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PLAID Inc. (JP:4165)
:4165

PLAID Inc. (4165) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4165

PLAID Inc.

(4165)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥906.00
▲(11.71% Upside)
PLAID Inc.'s overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance, indicating a positive growth trajectory. However, the technical analysis reveals bearish momentum, which is a significant risk factor. The valuation is moderate, suggesting some potential for growth, but the lack of dividend yield may deter income-focused investors.
Positive Factors
High Gross Margin
A sustained gross margin above 70% indicates durable product economics and strong unit economics typical of software applications. High gross margins provide structural capacity to invest in R&D and go-to-market, supporting scalable profitability as revenue grows.
Improving Cash Generation
Improving free cash flow and strong operating cash flow conversion signal growing ability to internally fund investments, reduce reliance on external financing, and support long-term growth initiatives. This durability bolsters financial flexibility through business cycles.
Stable Balance Sheet
Moderate leverage and a healthy equity ratio suggest a resilient capital structure that supports strategic investment and downside protection. A conservative balance sheet provides capacity for M&A, R&D funding, and weathering macro shocks without impairing operations.
Negative Factors
Historically Negative ROE
A history of negative ROE implies prior inability to generate shareholder returns despite recent improvement. Sustained positive ROE is needed to demonstrate durable profitability; failure to maintain it would undermine long-term capital efficiency and investor confidence.
Suboptimal FCF Conversion
Free cash flow falling short of net income indicates structural conversion issues—possibly elevated capex or working capital needs. Persistent conversion gaps can constrain reinvestment, debt reduction, or shareholder returns, limiting sustained financial robustness.
Low Operating Margins
Relatively low EBIT/EBITDA margins despite strong gross margins point to elevated operating costs or scale-dependent SG&A. If these operating inefficiencies persist, they can erode long-term profitability and reduce the durability of margin expansion as revenue scales.

PLAID Inc. (4165) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

PLAID Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPLAID,Inc. develops and operates KARTE, a customer experience SaaS platform in Japan. It also engages in the planning and management of EC-specialized media, Shopping Tribe; and CX-specialized media, XD. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyPLAID generates revenue through a subscription-based model, charging developers and businesses for access to its APIs. The company offers tiered pricing based on usage, enabling clients to scale their services according to their needs. Key revenue streams include transaction fees for data retrieval and analytics services, as well as partnerships with financial institutions and fintech companies that integrate PLAID’s services into their platforms. Significant partnerships with major financial institutions enhance PLAID's data access capabilities, further driving its earnings by increasing the value of its offerings and attracting more clients.

PLAID Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PLAID Inc. has shown significant financial improvement, with strong revenue growth and a turnaround in profitability. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and cash flow generation is improving. However, there is room for enhancing operational efficiency and cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
75
Positive
PLAID Inc. has shown a strong improvement in its income statement over the years. The company achieved a significant revenue growth rate of 4.95% in the latest year, with a gross profit margin consistently above 70%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 8.20% from previous losses, showcasing a turnaround in profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while positive, are still relatively low, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of PLAID Inc. reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, the return on equity has been negative in the past, though it has turned positive recently, indicating improving profitability. Continued focus on enhancing equity returns will be beneficial.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
PLAID Inc.'s cash flow statement shows a robust improvement in free cash flow, with a growth rate of 3.27% in the latest year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly below 1, suggesting that not all net income is translating into free cash flow. Continued focus on cash flow efficiency will be key.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.76B13.40B10.99B8.63B7.30B5.44B
Gross Profit9.31B9.71B7.87B6.24B5.37B3.99B
EBITDA1.29B1.45B142.95M-1.88B-779.95M-63.41M
Net Income1.14B1.10B320.73M-2.11B-930.78M-106.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.52B9.65B7.30B6.22B7.09B6.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.95B6.60B4.74B3.83B4.24B4.17B
Total Debt1.03B1.82B1.32B1.38B1.84B916.09M
Total Liabilities4.03B4.84B4.10B3.47B3.02B2.03B
Stockholders Equity4.44B4.79B3.15B2.60B4.06B4.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.33B842.86M-371.80M-883.55M391.12M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.38B900.48M-325.09M-809.23M410.90M
Investing Cash Flow0.00215.71M-49.69M-89.00M-135.11M-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow0.00264.84M66.77M905.00K1.01B3.00B

PLAID Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price811.00
Price Trends
50DMA
814.14
Negative
100DMA
904.97
Negative
200DMA
1028.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-18.72
Positive
RSI
24.39
Positive
STOCH
5.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4165, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 811 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 824.15, below the 50-day MA of 814.14, and below the 200-day MA of 1028.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -18.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.39 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4165.

PLAID Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥21.88B15.963.86%0.50%17.15%
70
Outperform
¥32.45B17.371.45%5.48%5.36%
64
Neutral
¥62.15B-33.258.98%-581.59%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
¥31.51B28.3121.87%240.21%
52
Neutral
¥47.70B-191.3129.56%86.66%
41
Neutral
¥10.79B-27.1222.18%28.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4165
PLAID Inc.
722.00
-86.00
-10.64%
JP:3983
ORO Co. Ltd.
2,061.00
-375.57
-15.41%
JP:4192
SpiderPlus & Co.
306.00
-89.00
-22.53%
JP:4259
ExaWizards Inc.
738.00
265.00
56.03%
JP:4333
Toho System Science Co., Ltd.
1,145.00
-121.24
-9.57%
JP:4375
Safie Inc.
853.00
197.00
30.03%

PLAID Inc. Corporate Events

PLAID Issues Restricted Stock to Outside Directors to Strengthen Governance Alignment
Jan 16, 2026

PLAID, Inc. has approved the issuance of 11,072 shares of common stock as restricted stock compensation to two outside directors, with a total paid-in amount of ¥9,599,424 based on the January 15, 2026 market closing price of ¥867 per share. The move extends the company’s existing restricted stock compensation plan—originally designed for internal directors—to outside directors, following shareholder approval in December 2025, in order to align their interests more closely with shareholders, incentivize long-term oversight of management, and secure director commitment over a three-year period through transfer restrictions and clawback-style provisions tied to tenure and organizational changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4165) stock is a Buy with a Yen871.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLAID Inc. stock, see the JP:4165 Stock Forecast page.

