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Sonida Senior Living, Inc. (SNDA)
:SNDA

Sonida Senior Living (SNDA) AI Stock Analysis

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Sonida Senior Living

(NYSE:SNDA)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(0.00%Upside)
Sonida Senior Living's stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and high leverage being the major concerns. Despite positive guidance from the earnings call and strategic acquisitions, the stock's valuation and financial performance remain weak. Technical indicators are neutral, lacking strong momentum. The company's efforts in growth and operational improvements are positive but must translate into better financial stability to improve the stock's outlook.
Positive Factors
Cash Management
Year-to-date operating cash flow improved to +$3.8 million compared to -$4.1 million last year, indicating better cash management.
Earnings
The company reported Adjusted EBITDA of $13.6M, which was ahead of market expectations of $12.2M.
Growth Strategy
Management noted early 1Q25 trends point to continued year-over-year growth in occupancy and strong rate improvement.
Negative Factors
Debt Management
The company is focusing on a long-term strategy to deleverage its balance sheet, aiming for a target leverage of 7x through acquisition NOI stabilization and responsible debt management.
Financial Performance
Sonida Senior Living, Inc. reported a net loss of -$0.77, although this was better than the market expectation of -$0.95.
Market Pricing
SNDA is a pure-play senior housing owner and operator with best-in-class growth that is likely reflected in the price.

Sonida Senior Living (SNDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sonida Senior Living Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSonida Senior Living, Inc. develops, owns, operates, and manages senior housing communities in the United States. The company provides independent living services, which include daily meals, transportation, social and recreational activities, laundry, housekeeping, and 24-hour staffing; and access to health screenings, periodic special services, and dietary and similar programs, as well as exercise and fitness classes. It also offers assisted living services consist of personal care services, such as assistance with activities of daily living, including ambulation, bathing, dressing, eating, grooming, personal hygiene, and monitoring or assistance with medications; support services, such as meals, assistance with social and recreational activities, laundry, general housekeeping, maintenance, and transportation services; and supplemental services, which include extra transportation, personal maintenance, and extra laundry services, as well as special care services for residents with various forms of dementia. In addition, the company provides memory care services; and home care services through third-party providers. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 75 senior housing communities in 18 states with an aggregate capacity of approximately 9,500 residents, including 60 senior housing communities. The company was formerly known as Capital Senior Living Corporation and changed its name to Sonida Senior Living, Inc. in November 2021. Sonida Senior Living, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is based in Addison, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneySonida Senior Living, Inc. makes money primarily through the fees and rents collected from its senior living facilities. These facilities include independent living, assisted living, and memory care communities. The company generates revenue by providing housing, meals, healthcare services, and other amenities tailored to the needs of seniors. Additionally, Sonida may engage in partnerships with healthcare providers to offer specialized services that further enhance its value proposition. The company's earnings are influenced by occupancy rates, pricing strategies, and its ability to manage operational costs effectively.

Sonida Senior Living Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to 2025 with significant growth in NOI, successful rate increases, and improvements in occupancy and employee turnover. However, the repositioning costs and challenges due to changes in the Medicaid program in Indiana presented some hurdles. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the challenges, indicating a favorable outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong NOI Growth
Same-store portfolio NOI grew by 19.3% year-over-year and the acquisition portfolio NOI increased 31.3% sequentially from Q4 2024, resulting in a total portfolio NOI growth of 37.6% year-over-year.
Successful Rate Increases
Achieved a portfolio-wide 6.6% average renewal rate increase on March 1st, impacting nearly 70% of the resident base.
Occupancy Improvement
Occupancy improved 100 basis points year-over-year in the same-store portfolio and 70 basis points sequentially from Q4 in the acquisition portfolio.
Employee Turnover Reduction
Achieved the lowest total company turnover percentage for a quarter since tracking began, with further reductions expected.
Future Growth Potential
Under contract to acquire two more communities in major Southeastern markets for a combined $22 million, with closings expected in Q2.
Negative Updates
Impact of Medicaid Changes
The Indiana Medicaid program changes led to reduced Medicaid admissions, decreasing overall occupancy in some communities.
Repositioning Costs
Identified a need to invest $4 million to $5 million in five communities for repositioning due to program changes and to align with a private pay model.
Company Guidance
In the Sonida Senior Living Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported significant financial and operational growth metrics. Same-store portfolio net operating income (NOI) increased by 19.3% year-over-year, while the acquisition portfolio saw a sequential rise of 31.3% from Q4 2024, resulting in a total portfolio NOI growth of 37.6% year-over-year. Occupancy rates improved by 100 basis points year-over-year in the same-store portfolio and 70 basis points sequentially in the acquisition portfolio, with a total company occupancy of 84.7%. The average renewal rate increased by 6.6% on March 1st, impacting nearly 70% of the resident base, and a 7% increase in lead volume was reported. Additionally, the company highlighted a strategic focus on lowering employee turnover, which has reached its lowest quarterly level since tracking began. Looking ahead, Sonida is set to close two new acquisitions in Q2, aiming for a net operating income yield of 9.1% on cost, excluding one unopened asset acquired at the year-end, and a strategic repositioning of five communities to reduce Medicaid exposure and focus on private pay models.

