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Hasbro (HAS)
NASDAQ:HAS

Hasbro (HAS) AI Stock Analysis

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HAS

Hasbro

(NASDAQ:HAS)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$100.00
▲(7.70% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is anchored by mixed financial performance: strong free cash flow offsets weak reported earnings and elevated leverage. Earnings-call guidance is notably positive and supports the outlook, while technicals are neutral/soft near term and valuation is constrained by a negative P/E, partially balanced by the dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistent, large free cash flow (~$830M in 2025) provides durable funding for debt reduction, reinvestment in Wizards/digital, dividends and buybacks. Strong cash conversion cushions the business against earnings volatility and supports strategic optionality over multiple years.
Wizards of the Coast franchise strength
Wizards shows durable franchise economics: high growth, recurring set releases, organized play scale and ~46% operating margins. This segment's engagement-driven, high-margin cash flow is structurally valuable, underwriting corporate profitability and funding cross-company investments long term.
Material cost savings and productivity gains
A multi-year $1B cost transformation that has delivered ~$800M to date, plus AI and 3D printing acceleration, materially improves structural cost base and product development speed. These durable efficiencies support sustainable margin improvement and faster time-to-market for hits.
Negative Factors
High leverage and thin equity base
Elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~4.9x) and a thin equity cushion leave the balance sheet vulnerable to profit volatility or macro shocks. High leverage constrains flexibility, raises refinancing and covenant risk, and increases the cost of capital for strategic initiatives over the medium term.
Profitability deterioration and thin operating margins
Despite revenue and gross margin recovery, a swing to a net loss and near-zero EBITDA margin indicates operating profitability is fragile. This undermines retained earnings growth, weakens ROE, and makes sustained deleveraging and capital returns dependent on reestablishing stable operating income.
Structural cost headwinds: tariffs and rising royalties
Recurring tariff exposure and increasing royalty costs are structural margin headwinds that cannot be fully offset by one-time productivity. These ongoing costs compress gross and operating margins, forcing reliance on volume growth or sustained productivity to preserve long-term profitability.

Hasbro (HAS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hasbro Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHasbro, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a play and entertainment company. Its Consumer Products segment engages in the sourcing, marketing, and sale of toy and game products. This segment also promotes its brands through the out-licensing of trademarks, characters, and other brand and intellectual property rights to third parties through the sale of branded consumer products, such as toys and apparels. Its toys and games include action figures, arts and crafts and creative play products, fashion and other dolls, play sets, preschool toys, plush products, sports action blasters and accessories, vehicles and toy-related specialty products, games, and other consumer products; and licensed products, such as apparels, publishing products, home goods and electronics, and toy products. The company's Wizards of the Coast and Digital Gaming segment engages in the promotion of its brands through the development of trading card, role-playing, and digital game experiences based on Hasbro and Wizards of the Coast games. Its Entertainment segment engages in the development, acquisition, production, distribution, and sale of world-class entertainment content, including film, scripted and unscripted television, family programming, digital content, and live entertainment. The company sells its products to retailers, distributors, wholesalers, discount stores, drug stores, mail order houses, catalog stores, department stores, and other traditional retailers, as well as ecommerce retailers; and directly to customer through Hasbro PULSE e-commerce website. Hasbro, Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Pawtucket, Rhode Island.
How the Company Makes MoneyHasbro makes money primarily by monetizing its brands and intellectual property through (1) sales of toys, games, and trading cards and (2) licensing and entertainment-related revenues. 1) Consumer products sales (toys, games, and trading cards): Hasbro generates revenue by selling branded products to retailers, distributors, and e-commerce channels (and, to a lesser extent, direct-to-consumer). Key product types typically include action figures and playsets, dolls, preschool lines, board games, and trading card games. Revenue is driven by unit volume and product mix, with demand influenced by seasonality (notably the holiday period), new product launches, and the strength of associated franchises. Hasbro’s cost structure and margins in this area are influenced by product design and development, manufacturing and sourcing costs, logistics, retail/e-commerce promotional activity, and inventory management. 2) Wizards of the Coast and Digital Gaming (where applicable): Hasbro earns revenue from its Wizards of the Coast business through trading card game sales (e.g., Magic: The Gathering) and through digital gaming offerings tied to its brands. This stream tends to be supported by recurring fan engagement via new set releases, organized play, and digital content/experiences. (If a specific breakdown between physical and digital is not available in the provided context, null.) 3) Licensing and brand monetization: Hasbro licenses its owned intellectual property to third parties that produce and sell branded merchandise (e.g., apparel, accessories, publishing, and other consumer goods) and pays/receives royalties depending on the arrangement. Licensing can provide higher-margin royalty income compared with manufacturing and selling physical products. Hasbro also licenses in certain entertainment or character rights for products tied to external franchises (terms vary by partner). 4) Entertainment-related revenue: Hasbro monetizes its brands through entertainment initiatives, which can include revenue from content production and distribution arrangements, and royalties tied to media that promotes or extends brand ecosystems. The contribution and specific structure depend on individual projects and distribution partners. Significant factors influencing earnings include the strength and longevity of Hasbro’s core brands, successful new product and set releases, retail and e-commerce channel dynamics, supply chain execution and input costs, and the company’s ability to extend intellectual property across products, licensing, and entertainment via partnerships and distribution agreements.

