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Pediatrix Medical Group (MD)
NYSE:MD
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Pediatrix Medical Group (MD) AI Stock Analysis

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MD

Pediatrix Medical Group

(NYSE:MD)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(12.61% Upside)
Pediatrix Medical Group's stock is rated positively due to strong financial performance, bullish technical indicators, and a favorable earnings call. The company's strategic initiatives and leadership changes further support its growth prospects. However, investors should be mindful of potential risks from legislative changes and revenue declines.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Reported EBITDA exceeded Street forecasts by over 22%, and the company took up the guidance range.
Financial Performance
The company's stock is considered more intriguing due to a mounting cash balance and a team signaling a desire to increase buybacks.
Revenue Growth
Strong quarter driven by solid revenue growth, with volume and pricing contributing significantly.
Negative Factors
Growth Uncertainty
Analyst remains reasonably cautious on the sustainability of favorable mix trends and incremental improvements.
Pricing Sustainability
Uncertainty remains regarding the sustainability of pricing given the subsidy cliff in 2026.
Volume Growth
MD still assumes no volume growth in the April births, indicating a lack of confidence in expansion.

Pediatrix Medical Group (MD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pediatrix Medical Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPediatrix Medical Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides newborn, maternal-fetal, pediatric cardiology, and other pediatric subspecialty care services in the United States and Puerto Rico. It offers neonatal care services, such as clinical care to babies born prematurely or with complications within specific units at hospitals through neonatal physician subspecialists, neonatal nurse practitioners, and other pediatric clinicians. The company also provides maternal-fetal care services, including inpatient and office-based clinical care to expectant mothers and unborn babies through affiliated maternal-fetal medicine subspecialists, as well as obstetricians and other clinicians, including maternal-fetal nurse practitioners, certified nurse mid-wives, ultrasonographers, and genetic counselors. In addition, it offers pediatric cardiology care services comprising inpatient and office-based pediatric cardiology care of the fetus, infant, child, and adolescent patient with congenital heart defects and acquired heart disease, as well as adults with congenital heart defects through affiliated pediatric cardiologist subspecialists and other related clinical professionals; and specialized cardiac care to the fetus, neonatal and pediatric patients. Further, the company provides other pediatric subspecialty care services through pediatric subspecialists, such as pediatric intensivists, pediatric hospitalists, pediatric surgeons, and pediatric ophthalmologists, as well as pediatric ear, nose, and throat physicians; and support services in the areas of hospitals, primarily in the pediatric emergency rooms, labor and delivery areas, and nursery and pediatric departments. As of February 17, 2022, it operated a network of approximately 2,700 physicians. The company was formerly known as MEDNAX, Inc. and changed its name to Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. in July 2022. Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is based in Sunrise, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyPediatrix Medical Group generates revenue primarily through the provision of medical services in hospitals and outpatient settings. The company is compensated for its services via reimbursements from private health insurers, government programs like Medicaid and Medicare, and out-of-pocket payments from patients. Key revenue streams include fees for inpatient consults, outpatient services, and telehealth consultations. Additionally, Pediatrix benefits from partnerships with hospitals and health systems, which often contract the company's specialists to provide care within their facilities, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company also focuses on maintaining high-quality care to improve patient outcomes, which can lead to better reimbursement rates from payers.

Pediatrix Medical Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with significant achievements in revenue growth, cash flow improvement, and successful hospital negotiations. However, there are challenges related to overall revenue decline and potential impacts from legislative changes. Despite these challenges, the company's strong performance and strategic positioning contribute to a positive overall sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Expectations in Q2 2025
Adjusted EBITDA of over $73 million, driven by same-unit revenue growth of over 6% and NICU days up 6%.
Increased Full Year Adjusted EBITDA Guidance
Raised and narrowed full year adjusted EBITDA range to $245 million to $255 million.
Strong Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
Generated $138 million in operating cash flow with a cash balance of $225 million and net debt of just over $380 million.
Improved Revenue Cycle Management
Accounts receivable DSO decreased by over 3 days year-over-year, reflecting improved cash collections.
Hospital Relationships and Admin Fee Growth
Successful negotiations led to hospital admin fees contributing about 1/3 of the pricing growth.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased by just over 7%, driven by non-same unit activity, primarily due to portfolio restructuring.
Increased Same-Unit Expenses
Same-unit expenses increased due to higher incentive compensation and salary increases.
Uncertainty with Big Beautiful Bill
Potential impact from legislative changes with unclear details, though it phases in over time.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, Pediatrix Medical Group provided updated guidance, highlighting a strong financial performance that exceeded expectations, with adjusted EBITDA reaching over $73 million. This success was attributed to a same-unit revenue growth of over 6%, driven by a 6% increase in NICU days and favorable reimbursement factors. The company has raised and narrowed its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook to a range of $245 million to $255 million. Despite a 7% decline in consolidated revenue due to portfolio restructuring, same-unit growth remained robust. Cash flow generation was also strong, with $138 million in operating cash flow, leading to a healthy cash balance of $225 million and a net debt of just over $380 million. The company anticipates ending 2025 with a cash balance between $350 million and $400 million, maintaining a net leverage ratio of just above 1.5x.

