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PLAID Inc. (JP:4165)
:4165
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PLAID Inc. (4165) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4165

PLAID Inc.

(4165)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥554.00
▼(-31.69% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by improved fundamentals—profitability and cash-flow quality strengthened materially with strong gross margins. This is tempered by weak technical trend signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a relatively high P/E (~41), which raises valuation risk given recent revenue growth deceleration.
Positive Factors
Gross margins & profitability
Sustained gross margins above 70% and a positive net margin indicate durable unit economics for the SaaS platform. This margin profile supports earnings leverage as scale improves, funds reinvestment in product, and provides insulation against competitive pricing pressure over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Revenue growth deceleration
Sharp slowdown in top-line growth reduces the company’s ability to leverage fixed-costs into higher profits and may limit market-share gains. If growth remains muted, management may need to rely on margin improvements rather than expansion, constraining long-term upside.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Gross margins & profitability
Sustained gross margins above 70% and a positive net margin indicate durable unit economics for the SaaS platform. This margin profile supports earnings leverage as scale improves, funds reinvestment in product, and provides insulation against competitive pricing pressure over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

PLAID Inc. (4165) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

PLAID Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
PLAID,Inc. develops and operates KARTE, a customer experience SaaS platform in Japan. It also engages in the planning and management of EC-specialized media, Shopping Tribe; and CX-specialized media, XD. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is...
How the Company Makes Money
PLAID Inc. earns revenue primarily through its subscription-based SaaS model for its core product, 'KARTE.' Businesses pay recurring fees to access the platform's features, including real-time user behavior analysis, marketing automation, and pers...

PLAID Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong turnaround in 2024–2025 with improved profitability (positive net margin ~8%), consistently high gross margins (~71–74%), and solid free cash flow that closely tracks net income (~94–97%). Offsets include slowing revenue growth (~0% in 2024 and ~5% in 2025) and some balance-sheet risk from rising absolute debt from 2024 to 2025 despite moderate leverage (~0.38 debt-to-equity).
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.40B10.99B8.63B7.30B5.44B
Gross Profit9.75B7.77B6.01B5.17B3.97B
EBITDA1.51B357.77M-654.01M-685.54M194.00M
Net Income1.10B320.73M-2.11B-930.78M-106.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.66B7.30B6.22B7.09B6.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.60B4.74B3.83B4.24B4.17B
Total Debt1.82B1.32B1.38B1.84B916.09M
Total Liabilities4.85B4.10B3.47B3.02B2.03B
Stockholders Equity4.79B3.15B2.60B4.06B4.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.33B842.86M-371.80M-883.55M391.12M
Operating Cash Flow1.38B900.48M-325.09M-809.23M410.90M
Investing Cash Flow215.71M-49.69M318.81M-135.11M-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow264.84M66.77M-406.94M1.01B3.00B

PLAID Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price811.00
Price Trends
50DMA
579.02
Negative
100DMA
654.49
Negative
200DMA
834.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-16.75
Negative
RSI
45.59
Neutral
STOCH
58.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4165, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 811 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 551.65, above the 50-day MA of 579.02, and below the 200-day MA of 834.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -16.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4165.

PLAID Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥29.98B25.300.47%30.58%23.45%
71
Outperform
¥18.10B30.803.14%-3.85%-17.22%
64
Neutral
¥22.24B54.0719.07%-16.09%
64
Neutral
¥30.90B15.6232.07%349.54%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
¥15.56B17.3415.58%
48
Neutral
¥12.34B29.783.48%2.04%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4165
PLAID Inc.
539.00
-485.00
-47.36%
JP:3835
eBASE Co., Ltd.
393.00
-107.08
-21.41%
JP:4477
BASE, Inc.
262.00
-142.04
-35.15%
JP:5038
eWeLL Co.,Ltd
1,963.00
-400.48
-16.94%
JP:6047
Gunosy, Inc.
516.00
-58.58
-10.20%
JP:9553
MicroAd, Inc.
559.00
208.00
59.26%

PLAID Inc. Corporate Events

PLAID Corrects Growth Rate Errors in Second-Quarter Financial Results
May 15, 2026
PLAID, Inc. announced that it has identified errors in its previously released consolidated financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. The mistakes related to the calculation of year-on-year growth rates ...
PLAID Highlights Risks and Uncertainties Around FY2026 Q2 Outlook
May 14, 2026
PLAID, Inc. released a document associated with its earnings results for the quarter ended December 2026, but the text provided consists almost entirely of cautionary language on forward-looking statements rather than concrete financial or operati...
PLAID’s Profit Slides on Higher Investment Despite Double-Digit Revenue Growth
May 14, 2026
PLAID Inc. reported consolidated net sales of ¥7,766 million for the six months to March 31, 2026, up 18.6% year on year, but saw adjusted operating income fall 24.3% to ¥746 million and net income attributable to owners drop 51.5% to &#...
Plaid to Absorb Marketing Tech Subsidiary agito in Streamlining Merger
Mar 30, 2026
Plaid, Inc. has approved an absorption-type merger of its wholly owned subsidiary agito, Inc., effective June 1, 2026, in a simplified and short-form transaction that will not require shareholder approval and will involve no new share issuance or ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026