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Funko (FNKO)
NASDAQ:FNKO
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Funko (FNKO) AI Stock Analysis

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FNKO

Funko

(NASDAQ:FNKO)

Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-1.32% Downside)
Funko's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenue, negative profitability, and high leverage. Technical analysis supports a bearish outlook, while valuation metrics are poor. The earnings call and corporate events provide some optimism for future improvement, but significant risks remain.
Positive Factors
Leadership Strategy
Analyst remains confident in the potential for strengthening growth trends due to new CEO Cynthia William's strategies.
Product Demand
Content-led product demand is promising, with FNKO poised to benefit from product launches tied to major Hollywood properties.
Negative Factors
Retail Caution
Retailers remain cautious into the holidays.

Funko (FNKO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Funko Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFunko, Inc. (FNKO) is a leading pop culture consumer products company known for its innovative design and production of licensed pop culture collectibles, including vinyl figures, plush toys, and a variety of other merchandise. Founded in 1998 and headquartered in Everett, Washington, Funko operates primarily in the entertainment and collectibles sector, offering a diverse array of products based on popular franchises from movies, television, video games, and more. The company's iconic Pop! Vinyl figures are particularly popular among collectors and fans, contributing significantly to its brand identity and market presence.
How the Company Makes MoneyFunko generates revenue through the sale of its licensed merchandise, primarily focusing on collectibles such as Pop! Vinyl figures, action figures, and other themed products. The company has established partnerships with major studios and franchises, allowing it to produce exclusive and limited-edition items that attract collectors and fans alike. Key revenue streams include retail sales through major retailers, e-commerce platforms, and direct sales at conventions and events. Funko also benefits from the growth of the collectibles market and the increasing demand for licensed merchandise, which supports its earnings. Collaborations and exclusive product launches with popular franchises, as well as an expanding international presence, further contribute to its financial success.

Funko Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -16.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Funko is facing significant challenges due to declines in net sales, gross profit, and liquidity issues, largely attributed to tariff disruptions. However, they remain optimistic about improved performance in the second half of 2025, driven by international growth and implemented cost mitigation strategies.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Second Half Performance Expected
Funko expects performance to improve in the second half of 2025 compared to the first half, with net sales down only in the high single digits and adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid- to high single digits.
International Business Growth
Funko's international business, which accounts for more than one-third of sales, showed 18% POS sales growth in the first half of the year and 28% in Q2.
Tariff Mitigation Plan Implementation
Funko implemented a tariff mitigation plan that includes price increases, production shifts out of China, and SG&A reductions, estimating the incremental duties and tariff costs in 2025 to be $40 million, down from an earlier estimate of $45 million.
Negative Updates
Significant Decline in Net Sales
Net sales for Q2 were $193.5 million, a 22% decline from the previous year's second quarter, primarily due to U.S. tariff policy disruptions.
Decreased Gross Profit and Margin
Gross profit was $62 million with a margin of 32.1%, compared to $104 million and a 42% margin in the previous year, impacted by reduced royalties and tariff-related inventory reserves.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA and Loss
Funko reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $16.5 million compared to a positive $27.9 million last year, and an adjusted net loss of $26.7 million or $0.48 per share.
Debt and Liquidity Concerns
Funko has total debt of $256.6 million with liquidity of $54.2 million, and its ability to continue as a going concern is disclosed due to the upcoming debt refinancing needs.
Company Guidance
During Funko's 2025 second quarter financial results conference call, the company provided guidance amid challenging economic conditions. Total net sales for Q2 were $193.5 million, marking a 22% decline year-over-year, primarily due to disruptions from U.S. tariff policies. Gross profit was $62 million with a gross margin of 32.1%, down from last year's Q2 gross margin of 42%. SG&A expenses increased to $82.3 million from $77.9 million, and the adjusted net loss was $26.7 million. The company reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $16.5 million. Despite these challenges, Funko anticipates improved performance in the second half of 2025, with net sales expected to decrease by high single digits compared to the second half of 2024 and adjusted EBITDA margins anticipated to be in the mid- to high single digits. The company is taking steps to mitigate tariff impacts by shifting production to countries like Vietnam and implementing price increases, while also focusing on refinancing their debt due in 2026.

Funko Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Funko exhibits mixed financial performance with challenges in profitability and revenue trajectory. While cash flow has improved recently, the balance sheet leverage and negative profit margins are key areas of concern. Continued focus on cost management and revenue growth is critical for stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Funko's revenue has shown volatility, with a decrease from 2022 to 2023, followed by a slight recovery in TTM. The gross profit margin is moderate but declining, indicating cost challenges. The company has struggled with profitability, reporting negative net income and EBIT margins in recent periods.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio that increased significantly due to declining equity. The company's equity ratio indicates a lower proportion of assets financed by equity, posing a stability risk. However, liquidity appears adequate with cash reserves and manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Funko's cash flow position shows resilience with positive free cash flow in the TTM, reversing previous negative trends. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, highlighting good cash generation relative to earnings. However, cash flow volatility remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue970.70M1.05B1.10B1.32B1.03B652.54M
Gross Profit368.60M434.53M333.00M434.02M380.99M249.15M
EBITDA17.61M72.65M55.79M34.96M136.66M67.91M
Net Income-65.25M-14.72M-154.08M-8.04M43.90M3.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets694.91M707.25M804.64M1.09B967.50M763.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.15M34.66M36.45M19.20M83.56M52.26M
Total Debt331.22M260.31M362.35M347.08M238.63M262.12M
Total Liabilities513.74M470.90M566.61M701.46M570.95M441.14M
Stockholders Equity181.17M233.02M231.94M368.22M321.64M242.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.05M90.73M-4.20M-99.28M59.60M88.76M
Operating Cash Flow18.69M123.52M30.93M-40.13M87.36M107.24M
Investing Cash Flow-34.48M-25.23M-39.80M-78.06M-27.38M-18.48M
Financing Cash Flow23.71M-99.24M25.60M54.64M-28.63M-61.84M