Pediatrix Medical Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pediatrix Medical Group shows mixed financial performance. Revenue and profitability challenges are evident, with declining revenues and negative net income. However, the balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, and positive cash flow metrics indicate effective cash management despite operational challenges.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement reflects a declining revenue trend with a decrease from $2.01 billion in 2024 to $1.98 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. Gross profit margin has declined to 22.59% from 22.57% in 2024. The company struggled with profitability, showing a negative net income and EBITDA, indicating challenges in cost management and operational efficiency. Despite these issues, there was a slight improvement in EBIT margin from -3.41% in 2024 to 7.79% in TTM 2025.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83 in TTM 2025, slightly improved from 0.87 in 2024. The equity ratio of 39.58% is a positive indicator of the company's reliance on equity financing. However, total assets have decreased, and liabilities remain high, which could pose risks if the trend continues.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth of 10.11% in TTM 2025, enhancing liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.71, indicating effective cash generation from operations despite negative net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio also shows resilience, highlighting effective capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.94B2.01B1.99B1.97B1.91B1.73B
Gross Profit465.84M454.34M421.56M467.03M513.24M449.32M
EBITDA203.51M-28.37M29.89M235.64M249.88M200.37M
Net Income109.92M-99.07M-60.41M66.33M130.96M-9.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.10B2.15B2.22B2.35B2.72B3.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments348.33M348.51M177.74M9.82M387.39M1.23B
Total Debt649.56M662.31M701.65M753.57M1.07B1.80B
Total Liabilities1.27B1.39B1.37B1.46B1.83B2.60B
Stockholders Equity833.75M764.94M849.06M891.63M896.69M747.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow235.87M184.55M104.00M137.23M44.49M175.83M
Operating Cash Flow253.43M206.57M137.32M166.94M76.74M204.62M
Investing Cash Flow-20.89M-35.41M-48.18M-56.95M-53.07M815.51M
Financing Cash Flow-18.33M-14.48M-25.71M-487.55M-760.12M-4.16M

Pediatrix Medical Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.54
Price Trends
50DMA
13.52
Positive
100DMA
13.65
Positive
200DMA
13.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Negative
RSI
72.23
Negative
STOCH
97.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.32, above the 50-day MA of 13.52, and above the 200-day MA of 13.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.23 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MD.

Pediatrix Medical Group Risk Analysis

Pediatrix Medical Group disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pediatrix Medical Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pediatrix Medical Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.35B12.0814.27%-3.08%
71
Outperform
$1.31B37.617.02%2.07%16.24%116.58%
71
Outperform
$853.68M31.5911.44%30.58%24.86%
69
Neutral
$1.65B15.8610.65%2.32%25.19%13.44%
51
Neutral
$7.46B-0.25-46.00%2.25%22.77%-2.14%
47
Neutral
$1.50B95.7442.49%11.53%
44
Neutral
$1.74B-108.91%3.99%-14.74%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MD
Pediatrix Medical Group
16.04
5.63
54.08%
BKD
Brookdale Senior Living
7.31
0.38
5.48%
NHC
National Healthcare
106.35
-17.94
-14.43%
USPH
US Physical Therapy
85.78
3.41
4.14%
PNTG
Pennant Group
24.70
-7.04
-22.18%
AVAH
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
7.08
2.11
42.45%

Pediatrix Medical Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Pediatrix Medical Group Appoints Dr. Kurt Newman to Board
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Pediatrix Medical Group appointed Dr. Kurt Newman as an independent director. Dr. Newman, a prominent figure in pediatric healthcare and former CEO of Children’s National Hospital, brings extensive clinical insight and leadership experience to the board. His appointment is expected to enhance Pediatrix’s focus on patient-centered care and strengthen collaboration between physicians and executive leadership, contributing to the company’s mission of advancing clinical excellence.

The most recent analyst rating on (MD) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pediatrix Medical Group stock, see the MD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025