Sonida Senior Living, Inc. (SNDA)
NYSE:SNDA
Advertisement

Sonida Senior Living (SNDA) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
202 Followers

Top Page

SNDA

Sonida Senior Living

(NYSE:SNDA)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▼(-0.81% Downside)
Sonida Senior Living's overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and strong technical indicators provide some support, but valuation concerns and operational inefficiencies weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Merger Agreement
The acquisition of CNL Healthcare Properties is expected to enhance Sonida's real estate portfolio, boost AFFO per share, and reduce leverage, strengthening its market position and financial health.
Portfolio Performance
The strong year-over-year growth in NOI and EBITDA reflects effective management and operational efficiency, supporting long-term profitability and financial stability.
Occupancy Rates
Record high occupancy rates indicate strong demand and effective marketing strategies, enhancing revenue potential and competitive positioning in the senior living market.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, which could impact long-term sustainability.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges highlight the need for cost control and revenue enhancement strategies to achieve sustainable financial health.
Labor Cost Management
Rising labor costs without corresponding revenue increases can compress margins, necessitating better labor management to maintain profitability.

Sonida Senior Living (SNDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sonida Senior Living Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSonida Senior Living (SNDA) is a leading operator of senior living communities in the United States, specializing in providing high-quality care and lifestyle options for seniors. The company operates independent living, assisted living, and memory care facilities, focusing on enhancing the quality of life for residents through personalized care services and engaging social activities. With a commitment to creating vibrant communities, Sonida Senior Living aims to support the diverse needs of older adults while fostering a sense of belonging and wellness.
How the Company Makes MoneySonida Senior Living generates revenue primarily through the leasing of living units in its senior living communities, which includes monthly rental fees paid by residents or their families. Additional revenue streams come from various care services offered, such as assistance with daily living activities, medication management, and specialized memory care programs, which may incur extra charges. The company also benefits from partnerships with healthcare providers and local organizations that can enhance service offerings and attract residents. Furthermore, occupancy rates in their facilities and effective cost management play significant roles in optimizing profitability.

Sonida Senior Living Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook for Sonida Senior Living, bolstered by the significant merger agreement with CNL Healthcare Properties and strong financial performance metrics. However, challenges remain in certain operational areas such as labor cost management and achieving industry-average occupancy growth. The company's strategic initiatives and successful acquisitions indicate a promising future, but attention is needed to address existing inefficiencies.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Merger Agreement to Acquire CNL Healthcare Properties
Sonida Senior Living announced a significant merger agreement to acquire CNL Healthcare Properties for $1.8 billion, which is expected to close in late Q1 of 2026. This transaction is anticipated to deliver significant value and enhance the company's growth profile.
Year-Over-Year Improvement in Portfolio Performance
Total portfolio NOI grew 21% year-over-year with significant improvements in adjusted EBITDA by more than 30% driven by same-store NOI growth and effective management of G&A.
Record High Occupancy Rates
Same-store occupancy increased 90 basis points to 87.7% in Q3, with October averaging 88%, marking a portfolio high point.
Strong Acquisition Performance
Communities acquired in 2024 showed a strong sequential improvement in occupancy by 370 basis points and a 10% yield on acquisition costs, exceeding initial expectations.
Successful Technology and Labor Management Initiatives
Implemented a new clinical system and labor management tools that improved staffing efficiency, reducing reliance on contract labor and improving margin expansion potential.
Negative Updates
Below Industry Average Occupancy Growth
Same-store occupancy growth earlier in the year was below the industry average, attributed to weaker sales resources in certain communities, particularly in Texas.
Challenges in Labor Cost Management
Labor costs increased 70 basis points as a percentage of revenue due to rapid occupancy spikes that were not accompanied by immediate labor adjustments, impacting margins.
High Transaction Costs
Incurred $6.2 million in transaction costs related to the merger, contributing to the total projected transaction cost of $75 million.
Company Guidance
During Sonida Senior Living's third-quarter earnings call, the company announced plans to acquire CNL Healthcare Properties for $1.8 billion, with the transaction expected to close in late Q1 2026. This strategic move aims to enhance Sonida's real estate portfolio and boost AFFO per share, while reducing leverage towards a target of six times. The acquisition will increase the company's free float to approximately $1 billion post-closing. In terms of operational performance, Sonida reported a year-over-year NOI growth of 21% and a 30% improvement in adjusted EBITDA, driven by an increase in same-store occupancy to 87.7% and an 88% high in October. The company detailed a 370 basis point sequential improvement for its 2024-acquired communities, which have seen occupancy rise from 76.3% to 83.7% over the past year. Sonida also highlighted its commitment to optimizing labor costs with a new $300 million credit revolver, aiming to support future growth and enhance capital availability. The announcement of the merger generated significant interest, and Sonida remains focused on executing its growth plan while maintaining high-quality care and service delivery.

