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OneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd (OSW)
NASDAQ:OSW

OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) AI Stock Analysis

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OneSpaWorld Holdings

(NASDAQ:OSW)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
OneSpaWorld Holdings shows strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability, supported by a debt-free balance sheet and robust cash flow. The recent earnings call reinforced positive growth prospects with strategic expansions and shareholder returns. However, the stock's valuation suggests it may be slightly overvalued, and technical indicators show a mixed trend. Overall, the stock presents a solid investment potential with some caution advised regarding its valuation and technical signals.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Demand trends remain consistent and strong, supporting the belief that revenue and EBITDA guidance for 2025 is somewhat conservative.
Market Position
Significant barriers to entry solidify OneSpaWorld’s dominance in maritime spa, with good visibility to long-term annual revenue growth in the high-single-digit range yielding similar to better profit growth and strong free cash flow generation.
Revenue Growth
About half of the year-over-year 4% increase in revenue stemmed from fleet expansion and the remainder from higher guest spend.
Negative Factors
Cost Management
Adjusted EBITDA upside was curtailed by $1.1 million of cash severance in the quarter related to the departure of the chief commercial officer.
Growth Deceleration
An anticipated $4.3 million combined headwind from more dry dock days and lapping leap day is expected to cause a sequential deceleration to 4% revenue growth.
Operational Challenges
OSW has limited visibility into future demand since much of its revenue depends on real-time onboard spending, and pre-bookings have a shorter window than cruise ticket bookings.

OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OneSpaWorld Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOneSpaWorld Holdings Limited operates health and wellness centers onboard cruise ships and at destination resorts worldwide. Its health and wellness centers offer services, such as traditional body, salon, and skin care services and products; self-service fitness facilities, specialized fitness classes, and personal fitness training; pain management, detoxifying programs, and body composition analyses; weight management programs and products; and medi-spa services. The company also provides its guests access to beauty and wellness brands, including ELEMIS, Kérastase, and Dysport, with various brands offered exclusively in the cruise market. As of December 31, 2021, it offered health, wellness, fitness, beauty services, treatments, and products onboard 170 cruise ships and at 52 destination resorts. The company is based in Nassau, Bahamas.
How the Company Makes MoneyOneSpaWorld Holdings generates revenue through service agreements with cruise lines and destination resorts, where it operates spa and wellness facilities. The company earns money by providing a variety of services such as massages, beauty treatments, fitness classes, and wellness therapies to guests. Revenue is further bolstered by the sale of beauty and wellness products within its facilities. Strategic partnerships with major cruise lines and resorts enhance its market reach and contribute significantly to its earnings. Additionally, the company benefits from a diversified service portfolio and a strong presence in the growing wellness tourism sector.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong overall performance with revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, expansion of medi-spa services, and new partnerships, despite some challenges such as a decline in net income and land-based spa revenue. The company remains optimistic about its future growth and shareholder value strategies.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenues increased by 4% to $219.6 million, compared to $211.2 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA Increase
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 5% to $26.6 million from $25.3 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Expansion of Medi-Spa Services
New technologies in medi-spa services generated over 20% growth in Q1 compared to last year, with these services now available on 148 ships, up from 142 ships.
New Cruise Line Partnerships
Introduced new health and wellness centers on Norwegian Cruise Lines’ first Prima Plus Class ship and executed a new agreement to operate health and wellness centers on 11 ships for P&O Cruise Lines and Cunard.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Returned $42 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases; approved a new $75 million share repurchase program.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Net income was $15.3 million, down from $21.2 million in the first quarter of 2024, primarily due to a $7.7 million benefit from the change in fair value of warrant liabilities in the prior year.
Decrease in Land-Based Spa Business
There was a $1.5 million decrease in land-based spa business revenue, partially due to the closure of hotels where the company had previously operated.
Nonrecurring Severance Expenses
Included $2.5 million of nonrecurring severance expenses in income from operations.
Company Guidance
During the OneSpaWorld First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided detailed guidance, reflecting a strong start to the year. Total revenues increased by 4% to $219.6 million, with income from operations at $16.8 million, despite $2.5 million in nonrecurring severance expenses. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 5% to $26.6 million, even after accounting for $1.1 million in severance costs. The company maintained operations on 199 ships, up from 193 in the previous year, with an average increase in cruise ship personnel. Pre-booking revenue remained strong at 23%, and the company saw significant growth in medi-spa services, with over 20% growth in new technology treatments. The company reaffirmed its annual guidance, expecting high single-digit growth in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA, projecting total fiscal 2025 revenue between $950 million and $970 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $115 million and $125 million. For the second quarter, anticipated revenues range from $235 million to $240 million, with adjusted EBITDA between $28 million and $30 million. The company also highlighted a strong balance sheet, approving a new $75 million share repurchase program, building on the previous $50 million buyback, and emphasizing a commitment to enhance shareholder value.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OneSpaWorld Holdings has shown significant financial improvements, marked by revenue growth of 12.72% and a positive net profit margin of 8.14% in 2024. The company also demonstrated operational efficiency with improved EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet strength is evident with no debt and a high equity ratio of 74.28%, while cash flow is robust with a 24.31% growth in free cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
OneSpaWorld Holdings has shown significant revenue growth with an impressive revenue growth rate of 12.72% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved to 14.80%, and the net profit margin turned positive at 8.14% in 2024, indicating improved profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also strengthened, demonstrating enhanced operational efficiency. However, prior years showed periods of losses, which should be considered when evaluating long-term performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows strong equity with an equity ratio of 74.28%. The absence of total debt in 2024 is a significant positive shift from previous years and reduces leverage risk. Return on Equity (ROE) increased to 13.14%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the stability of equity growth and the ability to maintain low debt levels should be monitored.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
OneSpaWorld Holdings has demonstrated strong cash flow improvements with a free cash flow growth rate of 24.31% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.08, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. The positive free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.99 further supports the company's liquidity position. Continued positive cash flow trends would enhance financial flexibility.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
903.42M895.02M794.04M546.26M144.03M120.92M
Gross Profit
134.46M132.89M90.23M83.57M8.45M-18.31M
EBIT
77.92M78.06M54.17M15.14M-52.06M-265.00M
EBITDA
102.48M107.41M42.42M37.49M-32.14M-246.62M
Net Income Common Stockholders
66.97M72.86M-2.97M53.16M-68.52M-280.49M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
22.61M57.44M27.70M32.06M30.94M41.55M
Total Assets
708.72M746.42M706.14M717.43M688.87M702.28M
Total Debt
0.00112.74M170.63M227.13M230.46M229.43M
Net Debt
88.37M55.30M142.92M195.06M199.52M187.88M
Total Liabilities
178.15M191.93M272.07M351.63M394.96M276.75M
Stockholders Equity
530.56M554.50M434.07M365.81M293.90M425.53M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
66.72M72.06M57.96M19.94M-37.97M-38.68M
Operating Cash Flow
73.95M78.80M63.38M24.76M-35.10M-36.55M
Investing Cash Flow
-7.23M-6.74M-5.42M-4.83M-2.87M-2.13M
Financing Cash Flow
-109.52M-42.21M-62.66M-18.72M27.47M68.55M

