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Inspirato Incorporated (ISPO)
:ISPO
US Market

Inspirato (ISPO) AI Stock Analysis

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Inspirato

(NASDAQ:ISPO)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-1.69%Downside)
The overall stock score of 48 reflects Inspirato's significant financial challenges, particularly high leverage and negative cash flows. Technical analysis provides mixed signals, while valuation metrics are poor. The strategic merger with Buyerlink and operational improvements offer some positive outlook.

Inspirato (ISPO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Inspirato Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInspirato Incorporated operates as a subscription-based luxury travel company. The company provides affluent travelers access to a portfolio of curated luxury vacation options. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 425 private luxury vacation homes available exclusively to subscribers; and accommodations at approximately 420 luxury hotel and resort partners worldwide. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyInspirato makes money primarily through its subscription-based model, where members pay a monthly or annual fee to access the company's portfolio of luxury vacation properties and travel services. In addition to membership fees, Inspirato generates revenue from booking fees for reservations made through its platform. The company may also earn income from ancillary services such as travel planning and concierge services, which enhance the overall travel experience for its members. Inspirato's partnerships with property owners, luxury resorts, and other travel service providers play a crucial role in expanding its offerings and maintaining a diverse inventory of high-quality accommodations, thus contributing to its revenue generation.

Inspirato Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights significant progress in operational improvements and record adjusted EBITDA, indicating effective strategic shifts. However, challenges remain with declining revenue and member count, as well as negative free cash flow. Despite these lowlights, the company is optimistic about future profitability and growth driven by operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Inspirato delivered the strongest adjusted EBITDA performance in its history, reaching $5.6 million in Q1 2025, indicating that their strategic shift towards operational discipline is effective.
Cost of Revenue and Operating Expenses Decline
Cost of revenue declined by $8 million year-over-year, and operating expenses were down approximately $8 million, showing significant improvements in cost management.
Strong Occupancy and ADR Increase
Controlled residence accommodations maintained a strong occupancy level of 74%, with an 8% increase in Average Daily Rate (ADR) to over $2,100, supporting gross margin goals.
Launch of New Initiatives for Member Experience
Inspirato launched new initiatives to standardize service quality, including enhanced concierge training and a partnership with Sixth car rental for exclusive member benefits.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue for the quarter was approximately $66 million, down 18% year-over-year, with subscription revenue down 26% due to the planned decline of Pass subscriptions.
Member Count Decrease
Club memberships decreased to 10,200 from 10,900 year-over-year, with headwinds expected to persist through the first half of the year, impacting member growth.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Q1 free cash flow was negative $8 million, including $2.6 million in one-time cash outflows related to lease terminations, with an underlying free cash flow burn of approximately $4.5 million.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Inspirato delivered a record adjusted EBITDA of $5.6 million, marking the strongest performance in the company's history. Total revenue for the quarter was approximately $66 million, representing an 18% decrease year-over-year. Subscription revenue was reported at $21 million, down 26%, primarily due to a strategic shift away from Pass subscriptions. The company maintained a high occupancy rate of 74% in controlled residence accommodations, with an 8% increase in average daily rate (ADR) to over $2,100. Despite a revenue decline, Inspirato is focused on achieving sustainable profitability by fine-tuning its cost base and investing in a robust digital marketing and technology platform, with full-year 2025 guidance projecting adjusted EBITDA between breakeven and $5 million, and revenue between $235 million and $255 million. Operating expenses are expected to decrease by 15% year-over-year, ranging between $80 million and $90 million.

