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Funko (FNKO)
NASDAQ:FNKO

Funko (FNKO) AI Stock Analysis

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FNKO

Funko

(NASDAQ:FNKO)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(2.04% Upside)
Funko's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability, high leverage, and cash flow issues. While there are strategic initiatives and potential growth opportunities, these are overshadowed by current financial risks and valuation concerns.

Funko (FNKO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Funko Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFunko Inc. (FNKO) is an American consumer products company specializing in licensed pop culture collectibles. Founded in 1998, Funko is best known for its iconic Pop! Vinyl figures, which feature stylized representations of characters from movies, television shows, video games, and more. The company operates primarily in the collectibles sector, targeting a broad audience of collectors and enthusiasts. In addition to Pop! figures, Funko offers a wide range of products including action figures, plush toys, apparel, and board games, appealing to fans of various franchises across entertainment mediums.
How the Company Makes MoneyFunko generates revenue primarily through the sale of its collectible products, with a significant portion coming from its Pop! Vinyl figures. The company sells its products through various channels including retail partnerships with major retailers, e-commerce platforms, and direct-to-consumer sales via its own online store. Funko's revenue model is enhanced by licensing agreements with major brands and franchises, allowing them to create and sell collectibles based on popular characters. Additionally, the company benefits from limited edition releases and exclusives, which can drive up demand and pricing. Partnerships with retailers such as Walmart, Target, and Hot Topic, as well as participation in conventions and pop culture events, further contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and visibility.

Funko Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Funko's strategic advancements in licensing agreements, product innovation, and international expansion. However, there are notable challenges such as declining net sales, tariff impacts, and financial uncertainty. Despite these issues, the company's efforts in diversifying its product lines and renewing key partnerships suggest potential for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
1 Billion Units Sold Milestone
Funko celebrated selling 1 billion units, marking a significant achievement in the company's history.
Membership Growth
The fan loyalty program membership grew by 27% since the start of the year.
Strong Social Media Presence
Funko boasts a strong social media presence with 9 million followers and a highly diversified customer base.
Renewal of Major Licensing Agreements
Funko renewed multi-year agreements with major partners including Warner Bros, NBC Universal, 20th Century, Paramount, and Disney.
Launch of KPop Demon Hunters Line
KPop Demon Hunters became one of Funko's biggest presale items ever, showcasing the company's ability to quickly capitalize on trends.
Introduction of Bitty Pop!
Bitty Pop! was introduced in Walmart's toy aisle and featured in Walmart's top toy list, expected to expand to 1,800 stores.
Improved Gross Margin
The company's gross margin was reported at 40.2%, showing resilience despite increased tariffs.
Strong International Potential
Funko sees significant growth opportunities in Asia and Latin America, leveraging existing relationships.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Sales
Net sales were $250.9 million, reflecting a decline attributed to SKU rationalizations and reduced clearance sales.
Challenges in U.S. Market
U.S. POS units were down mid- to high single digits year-over-year, indicating challenges in domestic market demand.
Tariff Impact
The announcement and implementation of tariffs earlier in the year disrupted shipping and order placements.
Debt and Refinancing Concerns
Total debt was approximately $241 million with ongoing refinancing processes and concerns about the company's ability to continue as a going concern.
Pullback in Marketing Spend
There was a decrease in direct-to-consumer sales due in part to reduced marketing efforts.
Company Guidance
During Funko's 2025 Third Quarter Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a modest increase in net sales for the fourth quarter compared to the third quarter's $250.9 million, driven by initiatives like the launch of Pop! Yourself in Europe and the sales of KPop Demon Hunters product lines. Gross margin is expected to remain around 40%, with adjusted EBITDA margin projected to be in the mid- to high-single digits. The company's strategy focuses on expanding international presence, particularly in Asia and Latin America, enhancing direct-to-consumer capabilities, and leveraging its strong portfolio of more than 900 active licensed properties. Funko aims to capitalize on its diverse customer base and growing fandom, highlighted by achievements such as 1 billion units sold and a 27% growth in its fan loyalty program since the start of the year. The company's long-term strategy, "Make Culture POP!", is centered around culture, creativity, and commerce, with plans to innovate product offerings and strengthen retail partnerships worldwide.

Funko Financial Statement Overview

Summary
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Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
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Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
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Investing Cash Flow
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Funko Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.94
Price Trends
50DMA
3.15
Positive
100DMA
3.20
Positive
200DMA
3.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
59.61
Neutral
STOCH
74.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FNKO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.16, below the 50-day MA of 3.15, and below the 200-day MA of 3.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FNKO.

Funko Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.17B14.8618.90%-2.36%-16.06%
56
Neutral
$11.51B-20.47-65.93%3.44%0.87%14.02%
56
Neutral
$190.23M34.322.40%5.97%-16.49%-81.62%
48
Neutral
$188.33M-2.67-32.77%-11.32%-165.08%
47
Neutral
$202.58M-5.8060.60%66.17%
46
Neutral
$151.16M-27.86-5.86%39.47%31.39%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FNKO
Funko
3.40
-10.59
-75.70%
HAS
Hasbro
82.00
27.38
50.13%
JAKK
Jakks Pacific
16.88
-10.12
-37.48%
MAT
Mattel
19.84
1.90
10.59%
DOGZ
Dogness (International)
10.60
-26.00
-71.04%
PLBY
Playboy
1.88
0.41
27.89%

Funko Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Funko Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results, Exceeds Expectations
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Funko reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing net sales of $250.9 million, a decrease from $292.8 million in the previous year. Despite the drop in sales, the company exceeded expectations in gross margin and net income, driven by the success of its Bitty Pop! line and effective tariff mitigation strategies. CEO Josh Simon highlighted the brand’s growth potential and strategic focus on rapid product launches and retail experiences. Looking ahead, Funko anticipates modest sales growth and a stable gross margin in the fourth quarter of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (FNKO) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Funko stock, see the FNKO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025