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Plby Group, Inc. (PLBY)
:PLBY
US Market

PLBY Group (PLBY) AI Stock Analysis

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PLBY Group

(NASDAQ:PLBY)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(2.04%Upside)
PLBY Group's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, as indicated by negative profitability and high leverage. However, the recent positive momentum in licensing and adjusted EBITDA provides some optimism for the future. Technical analysis suggests short-term gains but warns of overbought conditions. Valuation remains a concern with the negative P/E ratio. The earnings call highlights potential growth avenues but also notes some risks. Overall, the stock has potential but is risky due to its financial instability.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
PLBY Group has reached an agreement with senior lenders to repay its senior debt at a significant discount, aiming to reduce total leverage and future interest payments.
Licensing Agreement
A new 7-year licensing agreement with Sunny Cusco grants exclusive rights to develop and sell apparel and other products on the shop.playboy.com website.
Strategic Business Development
Management is focusing on license-first strategy by selling non-core businesses, raising capital, rationalizing costs, and developing new license revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Business Strategy Concerns
Concerns have been raised about PLBY’s business level performance, strategy, and balance sheet, affecting market perception and confidence.
Financial Performance
PLBY Group reported soft Q2 results with both revenue and adjusted EBITDA falling well below expectations due to the gradual recovery of the licensing business.
Revenue Decline
Reduced promotions drove a ~29% year-over-year decline in Honey Birdette's total revenue, which came in at $24.9 million for Q2, significantly below expectations.

PLBY Group (PLBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PLBY Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPLBY Group, Inc. operates as a pleasure and leisure company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Licensing, Direct-to-Consumer, and Digital Subscriptions and Content. It offers sexual wellness products, such as products that enhance sexual experience, lingerie, bedroom accessories, intimates, and adult content; style and apparel products for men and women; gaming and lifestyle products, including digital casino and social games, and other home and hospitality offerings; and beauty and grooming products for men and women, such as skincare, haircare, bath and body, grooming, cosmetics, and fragrance. The company offers its products under its flagship brand, Playboy. It also owns and operates digital commerce retail platforms, such as Playboy.com, HoneyBirdette.com, Yandy.com, and LoversStores.com; and Honey Birdette and Lovers retail stores. In addition, the company licenses content for programming on Playboy television; trademarks under multi-year arrangements with consumer products, online gaming, and location-based entertainment businesses; and programming content to cable television operators and direct-to-home satellite television operators. Further, its business covers the subscription sale of PlayboyPlus.com and Playboy.tv, which are online content platforms. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyPLBY Group generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model that includes consumer products, media and content, and brand licensing. The consumer products segment is a significant revenue stream, offering a wide array of branded merchandise such as apparel, accessories, and home goods. The media and content segment focuses on digital subscriptions, advertising, and partnerships in the entertainment industry. Licensing agreements, allowing other companies to produce and sell products using the Playboy brand, also contribute substantially to the company's earnings. Strategic partnerships and collaborations further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities by expanding its reach and product offerings.

PLBY Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 25.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook with strong licensing revenue growth, a return to positive EBITDA, and successful new ventures. However, there are some concerns about potential tariff impacts and the longer timeline for new ventures to materialize.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive EBITDA Achievement
Q1 2025 marked the first positive EBITDA quarter since 2023, with an adjusted EBITDA of $2.4 million. This was further improved by $1 million in cost reductions at the end of the quarter, potentially making it $3.4 million.
Significant Licensing Revenue Increase
Licensing revenue was up 175% year-over-year, driven primarily by the Byborg deal and rebuilding the China licensing business.
Honey Birdette Sales Growth
Honey Birdette is ahead of plan in Q2 and is expected to face easy comparables, indicating positive sales growth.
Successful Magazine Launch
The magazine sold out online and had an impressive sell-through at Barnes & Noble, leading to plans for additional issues.
Negative Updates
Potential Tariff Impact
Tariffs could impact future quarters with an estimated $1 million effect. However, price increases have been implemented to mitigate this.
Uncertain Timeline for New Ventures
While there is enthusiasm around new licensing categories like gaming and hospitality, these are projected as longer-term opportunities with uncertain immediate financial impact.
Company Guidance
During the PLBY Group's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company outlined several key metrics and expectations for upcoming quarters. Honey Birdette is anticipated to perform well against an easy comparable in the second quarter, with a projected $1 million impact from Chinese tariffs in the latter half of the year. To mitigate this, a 10% price increase has been implemented in the U.S. market, which represents $35 million of their business. The Byborg partnership guarantees a $20 million annual minimum, with additional payments expected. Licensing revenue increased by 175% year-over-year, driven by the Byborg deal and a recovery in the China licensing business. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $2.4 million, with potential future growth from gaming and hospitality licensing deals. The call also highlighted plans to expand content offerings, including magazines and potential paid voting campaigns, aiming for significant growth in 2026 and beyond.