OneSpaWorld Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.26
Price Trends
50DMA
18.14
Positive
100DMA
18.69
Positive
200DMA
18.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Positive
RSI
54.06
Neutral
STOCH
35.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OSW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.10, above the 50-day MA of 18.14, and above the 200-day MA of 18.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OSW.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Risk Analysis

OneSpaWorld Holdings disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OneSpaWorld Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OneSpaWorld Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
OSOSW
74
Outperform
$1.98B30.3412.80%0.86%9.80%89.42%
LTLTH
73
Outperform
$5.96B28.368.24%18.58%169.49%
64
Neutral
$8.84B49.79-79.88%10.32%20.44%
62
Neutral
$6.88B11.072.77%4.28%2.67%-24.94%
62
Neutral
$2.29B11.12-52.57%-0.92%0.80%
55
Neutral
$2.76B58.47%-6.35%79.04%
51
Neutral
$403.16M22.27%-3.17%-194.72%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings
19.26
4.75
32.74%
PRKS
United Parks & Resorts
41.88
-8.83
-17.41%
PLNT
Planet Fitness
102.67
29.65
40.61%
PTON
Peloton Interactive
6.93
3.30
90.91%
XPOF
Xponential Fitness
7.84
-7.90
-50.19%
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings
26.63
8.26
44.96%

OneSpaWorld Holdings Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
OneSpaWorld Holdings Approves Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 9, 2025, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited conducted its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where approximately 95% of the company’s common shares were voted. All director nominees were elected, and all proposals, including executive compensation and the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm, were approved as recommended by the Board of Directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (OSW) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OneSpaWorld Holdings stock, see the OSW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
OneSpaWorld Announces CCO Susan Bonner’s Departure
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

On March 17, 2025, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited announced the immediate departure of Susan Bonner from her role as Chief Commercial Officer. In light of her departure, the company agreed to provide her with enhanced severance benefits, including twenty-four months of continued base salary payments, contingent upon her compliance with her restrictive covenant obligations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
OneSpaWorld Holdings Announces Leadership Changes in 2025
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

On March 17, 2025, OneSpaWorld Holdings announced leadership changes with Stephen B. Lazarus appointed as President while retaining his roles as Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer until a new CFO is appointed. Leonard Fluxman will continue as CEO and Executive Chairman, and Susan Bonner will step down as Chief Commercial Officer. These transitions highlight the company’s focus on leadership development and its commitment to maintaining its strong market position and growth trajectory in the health and wellness industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.