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U.s. Physical Therapy (USPH)
:USPH

US Physical Therapy (USPH) AI Stock Analysis

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USPH

US Physical Therapy

(NYSE:USPH)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$80.00
▼(-10.73% Downside)
US Physical Therapy's overall stock score is driven by a strong earnings call performance, highlighting significant growth and strategic initiatives. However, financial performance and technical analysis reveal areas needing improvement, such as revenue trends and bearish technical signals. The valuation suggests potential overvaluation, but the dividend yield offers some investor appeal.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 18% revenue growth indicates strong demand for services and successful expansion efforts, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Clinic Expansion
Expanding clinic network enhances market reach and patient access, driving revenue and reinforcing competitive positioning.
Strategic Initiatives
Innovative operational improvements can increase efficiency and patient satisfaction, strengthening long-term competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth may indicate challenges in maintaining market share or pricing power, potentially affecting future profitability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth can limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations effectively.
Medicare Rate Reduction
Reductions in Medicare rates can pressure margins and revenue, challenging the company's ability to maintain profitability.

US Physical Therapy (USPH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

US Physical Therapy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUS Physical Therapy, Inc. (USPH) is a leading provider of outpatient physical therapy services in the United States. The company operates a network of clinics that offer a wide range of rehabilitation and therapy services, including orthopedic therapy, sports rehabilitation, and specialized treatment programs. USPH partners with various healthcare providers and payers to deliver high-quality care aimed at improving patient outcomes and enhancing mobility.
How the Company Makes MoneyUS Physical Therapy primarily generates revenue through the provision of outpatient physical therapy services, billing both private payers and government programs like Medicare and Medicaid. The company charges for individual therapy sessions and treatment plans, which can include a series of visits tailored to the needs of each patient. Additionally, USPH benefits from strategic partnerships with hospitals, physician groups, and other healthcare entities, which help to drive patient referrals to their clinics. The company also engages in acquisitions of local physical therapy practices, expanding its footprint and increasing its revenue potential through economies of scale and enhanced service offerings.

US Physical Therapy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed a strong performance with significant growth in patient visits and gross profit, alongside strategic initiatives that promise future benefits. While there were challenges such as Medicare rate reductions, the overall outlook, including new CMS rules and internal efficiency projects, is optimistic.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Visits Per Clinic
The company recorded an average of 32.2 visits per clinic per day, marking the highest third quarter volume per clinic per day in the company's history.
Strong Growth in Patient Visits
Total patient visits increased 18% year-over-year, supported by the addition of 84 net owned clinics and a 2.2% increase in visits at mature clinics.
Gross Profit Growth
Gross profit grew 30% year-over-year, with mid-teens increase when adjusted for noise from the previous year.
Improved Medicare Reimbursement Outlook
CMS adjustments led to a potential positive reimbursement change for Medicare, possibly improving by more than the previously estimated 1.5%.
Injury Prevention Revenue Growth
The Injury Prevention segment recorded a 14.6% revenue increase, with all growth being organic.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased by $2.8 million or 13.2% to $23.9 million for the quarter.
Remote Therapeutic Monitoring Opportunities
New CMS rules are expected to benefit remote therapeutic monitoring, which could improve outcomes and increase revenue.
Negative Updates
Medicare Rate Reduction
The company absorbed a 2.9% Medicare rate reduction at the start of the year, affecting revenue.
Constrained Workers' Compensation Growth
Workers' compensation visits increased only 5% year-over-year, which was lower compared to growth in other segments.
Impact of Geographic Index Factors
Changes in geographic index factors created complexity in modeling future Medicare reimbursement impacts.
Company Guidance
During the U.S. Physical Therapy Third Quarter 2025 and Full Year Earnings Conference Call, several key performance metrics were highlighted. The company reported an 18% increase in total patient visits year-over-year, supported by the addition of 84 net owned clinics. Visits per clinic per day set a new Q3 record at 32.2. Gross profit grew by 30% despite inflationary pressures, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 13.2% to $23.9 million. The company's IIP revenue saw a nearly 15% growth, all organic, with an IIP gross profit increase of nearly 11%. Additionally, the Medicare reimbursement rate is expected to improve by at least 1.5% in 2026, with potential further upside. The company is also advancing initiatives such as AI-driven documentation and semi-virtualizing front desk operations, aiming to enhance efficiency and patient flow.