PLBY Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PLBY Group is facing significant financial difficulties across its financial statements. The company struggles with profitability, as reflected by negative margins and declining revenue. High leverage and minimal equity raise concerns about financial stability and future solvency. Cash flows are negative, indicating operational challenges that may require strategic shifts or external support to ensure long-term viability. The company needs strategic interventions to stabilize and improve its financial position.
Income Statement
40
Negative
PLBY Group's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative net income and declining revenue. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a gross profit margin of 64.3%, which is relatively strong, but the net profit margin is deeply negative at -48.0%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue growth is inconsistent, with a notable decline from 2022 to 2023. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are both negative, reflecting ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet of PLBY Group demonstrates financial instability, highlighted by a minimal stockholders' equity of $6.8 million against total liabilities of $263.8 million. This results in a concerning debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio stands at only 2.5%, signaling high leverage and limited financial flexibility. The return on equity is negative, further underscoring the company's difficulty in generating returns for shareholders amidst financial distress.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
PLBY Group's cash flow statement reflects a precarious situation with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow. The TTM data shows a negative free cash flow of $18.7 million, indicating challenges in sustaining operations and investments without additional financing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is less than optimal, highlighting a need for cash generation improvements to support business operations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
149.94M116.14M142.95M266.93M246.57M147.66M
Gross Profit
96.44M74.36M88.17M137.29M131.72M74.48M
EBIT
-49.46M-50.84M-190.37M-23.21M-69.62M13.61M
EBITDA
-36.91M-38.52M-164.08M-270.52M-53.38M15.87M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-71.99M-79.40M-180.42M-277.70M-79.72M-5.27M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
23.72M30.90M28.12M31.64M69.25M13.43M
Total Assets
270.57M284.70M334.25M552.46M935.41M412.13M
Total Debt
24.74M202.04M222.00M239.83M274.08M164.93M
Net Debt
1.02M171.14M193.88M208.19M204.84M151.50M
Total Liabilities
263.79M292.64M288.57M397.42M513.12M329.11M
Stockholders Equity
6.79M-7.73M45.89M155.25M422.49M83.02M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-18.71M-21.40M-46.84M-66.86M-54.25M-71.00K
Operating Cash Flow
-17.01M-19.14M-43.29M-59.43M-36.74M813.00K
Investing Cash Flow
242.00K-318.00K12.95M8.75M-273.18M-5.47M
Financing Cash Flow
21.63M21.59M26.18M11.56M370.47M-8.49M

PLBY Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.47
Price Trends
50DMA
1.28
Positive
100DMA
1.38
Positive
200DMA
1.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
52.01
Neutral
STOCH
26.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLBY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.54, above the 50-day MA of 1.28, and above the 200-day MA of 1.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PLBY.

PLBY Group Risk Analysis

PLBY Group disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PLBY Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PLBY Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$6.76B11.072.80%6.34%2.68%-24.87%
52
Neutral
$96.35M-17.72%4.93%-22.08%
50
Neutral
$147.41M-186.28%8.52%98.75%
48
Neutral
$138.10M-404.40%10.19%56.53%
VRVRA
45
Neutral
$59.50M-36.91%-24.95%-2349.32%
41
Neutral
$32.53M
-7.66%-735.19%
40
Underperform
$82.91M-521.67%-12.15%75.86%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLBY
PLBY Group
1.47
0.67
83.75%
QVCGA
QVC Group
3.19
-27.56
-89.63%
PLCE
Children's Place
3.89
-4.73
-54.87%
VRA
Vera Bradley
2.15
-3.77
-63.68%
FFAI
Faraday Future Intelligent Electric
1.40
-11.64
-89.26%
DIBS
1stdibs.com
2.67
-1.79
-40.13%

PLBY Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
PLBY Group Rebrands to Playboy, Inc. at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, PLBY Group held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected two directors to the board, approved the increase of authorized shares, and ratified the appointment of the company’s auditor. However, the proposal for a second tranche of investment by Byborg Enterprises was not approved. The company also decided to change its name to Playboy, Inc., reflecting its commitment to the brand and its global licensing business. Despite the rejection of the Byborg investment proposal, PLBY Group remains focused on strengthening its financial position and values its partnership with Byborg.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLBY) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLBY Group stock, see the PLBY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
PLBY Group Implements Executive Retention Agreements
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 4, 2025, PLBY Group, Inc. entered into retention agreements with its key executives to incentivize their continued employment and manage equity grants under the 2021 Equity and Incentive Compensation Plan. These agreements include restricted stock units for the executives, with vesting schedules extending to 2027, and provisions for conversion to cash under certain conditions, highlighting the company’s strategic focus on retaining leadership talent.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLBY) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PLBY Group stock, see the PLBY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.