Inspirato Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Inspirato is facing significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and negative equity. Despite improved margins and operational efficiencies, the company remains unprofitable and struggles with cash flow, indicating financial instability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Inspirato has faced significant challenges in revenue growth, with total revenue declining by approximately 15% from 2023 to 2024. Gross Profit Margin improved to 42.6% in 2024 compared to 16.5% in 2023, demonstrating enhanced operational efficiency. However, the company remains unprofitable with a negative Net Profit Margin of -1.9% in 2024, though this is an improvement from -15.7% in 2023. The EBIT Margin is positive at 7.9% in 2024, a considerable recovery from -18.8% in 2023, showing potential for future profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's financial position is concerning, marked by negative Stockholders' Equity, which deteriorated further to -$129.9 million in 2024 from -$30.2 million in 2023. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, indicating financial instability. Total Assets decreased by approximately 17% from 2023 to 2024, reflecting asset shrinkage. Despite improvements in certain areas, the overall financial leverage remains high, posing a significant risk.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Inspirato's cash flow position is weak, with negative Free Cash Flow of -$21.2 million in 2024, though this is an improvement from -$63.5 million in 2023. Operating Cash Flow is negative at -$15.8 million in 2024 but shows a positive trajectory compared to -$51.4 million in 2023. The company is struggling to generate sufficient cash to cover its operational expenses, indicating liquidity challenges.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue279.86M329.10M345.53M234.75M165.59M
Gross Profit119.22M54.31M116.24M82.00M64.99M
EBITDA60.54M6.17M43.54M-26.37M4.42M
Net Income-5.39M-51.76M-51.08M-13.79M-868.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets273.88M330.73M430.37M145.77M120.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.84M36.57M80.28M80.23M62.77M
Total Debt206.06M282.68M282.46M13.27M23.55M
Total Liabilities403.74M485.43M505.36M335.46M283.81M
Stockholders Equity-129.85M-30.24M11.73M-189.69M-163.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.24M-63.52M-59.96M24.74M7.69M
Operating Cash Flow-15.77M-51.39M-45.69M28.75M11.58M
Investing Cash Flow-6.01M-12.12M-14.27M-4.02M-3.89M
Financing Cash Flow14.52M23.84M58.95M-8.79M16.55M

Inspirato Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.56
Price Trends
50DMA
3.64
Negative
100DMA
3.88
Negative
200DMA
4.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
44.24
Neutral
STOCH
12.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ISPO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.87, below the 50-day MA of 3.64, and below the 200-day MA of 4.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ISPO.

Inspirato Risk Analysis

Inspirato disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Inspirato reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Inspirato Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
OSOSW
77
Outperform
$2.13B32.6712.80%0.76%9.80%89.42%
LTLTH
73
Outperform
$6.46B30.598.24%18.58%169.49%
71
Outperform
$8.97B50.66-79.88%10.32%20.44%
62
Neutral
$16.76B11.38-7.38%2.96%1.59%-23.30%
55
Neutral
$2.63B58.47%-6.35%79.04%
53
Neutral
$1.70B-46.00%-1.74%-2020.38%
48
Neutral
$44.29M8.84%-16.42%88.30%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ISPO
Inspirato
3.56
-0.02
-0.56%
MODG
Topgolf Callaway Brands
9.23
-5.59
-37.72%
PLNT
Planet Fitness
106.83
32.97
44.64%
OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings
21.08
5.92
39.05%
PTON
Peloton Interactive
6.61
3.15
91.04%
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings
29.31
10.52
55.99%

Inspirato Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Inspirato Announces Merger with Buyerlink for Expansion
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Inspirato announced a definitive agreement to merge with Buyerlink, a move that will form One Planet Platforms, a diversified consumer-focused marketplaces platform. This strategic merger aims to enhance Inspirato’s luxury travel services by integrating Buyerlink’s marketplace capabilities, thereby expanding its reach in the global luxury travel market. The merger, valued at approximately $326 million, is expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2025, subject to customary closing conditions and approvals. The combined company will trade on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange under a new ticker symbol, with Payam Zamani serving as Chairman and CEO.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Inspirato Stockholders Meeting Results on June 12, 2025
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Inspirato Incorporated held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 70.11% of the outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, a proposal to amend the Company’s Certificate of Incorporation to declassify the Board of Directors was not approved, as it did not meet the required two-thirds majority. Consequently, the election of six directors contingent on this proposal was not applicable. However, two Class III directors, May Samali and Julie Wainwright, were elected to serve until the 2028 annual meeting. Additionally, the appointment of BDO USA, P.C. as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Inspirato Reports Record Profits for Q1 2025
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Inspirato reported its most profitable quarter since going public, driven by improved gross margins and operational efficiencies. The company achieved a net income of $1.6 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $5.6 million for Q1 2025, marking a 38% improvement year-over-year. Inspirato maintained strong occupancy rates and increased average daily rates, reflecting its focus on high-quality, recurring revenue. The company reiterated its full-year 2025 financial guidance, anticipating further improvements in adjusted EBITDA and cash operating expenses.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Inspirato Announces President’s Departure and CEO Transition
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Inspirato Incorporated announced the immediate separation of David Kallery from his role as President. The company’s CEO, Payam Zamani, will take over Kallery’s responsibilities. The company is in discussions with Kallery regarding his separation terms, and any significant compensation details will be disclosed later. Kallery will not seek re-election at the upcoming annual meeting, and his board seat will be filled at a future date.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025