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Jiayin Group (JFIN)
NASDAQ:JFIN
US Market

Jiayin Group (JFIN) AI Stock Analysis

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JFIN

Jiayin Group

(NASDAQ:JFIN)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(4.17% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/25/25
Jiayin Group's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, contributing positively to the overall score. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which poses a risk. The positive sentiment from the earnings call, highlighting growth and technological advancements, supports the stock's potential despite regulatory challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in loan facilitation volume indicates strong demand for Jiayin's services, suggesting potential for sustained revenue growth and market expansion.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory changes can impact pricing strategies and profit margins, posing challenges to maintaining current levels of profitability in the long term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in loan facilitation volume indicates strong demand for Jiayin's services, suggesting potential for sustained revenue growth and market expansion.
Read all positive factors

Jiayin Group (JFIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jiayin Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Jiayin Group Inc. provides online consumer finance services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a fintech platform that facilitates transparent, secure, and fast connections between individual borrowers and financial institutio...
How the Company Makes Money
Jiayin Group generates revenue through interest income on the loans it provides to consumers, as well as fees associated with loan origination and servicing. The company earns a significant portion of its income from the interest charged on the lo...

Jiayin Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 31, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a balanced picture: strong full-year growth in loan facilitation, revenue and net income and notable progress in international expansion, AI strategy and shareholder returns are positive. However, Q4 showed pronounced declines in quarterly revenue, operating income and cash balances, driven by regulatory tightening, liquidity pressure and deliberate de-risking that compressed margins and volumes. Management emphasizes a disciplined, compliance-first stance and early signs of stabilization in asset quality, but near-term headwinds persist.
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue and Profit Growth
Full-year 2025 revenue of RMB 6.22 billion, up ~7.3% year-over-year, and net income of RMB 1.54 billion, up ~45.4% year-over-year, representing a full-year net margin of 24.7% — demonstrating strong full-year operational resilience.
Negative Updates
Q4 Revenue and Net Income Declines
Q4 2025 net revenue was RMB 1,090.2 million, down 22.4% year-over-year, and Q4 net income was RMB 100.6 million versus RMB 275.5 million in Q4 2024 (a decline of ~63.5%), signaling near-term margin pressure.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Full-Year Revenue and Profit Growth
Full-year 2025 revenue of RMB 6.22 billion, up ~7.3% year-over-year, and net income of RMB 1.54 billion, up ~45.4% year-over-year, representing a full-year net margin of 24.7% — demonstrating strong full-year operational resilience.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided Q1 2026 loan facilitation volume of RMB 18.5–19.5 billion, reiterated a prudent, compliance‑first stance with quarterly target reviews and expectations of medium‑to‑long‑term high‑quality moderate growth, and flagged a goal to double overseas scale in 2026 as international markets move toward profitability; they also cited FY2025 results (facilitation RMB 129 billion, +~28% YoY; revenue RMB 6.22 billion, +7.3% YoY; net income RMB 1.54 billion, +45.4%, net margin 24.7%), Q4 pressures (Q4 facilitation RMB 24.2 billion, −12.6% YoY; net revenue RMB 1,090.2 million, −22.4% YoY; Q4 net income RMB 100.6 million, net margin ~9.2%; EPS RMB 0.49; ADS RMB 1.96), a Q4 90+‑day delinquency of 2.03% and an internal ~25–30% improvement in risk metrics, repeat borrowing now 79.4% of volume (+6.7 pp YoY), strong overseas growth (Indonesia facilitation +187% YoY, users +119% YoY; Mexico facilitation +105% YoY, users +110% YoY), and continued shareholder returns (2025 cash dividends USD 41.1 million, >50% YoY; repurchase program quota ≥USD 80 million with ~4.6M ADS repurchased for ~USD 30.4 million).

Jiayin Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Jiayin Group exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability. The balance sheet is robust, marked by low leverage and high equity levels, while cash flow generation is strong with impressive free cash flow growth. Continued focus on maintaining margins and managing capital expenditures will be key to sustaining this financial performance.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.54B5.80B5.47B3.27B1.78B1.30B
Gross Profit5.29B3.77B3.46B2.71B1.44B1.06B
EBITDA2.10B1.27B1.34B1.19B447.63M325.26M
Net Income1.71B1.06B1.30B1.18B472.09M252.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.91B5.41B5.64B3.02B971.43M525.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments124.15M540.52M370.19M291.02M182.55M117.32M
Total Debt35.95M51.68M47.96M27.46M35.24M8.39M
Total Liabilities3.61B2.28B3.26B1.78B945.68M989.14M
Stockholders Equity4.30B3.13B2.38B1.24B27.86M-461.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00686.36M358.05M795.68M181.77M-36.35M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.43B389.59M915.37M184.54M-35.51M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-783.52M-105.85M-157.25M-126.22M33.23M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-332.69M-193.48M-86.10M9.94M10.60M

Jiayin Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.20
Price Trends
50DMA
5.86
Negative
100DMA
6.42
Negative
200DMA
9.46
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Positive
RSI
29.48
Positive
STOCH
36.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JFIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.04, above the 50-day MA of 5.86, and below the 200-day MA of 9.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.48 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JFIN.

Jiayin Group Risk Analysis

Jiayin Group disclosed 100 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jiayin Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jiayin Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$572.15M9.8354.21%57.83%293.63%
73
Outperform
$223.62M5.2737.65%11.97%3.79%50.06%
64
Neutral
$370.65M34.175.27%12.68%133.00%
61
Neutral
$929.95M33.984.51%10.96%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
$574.29M28.43-477.82%64.86%-112.92%
51
Neutral
$531.18M-14.97-12.56%6.65%50.32%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JFIN
Jiayin Group
4.19
-5.45
-56.54%
EVER
EverQuote
15.09
-5.12
-25.33%
FVRR
Fiverr International
10.31
-14.71
-58.79%
MAX
MediaAlpha
9.05
1.55
20.67%
TBLA
Taboola.com
3.35
0.64
23.62%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
1.37
-0.12
-8.05%

Jiayin Group Corporate Events

Jiayin Group Reports Robust Q3 2025 Financial Growth
Nov 25, 2025
Jiayin Group Inc. reported its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a 20.6% increase in loan facilitation volume to RMB32.2 billion and a 39.7% rise in net income to RMB376.5 million compared to the same period i...
Jiayin Group Secures RMB600 Million Loan Facility
Nov 12, 2025
On November 6, 2025, Jiayin Group Inc.’s subsidiary, Shanghai Jirongzhicheng Enterprise Development Co., Ltd., entered into a loan facility agreement with financial institutions for up to RMB600 million, maturing on November 11, 2032. This l...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025