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PLAID Inc. (JP:4165)
:4165
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PLAID Inc. (4165) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4165

PLAID Inc.

(4165)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥654.00
▼(-19.36% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/15/26
The score is primarily driven by the strong financial turnaround—improving profitability, consistently high gross margins, and solid free cash flow quality. This is tempered by slower revenue growth and only mixed technicals (below the 200-day average), while valuation (P/E ~32) looks relatively rich without dividend support.
Positive Factors
High gross margins & profitability
Sustained gross margins near the low-70s provide structural pricing power and large buffer for operating leverage. The swing to positive net margins (~8%) after prior losses indicates durable cost discipline and product economics that can support earnings through modest revenue cycles.
Negative Factors
Decelerating revenue growth
Top-line stagnation materially raises long-term execution risk: with growth near zero then only modestly recovering, the company must rely on margin expansion or cost cuts to drive earnings. That limits scalability, makes market-share gains harder, and increases sensitivity to demand shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross margins & profitability
Sustained gross margins near the low-70s provide structural pricing power and large buffer for operating leverage. The swing to positive net margins (~8%) after prior losses indicates durable cost discipline and product economics that can support earnings through modest revenue cycles.
Read all positive factors

PLAID Inc. (4165) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

PLAID Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
PLAID, Inc. is a Japanese company that creates and manages KARTE, a software-as-a-service (SaaS) platform designed to enhance customer experiences. Furthermore, it oversees the development and operation of two distinct digital publications: Shoppi...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

PLAID Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals show a meaningful turnaround: profitability improved sharply in 2024–2025 with strong, stable gross margins (~71–74%) and a positive net margin (~8%). Cash flow is a key strength with strong positive operating/free cash flow and good earnings quality (FCF roughly ~94–97% of net income). Offsetting this, revenue growth has decelerated materially (near-flat in 2024, ~5% in 2025) and debt has increased in absolute terms from 2024 to 2025, keeping execution risk elevated.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.62B13.40B10.99B8.63B7.30B5.44B
Gross Profit10.68B9.75B7.77B6.01B5.17B3.97B
EBITDA1.28B1.51B357.77M-654.01M-685.54M194.00M
Net Income768.67M1.10B320.73M-2.11B-930.78M-106.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.36B9.66B7.30B6.22B7.09B6.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.01B6.60B4.74B3.83B4.24B4.17B
Total Debt4.57B1.82B1.32B1.38B1.84B916.09M
Total Liabilities7.16B4.85B4.10B3.47B3.02B2.03B
Stockholders Equity5.20B4.79B3.15B2.60B4.06B4.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.33B1.33B842.86M-371.80M-883.55M391.12M
Operating Cash Flow1.38B1.38B900.48M-325.09M-809.23M410.90M
Investing Cash Flow215.71M215.71M-49.69M318.81M-135.11M-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow264.84M264.84M66.77M-406.94M1.01B3.00B

PLAID Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price811.00
Price Trends
50DMA
530.72
Positive
100DMA
553.97
Positive
200DMA
714.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
11.98
Negative
RSI
65.21
Neutral
STOCH
87.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4165, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 811 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 500.35, above the 50-day MA of 530.72, and above the 200-day MA of 714.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 11.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4165.

PLAID Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥32.59B28.300.47%30.58%23.45%
71
Outperform
¥19.81B18.543.14%-3.85%-16.72%
67
Neutral
¥22.86B32.1319.07%-16.09%
64
Neutral
¥34.91B17.1432.07%349.54%
59
Neutral
¥16.39B22.7715.58%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
48
Neutral
¥11.24B143.903.48%2.04%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4165
PLAID Inc.
603.00
-507.00
-45.68%
JP:3835
eBASE Co., Ltd.
426.00
-60.59
-12.45%
JP:4477
BASE, Inc.
301.00
-86.25
-22.27%
JP:5038
eWeLL Co.,Ltd
2,108.00
-134.22
-5.99%
JP:6047
Gunosy, Inc.
468.00
-269.17
-36.51%
JP:9553
MicroAd, Inc.
629.00
133.00
26.81%

PLAID Inc. Corporate Events

PLAID Corrects Growth Rate Errors in Second-Quarter Financial Results
May 15, 2026
PLAID, Inc. announced that it has identified errors in its previously released consolidated financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. The mistakes related to the calculation of year-on-year growth rates ...
PLAID Highlights Risks and Uncertainties Around FY2026 Q2 Outlook
May 14, 2026
PLAID, Inc. released a document associated with its earnings results for the quarter ended December 2026, but the text provided consists almost entirely of cautionary language on forward-looking statements rather than concrete financial or operati...
PLAID’s Profit Slides on Higher Investment Despite Double-Digit Revenue Growth
May 14, 2026
PLAID Inc. reported consolidated net sales of ¥7,766 million for the six months to March 31, 2026, up 18.6% year on year, but saw adjusted operating income fall 24.3% to ¥746 million and net income attributable to owners drop 51.5% to &#...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 15, 2026