-48.18M-56.95M-53.07M815.51M
Financing Cash Flow-43.82M-14.48M-25.71M-487.55M-760.12M-4.16M

Pediatrix Medical Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.93
Price Trends
50DMA
17.28
Positive
100DMA
15.67
Positive
200DMA
14.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.28
Negative
RSI
79.56
Negative
STOCH
89.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.12, above the 50-day MA of 17.28, and above the 200-day MA of 14.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.56 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MD.

Pediatrix Medical Group Risk Analysis

Pediatrix Medical Group disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pediatrix Medical Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pediatrix Medical Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.88B11.5819.98%-4.21%
73
Outperform
$1.94B18.649.94%1.97%23.74%-18.99%
72
Outperform
$1.23B31.948.07%6.26%-19.33%
67
Neutral
$1.66B15.355.57%1.79%-22.96%-59.35%
61
Neutral
$1.27B132.651.29%68.17%-85.23%
54
Neutral
$1.80B24.3115.48%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MD
Pediatrix Medical Group
21.93
5.97
37.41%
HCSG
Healthcare Services
17.26
5.05
41.36%
NHC
National Healthcare
127.17
-5.45
-4.11%
SEM
Select Medical
13.33
-7.98
-37.44%
ASTH
Astrana Health
25.54
-21.28
-45.45%
AVAH
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
8.75
2.80
47.18%

Pediatrix Medical Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Pediatrix Medical Group Announces Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Pediatrix Medical Group announced a $250 million share repurchase program authorized by its Board of Directors. The program, which aims to utilize the company’s strong cash flow and low debt levels, will be executed over a three-year term through various transaction methods. This strategic move is intended to provide long-term returns to shareholders and strengthen the company’s future business prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (MD) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pediatrix Medical Group stock, see the MD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025