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Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL)
NYSE:KNSL
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Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL) AI Stock Analysis

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KNSL

Kinsale Capital Group

(NYSE:KNSL)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$543.00
â–²(23.22%Upside)
Kinsale Capital Group's strong financial performance, characterized by significant revenue growth and robust profitability, is the primary driver of the stock's favorable score. While technical indicators show mixed short-term momentum, the company's strategic initiatives and solid financial metrics support its long-term potential. Valuation is reasonable, and despite challenges in certain segments, the company's strategic expansions and improved reinsurance terms are positive factors.
Positive Factors
Competitive Advantage
The proprietary technology platform of Kinsale enhances efficiency by quickening risk assessment and enabling brokers to swiftly bind policies.
Financial Performance
Kinsale has consistently exceeded EPS expectations for six consecutive quarters, highlighting the strength of its operating model.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
Increased competition and rate decreases have led to a decline in growth within Kinsale's commercial property division.
Top-line Growth
Kinsale's top-line growth has been declining for the sixth consecutive quarter, dropping to 5% in the latest period.

Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kinsale Capital Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKinsale Capital Group, Inc., a specialty insurance company, provides property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company's commercial lines offerings include construction, small business, excess and general casualty, commercial property, allied health, life sciences, energy, environmental, health care, inland marine, public entity, and commercial insurance, as well as product, professional, and management liability insurance. It markets and sells its insurance products in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands primarily through a network of independent insurance brokers. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyKinsale Capital Group generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies within the excess and surplus lines market. The company collects premiums from policyholders in exchange for providing coverage against specific risks. A significant portion of its revenue comes from underwriting profit, which is the difference between the premiums collected and the claims paid, along with associated expenses. Kinsale also earns investment income by investing the premiums received in a diversified portfolio of securities. The company's focus on niche markets allows it to charge higher premiums, reflecting the specialized nature of the risks insured. Additionally, Kinsale has developed strong relationships with independent insurance brokers, which help in effectively distributing its products and expanding its market reach.

Kinsale Capital Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue Breakdown
Revenue Breakdown
Analyzes different sources of income, highlighting which segments drive growth and how diversified the company's revenue streams are.
Chart InsightsKinsale Capital Group's revenue growth is driven by a consistent rise in net earned premiums and investment income, despite challenges in the Commercial Property division. The earnings call highlights a robust 33.1% increase in net investment income and strong profitability metrics, with a combined ratio of 82%. However, the company faces headwinds from increased competition and wildfire losses. Excluding the struggling Commercial Property segment, other divisions like personal lines and small commercial property continue to expand at double-digit rates, showcasing the company's resilience and strategic focus on diversified growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Kinsale Capital Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant growth in operating earnings and investment income. However, the company faces challenges in the competitive E&S market, particularly in the Commercial Property division, which experienced a notable decline in premiums. While there are positive developments such as product expansion and favorable reinsurance terms, the balance between highlights and lowlights suggests a cautious outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operating Earnings and Premium Growth
Operating earnings per share increased by 27.5% and gross written premium grew by 4.9% compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Strong Financial Metrics
Combined ratio of 75.8%, a 6-month operating return on equity of 24.7%, and book value per share increased by 16% since year-end 2024.
Investment Income Growth
Net investment income increased by 29.6% in the second quarter over last year.
Reinsurance Program Improvements
Renewed reinsurance program with slightly more favorable terms, including increased ceding commission and retention adjustments.
Product Expansion
Broadened agribusiness vertical to include property coverage and launched a new homeowners product in Texas, Louisiana, Colorado, and California.
Negative Updates
Commercial Property Premium Decline
Commercial Property division saw premium drop by 16.8% in the second quarter due to high levels of competition and rate declines.
Market Challenges
The E&S market remains competitive with intense competition from MGAs and front-end companies, leading to challenges in pricing and premium growth.
Casualty Pricing Pressure
Casualty pricing was mixed, with some lines experiencing modestly positive pricing trends, while others saw slight declines.
Company Guidance
During Kinsale Capital Group's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management provided several key performance metrics and forward-looking statements. Operating earnings per share increased by 27.5%, and gross written premium grew by 4.9% compared to the same period in 2024. The combined ratio for the quarter was 75.8%, and the 6-month operating return on equity stood at 24.7%. Kinsale's book value per share rose by 16% since the end of 2024. Despite competitive pressures, particularly in the Commercial Property division where premiums dropped by 16.8%, the company managed a 14.3% premium growth excluding this segment. Kinsale renewed its reinsurance program, improving terms with a $3 million retention on the casualty treaty and a 60% retention on the property quota share contract. The company continues to hold a strong financial position, with net income and net operating earnings increasing by 44.9% and 27.4%, respectively. Net investment income grew by 29.6% over the previous year, and the annualized gross return was 4.3% for the first half of the year. Diluted operating earnings per share improved to $4.78, up from $3.75 in the second quarter of 2024.