Sonida Senior Living Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sonida Senior Living is facing significant financial challenges with negative profitability, high leverage, and cash flow constraints. Despite some improvements in revenue and operating cash flow, the company must address its cost structure and leverage to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The income statement shows a challenging financial position with negative net income and EBIT in the TTM, indicating ongoing profitability issues. Despite a revenue increase, the gross profit margin is negative, suggesting high cost of goods sold or operational inefficiencies. The company exhibits a volatile revenue trajectory with inconsistent growth patterns.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio due to the significant leverage, posing potential financial risk. Stockholders' equity has improved from negative to positive, yet remains relatively low compared to liabilities, impacting financial stability. The equity ratio indicates a low proportion of assets funded by equity, increasing vulnerability to financial fluctuations.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow analysis highlights some improvements with positive operating cash flow in the TTM. However, free cash flow remains negative, indicating cash constraints. The operating cash flow to net income ratio shows a mix of cash generation capacity amidst profitability challenges, but free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning due to persistent cash outflows.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
328.81M304.33M255.32M238.43M234.72M383.86M
Gross Profit
336.53M271.23M234.22M39.43M36.55M104.29M
EBIT
-14.96M-14.83M24.80M-19.06M-24.94M-13.76M
EBITDA
42.57M78.00M55.15M9.14M12.93M46.55M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-41.61M-2.06M-21.11M-54.40M125.61M-295.37M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
13.99M16.99M4.08M16.91M78.69M17.89M
Total Assets
824.48M841.92M621.46M661.27M728.55M702.83M
Total Debt
650.89M651.39M629.42M671.03M683.68M909.85M
Net Debt
636.91M634.40M625.34M654.12M604.99M891.96M
Total Liabilities
708.51M712.31M688.01M719.43M775.36M982.10M
Stockholders Equity
110.02M123.03M-66.55M-58.16M-46.81M-279.26M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-21.60M-26.95M-7.25M-27.14M-38.71M-22.43M
Operating Cash Flow
6.15M-1.78M10.68M-2.58M-28.27M-6.79M
Investing Cash Flow
-211.74M-208.92M-16.56M-36.90M-10.44M8.51M
Financing Cash Flow
200.34M232.04M-7.11M-22.65M99.42M-15.92M

Sonida Senior Living Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.00
Price Trends
50DMA
23.68
Positive
100DMA
23.84
Positive
200DMA
24.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
44.06
Neutral
STOCH
40.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNDA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.87, above the 50-day MA of 23.68, and below the 200-day MA of 24.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SNDA.

Sonida Senior Living Risk Analysis

Sonida Senior Living disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sonida Senior Living reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sonida Senior Living Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$953.76M36.1011.28%30.04%43.47%
57
Neutral
$495.23M-22.81%-1.08%-65.84%
BKBKD
56
Neutral
$1.60B-91.17%3.88%-34.30%
54
Neutral
$477.95M-12.03%12.19%-1.59%
54
Neutral
$5.37B3.26-45.10%3.30%16.81%0.02%
52
Neutral
$452.77M-70.23%26.13%37.38%
CYCYH
52
Neutral
$448.98M39.18%1.05%-288.07%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNDA
Sonida Senior Living
24.00
-4.20
-14.89%
BKD
Brookdale Senior Living
6.74
0.13
1.97%
CYH
Community Health
3.20
-0.30
-8.57%
PNTG
Pennant Group
27.67
4.82
21.09%
INNV
InnovAge Holding
3.68
-0.54
-12.80%
EHAB
Enhabit, Inc
9.78
0.94
10.63%

Sonida Senior Living Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Sonida Senior Living Approves Key Proposals at Meeting
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 10, 2025, Sonida Senior Living, Inc. announced the approval of three key proposals. Stockholders elected Lilly H. Donohue, Benjamin P. Harris, and David W. Johnson as directors for three-year terms, ratified the appointment of BDO USA, P.C. as independent auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis. These decisions are expected to influence the company’s governance and financial oversight positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNDA) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sonida Senior Living stock, see the SNDA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sonida Senior Living Completes Two Key Acquisitions
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Sonida Senior Living announced the completion of two acquisitions of senior living communities in Atlanta, Georgia, and Tampa, Florida, each for $11 million. These acquisitions are part of Sonida’s strategy to expand and upgrade its portfolio by acquiring high-quality communities at discounts to replacement costs. The Atlanta acquisition, finalized on June 1, 2025, adds an upscale 88-unit community to Sonida’s portfolio, enhancing its presence in the high-growth Alpharetta area. The Tampa acquisition, completed on May 30, 2025, involves a 64-unit memory care facility in Tarpon Springs, complementing Sonida’s central Florida assets. Both acquisitions are expected to yield a double-digit cap rate upon stabilization, supporting Sonida’s growth strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNDA) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sonida Senior Living stock, see the SNDA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sonida Senior Living Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Sonida Senior Living announced its first-quarter results for 2025, highlighting a significant increase in resident revenue by 30.6% compared to the previous year, driven by higher occupancy rates and acquisitions. Despite a net loss of $12.5 million for the quarter, the company showed strong growth in adjusted EBITDA and community net operating income, indicating effective execution of its growth strategy. The company’s continued focus on acquisitions and operational improvements positions it well for future growth, although it faces challenges such as increased operating expenses and interest costs.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNDA) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sonida Senior Living stock, see the SNDA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sonida Senior Living Expands with Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

In 2024, Sonida Senior Living, Inc. achieved significant growth through both organic and inorganic means, including the acquisition of 20 high-quality communities. The company reported a notable improvement in financial performance, with a $19 million reduction in net loss and a 27.4% increase in adjusted EBITDA. Key highlights include increased occupancy and revenue per unit, as well as strategic acquisitions in Cincinnati and Atlanta. Additionally, Sonida extended its loan agreements with Fannie Mae and expanded its credit facility, positioning the company for accelerated growth in 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.