PLAID, Inc. Expands Restricted Stock Plan to Include Outside Directors
Nov 18, 2025

PLAID, Inc. announced an amendment to its restricted stock compensation plan to include Outside Directors, aiming to align their interests with shareholders and enhance their supervisory role. This move, pending shareholder approval, reflects PLAID’s commitment to improving corporate governance and could impact its market positioning by fostering stronger alignment between management and shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4165) stock is a Hold with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLAID Inc. stock, see the JP:4165 Stock Forecast page.

PLAID, Inc. Proposes Capital Reserve Reduction for Strategic Flexibility
Nov 18, 2025

PLAID, Inc. announced a proposal to reduce its capital reserve and transfer the amount to other capital surplus, a move aimed at enabling more flexible capital policy implementation. This internal financial adjustment, set to be finalized by February 2026, will not affect the company’s net assets or business results, ensuring stability for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4165) stock is a Hold with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLAID Inc. stock, see the JP:4165 Stock Forecast page.

PLAID Inc. Revises Earnings Forecast Amid Fiscal Year-End Change
Nov 18, 2025

PLAID Inc. has announced a revision to its full-year consolidated earnings forecast due to a change in its fiscal year-end, extending the current fiscal year to a 15-month period ending December 31, 2026. This adjustment, pending shareholder approval, reflects an increase in projected net sales and income figures, indicating a positive outlook for the company’s financial performance during this transitional period.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4165) stock is a Hold with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLAID Inc. stock, see the JP:4165 Stock Forecast page.

PLAID, Inc. Announces Change in Fiscal Year-End and Articles of Incorporation
Nov 18, 2025

PLAID, Inc. announced a change in its fiscal year-end from September 30 to December 31, aiming to reduce the impact of seasonal factors on performance and enhance management transparency. This change, along with amendments to the Articles of Incorporation, is expected to improve operational efficiency and corporate value, affecting the timing of shareholder meetings and dividend distributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4165) stock is a Hold with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLAID Inc. stock, see the JP:4165 Stock Forecast page.

PLAID Inc. Acquires CloudFit to Boost Digital Transformation and AI Capabilities
Nov 12, 2025

PLAID Inc. announced its acquisition of CloudFit, Inc., a startup specializing in digital transformation and cloud services, to make it a subsidiary. This strategic move aims to enhance PLAID’s digital transformation capabilities and accelerate business expansion by integrating CloudFit’s expertise with PLAID’s existing services. The acquisition is expected to strengthen PLAID’s market position by expanding professional services and creating new business models through generative AI, ultimately improving productivity and profitability for clients.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4165) stock is a Hold with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLAID Inc. stock, see the JP:4165 Stock Forecast page.

PLAID, Inc. Reports Extraordinary Losses in Non-Consolidated Financials
Nov 12, 2025

PLAID, Inc. announced extraordinary losses in its non-consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2025, due to a provision for doubtful accounts and a loss on valuation of shares of its subsidiary, Emotion Tech Inc. The company recorded a 100 million yen provision for doubtful accounts and a 109 million yen loss on the valuation of shares, but these losses do not impact the consolidated financial results as they are offset and eliminated in the consolidated statements.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4165) stock is a Hold with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLAID Inc. stock, see the JP:4165 Stock Forecast page.

PLAID Inc. Reports Strong Financial Growth for FY 2025
Nov 12, 2025

PLAID Inc. reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, compared to the previous year. The company achieved a 21.9% increase in net sales, driven by strong subscription revenue and demand for its consulting services. Effective cost management also contributed to a substantial rise in operating income, highlighting PLAID’s successful strategic execution and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4165) stock is a Hold with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLAID Inc. stock, see the JP:4165 Stock Forecast page.

PLAID Inc. Reports Strong Financial Growth and Plans for Continued Investment
Nov 12, 2025

PLAID Inc. reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, with net sales rising by 21.9% and net income attributable to owners of the parent soaring by 242.7%. The company plans to continue its growth trajectory by executing agile growth investments and providing quarterly earnings forecasts to enhance transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4165) stock is a Hold with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLAID Inc. stock, see the JP:4165 Stock Forecast page.

PLAID, Inc. Secures 4 Billion Yen Loan for Growth and Expansion
Oct 21, 2025

PLAID, Inc. has entered into a loan agreement to secure financing aimed at supporting its organic growth, funding mergers and acquisitions, and optimizing capital efficiency. The company secured a total of 4 billion yen from multiple banks, with the loans being unsecured and unguaranteed, and the impact on the company’s business performance for the fiscal year ending September 2026 is expected to be minor.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4165) stock is a Hold with a Yen1198.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLAID Inc. stock, see the JP:4165 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025