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American Outdoor Brands (AOUT)
NASDAQ:AOUT
US Market

American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) AI Stock Analysis

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American Outdoor Brands

(NASDAQ:AOUT)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(8.40%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability, balanced by positive earnings guidance and strategic innovations. While technical indicators suggest neutral market sentiment, valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation concerns.

American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Outdoor Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Outdoor Brands, Inc. provides outdoor products and accessories for rugged outdoor enthusiasts in the United States and internationally. It offers hunting, fishing, camping, shooting, and personal security and defense products. The company also provides shooting sports accessories products include rests, vaults, and other related accessories; outdoor lifestyle products, such as premium sportsmen knives and tools for fishing and hunting; land management tools for hunting preparedness; harvesting products for post-hunt or post-fishing activities; outdoor cooking products; and camping, survival, and emergency preparedness products. In addition, it offers electro-optical devices, including hunting optics, firearm aiming devices, flashlights, and laser grips; and reloading, gunsmithing, and firearm cleaning supplies. The company sells its products through e-commerce and traditional distribution channels under the Adventurer, Harvester, Marksman, and Defender brand lanes. American Outdoor Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Columbia, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerican Outdoor Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its comprehensive range of outdoor products and accessories. The company's key revenue streams include wholesale distribution to major retailers, direct-to-consumer sales via its e-commerce platforms, and partnerships with specialty stores. Significant factors contributing to its earnings are its strong brand portfolio, innovation in product development, and strategic acquisitions that expand its market reach and product offerings.

American Outdoor Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -26.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in net sales and profitability, driven by innovative product developments and strategic brand positioning. Despite the challenges posed by tariffs and cautious consumer behavior, the company demonstrated strong financial performance and positive future guidance, underpinning a robust long-term strategy.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Sales Growth
American Outdoor Brands reported net sales of $58.5 million for Q3, marking a 9.5% increase over the previous year.
Outdoor Lifestyle Category Success
Net sales in the outdoor lifestyle category grew by 15.1%, driven by strong performance in the Meet Your Maker and BOG brands.
Increased Adjusted EBITDAS
Adjusted EBITDAS nearly doubled year-over-year to $4.7 million from $2.4 million, with a trailing twelve-month increase of 45%.
Gross Margin Improvement
The GAAP gross margin for Q3 increased by 200 basis points to 44.7% from 42.7%.
Innovation in Product Development
New products like the Bubba Smartfish Scale Lite and the Caldwell Clay Copter highlight the company's innovation advantage, contributing to over 20% of net sales annually.
Share Repurchase Program and Strong Balance Sheet
The company repurchased approximately $1.2 million of its common stock, maintaining a strong balance sheet with $17.1 million in cash and no debt.
Positive Guidance for Fiscal 2026
Expectations for net sales in fiscal 2026 are between $220 million and $230 million, representing a growth of 7.9% from the midpoint of fiscal 2025.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Ongoing tariff developments pose challenges, with potential increased tariffs on Chinese goods affecting the manufacturing cost structure.
Consumer Caution
Despite strong product pull-through, there is noted consumer caution in purchasing, influenced by external economic factors.
Company Guidance
During the American Outdoor Brands, Inc. Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating robust performance and future growth. Net sales for the quarter reached $58.5 million, marking a 9.5% increase from the previous year, driven by a 15.1% growth in the outdoor lifestyle category and nearly 3% growth in shooting sports. The company highlighted a significant increase in non-GAAP adjusted EBITDAS, which almost doubled year-over-year. Gross margin improved by 200 basis points to 44.7% on a GAAP basis and 45% on a non-GAAP basis. Operating expenses were relatively flat at $25.8 million, with non-GAAP OpEx at $22.7 million, representing a decrease as a percentage of net sales. GAAP EPS was $0.01, improving from a negative $0.23 last year, while non-GAAP EPS rose to $0.21 from $0.08. The company projected fiscal 2025 net sales to be between $207 million and $210 million, with a GAAP gross margin of approximately 45% and an adjusted EBITDAS range of $14.5 million to $15.5 million. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, the company anticipates net sales growth between $220 million and $230 million, reflecting the strength of their innovation-driven strategy.