Hasbro Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Hasbro is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsHasbro's revenue in North America and Europe is facing headwinds, with a noticeable decline in recent quarters. This aligns with challenges in the Consumer Products segment, impacted by tariffs and retailer shifts. However, the Asia Pacific region shows resilience, with a recent uptick possibly benefiting from strategic partnerships and content expansion. Despite these regional variances, Hasbro's overall growth is buoyed by the success of Wizards of the Coast, particularly MAGIC: The Gathering, which is driving significant revenue gains and offsetting geographic weaknesses.
Data provided by:The Fly

Hasbro Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented materially positive operational and financial momentum — strong top-line growth, record adjusted operating profit and margin expansion, breakout performance at Wizards/Magic, meaningful cost savings, strengthened cash flow and capital return actions, and expanded partnerships and digital traction. Near-term headwinds include tariffs, rising royalties, incremental investment for self-published games (impacting margins), an EPS headwind from higher interest and FX/tax items, and a full-year decline in Consumer Products that is expected to reverse into growth. On balance the company’s achievements, guidance and capital actions outweigh the manageable near-term challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Profit Growth
Q4 net revenue of $1.5B, up 31% year-over-year; Q4 adjusted operating profit of $315M, up 180% YoY with a 21.8% Q4 operating margin; Full year net revenue of $4.7B, up 14% YoY; full year adjusted operating profit exceeded $1.1B, up 36% YoY; full year adjusted operating margin 24.2% (≈+400 bps YoY); full year adjusted EPS $5.54.
Wizards of the Coast Surge
Wizards Q4 revenue $630M, up 86% YoY (Magic up ~141% in Q4); Q4 operating profit $284M with a 45% operating margin; full year Wizards revenue $2.2B, up 45% YoY, with operating profit just over $1B and a ~46% margin; Magic full-year revenue growth ~60% and core KPIs strong (organized play >1M unique players, +22% YoY; Wizards Play Network >10,000 stores, +20% YoY).
Strong Product Momentum in Magic
Major set performance: Avatar the Last Airbender became the third-highest selling Magic set in history; Lorwyn Eclipse became the fastest selling Magic premier set ever; Secret Lair delivered its largest quarter ever and backlist sales hit a record, indicating robust evergreen demand.
Digital & Mobile Gaming Traction
MONOPOLY GO contributed ~$168M (steady revenue/profit stream) with an expected monthly revenue pool of ~$12–14M; self-published game trailers (Exodus & Warlock) have garnered >100M views across channels, supporting planned 2027 launches; digital licensing and mobile pipeline showing strong engagement.
Expanded Partnerships and Brand Reach
Large slate of new and renewed partnerships (primary toy license for HBO’s Harry Potter series, K-Pop Demon Hunters, Voltron, Streetfighter, HBO Baldur's Gate series, multiple Disney film tie-ins); Hasbro reports annual brand reach >1 billion people (revised up from 585M), reinforcing scale and partner appeal.
Material Cost Savings and Operational Productivity
Cost transformation delivered almost $800M of gross savings through 2025 toward a $1B target; over $175M of gross savings in targeted areas during 2025; expecting ~$150M of gross cost savings in 2026; supply chain productivity and product development improvements contributed materially to margin expansion.
Faster Product Development via AI and 3D Printing
AI-assisted design paired with 3D printing reduced concept-to-physical-prototype time by roughly 80%, enabling faster iteration and higher hit-rate innovation; enterprise AI workflows expected to free >1M hours of lower-value work in the coming year.
Strong Cash Flow and Capital Returns
Generated $893M operating cash flow in 2025; ended year with $777M cash on hand; returned $393M to shareholders via dividends; achieved gross leverage target of 2.3x; Board authorized a new $1B share repurchase program while continuing debt reduction and targeted reinvestment.
Consumer Products Q4 Recovery & Inventory Discipline
Consumer Products Q4 revenue $800M, up 7% YoY with improved adjusted operating profit ($54M) driven by better product mix and promotional discipline; owned inventory at a record low of 75 days, reducing working capital and inventory risk.
Negative Updates
Consumer Products Full-Year Revenue Decline
Consumer Products full-year revenue declined 4% to $2.4B despite Q4 recovery; full-year adjusted operating profit was $113M. Management cited comping specific out-licensing items and tariff impacts as drivers of the annual decline.
Tariff Costs and Margin Pressure
Tariff-related costs hit supply chain (~$40M in 2025 with ~60–65% of that in Q4) and are modeled at roughly $60M for 2026, creating a recurring headwind that supply chain productivity only partly offsets.
Increasing Royalty Expense and Near-Term Margin Drag
Higher royalty expense tied to the entertainment slate and Universes Beyond sets is expected to reduce margins (~1 to 1.5 percentage points of margin drag in 2026), contributing to expected giveback in Wizards margins from exceptionally strong 2025 levels.
EPS and Below-the-Line Headwinds
Guidance notes approximately $40M year-over-year headwind to EPS due to higher interest expense (planned refinancing) and lower non-operating income (translational FX impacts and absence of prior-year Swiss deferred tax asset benefit).
Near-Term Investment Costs for Self-Published Games
Planned 2027 self-published game launches (Exodus and Warlock) will drive incremental costs in 2026–2027 (marketing, product development and royalties) and are expected to temper margins in the near term; Wizards margins anticipated to normalize to high-30s/low-40s as a result.
Specific Licensing/Outlicensing Weaknesses
Some out-licensing revenue softness was driven by a My Little Pony trading card comp (notably in China) and other timing effects, causing licensing revenue to be down in parts of the business despite overall brand momentum.
Macro Consumer Uncertainty / Two-Tier Demand
Management highlighted a two-tier consumer environment: resilient demand in the top ~20% of households but pressure in lower-income cohorts; this consumer bifurcation poses downside risk if broader discretionary spending weakens.
Company Guidance
Hasbro guided 2026 consolidated revenue to grow 3–5% on a constant‑currency basis, with full‑year operating margins of 24–25% and adjusted EBITDA of $1.40–1.45 billion; segment guidance calls for Wizards to deliver mid‑single‑digit revenue growth with operating margins in the low‑40% range, Consumer Products to grow low‑single digits with operating profit margins of 6–8%, and Entertainment to be slightly positive with ~50% margins. The outlook assumes roughly $150 million of gross cost savings in 2026 (part of a multi‑year $1 billion transformation commitment), stronger H1 revenue but H1 margin pressure from higher royalty expense and tariff timing, margin expansion in H2 from mix and supply‑chain productivity, and tariffs modeled at about $60 million (vs. ~$40 million in 2025). Below‑the‑line items include higher interest expense from planned refinancing and ~ $40 million of year‑over‑year EPS headwind from lower non‑operating income/FX and the absence of a prior Swiss tax benefit; capital priorities remain investing behind Wizards and digital gaming, debt paydown (gross leverage finished 2025 at 2.3x), maintaining the dividend (Q1 dividend authorized), and a restarted $1 billion share‑repurchase authorization.