US Physical Therapy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
US Physical Therapy demonstrates stable financial performance with consistent profitability and a solid balance sheet. However, recent revenue declines and negative cash flow growth highlight areas for improvement. The company should focus on reversing the revenue trend and enhancing cash flow generation to strengthen its financial position further.
Income Statement
65
Positive
US Physical Therapy's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data reveals a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -0.60%. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of 20.37% and a net profit margin of 4.76%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 11.94% and 15.24%, respectively. Despite the recent revenue decline, the company has demonstrated consistent profitability over the years.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.61, indicating a manageable level of leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is 6.43%, showing a modest return for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 42.08%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the company maintains a stable balance sheet with controlled debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates some challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -6.53%, reflecting a decrease in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, indicating that cash flows are sufficient to cover net income but have room for improvement. The company needs to focus on enhancing cash flow generation to support future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue661.20M671.35M604.80M553.14M495.02M422.97M
Gross Profit143.26M123.92M121.51M112.02M117.18M94.45M
EBITDA113.78M86.91M74.37M76.09M85.73M77.68M
Net Income33.40M26.46M14.67M28.27M27.82M30.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.20B1.17B997.24M858.15M749.43M594.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.10M41.36M152.82M31.59M28.57M32.92M
Total Debt308.40M295.23M258.59M295.34M223.08M110.99M
Total Liabilities413.83M408.42M345.00M373.59M296.98M184.39M
Stockholders Equity503.57M488.93M476.19M315.79M295.61M276.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow56.90M65.75M72.68M50.29M68.20M92.36M
Operating Cash Flow69.53M74.94M81.98M58.54M76.41M100.00M
Investing Cash Flow-126.12M-149.45M-45.02M-81.27M-124.14M-51.20M
Financing Cash Flow-29.27M-36.95M84.27M25.76M43.38M-39.42M

US Physical Therapy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price89.62
Price Trends
50DMA
80.43
Negative
100DMA
81.52
Negative
200DMA
77.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Negative
RSI
54.13
Neutral
STOCH
54.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USPH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 89.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.81, above the 50-day MA of 80.43, and above the 200-day MA of 77.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for USPH.

US Physical Therapy Risk Analysis

US Physical Therapy disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. US Physical Therapy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

US Physical Therapy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.94B11.4219.98%-4.21%
73
Outperform
$1.02B38.8110.87%29.89%10.33%
72
Outperform
$1.35B35.478.07%6.26%-19.33%
70
Outperform
$1.86B17.235.57%1.64%-22.96%-59.35%
63
Neutral
$1.20B33.127.30%2.29%17.50%154.28%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$624.22M-2.28-35.90%-11.42%-617.31%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USPH
US Physical Therapy
78.72
-9.59
-10.86%
AMN
AMN Healthcare Services
16.42
-6.79
-29.25%
HCSG
Healthcare Services
19.17
8.05
72.39%
MD
Pediatrix Medical Group
21.64
8.00
58.65%
SEM
Select Medical
15.03
-3.68
-19.67%
PNTG
Pennant Group
29.36
2.53
9.43%

US Physical Therapy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
US Physical Therapy Updates Investor Presentation
Neutral
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. updated its investor presentation, highlighting its financial performance and market positioning. The company reported trailing twelve months revenues of $759 million and an 18% year-over-year revenue growth. The presentation emphasized the company’s expanding national footprint and its strategic focus on organic growth and acquisitions. It also addressed potential risks and uncertainties, including changes in reimbursement rates and regulatory compliance, which could impact future operations and financial results.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
US Physical Therapy Reports Strong Q3 Growth Amid Challenges
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 6, 2025, U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. held a conference call to discuss its financial results for the third quarter and nine months ending September 30, 2025. The company reported strong growth, with an 18% increase in volume and a 30% rise in gross profit, despite inflationary pressures and increased staffing costs. The company highlighted its expansion efforts, including the addition of 84 physical therapy facilities and advancements in AI-driven documentation and semi-virtualization of front desk operations. The final rule from CMS provided a slight positive change in reimbursement for manual therapy, and the company anticipates further opportunities with remote therapeutic monitoring starting in 2026. The injury prevention segment also showed strong organic revenue growth, and the company remains optimistic about its future prospects.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
U.S. Physical Therapy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

U.S. Physical Therapy reported a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a significant increase in adjusted EBITDA and net income compared to the same period in 2024. The company saw a 17.8% rise in total revenue from physical therapy operations and an 18.0% increase in total patient visits, driven by clinic additions and a record-high volume of daily patient visits per clinic. The company also expanded its clinic network by adding 18 new clinics and acquiring a 60% equity interest in a three-clinic practice. Additionally, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.45 per share, reflecting confidence in the company’s ongoing growth and financial stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025