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LCNB Corporation (LCNB)
NASDAQ:LCNB
US Market

LCNB (LCNB) AI Stock Analysis

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LCNB

LCNB

(NASDAQ:LCNB)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$18.00
▲(13.35% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/12/26
The score is driven primarily by improved 2025 profitability and balance-sheet leverage, offset by volatile cash flows and slightly negative revenue growth. Valuation is a meaningful positive (low P/E and high yield), while technical indicators remain mildly bearish and limit the near-term setup.
Positive Factors
Profitability Recovery
LCNB’s 2025 net income rebound to $23.1M and expanded net margin (18.6%) suggest the franchise can convert revenue into durable earnings. Strong 2025 profitability builds retained earnings, supports capital and dividends, and provides a buffer to absorb future credit or rate shocks.
Improved Capital & Leverage
Material improvement in leverage and a 13.6% rise in tangible book indicate stronger balance-sheet resilience. Lower debt-to-equity increases shock absorption, preserves lending capacity, and gives management flexibility to fund growth or maintain dividends through economic cycles.
Wealth Management Growth Diversifies Revenue
Growing wealth AUM and record fiduciary income provide recurring noninterest fee revenue that is less rate-sensitive than NII. This diversification supports margin stability, reduces reliance on loan-driven NII, and gives a scalable fee business to smooth overall earnings volatility.
Negative Factors
Weak/Flat Revenue Trend
A slight top-line decline signals limited organic growth momentum; with earnings driven largely by NII, sustained revenue softness constrains long-term profit expansion. Without durable loan or fee growth, earnings gains may prove cyclical rather than structural.
Volatile Cash Flows
Large swings in operating and free cash flow reduce financial flexibility to fund lending, cover dividends, or absorb losses. Even if FCF covered net income historically, volatility increases refinancing and liquidity risk and could force tighter capital allocation in stress periods.
Asset/Deposit Contraction & Funding Mix Risk
Strategic runoff of higher-cost deposits trimmed assets and deposit funding, which can improve margins but reduces scale and core funding. Shrinking deposit base limits loan growth without replacing funding, raising pressure to use higher-cost borrowings or slow business expansion.

LCNB (LCNB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LCNB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLCNB Corp. is a financial holding company based in the United States, primarily engaged in providing a range of banking and financial services through its wholly owned subsidiary, LCNB National Bank. The company operates in the banking sector, offering services such as commercial and retail banking, mortgage lending, and wealth management. LCNB serves individual and business clients, focusing on delivering personalized financial solutions and fostering community relationships across its operating regions.
How the Company Makes MoneyLCNB primarily makes money through (1) net interest income and (2) noninterest income. Net interest income is generated by earning interest on interest-earning assets—mainly loans (such as commercial, consumer, and real estate-related loans) and investment securities—while paying interest on funding sources such as customer deposits (checking, savings, money market, and time deposits) and, when used, other borrowings. The company’s profitability is heavily influenced by loan growth and mix, credit performance (including loan losses), deposit mix and pricing (cost of funds), and changes in market interest rates that affect yields on loans/securities versus deposit and borrowing costs. Noninterest income is earned from fees and service charges associated with banking activities (e.g., deposit account service charges and other customer-related banking fees). If additional material revenue lines, named partnerships, or segment-level breakdowns are not publicly available in the provided context, they are null.