Hasbro Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals. Revenue rebounded and gross margin improved, and cash generation is strong (operating cash flow ~$893M; free cash flow ~$830M). However, reported profitability deteriorated to a net loss (-$322M) with extremely thin EBITDA margin (~0.2%), and the balance sheet is more stretched with high leverage (debt-to-equity ~4.9x) and reduced equity.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Revenue rebounded in 2025 (annual) to $4.70B (+7.9% YoY) after declines in 2023–2024, and gross margin expanded sharply to ~71% from ~65% in 2024. However, profitability deteriorated materially: net income swung to a loss (-$322M) and net margin fell to -6.9%, while operating profitability is extremely thin (EBITDA margin ~0.2%) versus strong levels in 2024 (~21%). Overall, the top-line and gross margin recovery is a positive, but the collapse in operating earnings and return to net losses is the key concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Leverage increased meaningfully in 2025 (annual) as equity shrank to ~$566M while debt remained elevated at ~$2.77B, pushing debt-to-equity to ~4.9x (up from ~2.9x in 2024). Return on equity also turned negative in 2025, reflecting the earnings loss. While total debt has come down from 2020–2022 peaks, the current equity base is thin, leaving the balance sheet more vulnerable if earnings volatility persists.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength. In 2025 (annual), operating cash flow rose to ~$893M and free cash flow increased to ~$830M (+27.9%), following solid free cash flow in 2024 (~$760M). Cash conversion remains strong despite the net loss, with free cash flow roughly matching net income in magnitude (free cash flow to net income ~0.93). The main weakness is that cash flow coverage of key obligations/requirements remains under 1.0 (0.48 in 2025), though it improved vs. 2023–2024 levels.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.70B4.14B5.00B5.86B6.42B
Gross Profit3.30B2.67B2.87B3.45B3.87B
EBITDA232.70M880.50M-863.20M1.22B1.67B
Net Income-322.40M385.60M-1.49B203.50M428.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.55B6.34B6.54B9.30B10.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments882.00M694.70M544.80M498.60M983.40M
Total Debt3.40B3.41B3.50B4.01B4.07B
Total Liabilities4.99B5.16B5.45B6.43B6.95B
Stockholders Equity538.50M1.16B1.06B2.83B3.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow829.90M760.20M516.30M198.70M685.20M
Operating Cash Flow893.20M847.40M725.60M372.90M817.90M
Investing Cash Flow-284.40M-203.70M117.60M-313.00M242.00M
Financing Cash Flow-531.30M-497.50M-818.10M-553.30M-1.46B