American Outdoor Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
American Outdoor Brands faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, reflected in a negative P/E ratio and decreasing equity. However, stable gross margins and manageable leverage offer some operational efficiency. The need for strategic improvements is evident to ensure financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
American Outdoor Brands has experienced declining revenue over recent years, with a TTM revenue of $206.68 million compared to $276.69 million in 2021. The company has struggled with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins in both the TTM and past annual periods. Despite this, the gross profit margin remained relatively stable at approximately 45% in the TTM, indicating some operational efficiency. However, negative EBIT and net income highlight ongoing challenges in achieving sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.19 in the TTM, reflecting manageable leverage. Stockholders' equity accounts for a significant portion of total assets, with an equity ratio of about 73%. However, declining stockholders' equity, from $279.91 million in 2021 to $178.69 million in the TTM, suggests potential financial stress. Return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
While the company generated positive free cash flow of $7.62 million in the TTM, this represents a significant decrease from previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash generation exceeds net losses, suggesting some efficiency in operations. However, the decline in operating cash flow from $33.32 million in 2021 to $8.27 million in the TTM highlights challenges in maintaining cash flow stability.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
206.68M201.10M191.21M247.53M276.69M167.38M
Gross Profit
93.34M88.43M88.06M114.24M126.83M71.02M
EBIT
-4.71M-12.50M-11.51M12.64M23.50M85.06M
EBITDA
6.02M3.60M5.00M-38.24M43.32M9.77M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-4.39M-12.25M-12.02M-64.88M18.41M-96.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
17.07M29.70M21.95M19.52M60.80M234.00K
Total Assets
245.88M240.60M243.59M277.84M341.26M248.41M
Total Debt
33.64M34.62M29.59M49.58M26.55M4.15M
Net Debt
16.57M4.92M7.64M30.05M-34.25M3.92M
Total Liabilities
67.20M62.67M51.72M74.81M61.36M24.32M
Stockholders Equity
178.69M177.93M191.86M203.03M279.90M224.10M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.80M18.38M25.85M-24.54M29.14M6.58M
Operating Cash Flow
8.27M24.49M30.71M-17.95M33.32M8.45M
Investing Cash Flow
-4.05M-5.98M-4.83M-33.59M-4.18M-1.86M
Financing Cash Flow
-3.04M-10.77M-23.45M10.26M31.43M-6.51M

American Outdoor Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.07
Price Trends
50DMA
11.52
Negative
100DMA
13.15
Negative
200DMA
12.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
41.60
Neutral
STOCH
12.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AOUT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.68, below the 50-day MA of 11.52, and below the 200-day MA of 12.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AOUT.

American Outdoor Brands Risk Analysis

American Outdoor Brands disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Outdoor Brands reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Outdoor Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$229.61M5.0521.81%4.85%2.89%41.09%
68
Neutral
$189.02M13.928.29%4.38%-5.40%9.57%
62
Neutral
$6.80B11.042.79%4.42%2.67%-25.07%
61
Neutral
$315.20M-9.70%4.28%-7.28%-924.86%
55
Neutral
$134.79M33.59-32.32%2.85%-1.01%-886.54%
54
Neutral
$140.21M-2.43%4.91%58.25%
49
Neutral
$48.64M8.84%-16.42%88.30%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AOUT
American Outdoor Brands
11.07
2.56
30.08%
CLAR
Clarus
3.52
-2.91
-45.26%
ESCA
Escalade
13.80
1.66
13.67%
JAKK
Jakks Pacific
20.89
3.64
21.10%
JOUT
Johnson Outdoors
29.50
-3.01
-9.26%
ISPO
Inspirato
3.71
0.09
2.49%

American Outdoor Brands Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
American Outdoor Brands Reports Strong Q2 Performance
Positive
Dec 6, 2024

American Outdoor Brands reported a strong second-quarter performance, driven by an innovative strategy that enhanced distribution, brand awareness, and profitability. They achieved a 4% increase in net sales and a 43% growth in adjusted EBITDAS. Their innovation includes a steady pipeline of new products and distinctive merchandising solutions, aiming to expand their market presence. Their success is attributed to their ability to meet retailer demands with consistently high-quality, cross-category products, which has led to positive feedback and expanded partnerships.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.