Jakks Pacific (JAKK) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $189.44M
• Dividend Yield: 4.41%
• Average Volume (3M): 94.39K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 34.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.37
• Revenue Growth: -16.49%
• EPS Growth: -81.62%
• Country: US
• Employees: 680
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Leisure
• EPS (TTM): 1.80
• Shares Outstanding: 11,269,529
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 88,424
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 94,392
• PEG Ratio: -0.77
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.26
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.44
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.96
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.30
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.43
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.35
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 12.40
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 58 Neutral
• Price Target: $17.50 ▼(-9.51% Downside)

Jakks Pacific's overall stock score reflects significant financial and operational challenges, particularly in declining revenues and profitability margins. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further impacting the score. However, the stock's low P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield provide some valuation appeal. The earnings call underscored the difficulties faced due to tariffs and sales declines, but management's strategic initiatives offer a glimmer of hope for future improvement.

Positive Factors

Strong Cash Position

An improved cash position enhances financial flexibility, allowing Jakks Pacific to invest in growth initiatives and weather economic uncertainties.

New Product Initiatives

Innovative product lines and collaborations can drive consumer interest and sales, supporting long-term revenue growth and market competitiveness.

International Expansion

Growth in international markets diversifies revenue streams and reduces dependency on domestic sales, enhancing resilience against local economic fluctuations.

Negative Factors

Significant Sales Decline

A substantial decline in sales indicates challenges in market demand and competitive positioning, potentially impacting long-term profitability.

Impact of Tariffs

High tariffs increase costs and create market uncertainty, affecting pricing strategies and potentially reducing profit margins over the long term.

Adjusted EBITDA Decrease

A significant drop in EBITDA reflects declining operational efficiency, which can hinder the company's ability to invest in growth and improve shareholder value.

Jakks Pacific Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Jakks Pacific, Inc. (JAKK) is a leading toy and consumer products company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the design, development, and marketing of a wide array of toys, games, and entertainment products. The company operates in various sectors, including action figures, dolls, and outdoor toys, and is well-known for its licensed merchandise associated with popular franchises such as Disney, Nintendo, and other major entertainment properties. Jakks Pacific also focuses on innovative play experiences, aiming to create engaging products that resonate with children and families alike.

How the Company Makes Money

Jakks Pacific generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of toys and related products to retailers and distributors around the world. The company's revenue model involves licensing agreements with major entertainment franchises, allowing it to produce and sell toys based on popular characters and brands, which can significantly enhance sales potential. Additionally, Jakks Pacific benefits from direct-to-consumer sales through e-commerce channels. Their strategic partnerships with well-known brands and entertainment companies help increase market visibility and drive sales, while seasonal product launches and targeted marketing campaigns further contribute to their earnings.

Jakks Pacific Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Jakks Pacific faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability margins, impacting its income statement. The balance sheet remains strong with low leverage and a solid equity base, providing financial stability. However, the cash flow statement indicates potential liquidity issues with declining free cash flow growth. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cash generation to enhance its financial health.

Income Statement

Jakks Pacific's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a significant drop in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is stable, but the net profit margin has decreased significantly in the TTM period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating reduced operational efficiency. Despite these challenges, the company has maintained a positive net income.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The return on equity has decreased in the TTM period but remains positive, suggesting that the company is still generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, showing a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth in the TTM period, indicating potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, suggesting reduced cash generation efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains relatively strong, indicating that the company is still able to generate cash relative to its net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	574.30M	691.04M	711.56M	796.19M	621.12M	515.87M
Gross Profit	181.11M	213.02M	223.35M	211.29M	182.96M	149.76M
EBITDA	19.79M	50.87M	59.98M	71.85M	18.69M	25.84M
Net Income	6.08M	33.92M	38.41M	91.41M	-6.01M	-14.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	485.27M	444.87M	398.95M	399.30M	357.05M	329.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	25.89M	69.94M	72.35M	85.30M	44.52M	87.95M
Total Debt	56.62M	56.52M	24.05M	87.76M	114.03M	183.17M
Total Liabilities	229.35M	204.04M	202.84M	246.82M	299.15M	316.43M
Stockholders Equity	255.91M	240.33M	195.41M	151.48M	56.57M	11.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	17.62M	27.70M	57.50M	75.71M	-14.10M	35.30M
Operating Cash Flow	29.38M	38.95M	66.40M	86.10M	-5.88M	43.57M
Investing Cash Flow	-13.57M	-12.89M	-8.91M	-10.39M	-8.19M	-8.19M
Financing Cash Flow	-13.28M	-26.92M	-72.29M	-31.02M	-32.79M	-10.95M

Jakks Pacific Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 19.34
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JAKK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.20, above the 50-day MA of 18.21, and below the 200-day MA of 20.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JAKK.

Jakks Pacific Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MAT	72 Outperform	$5.96B	14.41	18.90%	―	-2.36%	-16.06%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
JAKK	58 Neutral	$189.44M	34.18	2.40%	4.41%	-16.49%	-81.62%
HAS	56 Neutral	$10.97B	―	-65.93%	3.59%	0.87%	14.02%
FNKO	52 Neutral	$184.37M	―	-32.77%	―	-11.32%	-165.08%
PLBY	45 Neutral	$139.81M	―	-749.38%	―	21.73%	-29.67%
DOGZ	41 Neutral	$171.84M	―	-5.86%	―	39.47%	31.39%

Jakks Pacific Corporate Events

Jakks Pacific Faces Challenges Amid Sales Decline

The recent earnings call for Jakks Pacific painted a picture of a challenging fiscal quarter, marked by significant sales declines and the adverse effects of tariffs. Despite these hurdles, the company has maintained a strong cash position and noted some growth in international markets. New product initiatives provide a glimmer of hope, but the overall financial environment remains tough.

Jakks Pacific Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend

On October 29, 2025, Jakks Pacific‘s Board of Directors announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per common share. This dividend will be distributed on December 29, 2025, to shareholders recorded by November 28, 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JAKK) stock is a Buy with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jakks Pacific stock, see the JAKK Stock Forecast page.

JAKKS Pacific Reports Decline in Q3 2025 Earnings

JAKKS Pacific, Inc. is a prominent toy and consumer products company based in Santa Monica, California, known for its diverse range of proprietary and licensed products sold globally. In its recent financial report for the third quarter of 2025, JAKKS Pacific revealed a significant decline in net sales, reporting $211.2 million, a 34% decrease from the previous year. This downturn was primarily attributed to reduced direct-import sales and the absence of new theatrical release-related products.