Hasbro Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price92.85
Price Trends
50DMA
93.39
Negative
100DMA
86.05
Positive
200DMA
79.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
40.83
Neutral
STOCH
32.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HAS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 92.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.65, below the 50-day MA of 93.39, and above the 200-day MA of 79.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HAS.

Hasbro Risk Analysis

Hasbro disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hasbro reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hasbro Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$462.14M-33.91-5.18%3.22%-0.07%-31.45%
63
Neutral
$5.53B25.3423.39%1.15%4.20%24.12%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$13.06B-36.02-54.74%3.44%0.87%14.02%
58
Neutral
$4.76B15.8818.08%-2.36%-16.06%
52
Neutral
$225.45M-8.874.05%5.97%-16.49%-81.62%
47
Neutral
$211.11M-2.75-35.34%-11.32%-165.08%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HAS
Hasbro
92.85
34.71
59.71%
GOLF
Acushnet Holdings
94.44
29.36
45.10%
JAKK
Jakks Pacific
19.70
-4.03
-16.97%
JOUT
Johnson Outdoors
44.68
20.43
84.23%
MAT
Mattel
15.76
-4.41
-21.86%
FNKO
Funko
3.85
-3.34
-46.45%

Hasbro Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Hasbro Completes $400 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Mar 12, 2026

On March 12, 2026, Hasbro completed a $400 million registered public offering of senior unsecured notes bearing interest at 4.650% and maturing on March 12, 2031. The notes, issued under an existing indenture structure, include optional redemption provisions before and after a February 12, 2031 par call date, as well as a change-of-control repurchase feature at 101% of principal.

The indenture governing the notes also imposes covenants limiting Hasbro’s ability to incur certain secured debt and engage in sale-leaseback transactions, alongside customary events of default. Hasbro entered an underwriting agreement on March 5, 2026, with a syndicate led by BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, Citigroup, and Scotia Capital, underscoring the company’s continued use of the debt capital markets to support its financing strategy and balance sheet needs.

The most recent analyst rating on (HAS) stock is a Hold with a $98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hasbro stock, see the HAS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Hasbro Expands Revolving Credit Facility to Bolster Liquidity
Positive
Feb 20, 2026

On February 20, 2026, Hasbro, Inc. entered into a Fourth Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Agreement that replaces its prior 2023 facility and provides a senior unsecured revolving credit line of $1.1 billion, with the option to increase commitments by up to an additional $550 million. The amended facility extends the maturity to February 20, 2031, includes sub‑facilities for up to $75 million in letters of credit and $50 million in swing line loans, and ties interest margins and commitment fees to the company’s debt rating and consolidated net total leverage ratio.

The agreement imposes standard covenants, including limits on liens, additional indebtedness, and certain mergers, as well as requirements to maintain a minimum consolidated interest coverage ratio of 3.00:1.00 and maximum consolidated net total leverage ratios of 3.75:1.00 in most quarters and 4.00:1.00 in the third quarter. By securing long‑dated, flexible liquidity on investment‑grade style terms, Hasbro strengthens its capital structure and financial flexibility, which may support ongoing operations, balance sheet management, and strategic initiatives for the benefit of lenders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HAS) stock is a Buy with a $99.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hasbro stock, see the HAS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Hasbro Expands Board With New Consumer and Gaming Leaders
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 19, 2026, Hasbro’s board of directors expanded from ten to twelve members and appointed Carla Vernón, CEO of The Honest Company, and Doug Bowser, retired president and COO of Nintendo of America, as new directors, with Vernón joining the Nominating, Governance and Social Responsibility Committee and Bowser joining the Audit Committee. The additions bring deep consumer, gaming, and brand-building expertise from Amazon, General Mills, Nintendo, Electronic Arts and Procter & Gamble, bolstering Hasbro’s governance bench and supporting its long-term innovation and growth agenda as it seeks to strengthen its competitive position in global play and entertainment markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (HAS) stock is a Hold with a $89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hasbro stock, see the HAS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026