Funko Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.04
Price Trends
50DMA
4.05
Negative
100DMA
4.23
Negative
200DMA
7.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Negative
RSI
43.75
Neutral
STOCH
82.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FNKO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.13, below the 50-day MA of 4.05, and below the 200-day MA of 7.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FNKO.

Funko Risk Analysis

Funko disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Funko reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Funko Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$5.89B11.7925.39%-1.72%70.21%
70
Neutral
$180.83M14.667.66%4.58%-6.65%8.79%
67
Neutral
$202.20M5.4817.82%2.76%1.31%23.14%
67
Neutral
$428.56M-8.33%3.16%-3.56%-407.47%
61
Neutral
$17.75B12.51-5.49%3.06%1.43%-14.10%
61
Neutral
$11.48B25.59-81.67%3.43%-6.42%45.85%
44
Neutral
$168.31M-32.24%-9.07%-38.09%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FNKO
Funko
3.04
-7.59
-71.40%
ESCA
Escalade
13.10
0.04
0.31%
HAS
Hasbro
81.60
16.40
25.15%
JAKK
Jakks Pacific
17.91
-5.47
-23.40%
JOUT
Johnson Outdoors
42.37
8.18
23.93%
MAT
Mattel
18.53
-0.99
-5.07%

Funko Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Funko Amends Stockholders Agreement with TCG Fuji
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Funko, Inc. amended its Stockholders Agreement with its largest stockholder, TCG Fuji 3.0, LP, to adjust the conditions under which TCG retains certain consent rights. The amendment allows TCG to exclude up to $40 million of shares issued in at-the-market offerings from the 22% beneficial ownership threshold, potentially impacting future capital stock issuances.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Funko Appoints Josh Simon as New CEO
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Funko, Inc. announced the appointment of Josh Simon as the new Chief Executive Officer and a Class II director, effective September 1, 2025. Simon, who previously held a leadership role at Netflix, brings extensive experience in global consumer products and strategy. His appointment is accompanied by a comprehensive employment agreement that includes a significant compensation package and equity awards, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on strengthening its leadership and market position.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Funko Faces Financial Reporting Challenges in 2024
Negative
Aug 7, 2025

Funko, Inc. has released its consolidated financial statements for the years ending December 31, 2024, 2023, and 2022, revealing material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2024. The company faces substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to adverse effects on net sales, margins, and profitability, exacerbated by tariffs. Additionally, Funko changed its accounting principle regarding crypto asset safeguarding in 2024.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Funko Reports Q2 2025 Sales Decline Amid Tariff Challenges
Negative
Aug 7, 2025

Funko reported a challenging second quarter for 2025, with net sales dropping to $193.5 million from $247.7 million in the same period in 2024. The company experienced a net loss of $41.0 million, attributed to a dynamic and uncertain tariff environment. Despite these setbacks, Funko remains optimistic about the second half of 2025, expecting financial improvements through cost-cutting measures, diversified product sourcing, and price adjustments. The company aims to stabilize its business and enhance growth initiatives, anticipating a better performance in the latter half of the year.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Funko Announces Retention Bonuses for Key Executives
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Funko, Inc. announced cash retention bonuses for its Chief Financial Officer, Yves Le Pendeven, and Chief Legal Officer, Tracy Daw, amounting to $300,000 and $150,000 respectively. These bonuses are contingent upon continued employment through March 31, 2026, with provisions for earlier payment under specific termination conditions, reflecting the company’s strategy to retain key executives.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Funko Amends Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Funko Acquisition Holdings, L.L.C., a subsidiary of Funko, Inc., and its domestic subsidiaries entered into a Fourth Amendment with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. and certain lenders to amend their existing credit agreement. The amendment includes waivers for financial covenants for specific fiscal quarters, a reduction in revolving commitments, an increase in loan margins, and modifications to financial reporting and covenant obligations. These changes are likely to impact Funko’s financial flexibility and operational strategies, potentially affecting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Funko Announces New Interim CEO Michael Lunsford
Neutral
Jul 7, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Funko, Inc. announced a leadership change as Cynthia Williams transitioned from her role as Chief Executive Officer, effective July 5, 2025. Michael Lunsford was appointed as the Interim CEO while also remaining a director of the company. This leadership transition may impact the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Funko Elects New Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Funko, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 85.77% of the company’s outstanding common stock was represented. During the meeting, Trevor Edwards, Michael Lunsford, and Cynthia Williams were elected as Class II directors, and the stockholders approved the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, as well as the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025