Jakks Pacific (JAKK)
NASDAQ:JAKK
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Jakks Pacific
(NASDAQ:JAKK)
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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(15.35% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/04/26
The score is driven by operational and cash-flow pressure despite a healthier balance sheet, with earnings-call commentary reinforcing near-term headwinds (sales decline, EBITDA/EPS weakness, tariff costs). Technicals are a notable positive (clear uptrend), while valuation is mixed due to a negative P/E offset by a ~4.16% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Modest leverage and sizable equity provide financial flexibility to fund product development, tooling, dividends and opportunistic M&A over the next 2–6 months. A stronger balance sheet reduces refinancing risk and supports multi‑year investments (e.g., 2027 initiatives) despite near‑term earnings weakness.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Decline
A large TTM revenue contraction and margin compression signal loss of scale and pricing power, raising the risk that fixed costs and SG&A will leverage earnings negatively. Sustained top‑line weakness could impair investment capacity and slow recovery even if new initiatives succeed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Modest leverage and sizable equity provide financial flexibility to fund product development, tooling, dividends and opportunistic M&A over the next 2–6 months. A stronger balance sheet reduces refinancing risk and supports multi‑year investments (e.g., 2027 initiatives) despite near‑term earnings weakness.
Read all positive factors
Jakks Pacific (JAKK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$246.74M
Dividend Yield5.97%
Average Volume (3M)53.58K
Price to Earnings (P/E)30.9
Beta (1Y)1.03
Revenue Growth-21.02%
EPS Growth-82.84%
CountryUS
Employees680
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryLeisure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.51
Shares Outstanding11,444,411
10 Day Avg. Volume45,913
30 Day Avg. Volume53,581
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.26
Price to Book (P/B)0.76
Price to Sales (P/S)0.33
P/FCF Ratio-176.29
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.97
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.35
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.08
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.85
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$27.00Price Target Upside19.79% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)2.82
Revenue Forecast (FY)$597.00M
Jakks Pacific Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
JAKKS Pacific, Inc. is a global enterprise specializing in the conception, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of a diverse array of playthings, electronic products, and various consumer goods. The company operates through two primary divis...
How the Company Makes Money
JAKKS Pacific makes money primarily by selling physical consumer products to retailers and distributors, generating revenue when it ships finished goods (toys and other play products) under wholesale arrangements. A significant portion of its toy ...
Jakks Pacific Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: meaningful strategic and operational positives (notably strong international growth, healthy gross margin, stable cash and inventory, multiple successful product tie-ins, and a major new anime/manga initiative with higher-margin potential) were offset by near-term pressures (6% revenue decline, a 16% drop in North America, a quarterly adjusted EBITDA loss, higher tariff costs and a worse adjusted EPS). Management emphasized cautious optimism, disciplined cost control, and multi-year investments to position the company for growth in 2027 and beyond.Positive Updates
Solid International Revenue Growth
International net sales of $29.0 million in Q1, up 38% year-over-year, driving geographic diversification and representing approximately 27% of total net sales (increase versus prior year). Management noted EMEA delivered its best quarter since 2015 with particularly strong performance in France and Spain.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Consolidated net sales of $107 million in Q1, down 6% year-over-year. Toy and Consumer Product net sales down 7% YoY, reflecting softer demand in certain categories and the absence of a prior-year dress-up initiative.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Solid International Revenue Growth