Sonida Senior Living Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sonida Senior Living is experiencing revenue growth, but profitability and cash flow challenges persist. High leverage and negative equity raise concerns about financial stability. The company must focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow to enhance financial health and reduce risk.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sonida Senior Living has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 7.09% TTM, indicating a recovery trend. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -9.47% and a negative EBIT margin of -1.99% TTM. The gross profit margin is strong at 95.57%, but the high operating expenses are impacting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.28 TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -28.40%, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited equity financing and potential solvency concerns.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow is positive at $12.6 million TTM, but free cash flow remains negative, indicating cash outflows after capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.43, highlighting challenges in generating cash relative to net losses. The company needs to improve cash flow management to support operations and reduce financial strain.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue375.42M304.33M255.32M238.43M234.72M383.86M
Gross Profit322.63M271.23M234.22M211.06M193.82M104.29M
EBITDA45.24M78.00M55.15M17.16M201.29M-190.11M
Net Income-47.92M-2.06M-21.11M-54.40M125.61M-295.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets854.82M841.92M621.46M661.27M728.55M702.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.96M16.99M4.08M16.91M78.69M17.89M
Total Debt684.42M651.39M629.42M671.03M683.68M909.85M
Total Liabilities768.41M712.31M688.01M719.43M734.11M982.10M
Stockholders Equity29.77M123.03M-66.55M-58.16M-5.56M-279.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.98M-26.95M-7.25M-27.14M-39.24M-22.43M
Operating Cash Flow21.63M-1.78M10.68M-2.58M-28.80M-6.79M
Investing Cash Flow-116.77M-208.92M-16.56M-36.90M-10.44M8.51M
Financing Cash Flow87.28M232.04M-7.11M-22.65M99.42M-15.92M

Sonida Senior Living Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.26
Price Trends
50DMA
27.39
Positive
100DMA
26.28
Positive
200DMA
25.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.56
Negative
RSI
78.16
Negative
STOCH
86.06
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNDA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.29, above the 50-day MA of 27.39, and above the 200-day MA of 25.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.16 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.06 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SNDA.

Sonida Senior Living Risk Analysis

Sonida Senior Living disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sonida Senior Living reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sonida Senior Living Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.99B19.779.94%1.97%23.74%-18.99%
68
Neutral
$873.73M32.3310.87%29.89%10.33%
58
Neutral
$2.48B-214.33%3.93%-42.22%
56
Neutral
$451.57M1.340.74%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$605.52M-44.33%34.99%-68.73%
46
Neutral
$394.76M-46.54-3.76%-22.14%-787.87%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNDA
Sonida Senior Living
32.26
10.73
49.84%
BKD
Brookdale Senior Living
10.43
5.25
101.35%
CYH
Community Health
3.26
-0.44
-11.89%
CCRN
Cross Country Healthcare
11.13
0.79
7.64%
NHC
National Healthcare
128.12
7.02
5.80%
PNTG
Pennant Group
24.90
-6.69
-21.18%

Sonida Senior Living Corporate Events

Sonida Senior Living’s Promising Earnings Call Highlights
Nov 11, 2025

Sonida Senior Living’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, driven by the announcement of a significant merger agreement with CNL Healthcare Properties and robust financial performance metrics. Despite these positive developments, the company faces challenges in managing labor costs and achieving industry-average occupancy growth. The strategic initiatives and successful acquisitions suggest a promising future, although attention is needed to address existing inefficiencies.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Sonida Senior Living Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

Sonida Senior Living announced its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a 21% growth in total portfolio community NOI, driven by rent growth and acquisitions. The company achieved its highest post-COVID occupancy levels and continued its acquisition strategy with a new community in Dallas-Fort Worth. A strategic merger with CNL Healthcare Properties, valued at approximately $1.8 billion, is expected to close in early 2026, marking a significant step in Sonida’s growth strategy. Despite increased revenues, the company reported a net loss of $26.9 million for Q3 2025, attributed to higher operating expenses and recent acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNDA) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sonida Senior Living stock, see the SNDA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Sonida Senior Living Announces $1.8 Billion Merger Agreement
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Sonida Senior Living, Inc. announced a definitive merger agreement to acquire CNL Healthcare Properties, Inc. in a cash and stock transaction valued at approximately $1.8 billion. This strategic merger will create a $3 billion pure-play senior housing owner-operator, positioning Sonida as the eighth largest owner of U.S. senior living assets. The merger is expected to generate immediate per share earnings accretion and significant long-term value for shareholders, with estimated annual cost synergies of $16-20 million. The transaction will be funded with 66% stock and 34% cash, with committed financing from RBC, BMO, and equity commitments from Sonida’s largest shareholders. The merger will enhance Sonida’s balance sheet, deepen access to capital, and expand its portfolio to 153 owned senior living communities.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNDA) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sonida Senior Living stock, see the SNDA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sonida Senior Living Secures $137M Loan Agreement
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Sonida Senior Living, Inc. entered into a $137.0 million senior secured term loan agreement with Ally Bank, amending its previous loan agreement from March 2022. This new loan will support 19 communities, including a newly acquired one in Alpharetta, and offers potential additional funding subject to certain financial conditions. The loan, with a 36-month maturity and a variable interest rate, reflects Sonida’s strategic financial management to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNDA) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sonida Senior Living stock, see the SNDA Stock Forecast page.

Sonida Senior Living Reports Strong Q2 Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Sonida Senior Living, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment with notable growth in revenue, occupancy, and strategic acquisitions. The company demonstrated strong operational performance, although it acknowledged challenges such as increased move-outs and rising labor costs, which are being actively managed.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Sonida Senior Living Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Sonida Senior Living reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a significant increase in resident revenue by 29.7% compared to the same period in 2024. The company also made strategic acquisitions in Atlanta and Tampa, enhancing its market presence and positioning for future growth. Despite a net loss of $1.6 million, this was a marked improvement from the $9.8 million loss in the previous year, highlighting effective cost management and operational improvements. The company’s acquisition strategy and favorable industry conditions are expected to drive continued success in the latter half of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNDA) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sonida Senior Living stock, see the SNDA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2025