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Cna Financial Corp. (CNA)
NYSE:CNA

CNA Financial (CNA) AI Stock Analysis

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CNA

CNA Financial

(NYSE:CNA)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$50.00
▲(5.89% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
The score is driven primarily by solid balance-sheet and cash-flow durability, supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and high yield) and a largely positive earnings call with record results and shareholder returns. These strengths are tempered by weaker income-statement trend reliability due to the 2025 revenue/margin dislocation and only modest technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
CNA’s conservative leverage, rising equity and improved ROE (~14% in 2025) provide durable capital resilience. That bolsters claims‑paying ability, supports reserve strengthening and dividend capacity, and gives flexibility through underwriting and investment cycles.
Negative Factors
Income statement volatility
An extreme 2025 revenue collapse paired with an atypically high net margin points to one‑time or mix effects that impair trend visibility. This reduces confidence in recurring earnings, complicates medium‑term forecasting and weakens comparability of underwriting performance.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet strength
CNA’s conservative leverage, rising equity and improved ROE (~14% in 2025) provide durable capital resilience. That bolsters claims‑paying ability, supports reserve strengthening and dividend capacity, and gives flexibility through underwriting and investment cycles.
Read all positive factors

CNA Financial (CNA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CNA Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CNA Financial Corporation provides commercial property and casualty insurance products primarily in the United States. It operates through Specialty, Commercial, International, Life & Group, and Corporate & Other segments. The company offers profe...
How the Company Makes Money
CNA primarily makes money through its insurance operations and investment income. (1) Underwriting and fee-related insurance income: CNA collects premiums from policyholders in exchange for providing commercial P&C and specialty insurance coverage...

CNA Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Revenues By Segment
Operating Revenues By Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

CNA Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 09, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple record achievements—record full-year core income, record P&C core income, record underlying underwriting gain, and record investment income—alongside strong balance sheet metrics (equity growth, record statutory capital, A+ rating) and solid cash flow. Operational efficiency improved (expense ratio lowest since 2008) and management announced a meaningful special dividend. Offsetting items include a modest decline in quarterly core income, higher combined and loss ratios in the quarter, reserve strengthening in Specialty and A&EP-related corporate charges, selective top-line softness in certain lines (e.g., commercial auto) and continued rate pressure internationally. Overall, the positive achievements and record results materially outweigh the identified challenges, though management remains cautious in pockets of the portfolio.
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Core Income and Underwriting Gains
Full-year core income was a record $1,342 million. P&C core income reached a record $1,664 million and underlying underwriting gain was a record $855 million. The company delivered a core return on equity of 10.6% for 2025.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Core Income Decline
Fourth-quarter core income was $317 million, down 7% from $342 million in the prior year quarter.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Full-Year Core Income and Underwriting Gains
Full-year core income was a record $1,342 million. P&C core income reached a record $1,664 million and underlying underwriting gain was a record $855 million. The company delivered a core return on equity of 10.6% for 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company's forward guidance for 2026 emphasized a near‑term operating run‑rate and specific financial expectations: management believes a P&C expense ratio "close to 30.0%" is a reasonable run‑rate heading into 2026, the effective tax rate on core income is expected to be about 21% for the year, and investment income from fixed income and other investments is forecast at roughly $575 million in Q1 (about flat to Q4 2025) and about $2,325 million for the full year (≈3% increase versus 2025); they expect limited reinvestment activity in Q1, announced a 4% increase in the regular quarterly dividend to $0.48 per share and a $2.00 per‑share special dividend (payable March 12, 2026; record Feb 23, 2026), which together implied an approximate 8% dividend yield using the referenced closing price.

CNA Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is solid (conservative debt-to-equity and improving ROE) and cash generation is consistently healthy. However, the income statement signal is weakened by the sharp 2025 revenue collapse paired with outsized margins, reducing comparability and confidence in near-term earnings quality.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.71B14.00B13.13B11.89B11.55B
Gross Profit4.52B4.46B4.41B3.75B3.73B
EBITDA1.82B1.41B1.72B977.00M1.63B
Net Income1.28B959.00M1.21B682.00M1.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets69.44B66.49B64.71B60.93B48.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.75B4.31B2.51B39.93B2.31B
Total Debt2.97B2.97B3.03B2.78B2.78B
Total Liabilities57.82B55.98B54.82B52.45B52.10B
Stockholders Equity11.62B10.51B9.89B8.82B12.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.40B2.48B2.19B2.45B1.97B
Operating Cash Flow2.49B2.57B2.29B2.50B2.00B
Investing Cash Flow-1.45B-1.32B-1.84B-1.51B-1.23B
Financing Cash Flow-1.10B-1.12B-577.00M-1.03B-648.00M

CNA Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price47.22
Price Trends
50DMA
46.77
Positive
100DMA
45.52
Positive
200DMA
44.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
56.72
Neutral
STOCH
90.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 47.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.13, above the 50-day MA of 46.77, and above the 200-day MA of 44.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNA.

CNA Financial Risk Analysis

CNA Financial disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CNA Financial reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CNA Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.33B14.6323.08%4.05%3.72%-16.23%
77
Outperform
$4.80B10.9613.59%1.85%10.98%74.87%
77
Outperform
$6.21B8.1719.99%1.97%5.26%72.46%
74
Outperform
$10.89B13.6018.25%6.71%-10.75%
69
Neutral
$7.26B8.3016.27%1.80%6.37%68.32%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$12.75B10.1311.65%8.03%5.41%-23.52%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNA
CNA Financial
47.22
2.47
5.51%
AFG
American Financial Group
130.69
8.61
7.05%
AXS
Axis Capital
98.14
5.22
5.61%
RLI
RLI
58.00
-16.61
-22.26%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
79.94
-6.29
-7.30%
THG
Hanover Insurance
176.78
20.66
13.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 01, 2026