Kinsale Capital Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kinsale Capital Group exhibits strong financial performance with revenue growth of 29.61% and a robust net profit margin improvement from 25.17% to 26.13%. The balance sheet is solid with zero debt reliance and a strong equity ratio. Cash flow is excellent, with substantial free cash flow growth and effective cash generation from operations. Overall, the company is financially healthy, despite the absence of EBIT and EBITDA data for 2024.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Kinsale Capital Group displayed an impressive revenue growth rate of approximately 29.61% from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains a robust gross profit margin at 100%, given its business model in the insurance industry. Net profit margin improved significantly from 25.17% in 2023 to 26.13% in 2024, reflecting strong profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins are not applicable for 2024, which may indicate a strategic change or reclassification of expenses.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0, highlighting no reliance on debt financing. Return on equity increased from 28.36% in 2023 to 27.96% in 2024, indicating efficient use of equity despite a slight decline. The equity ratio stands robust at 30.36% in 2024, suggesting a stable financial position with a healthy proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Kinsale Capital Group's cash flow position is excellent, with a substantial free cash flow growth rate of 11.61% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.35, underscoring effective cash generation from operations. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.30 highlights solid cash profitability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.59B1.22B819.20M639.78M459.89M
Gross Profit814.63M1.22B819.20M639.78M459.89M
EBITDA524.85M397.59M202.57M192.10M102.16M
Net Income414.84M308.09M159.11M152.66M88.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.89B3.77B2.75B2.03B1.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.65B126.69M1.96B1.51B1.16B
Total Debt184.12M183.85M195.75M42.70M42.57M
Total Liabilities3.40B2.69B2.00B82.06M970.66M
Stockholders Equity1.48B1.09B745.45M699.34M576.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow952.36M853.23M550.91M401.12M247.10M
Operating Cash Flow976.30M859.84M557.82M407.04M279.97M
Investing Cash Flow-960.13M-860.89M-708.57M-351.95M-379.43M
Financing Cash Flow-29.66M-28.52M185.99M-11.14M76.14M

Kinsale Capital Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price440.69
Price Trends
50DMA
472.46
Negative
100DMA
468.05
Negative
200DMA
464.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.62
Positive
RSI
32.15
Neutral
STOCH
3.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KNSL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 440.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 475.59, below the 50-day MA of 472.46, and below the 200-day MA of 464.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KNSL.

Kinsale Capital Group Risk Analysis

Kinsale Capital Group disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kinsale Capital Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kinsale Capital Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$10.27B23.0029.98%0.15%21.51%20.03%
76
Outperform
$6.16B11.3015.74%2.07%4.47%102.98%
74
Outperform
$6.06B18.8819.49%3.94%10.29%-4.70%
70
Outperform
$4.74B12.7612.19%1.91%12.27%66.53%
68
Neutral
$12.00B13.508.98%8.57%6.34%-28.19%
66
Neutral
$10.43B13.1218.51%7.37%3.76%-9.12%
65
Neutral
kr115.55B28.086.10%3.79%14.35%-15.23%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KNSL
Kinsale Capital Group
440.69
-5.55
-1.24%
AFG
American Financial Group
124.90
9.72
8.44%
CNA
CNA Financial
43.89
-0.49
-1.10%
RLI
RLI
65.89
-4.77
-6.75%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
77.97
-5.72
-6.83%
THG
Hanover Insurance
171.63
40.97
31.36%

Kinsale Capital Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Kinsale Capital Group Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. held its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders on May 22, 2025, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and incentive plans. Stockholders approved the 2025 Omnibus Incentive Plan and an amendment to the Certificate of Incorporation to update the exculpation provision for certain officers, aligning with recent changes in Delaware law. Additionally, nine directors were elected, executive compensation was approved, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KNSL) stock is a Hold with a $420.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinsale Capital Group stock, see the KNSL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025