International net sales of $29.0 million in Q1, up 38% year-over-year, driving geographic diversification and representing approximately 27% of total net sales (increase versus prior year). Management noted EMEA delivered its best quarter since 2015 with particularly strong performance in France and Spain.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance was cautiously constructive: Q1 net sales were $107.0M (−6% YoY) with Toy & Consumer Products down 7%; North America totaled $78M (−$15M, −16%) while International was $29M (+38%), and >70% of North American shipments were FOB (about 25% of the NA decline was reduced low‑margin closeouts). Q1 gross profit was $36M (−9%), gross margin held at 33.4% (down 100 bps from 34.4%), adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $0.371M versus a $0.354M gain a year ago (trailing‑12‑month adjusted EBITDA $34.6M, −2%), adjusted EPS was a loss of $0.17 (vs. −$0.03), diluted shares ~11.4M, cash $64M (up from $59M), inventory ~$53M (flat). Management expects SG&A to grow at least in line with sales for the year, aims to keep G&A growth no greater than revenue growth while funding 2027 launches (including a major anime platform), warned of tariff and oil/shipping cost risks (paid $1–2M in U.S. tariffs this quarter vs. < $0.1M last year and has filed for refunds), and the Board approved a $0.25 Q2 dividend (record May 29, payable June 29); overall they said the near‑term outlook is better than 12 months ago and they remain on track for 2026 goals while investing for 2027–28.Jakks Pacific Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 677.35M | 570.67M | 691.04M | 711.56M | 796.19M | 621.12M |
| Gross Profit | 220.41M | 185.08M | 213.02M | 223.35M | 211.29M | 182.96M |
| EBITDA | 22.02M | 25.47M | 50.87M | 59.98M | 71.84M | 18.69M |
| Net Income | 5.59M | 9.87M | 33.92M | 38.41M | 91.41M | -6.01M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 400.45M | 442.20M | 444.87M | 398.95M | 405.34M | 357.05M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 63.98M | 54.07M | 69.94M | 72.55M | 85.30M | 44.52M |
| Total Debt | 50.03M | 92.94M | 56.52M | 24.05M | 87.76M | 114.03M |
| Total Liabilities | 158.46M | 193.09M | 204.04M | 202.84M | 258.64M | 299.15M |
| Stockholders Equity | 241.98M | 249.10M | 240.33M | 195.41M | 145.70M | 56.57M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 14.99M | -1.07M | 27.70M | 57.50M | 75.71M | -14.10M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 30.14M | 8.49M | 38.95M | 66.40M | 86.10M | -5.88M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -18.16M | -12.34M | -12.89M | -8.91M | -10.39M | -8.19M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -4.12M | -16.90M | -26.92M | -72.29M | -31.02M | -32.79M |
Jakks Pacific Technical Analysis
Positive
22.54
Price Trends
21.65
Positive
20.43
Positive
18.70
Positive
Market Momentum
0.01
Positive
47.76
Neutral
14.05
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JAKK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.82, above the 50-day MA of 21.65, and above the 200-day MA of 18.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JAKK.
Jakks Pacific Risk Analysis
Jakks Pacific disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jakks Pacific reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Jakks Pacific Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $4.13B | 8.47 | 22.75% | ― | -0.25% | 2.23% | |
62 Neutral | $246.74M | 30.95 | 3.24% | 5.97% | -21.02% | -82.84% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $11.82B | -52.99 | -48.30% | 3.44% | 12.74% | -152.25% | |
55 Neutral | $293.08M | -5.02 | -32.19% | ― | -10.39% | -191.24% | |
48 Neutral | $151.92M | -19.70 | -79.63% | ― | -18.44% | 91.45% | |
44 Neutral | $14.80M | -2.15 | -8.77% | ― | -19.38% | -33.51% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JAKK
Jakks Pacific
21.56
0.89
4.29%
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Jakks Pacific Corporate Events
Dividends
Jakks Pacific Declares Quarterly Dividend, Signals Shareholder Confidence
Positive
May 1, 2026
On April 29, 2026, Jakks Pacific’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per common share, reinforcing its practice of returning capital to shareholders through regular distributions. The dividend is scheduled to be ...
Dividends
Jakks Pacific Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend to Shareholders
Positive
Feb 20, 2026
On February 18, 2026, Jakks Pacific’s board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per common share, reinforcing its practice of returning capital to shareholders and signaling confidence in its ongoing cash generation and ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.