LCNB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings rebounded in 2025 with improved profitability and a better leverage profile (debt-to-equity improved to 0.43x), but revenue was slightly negative (-1.9%) and cash flow was notably volatile (operating cash flow fell to $34.4M from $93.2M), which tempers the quality of the improvement.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Profitability improved meaningfully in 2025 versus 2024, with net income rising from $13.5M to $23.1M and net margin expanding from ~10.8% to ~18.6%, alongside stronger operating profitability. However, revenue has been largely flat over the period and turned slightly negative in 2025 (-1.9% growth), and margins appear volatile versus the unusually strong 2021–2022 period (mid-to-high 20% net margins), indicating earnings sensitivity to the rate/credit cycle.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Leverage has moved in the right direction, with debt-to-equity improving from 0.92x (2023) to 0.43x (2025) and equity building to $273.9M, supporting balance-sheet resilience. Returns to shareholders also improved in 2025 (return on equity ~8.4%) versus 2023–2024 (~5.3%). Offsetting this, total assets have drifted down since 2024 and debt levels remain meaningful in absolute dollars ($118.2M), leaving less room if profitability softens.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is positive with free cash flow matching operating cash flow across years and free cash flow consistently covering net income well (roughly ~0.80–1.00x; 1.0x in 2025). The key weakness is volatility: operating cash flow fell to $34.4M in 2025 from $93.2M in 2024, and free cash flow declined sharply in 2025 (down ~43% YoY), which reduces near-term financial flexibility despite improved earnings.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue124.24M125.42M95.01M80.04M75.99M
Gross Profit89.78M79.24M69.68M75.08M72.21M
EBITDA28.15M16.57M18.25M29.69M28.20M
Net Income23.12M13.49M12.63M22.13M20.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.24B2.31B2.29B1.92B1.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments250.62M134.86M316.32M312.55M326.31M
Total Debt118.18M161.27M216.78M96.90M16.47M
Total Liabilities1.97B2.05B2.06B1.72B1.67B
Stockholders Equity273.93M253.04M235.30M200.68M238.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.44M89.44M20.75M27.83M15.88M
Operating Cash Flow34.40M93.24M23.36M28.71M17.82M
Investing Cash Flow52.05M61.39M-60.41M-48.38M-175.22M
Financing Cash Flow-100.58M-158.61M54.07M24.23M143.80M

LCNB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.88
Price Trends
50DMA
16.83
Negative
100DMA
16.26
Negative
200DMA
15.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
31.23
Neutral
STOCH
6.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LCNB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.86, below the 50-day MA of 16.83, and above the 200-day MA of 15.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LCNB.

LCNB Risk Analysis

LCNB disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LCNB reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LCNB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$229.93M10.634.99%
68
Neutral
$236.86M8.7610.84%2.55%8.53%42.73%
68
Neutral
$231.14M10.2414.66%2.39%0.16%258.06%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$227.48M12.736.98%3.50%12.92%56.52%
66
Neutral
$229.37M10.228.97%5.32%5.07%228.39%
53
Neutral
$219.39M11.8417.12%2.07%11.59%42.03%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LCNB
LCNB
15.69
1.77
12.70%
CFFI
C&F Financial
70.70
0.89
1.28%
FCCO
First Community
28.25
6.42
29.40%
HWBK
Hawthorn Bancshares
33.22
5.97
21.90%
BPRN
Bank of Princeton
33.40
4.15
14.17%
CBNA
Chain Bridge Bancorp, Inc. Class A
36.29
13.32
57.99%

LCNB Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
LCNB outlines Regulation FD investor presentation materials
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026

LCNB Corp. has notified investors that it plans to use materials furnished as Exhibit 99.1 in upcoming meetings with investors and analysts, signaling a coordinated investor-relations effort around its current disclosures. The company emphasized that the furnished information is being provided under a non-filing provision of securities regulations, meaning it will not carry the legal liabilities associated with filed reports or be automatically incorporated into other securities law filings, a distinction that shapes how stakeholders should interpret and rely on the materials.

The most recent analyst rating on (LCNB) stock is a Buy with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LCNB stock, see the LCNB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
LCNB Corp Reports Record 2025 Earnings and Wealth Growth
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, LCNB Corp. reported its financial results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025, highlighting record annual net income of $23.1 million, a 1.02% return on average assets and a 13.6% year-over-year increase in tangible book value per share to $12.45, driven by stronger earnings and improved unrealized losses on its available-for-sale securities portfolio. The bank’s net interest income and margins expanded meaningfully year over year, while LCNB Wealth Management assets rose 12.9% to a record $1.56 billion, producing record fiduciary income of $9.5 million, even as total assets and deposits declined modestly due to strategic runoff of higher-cost funding. Asset quality metrics remained solid, with nonperforming loans falling to 0.14% of total loans and full-year net charge-offs at just 0.02% of average loans, although fourth-quarter earnings were tempered by a higher provision for credit losses tied largely to a fully reserved logistics loan. Shareholders’ equity and tangible shareholders’ equity increased significantly on the back of higher retained earnings and portfolio valuation improvements, and the company maintained a steady dividend payout of $0.88 per share for 2025 as it emphasized disciplined growth in lending, wealth management and credit quality going into 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (LCNB) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LCNB stock, see the LCNB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026